FinalSat, Sep 5, 2026 · Neutral site

Little Rock def. Northwestern St. 3–0

Little Rock beat Northwestern St. 3-0 (25-8, 25-18, 25-11) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026 at a neutral site. Little Rock's Bella Cherry led with 10 kills.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set123Sets
NW ST818110
UALR2525253

Win probability

Little Rock above 50 · Northwestern St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.3% UALRrally 112 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.3% to Little Rock — set 2, NW ST 12-13 UALR. Kill by Lovina Teel (set by Avery Fearnley). UALR win probability 93% → 94%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NW ST 12.5%87.5% UALR

Northwestern St. wins

3-0
1.8%
3-1
3.9%
3-2
6.8%

Little Rock wins

3-0
40.5%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.4%
NW ST break %
38.9% vs this opp
UALR break %
47.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Lovina TeelKill+1.3%

    Kill by Lovina Teel (set by Avery Fearnley)

    Set 2 · NW ST 12-13 UALR · UALR 93% → 94%

  2. 02

    Avery Fearnley stuffed by Olivia Nzioki & Camila Torquati

    Set 2 · NW ST 9-8 UALR · NW ST 7% → 8%

  3. 03
    Lovina TeelKill+1.2%

    Kill by Lovina Teel (set by Lily King)

    Set 1 · NW ST 1-2 UALR · UALR 87% → 89%

  4. 04
    Lovina TeelBlock+1.2%

    Julia Whitfield stuffed by Lovina Teel

    Set 2 · NW ST 13-15 UALR · UALR 94% → 95%

  5. 05
    Northwestern St.Ace+1.1%

    Northwestern St. ace on Avery Fearnley

    Set 2 · NW ST 6-5 UALR · NW ST 7% → 8%

  6. 06
    Little RockService error+1.1%

    Little Rock service error

    Set 2 · NW ST 12-11 UALR · NW ST 7% → 8%

  7. 07
    Olivia NziokiBlock+1.1%

    Alyssa Boyte stuffed by Olivia Nzioki

    Set 2 · NW ST 8-8 UALR · NW ST 6% → 7%

  8. 08
    Little RockAce+1.1%

    Little Rock ace on Ana Gjorgjievska

    Set 1 · NW ST 1-3 UALR · UALR 89% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36219.211001220006
34515-.06701110010.55.5
34522-.045000231015
3116.000000101223
1214.250000000002
1001.000400300000
3000–122310002
3102.500300400001
3000–3111010001
3000–000100000
2001.00060010031.51.5
2137-.286100000001
Team totals191777.026184528926537
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37117.353000311229
37417.176112620008
36110.500100000217
3305.60021120111.55.5
31011.0001701300001
2406.667100001015
310017.58800010010.510.5
3000–042700004
3000–330700003
3000–1402600000
2506.833000000005
1000–000100000
Team totals43679.468399836436675

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 NW ST · UALR 8

Set 1

8-25

Longest run 3 NW STUALR 7

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 NW STUALR 5

Set 3

11-25

Longest run 4 NW STUALR 8

Bars above the line = Little Rock leads, below = Northwestern St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northwestern St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
38%5/13
38%3/8
2
24%4/17
17%1/6
3
29%4/14
0%0/4
4
33%4/12
33%2/6
5
57%4/7
33%2/6
6
36%4/11
50%4/8
All
34%25/74
32%12/38

Little Rock

SlotSideout %Break %
1
86%6/7
62%8/13
2
80%4/5
76%13/17
3
80%4/5
67%8/12
4
80%4/5
56%5/9
5
44%4/9
69%9/13
6
57%4/7
60%6/10
All
68%26/38
66%49/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

112 rallies

#NW ST-UALRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UALRNW STKillAna Gjorgjievskaset Emmarie McFarland+1.1
21-1NW STUALR×5KillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+1.0
31-2UALRUALR×5KillLovina Teelset Lily King+1.2
41-3UALRUALR×5AceLittle Rockaced Ana Gjorgjievska+1.1
51-4UALRUALR×5KillMorgan Creerset Lily King+0.9
61-5UALRUALR×5Attack errAna Gjorgjievska+0.8
72-5UALRNW STKillAna Gjorgjievskaset Jade Longlad+0.6
82-6NW STUALR×6KillLovina Teelset Morgan Creer+0.6
92-7UALRUALR×6BlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Lovina Teel, Alyssa Boyte+0.7
102-8UALRUALR×6KillAlyssa Boyte+0.5
112-9UALRUALR×6BlockedGillian Wolfblk Morgan Creer+0.4
122-10UALRUALR×6KillMorgan Creerset Lorena Keselj+0.3
132-11UALRUALR×6KillLovina Teelset Anna Claire Hebert+0.2
143-11UALRNW STKillGillian Wolfset Jade Longlad+0.1
153-12NW STUALR×3Serve errNorthwestern St.+0.1
163-13UALRUALR×3KillBella Cherryset Skyler Perez+0.1
173-14UALRUALR×3KillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+0.1
184-14UALRNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad·
194-15NW STUALR×3BlockedAmber Craigblk Bella Cherry, Alyssa Boyte·
204-16UALRUALR×3KillAvery Fearnleyset Alayna Vaeth·
214-17UALRUALR×3KillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth·
225-17UALRNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad·
235-18NW STUALR×7KillAvery Fearnleyset Alayna Vaeth·
245-19UALRUALR×7AceLittle Rock·
255-20UALRUALR×7KillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth·
265-21UALRUALR×7AceLittle Rockaced Ana Gjorgjievska·
275-22UALRUALR×7AceLittle Rock·
285-23UALRUALR×7KillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth·
295-24UALRUALR×7KillBella Cherryset Lorena Keselj·
306-24UALRNW ST×3BlockedAvery Fearnleyblk Ana Gjorgjievska·
317-24NW STNW ST×3AceNorthwestern St.aced Avery Fearnley·
328-24NW STNW ST×3KillAmber Craigset Harper Cauley·
338-25NW STUALRServe errNorthwestern St.·
Set 2
11-0NW STNW STKillKenadii Winfrey+1.0
21-1NW STUALRKillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+0.7
31-2UALRUALRAttack errAna Gjorgjievska+0.8
42-2UALRNW STServe errLittle Rock+0.7
53-2NW STNW STKillJulia Whitfieldset Emmarie McFarland+1.0
63-3NW STUALRKillMorgan Creerset Lily King+0.7
74-3UALRNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Anna Claire Hebert+0.8
84-4NW STUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Lily King+0.7
94-5UALRUALRAttack errAna Gjorgjievska+0.9
105-5UALRNW STServe errLittle Rock+0.8
116-5NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Avery Fearnley+1.1
126-6NW STUALR×3KillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+0.8
136-7UALRUALR×3AceLittle Rockaced Harper Cauley+1.0
146-8UALRUALR×3KillAvery Fearnleyset Alyssa Boyte+0.9
157-8UALRNW ST×3KillAna Gjorgjievskaset Camila Torquati+0.7
168-8NW STNW ST×3BlockedAlyssa Boyteblk Olivia Nzioki+1.1
179-8NW STNW ST×3BlockedAvery Fearnleyblk Olivia Nzioki, Camila Torquati+1.2
189-9NW STUALRKillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+0.9
1910-9UALRNW STKillGillian Wolfset Camila Torquati+1.0
2010-10NW STUALRKillLorena Keseljset Alayna Vaeth+0.9
2111-10UALRNW STKillGillian Wolfset Camila Torquati+1.0
2211-11NW STUALRKillLily Kingset Skyler Perez+0.9
2312-11UALRNW STServe errLittle Rock+1.1
2412-12NW STUALRKillLovina Teelset Lily King+1.0
2512-13UALRUALRKillLovina Teelset Avery Fearnley+1.3
2613-13UALRNW STKillAna Gjorgjievskaset Anna Claire Hebert+1.0
2713-14NW STUALR×3KillMorgan Creerset Lily King+1.0
2813-15UALRUALR×3BlockedJulia Whitfieldblk Lovina Teel+1.2
2913-16UALRUALR×3Attack errJulia Whitfield+1.0
3014-16UALRNW STServe errLittle Rock+0.7
3114-17NW STUALR×5Serve errNorthwestern St.+0.8
3214-18UALRUALR×5Bad setCamila Torquati+0.8
3314-19UALRUALR×5AceLittle Rockaced Gillian Wolf+0.5
3414-20UALRUALR×5AceLittle Rockaced Gillian Wolf+0.3
3514-21UALRUALR×5AceLittle Rockaced Emmarie McFarland+0.2
3615-21UALRNW STServe errLittle Rock+0.1
3715-22NW STUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+0.1
3816-22UALRNW STBlockedAvery Fearnleyblk Olivia Nzioki, Camila Torquati·
3917-22NW STNW STKillGillian Wolfset Emmarie McFarland+0.1
4017-23NW STUALRKillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+0.2
4117-24UALRUALRAttack errGillian Wolf+0.1
4218-24UALRNW STServe errLittle Rock·
4318-25NW STUALRKillPolianna Hernandezset Lily King·
Set 3
10-1UALRUALR×5Attack errKenadii Winfrey+0.4
20-2UALRUALR×5KillLorena Keseljset Lily King+0.3
30-3UALRUALR×5Attack errKenadii Winfrey+0.3
40-4UALRUALR×5KillAvery Fearnley+0.3
50-5UALRUALR×5KillPolianna Hernandezset Lily King+0.2
61-5UALRNW STKillAnna Claire Hebertset Julia Whitfield+0.2
71-6NW STUALRServe errNorthwestern St.+0.2
81-7UALRUALRBlockedKenadii Winfreyblk Lorena Keselj+0.2
92-7UALRNW STAttack errLovina Teel+0.1
102-8NW STUALR×3KillAvery Fearnleyset Lily King+0.1
112-9UALRUALR×3AceLittle Rockaced Ana Gjorgjievska+0.1
122-10UALRUALR×3KillPolianna Hernandezset Lily King+0.1
133-10UALRNW STServe errLittle Rock+0.1
144-10NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Lovina Teel+0.1
154-11NW STUALRServe errNorthwestern St.+0.1
165-11UALRNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Camila Torquati+0.1
175-12NW STUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+0.1
185-13UALRUALRKillAlyssa Boyteset Alayna Vaeth+0.1
196-13UALRNW ST×4Serve errLittle Rock+0.1
207-13NW STNW ST×4KillGillian Wolfset Camila Torquati+0.1
218-13NW STNW ST×4AceNorthwestern St.+0.1
229-13NW STNW ST×4KillKenadii Winfreyset Camila Torquati+0.2
239-14NW STUALRKillBella Cherryset Alayna Vaeth+0.2
2410-14UALRNW STBlockedAvery Fearnleyblk Kenadii Winfrey, Camila Torquati+0.2
2510-15NW STUALR×3KillBella Cherryset Skyler Perez+0.2
2610-16UALRUALR×3Attack errKenadii Winfrey+0.2
2710-17UALRUALR×3Attack errJulia Whitfield+0.1
2811-17UALRNW STKillGillian Wolfset Anna Claire Hebert+0.1
2911-18NW STUALR×8KillPolianna Hernandezset Lily King+0.1
3011-19UALRUALR×8KillLorena Keseljset Lily King+0.1
3111-20UALRUALR×8KillPolianna Hernandezset Lily King·
3211-21UALRUALR×8Attack errAna Gjorgjievska·
3311-22UALRUALR×8KillLovina Teelset Lily King·
3411-23UALRUALR×8BlockedKenadii Winfreyblk Lovina Teel, Lorena Keselj·
3511-24UALRUALR×8KillLovina Teelset Lily King·
3611-25UALRUALR×8Attack errAna Gjorgjievska·

Score shown after each rally, Northwestern St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).