Final · 5 setsSun, Sep 6, 2026

Illinois St. def. Eastern Mich. 3–2

Illinois St. won at Eastern Mich. 3-2 (14-25, 25-21, 25-23, 19-25, 16-14) on Sun, Sep 6, 2026. Illinois St.'s Ruth Ziegler led with 13 kills, and Samantha Bunch added 21 digs.

Data through · final Sep 6

Set12345Sets
ILL ST14252519163
E MICH25212325142

Win probability

Eastern Mich. above 50 · Illinois St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+27.2% E MICHrally 207 · set 5

Biggest swing: 27.2% to Eastern Mich. — set 5, ILL ST 13-14 E MICH. Kill by Maddie Herman (set by Lina Govoni). E MICH win probability 43% → 70%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ILL ST 69.9%30.1% E MICH

Illinois St. wins

3-0
23.2%
3-1
26.8%
3-2
19.9%

Eastern Mich. wins

3-0
5.7%
3-1
10.6%
3-2
13.8%
ILL ST break %
46.2% vs this opp
E MICH break %
42.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Maddie HermanKill+27.2%

    Kill by Maddie Herman (set by Lina Govoni)

    Set 5 · ILL ST 13-14 E MICH · E MICH 43% → 70%

  2. 02

    Taeley Mahler stuffed by Ruth Ziegler & Abby Reck

    Set 5 · ILL ST 15-14 E MICH · ILL ST 52% → 77%

  3. 03
    Abby ReckKill+23.1%

    Kill by Abby Reck (set by Ella Craggs)

    Set 5 · ILL ST 16-14 E MICH · ILL ST 77% → 100%

  4. 04
    Taeley MahlerAttack error+21.8%

    Attack error by Taeley Mahler

    Set 5 · ILL ST 14-14 E MICH · ILL ST 30% → 52%

  5. 05
    Ruth ZieglerKill+19.8%

    Kill by Ruth Ziegler (set by Audrey Clark)

    Set 5 · ILL ST 13-12 E MICH · ILL ST 53% → 72%

  6. 06
    Eastern Mich.Ace+17.8%

    Eastern Mich. ace on Samantha Bunch

    Set 5 · ILL ST 11-12 E MICH · E MICH 43% → 61%

  7. 07

    Ayla Klingenberg stuffed by Lina Govoni & Maddie Herman

    Set 5 · ILL ST 13-13 E MICH · E MICH 28% → 43%

  8. 08
    Jillian FerrillKill+14.5%

    Kill by Jillian Ferrill (set by Peyton Turner)

    Set 5 · ILL ST 11-10 E MICH · ILL ST 54% → 69%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513531.25803330031.517.5
511026.4230003004213
511429.24100030111.512.5
52021.0003100900002
32517-.176020320004
23419-.053000000003
55430.0330221240007
55317.118200510005
5000–2222120002
5000–1602600000
5000–1001700000
48521.143000000008
2013-.333000000000
2000–601300000
Team totals6031195.1495891085918599
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
510119.4741532004217
512430.2670007014315
512847.0850003000012
512439.2050004300012
55114.286000101649
55012.4173902140052.57.5
5001.000022830002
51210-.10010172010.51.5
5004.0009102510001
5000–3121200001
1000–000000000
1000–100000000
Team totals5720176.2105491083922012108

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 ILL ST · E MICH 6

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 ILL STE MICH 6

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 3 ILL STE MICH 2

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 8 ILL STE MICH 5

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 5 ILL STE MICH 4

Set 5

16-14

Longest run 3 ILL STE MICH 4

Bars above the line = Eastern Mich. leads, below = Illinois St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Illinois St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
58%7/12
2
42%5/12
29%2/7
3
42%5/12
29%2/7
4
71%5/7
17%1/6
5
38%5/13
29%2/7
6
50%5/10
75%15/20
All
49%31/63
49%29/59

Eastern Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%5/10
40%4/10
2
71%5/7
38%3/8
3
83%5/6
62%8/13
4
83%5/6
50%5/10
5
42%5/12
50%5/10
6
28%5/18
58%7/12
All
51%30/59
51%32/63

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

207 rallies

#ILL ST-E MICHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ILL STILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Craggs+2.0
21-1ILL STE MICH×3KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Craggs+1.7
31-2E MICH
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.2
41-3E MICHE MICH×3BlockedJillian Ferrillblk Taeley Mahler, Maddie Herman+2.3
52-3E MICHILL ST×3KillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+1.7
63-3ILL STILL ST×3AceIllinois St.aced Surabhi Srinivasan+2.2
74-3ILL STILL ST×3KillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+2.2
84-4ILL STE MICH×6KillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+1.8
94-5E MICHE MICH×6BlockedJillian Ferrillblk Taeley Mahler, Azra Eriç+2.4
104-6E MICHE MICH×6AceEastern Mich.aced Jillian Gregory+2.5
114-7E MICHE MICH×6Attack errJillian Ferrill+2.5
124-8E MICHE MICH×6KillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni+2.5
134-9E MICHE MICH×6Attack errJillian Ferrill+2.3
145-9E MICHILL STAttack errOlivia Beaudrie+1.5
155-10ILL STE MICHKillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni+1.9
165-11E MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+2.1
176-11E MICHILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Audrey Clark+1.3
186-12ILL STE MICHKillLina Govoniset Olivia Beaudrie+1.7
196-13E MICHE MICHAttack errAddisyn Pohl+1.8
207-13E MICHILL STServe errEastern Mich.+1.0
217-14ILL STE MICH×3KillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni+1.4
227-15E MICHE MICH×3BlockedRuth Zieglerblk Lina Govoni, Maddie Herman+1.3
237-16E MICHE MICH×3Attack errJillian Gregory+1.0
248-16E MICHILL STKillAddisyn Pohlset Audrey Clark+0.5
258-17ILL STE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+0.7
268-18E MICHE MICHBad setSamantha Bunch+0.6
279-18E MICHILL STKillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+0.2
289-19ILL STE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+0.4
2910-19E MICHILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Craggs+0.2
3011-19ILL STILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+0.4
3111-20ILL STE MICHServe errIllinois St.+0.5
3211-21E MICHE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+0.3
3312-21E MICHILL STAttack errOlivia Beaudrie+0.1
3412-22ILL STE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+0.2
3512-23E MICHE MICHAttack errAddisyn Pohl+0.1
3613-23E MICHILL STServe errEastern Mich.·
3714-23ILL STILL STAttack errNatalie Slusher·
3814-24ILL STE MICHKillLina Govoniset Surabhi Srinivasan+0.1
3914-25E MICHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni·
Set 2
11-0E MICHILL STServe errEastern Mich.+2.0
21-1ILL STE MICHServe errIllinois St.+2.1
32-1ILL ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.1
43-1ILL STILL STAceIllinois St.aced Natalie Slusher+2.5
53-2ILL STE MICHServe errIllinois St.+2.0
64-2E MICHILL STAttack errNatalie Slusher+2.0
74-3ILL STE MICHAttack errRuth Ziegler+2.0
84-4E MICHE MICHAceEastern Mich.aced Oliwia Caputa+2.8
95-4E MICHILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Audrey Clark+2.2
105-5ILL STE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+2.3
116-5E MICHILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Ella Craggs+2.3
126-6ILL STE MICHKillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni+2.4
136-7E MICHE MICHAceEastern Mich.aced Samantha Bunch+3.2
147-7E MICHILL STKillElla Craggsset Oliwia Caputa+2.5
158-7ILL STILL STAceIllinois St.aced Mia Schaefer+3.1
168-8ILL STE MICHKillLina Govoniset Madelyn Sipe+2.5
178-9E MICHE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+3.4
189-9E MICHILL STServe errEastern Mich.+2.6
1910-9ILL STILL STKillAddisyn Pohl+3.3
2010-10ILL STE MICHServe errIllinois St.+2.7
2111-10E MICHILL STAttack errNatalie Slusher+2.7
2211-11ILL STE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Lina Govoni+2.8
2312-11E MICHILL ST×3KillLogan Grevengoedset Audrey Clark+2.8
2413-11ILL STILL ST×3KillAddisyn Pohlset Audrey Clark+3.4
2514-11ILL STILL ST×3AceIllinois St.aced Olivia Beaudrie+3.0
2614-12ILL STE MICHServe errIllinois St.+2.2
2715-12E MICHILL STServe errEastern Mich.+2.5
2816-12ILL STILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Ella Craggs+2.6
2916-13ILL STE MICHKillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni+1.8
3017-13E MICHILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+2.1
3117-14ILL STE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+1.8
3218-14E MICHILL STServe errEastern Mich.+2.2
3319-14ILL STILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Ella Craggs+2.0
3419-15ILL STE MICHServe errIllinois St.+1.2
3519-16E MICHE MICHBlockedLogan Grevengoedblk Maddie Herman+2.2
3620-16E MICHILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+2.3
3720-17ILL STE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+1.7
3821-17E MICHILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Audrey Clark+2.3
3921-18ILL STE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+1.6
4021-19E MICHE MICHAttack errLogan Grevengoed+3.1
4122-19E MICHILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Audrey Clark+3.4
4223-19ILL STILL STAceIllinois St.aced Natalie Slusher+2.8
4323-20ILL STE MICHServe errIllinois St.+1.1
4424-20E MICHILL STKillAddisyn Pohlset Audrey Clark+2.0
4524-21ILL STE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+0.7
4625-21E MICHILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Ella Craggs+1.4
Set 3
11-0ILL STILL ST×3Attack errHaley Trosky+2.8
22-0ILL STILL ST×3KillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Craggs+2.7
33-0ILL STILL ST×3BlockedHaley Troskyblk Logan Grevengoed, Abby Reck+2.5
43-1ILL STE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Surabhi Srinivasan+1.9
54-1E MICHILL STKillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+2.0
64-2ILL STE MICH×5KillMaddie Hermanset Lina Govoni+2.0
74-3E MICHE MICH×5Attack errAddisyn Pohl+2.8
84-4E MICHE MICH×5Attack errEmilija Arsic+3.1
94-5E MICHE MICH×5KillAzra Eriç+3.4
104-6E MICHE MICH×5Attack errAddisyn Pohl+3.5
115-6E MICHILL STBlockedTaeley Mahlerblk Logan Grevengoed+2.6
125-7ILL STE MICH×4KillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+2.9
135-8E MICHE MICH×4Attack errOliwia Caputa+3.6
145-9E MICHE MICH×4KillNatalie Slusherset Azra Eriç+3.5
155-10E MICHE MICH×4Attack errLogan Grevengoed+3.3
166-10E MICHILL STAttack errAzra Eriç+2.2
176-11ILL STE MICHKillLina Govoniset Madelyn Sipe+2.7
187-11E MICHILL STServe errEastern Mich.+2.2
197-12ILL STE MICHKillLina Govoniset Madelyn Sipe+2.7
207-13E MICHE MICHAttack errOliwia Caputa+3.0
218-13E MICHILL ST×3KillElla Craggsset Oliwia Caputa+1.8
229-13ILL STILL ST×3KillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+2.8
2310-13ILL STILL ST×3Attack errMaddie Herman+3.2
2410-14ILL STE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+3.2
2510-15E MICHE MICHBlockedEmilija Arsicblk Taeley Mahler+3.5
2611-15E MICHILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+2.1
2711-16ILL STE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Surabhi Srinivasan+2.8
2812-16E MICHILL STServe errEastern Mich.+2.1
2912-17ILL STE MICHAttack errEmilija Arsic+2.9
3013-17E MICHILL STKillAddisyn Pohlset Ella Kohnen+2.1
3113-18ILL STE MICHAttack errJillian Gregory+2.9
3214-18E MICHILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Ella Kohnen+2.0
3314-19ILL STE MICHKillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni+2.9
3415-19E MICHILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Ella Kohnen+1.9
3516-19ILL STILL STBlockedHaley Troskyblk Ruth Ziegler, Abby Reck+3.3
3616-20ILL STE MICH×3KillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+3.7
3716-21E MICHE MICH×3KillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+3.4
3816-22E MICHE MICH×3AceEastern Mich.aced Emilija Arsic+2.1
3917-22E MICHILL ST×8BlockedHaley Troskyblk Ruth Ziegler, Abby Reck+0.8
4018-22ILL STILL ST×8KillRuth Zieglerset Samantha Bunch+1.7
4119-22ILL STILL ST×8AceIllinois St.aced Mia Schaefer+2.7
4220-22ILL STILL ST×8KillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+4.2
4321-22ILL STILL ST×8KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+6.1
4422-22ILL STILL ST×8KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+8.2
4523-22ILL STILL ST×8KillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+9.5
4624-22ILL STILL ST×8Attack errHaley Trosky+8.5
4724-23ILL STE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Kaylin Schroeder+4.0
4825-23E MICHILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+8.7
Set 4
11-0E MICHILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Samantha Bunch+1.9
21-1ILL STE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+2.0
32-1E MICHILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Ella Craggs+2.0
42-2ILL STE MICH×3Serve errIllinois St.+2.0
52-3E MICHE MICH×3KillTaeley Mahlerset Surabhi Srinivasan+2.7
62-4E MICHE MICH×3KillTaeley Mahlerset Lina Govoni+2.9
73-4E MICHILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Ella Kohnen+2.1
83-5ILL STE MICHKillTaeley Mahlerset Surabhi Srinivasan+2.3
93-6E MICHE MICHAttack errAddisyn Pohl+3.0
104-6E MICHILL STKillAddisyn Pohlset Ella Kohnen+2.1
114-7ILL STE MICH×4KillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni+2.4
124-8E MICHE MICH×4BlockedJillian Gregoryblk Lina Govoni, Azra Eriç+3.0
134-9E MICHE MICH×4AceEastern Mich.aced Emilija Arsic+2.8
144-10E MICHE MICH×4BlockedJillian Gregoryblk Lina Govoni, Azra Eriç+2.5
155-10E MICHILL ST×5KillAddisyn Pohlset Ella Kohnen+1.6
166-10ILL STILL ST×5KillJillian Gregoryset Ella Craggs+2.4
177-10ILL STILL ST×5Attack errHaley Trosky+2.7
188-10ILL STILL ST×5KillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+3.0
199-10ILL STILL ST×5KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+3.2
209-11ILL STE MICH×3KillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni+2.8
219-12E MICHE MICH×3AceEastern Mich.aced Jillian Gregory+3.5
229-13E MICHE MICH×3AceEastern Mich.aced Emilija Arsic+3.3
2310-13E MICHILL ST×3Serve errEastern Mich.+2.2
2411-13ILL STILL ST×3Attack errHaley Trosky+3.2
2512-13ILL STILL ST×3AceIllinois St.aced Mia Schaefer+3.5
2612-14ILL STE MICHAttack errJillian Gregory+3.1
2713-14E MICHILL STKillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+2.8
2813-15ILL STE MICHServe errIllinois St.+3.3
2914-15E MICHILL STKillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+2.9
3014-16ILL STE MICH×3KillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+3.4
3114-17E MICHE MICH×3KillAzra Eriçset Lina Govoni+4.2
3214-18E MICHE MICH×3KillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+3.7
3315-18E MICHILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Audrey Clark+2.2
3415-19ILL STE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+3.1
3516-19E MICHILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Audrey Clark+2.2
3616-20ILL STE MICHKillOlivia Beaudrieset Lina Govoni+3.1
3717-20E MICHILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Audrey Clark+2.1
3817-21ILL STE MICHKillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+3.2
3917-22E MICHE MICHBlockedRuth Zieglerblk Maddie Herman, Lina Govoni+2.8
4018-22E MICHILL STServe errEastern Mich.+1.1
4119-22ILL STILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+2.3
4219-23ILL STE MICH×3KillMaddie Hermanset Lina Govoni+3.1
4319-24E MICHE MICH×3BlockedEmilija Arsicblk Taeley Mahler, Maddie Herman+2.0
4419-25E MICHE MICH×3Attack errRuth Ziegler+0.3
Set 5
11-0E MICHILL STKillEmilija Arsicset Audrey Clark+6.2
21-1ILL STE MICH×4KillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+6.4
31-2E MICHE MICH×4KillTaeley Mahlerset Surabhi Srinivasan+8.8
41-3E MICHE MICH×4KillTaeley Mahlerset Surabhi Srinivasan+9.2
51-4E MICHE MICH×4KillNatalie Slusherset Surabhi Srinivasan+9.1
62-4E MICHILL ST×3KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+6.2
73-4ILL STILL ST×3AceIllinois St.aced Natalie Slusher+8.8
84-4ILL STILL ST×3KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+9.3
94-5ILL STE MICHServe errIllinois St.+8.0
105-5E MICHILL STAttack errTaeley Mahler+7.6
116-5ILL STILL STAceIllinois St.aced Olivia Beaudrie+9.8
126-6ILL STE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Lina Govoni+8.0
136-7E MICHE MICHKillNatalie Slusherset Surabhi Srinivasan+11.2
147-7E MICHILL STKillOliwia Caputaset Ella Craggs+8.5
158-7ILL STILL STAttack errNatalie Slusher+11.1
168-8ILL STE MICH×3Attack errOliwia Caputa+9.0
178-9E MICHE MICH×3AceEastern Mich.aced Emilija Arsic+12.9
188-10E MICHE MICH×3KillHaley Troskyset Lina Govoni+13.4
199-10E MICHILL ST×3KillLogan Grevengoedset Audrey Clark+9.0
2010-10ILL STILL ST×3Attack errHaley Trosky+13.6
2111-10ILL STILL ST×3KillJillian Ferrillset Peyton Turner+14.5
2211-11ILL STE MICHBlockedLogan Grevengoedblk Azra Eriç, Olivia Beaudrie+11.7
2311-12E MICHE MICHAceEastern Mich.aced Samantha Bunch+17.8
2412-12E MICHILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Audrey Clark+13.5
2513-12ILL STILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Audrey Clark+19.8
2613-13ILL STE MICHBlockedAyla Klingenbergblk Lina Govoni, Maddie Herman+15.4
2713-14E MICHE MICHKillMaddie Hermanset Lina Govoni+27.2
2814-14E MICHILL ST×3Attack errTaeley Mahler+21.8
2915-14ILL STILL ST×3BlockedTaeley Mahlerblk Ruth Ziegler, Abby Reck+25.3
3016-14ILL STILL ST×3KillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+23.1

Score shown after each rally, Illinois St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).