FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayMAC

3:0

HomeMVC

Eastern Mich. def. Murray St. 3–0

(25-23, 25-21, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
E MICH	25	25	25	3
MURRAY	23	21	21	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MURRAY above 50 · E MICH below

Biggest swing: 4.4% to Eastern Mich. — set 1, E MICH 25-23 MURRAY. Kill by Natalie Slusher (set by Surabhi Srinivasan). MURRAY win probability 15% → 11%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

E MICH 80.5%19.5% MURRAY

Eastern Mich. wins

3-0

32.0%

3-1

30.3%

3-2

18.1%

Murray St. wins

3-0

3.2%

3-1

6.5%

3-2

9.9%

E MICH break %: 44.9% vs this opp
MURRAY break %: 38.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Natalie SlusherKill+4.4%
Kill by Natalie Slusher (set by Surabhi Srinivasan)
Set 1 · E MICH 25-23 MURRAY · E MICH 85% → 89%
02
E MICH serverAce+3.9%
Eastern Mich. ace on Bailey Keusch
Set 1 · E MICH 20-19 MURRAY · E MICH 77% → 81%
03
E MICH serverAce+3.8%
Eastern Mich. ace on Anne Makowski
Set 1 · E MICH 22-20 MURRAY · E MICH 81% → 85%
04
MURRAY serverAce+3.6%
Murray St. ace on Olivia Beaudrie
Set 1 · E MICH 17-18 MURRAY · MURRAY 21% → 25%
05
Haley TroskyKill+3.4%
Kill by Haley Trosky (set by Julia Johnson)
Set 1 · E MICH 24-22 MURRAY · E MICH 84% → 87%
06
Olivia BeaudrieKill+3.0%
Kill by Olivia Beaudrie (set by Lina Govoni)
Set 1 · E MICH 21-20 MURRAY · E MICH 78% → 81%
07
Olivia BeaudrieKill+3.0%
Kill by Olivia Beaudrie (set by Lina Govoni)
Set 1 · E MICH 23-21 MURRAY · E MICH 83% → 86%
08
MURRAY serverAce+2.9%
Murray St. ace on Surabhi Srinivasan
Set 1 · E MICH 16-16 MURRAY · MURRAY 18% → 21%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Eastern Mich.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
12Olivia BeaudrieOH	3	9	5	23	.174	0	4	4	11	1	0	0	13
18Azra EriçMB	3	4	2	18	.111	1	4	1	0	0	4	2	10
17Taeley MahlerOH	3	5	3	12	.167	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
5Maddie HermanMB	3	5	3	9	.222	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
9Mia SchaeferL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	2	4	0	0	0	2
1Lina GovoniS	3	0	0	0	–	17	0	1	7	0	0	0	0
3Natalie SlusherOH	3	9	3	24	.250	0	0	0	0	1	2	1	10
10Haley TroskyOH	3	6	2	21	.190	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	7
14Julia JohnsonS	3	0	0	1	.000	12	1	1	5	0	0	0	1
16Surabhi SrinivasanDS	3	0	0	0	–	5	1	1	12	4	0	0	1
Team totals		38	18	108	.185	36	12	10	40	6	14	7	75

Murray St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Alexa WattsOH	3	6	3	24	.125	0	1	1	3	1	0	2	1	8
11Maezi SnyderMB	3	6	1	13	.385	1	0	1	1	0	0	4	2	8
17Anne MakowskiOH	3	7	4	28	.107	0	0	2	6	2	0	1	0.5	7.5
5Lily BurnettOH	3	4	3	17	.059	1	1	1	2	3	0	1	0.5	5.5
12Ceren DurakOH	3	3	2	10	.100	0	1	0	11	3	0	0	0	4
2Paige BrockS	3	0	0	1	.000	22	3	1	10	1	0	2	1	4
1Ada TamturkL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	0
22Bailey KeuschDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0
3Samantha NelsonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
14Mija Sagadin PristovnikOH	1	2	4	10	-.200	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	3
Team totals		28	17	103	.107	25	6	8	48	12	1	10	6	65

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 E MICH · MURRAY 4

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 3 E MICHMURRAY 2

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 5 E MICHMURRAY 4

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 6 E MICHMURRAY 4

Bars above the line = Murray St. leads, below = Eastern Mich. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Eastern Mich.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%8/18	54%7/13
2	78%7/9	59%10/17
3	58%7/12	36%4/11
4	64%7/11	50%7/14
5	67%6/9	40%4/10
6	75%6/8	25%2/8
All	61%41/67	47%34/73

Murray St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	42%8/19	50%7/14
2	70%7/10	38%5/13
3	58%7/12	30%3/10
4	55%6/11	30%3/10
5	55%6/11	50%6/12
6	50%5/10	25%2/8
All	53%39/73	39%26/67

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

140 rallies

Rally log

#	E MICH-MURRAY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MURRAY	MURRAY	Bad set	Lina Govoni		+1.9
2	0-2	MURRAY	MURRAY	Ace	MURRAY server	aced Surabhi Srinivasan	+2.0
3	1-2	MURRAY	E MICH	Attack err	Anne Makowski	blk Taeley Mahler, Maddie Herman	+1.3
4	2-2	E MICH	E MICH	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Lina Govoni	+1.8
5	2-3	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+1.4
6	2-4	MURRAY	MURRAY	Attack err	Olivia Beaudrie		+2.1
7	3-4	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Olivia Beaudrie	set Azra Eriç	+1.4
8	4-4	E MICH	E MICH	Ace	E MICH server	aced Paige Brock	+1.9
9	4-5	E MICH	MURRAY	Serve err	E MICH server		+1.5
10	4-6	MURRAY	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Paige Brock	+2.2
11	5-6	MURRAY	E MICH	Serve err	MURRAY server		+1.5
12	5-7	E MICH	MURRAY	Attack err	Haley Trosky		+1.7
13	6-7	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Julia Johnson	+1.5
14	6-8	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Ceren Durak	set Paige Brock	+1.7
15	7-8	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Julia Johnson	+1.5
16	8-8	E MICH	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Lina Govoni	+2.2
17	8-9	E MICH	MURRAY	Attack err	Taeley Mahler	blk Anne Makowski, Maezi Snyder	+1.7
18	8-10	MURRAY	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Maezi Snyder	+2.5
19	9-10	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+1.6
20	10-10	E MICH	E MICH	Kill	Olivia Beaudrie	set Lina Govoni	+2.4
21	10-11	E MICH	MURRAY	Serve err	E MICH server		+1.8
22	10-12	MURRAY	MURRAY	Ace	MURRAY server	aced Surabhi Srinivasan	+2.7
23	11-12	MURRAY	E MICH	Serve err	MURRAY server		+1.7
24	11-13	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Ceren Durak	set Paige Brock	+2.1
25	12-13	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Lina Govoni	+1.8
26	13-13	E MICH	E MICH	Attack err	Ceren Durak	blk Azra Eriç, Haley Trosky	+2.7
27	13-14	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+2.1
28	14-14	MURRAY	E MICH×3	Attack err	Ceren Durak		+1.9
29	15-14	E MICH	E MICH×3	Attack err	Alexa Watts	blk Natalie Slusher, Azra Eriç	+2.7
30	16-14	E MICH	E MICH×3	Ace	E MICH server	aced Samantha Nelson	+2.5
31	16-15	E MICH	MURRAY	Serve err	E MICH server		+1.7
32	16-16	MURRAY	MURRAY	Ace	MURRAY server	aced Surabhi Srinivasan	+2.9
33	17-16	MURRAY	E MICH	Serve err	MURRAY server		+2.1
34	17-17	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Paige Brock	+2.3
35	17-18	MURRAY	MURRAY	Ace	MURRAY server	aced Olivia Beaudrie	+3.6
36	18-18	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Maddie Herman	set Julia Johnson	+2.4
37	18-19	E MICH	MURRAY	Attack err	Natalie Slusher	blk Maezi Snyder, Paige Brock	+2.9
38	19-19	MURRAY	E MICH	Serve err	MURRAY server		+2.6
39	20-19	E MICH	E MICH	Ace	E MICH server	aced Bailey Keusch	+3.9
40	20-20	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+2.8
41	21-20	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Olivia Beaudrie	set Lina Govoni	+3.0
42	22-20	E MICH	E MICH	Ace	E MICH server	aced Anne Makowski	+3.8
43	22-21	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Paige Brock	+2.2
44	23-21	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Olivia Beaudrie	set Lina Govoni	+3.0
45	23-22	E MICH	MURRAY	Attack err	Azra Eriç		+2.2
46	24-22	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Julia Johnson	+3.4
47	24-23	E MICH	MURRAY	Serve err	E MICH server		+2.0
48	25-23	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+4.4
Set 2
1	1-0	E MICH	E MICH	Ace	E MICH server	aced Ceren Durak	+1.2
2	1-1	E MICH	MURRAY	Serve err	E MICH server		+0.9
3	2-1	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Julia Johnson	+0.9
4	2-2	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Ceren Durak		+1.0
5	3-2	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Julia Johnson	+0.9
6	3-3	E MICH	MURRAY	Serve err	E MICH server		+1.0
7	3-4	MURRAY	MURRAY	Attack err	Natalie Slusher	blk Alexa Watts, Maezi Snyder	+1.5
8	4-4	MURRAY	E MICH×5	Kill	Maddie Herman	set Lina Govoni	+1.0
9	5-4	E MICH	E MICH×5	Kill	Olivia Beaudrie	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+1.4
10	6-4	E MICH	E MICH×5	Kill	Maddie Herman	set Lina Govoni	+1.3
11	7-4	E MICH	E MICH×5	Ace	E MICH server	aced Ceren Durak	+1.1
12	8-4	E MICH	E MICH×5	Attack err	Mija Sagadin Pristovnik		+1.0
13	8-5	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Paige Brock	+0.6
14	9-5	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Olivia Beaudrie	set Lina Govoni	+0.7
15	9-6	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Maezi Snyder		+0.6
16	10-6	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Lina Govoni	+0.7
17	10-7	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Paige Brock	+0.7
18	11-7	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Julia Johnson	+0.7
19	11-8	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+0.7
20	12-8	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Lina Govoni	+0.7
21	13-8	E MICH	E MICH	Attack err	Lily Burnett		+0.8
22	13-9	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Paige Brock	+0.5
23	14-9	MURRAY	E MICH×3	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+0.6
24	15-9	E MICH	E MICH×3	Attack err	Mija Sagadin Pristovnik	blk Maddie Herman, Taeley Mahler	+0.6
25	16-9	E MICH	E MICH×3	Attack err	Lily Burnett		+0.4
26	16-10	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Mija Sagadin Pristovnik	set Lily Burnett	+0.2
27	16-11	MURRAY	MURRAY	Attack err	Taeley Mahler		+0.4
28	17-11	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Maddie Herman	set Lina Govoni	+0.4
29	17-12	E MICH	MURRAY×4	Serve err	E MICH server		+0.3
30	17-13	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Attack err	Olivia Beaudrie		+0.6
31	17-14	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Attack err	Taeley Mahler	blk Mija Sagadin Pristovnik	+0.9
32	17-15	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Attack err	Olivia Beaudrie		+1.3
33	18-15	MURRAY	E MICH×4	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Lina Govoni	+1.1
34	19-15	E MICH	E MICH×4	Attack err	Mija Sagadin Pristovnik	blk Taeley Mahler, Azra Eriç	+1.2
35	20-15	E MICH	E MICH×4	Attack err	Mija Sagadin Pristovnik		+0.8
36	21-15	E MICH	E MICH×4	Kill	Olivia Beaudrie	set Lina Govoni	+0.5
37	21-16	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Mija Sagadin Pristovnik	set Paige Brock	+0.2
38	22-16	MURRAY	E MICH	Serve err	MURRAY server		+0.3
39	22-17	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Paige Brock	+0.1
40	23-17	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Julia Johnson	+0.2
41	24-17	E MICH	E MICH	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Haley Trosky	+0.1
42	24-18	E MICH	MURRAY×4	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+0.0
43	24-19	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Ada Tamturk	+0.0
44	24-20	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Attack err	Azra Eriç		+0.1
45	24-21	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Attack err	Natalie Slusher	blk Lily Burnett, Alexa Watts	+0.3
46	25-21	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Haley Trosky	set Julia Johnson	+0.5
Set 3
1	0-1	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Ace	MURRAY server	aced Surabhi Srinivasan	+0.7
2	0-2	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Paige Brock	+0.8
3	0-3	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Bad set	Julia Johnson		+0.8
4	0-4	MURRAY	MURRAY×4	Bad set	Julia Johnson		+0.8
5	1-4	MURRAY	E MICH×6	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Julia Johnson	+0.5
6	2-4	E MICH	E MICH×6	Attack err	Lily Burnett	blk Natalie Slusher, Maddie Herman	+0.8
7	3-4	E MICH	E MICH×6	Ace	E MICH server	aced Anne Makowski	+0.8
8	4-4	E MICH	E MICH×6	Attack err	Alexa Watts		+0.8
9	5-4	E MICH	E MICH×6	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Julia Johnson	+0.7
10	6-4	E MICH	E MICH×6	Ace	E MICH server	aced Lily Burnett	+0.7
11	6-5	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+0.5
12	7-5	MURRAY	E MICH	Serve err	MURRAY server		+0.5
13	7-6	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Lily Burnett	set Paige Brock	+0.5
14	8-6	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Maddie Herman	set Lina Govoni	+0.5
15	9-6	E MICH	E MICH	Kill	Olivia Beaudrie	set Surabhi Srinivasan	+0.6
16	9-7	E MICH	MURRAY	Attack err	Maddie Herman		+0.4
17	10-7	MURRAY	E MICH	Attack err	Maezi Snyder		+0.4
18	11-7	E MICH	E MICH	Attack err	Anne Makowski		+0.5
19	11-8	E MICH	MURRAY×3	Serve err	E MICH server		+0.4
20	11-9	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Attack err	Olivia Beaudrie		+0.6
21	11-10	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Kill	Alexa Watts	set Paige Brock	+0.8
22	12-10	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Lina Govoni	+0.6
23	12-11	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Maezi Snyder	set Paige Brock	+0.6
24	12-12	MURRAY	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+1.0
25	13-12	MURRAY	E MICH×3	Kill	Azra Eriç	set Julia Johnson	+0.7
26	14-12	E MICH	E MICH×3	Ace	E MICH server	aced Lily Burnett	+0.9
27	15-12	E MICH	E MICH×3	Ace	E MICH server	aced Ceren Durak	+0.8
28	15-13	E MICH	MURRAY	Serve err	E MICH server		+0.5
29	16-13	MURRAY	E MICH×3	Kill	Natalie Slusher	set Julia Johnson	+0.6
30	17-13	E MICH	E MICH×3	Ace	E MICH server	aced Lily Burnett	+0.6
31	18-13	E MICH	E MICH×3	Ace	E MICH server	aced Alexa Watts	+0.4
32	18-14	E MICH	MURRAY	Serve err	E MICH server		+0.2
33	18-15	MURRAY	MURRAY	Attack err	Haley Trosky		+0.5
34	19-15	MURRAY	E MICH	Serve err	MURRAY server		+0.4
35	19-16	E MICH	MURRAY×3	Attack err	Maddie Herman		+0.3
36	19-17	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Attack err	Maddie Herman		+0.7
37	19-18	MURRAY	MURRAY×3	Ace	MURRAY server	aced Natalie Slusher	+1.0
38	20-18	MURRAY	E MICH	Attack err	Alexa Watts		+0.9
39	20-19	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+0.8
40	21-19	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Olivia Beaudrie	set Lina Govoni	+0.9
41	21-20	E MICH	MURRAY	Attack err	Olivia Beaudrie	blk Maezi Snyder, Paige Brock	+0.8
42	22-20	MURRAY	E MICH	Kill	Taeley Mahler	set Lina Govoni	+1.0
43	23-20	E MICH	E MICH	Attack err	Anne Makowski		+1.1
44	23-21	E MICH	MURRAY	Kill	Anne Makowski	set Paige Brock	+0.4
45	24-21	MURRAY	E MICH	Serve err	MURRAY server		+0.7
46	25-21	E MICH	E MICH	Attack err	Anne Makowski	blk Azra Eriç, Haley Trosky	+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Mich. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.