FinalTue, Sep 15, 2026

AwaySUN-BELT

0:3

HomeSOUTHLAND

Northwestern St. def. Louisiana Tech 3–0

(25-22, 25-20, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LATECH	22	20	23	0
NW ST	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

NW ST above 50 · LATECH below

Biggest swing: 10.5% to Northwestern St. — set 3, LATECH 23-25 NW ST. Kill by Olivia Nzioki (set by Jade Longlad). NW ST win probability 90% → 100%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LATECH 68.4%31.6% NW ST

Louisiana Tech wins

3-0

22.1%

3-1

26.2%

3-2

20.0%

Northwestern St. wins

3-0

6.2%

3-1

11.2%

3-2

14.3%

LATECH break %: 43.8% vs this opp
NW ST break %: 40.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Olivia NziokiKill+10.5%
Kill by Olivia Nzioki (set by Jade Longlad)
Set 3 · LATECH 23-25 NW ST · NW ST 90% → 100%
02
Olivia NziokiKill+9.6%
Kill by Olivia Nzioki (set by Valerie Brown)
Set 3 · LATECH 23-24 NW ST · NW ST 80% → 90%
03
Tyra McKinnieAttack error+5.2%
Tyra McKinnie stuffed by Kenadii Winfrey
Set 3 · LATECH 21-21 NW ST · NW ST 75% → 80%
04
Taylor WoodsKill+5.1%
Kill by Taylor Woods (set by Sydnee Carter)
Set 3 · LATECH 23-22 NW ST · LATECH 20% → 25%
05
Olivia NziokiKill+5.0%
Kill by Olivia Nzioki (set by Jade Longlad)
Set 3 · LATECH 23-23 NW ST · NW ST 75% → 80%
06
Taylor WoodsKill+4.3%
Kill by Taylor Woods (set by Megan Cooley)
Set 3 · LATECH 22-21 NW ST · LATECH 20% → 24%
07
LATECH serverService error+4.3%
Louisiana Tech service error
Set 3 · LATECH 22-22 NW ST · NW ST 76% → 80%
08
Gabrielle HairstonAttack error+4.1%
Attack error by Gabrielle Hairston
Set 2 · LATECH 11-13 NW ST · NW ST 57% → 61%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Louisiana Techaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
20Megan CooleyOH	3	9	5	30	.133	2	4	3	13	1	1	0.5	13.5
3Tyra McKinnieMB	3	5	6	19	-.053	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	6
13Violet MorrandezMB	3	4	2	14	.143	0	0	1	2	0	4	2	6
2Kylie RodriguezOH	3	4	4	17	.000	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	5
1Sydnee CarterS	3	1	0	1	1.000	15	1	1	4	0	0	0	2
12Abbi SellsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	0
10Gabrielle HairstonOH	3	8	3	21	.238	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	8
24Taylor WoodsOH	3	6	2	20	.200	0	0	0	3	2	2	1	7
4Riley SteubingL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	14	1	0	0	1
0Emerson TraylorS	3	0	0	3	.000	17	0	1	5	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	22	125	.120	36	7	11	53	4	9	4.5	65

Northwestern St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
4Kenadii WinfreyMB	3	8	4	17	.235	0	2	1	4	0	3	2	4	14
22Olivia NziokiMB	3	10	3	21	.333	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	12
17Elsie SanchezOH	3	5	3	29	.069	1	1	1	3	3	0	2	1	7
5Gillian Grace WolfOH	3	6	4	23	.087	0	0	0	10	1	0	0	0	6
11Jade LongladS	3	2	0	4	.500	24	0	0	16	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
16Anna Claire HebertS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	2	2	1	0	0	0	1
6Amber CraigOH	3	7	2	19	.263	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
2Emmarie McFarlandL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	12	0	0	0	0	0
7Harper CauleyL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	0
12Valerie BrownL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	16	116	.190	32	4	5	56	7	4	8	8	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 LATECH · NW ST 9

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 2 LATECHNW ST 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 5 LATECHNW ST 9

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 5 LATECHNW ST 6

Bars above the line = Northwestern St. leads, below = Louisiana Tech leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Louisiana Tech

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	0%0/6
2	70%7/10	42%5/12
3	70%7/10	22%2/9
4	60%6/10	65%13/20
5	22%5/23	50%6/12
6	71%5/7	29%2/7
All	50%37/74	42%28/66

Northwestern St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	54%7/13
2	70%7/10	13%1/8
3	44%7/16	46%6/13
4	55%6/11	33%3/9
5	46%6/13	65%11/17
6	100%5/5	64%9/14
All	58%38/66	50%37/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

140 rallies

Rally log

#	LATECH-NW ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Megan Cooley	set Sydnee Carter	+1.6
2	1-1	LATECH	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Grace Wolf	set Jade Longlad	+1.6
3	2-1	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Tyra McKinnie	set Sydnee Carter	+1.6
4	3-1	LATECH	LATECH	Kill	Megan Cooley	set Emerson Traylor	+2.1
5	3-2	LATECH	NW ST×3	Serve err	LATECH server		+1.5
6	3-3	NW ST	NW ST×3	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad	+2.3
7	3-4	NW ST	NW ST×3	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Anna Claire Hebert	+2.5
8	4-4	NW ST	LATECH	Attack err	Gillian Grace Wolf		+1.7
9	4-5	LATECH	NW ST	Serve err	LATECH server		+1.9
10	5-5	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Gabrielle Hairston	set Tyra McKinnie	+1.8
11	6-5	LATECH	LATECH	Attack err	Amber Craig	blk Violet Morrandez, Taylor Woods	+2.5
12	6-6	LATECH	NW ST×5	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad	+1.8
13	6-7	NW ST	NW ST×5	Kill	Gillian Grace Wolf		+2.7
14	6-8	NW ST	NW ST×5	Attack err	Gabrielle Hairston		+2.8
15	6-9	NW ST	NW ST×5	Ace	NW ST server	aced Taylor Woods	+2.8
16	6-10	NW ST	NW ST×5	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey		+2.7
17	7-10	NW ST	LATECH	Serve err	NW ST server		+1.6
18	8-10	LATECH	LATECH	Attack err	Gillian Grace Wolf	blk Violet Morrandez, Kylie Rodriguez	+2.6
19	8-11	LATECH	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig	set Jade Longlad	+2.2
20	8-12	NW ST	NW ST	Ace	NW ST server	aced Taylor Woods	+2.8
21	9-12	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Sydnee Carter	set Megan Cooley	+1.7
22	9-13	LATECH	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Grace Wolf	set Jade Longlad	+2.1
23	10-13	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Megan Cooley	set Sydnee Carter	+1.7
24	10-14	LATECH	NW ST	Serve err	LATECH server		+2.1
25	11-14	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Tyra McKinnie	set Sydnee Carter	+1.7
26	12-14	LATECH	LATECH	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki		+2.8
27	12-15	LATECH	NW ST	Kill	Jade Longlad	set Elsie Sanchez	+2.5
28	13-15	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Gabrielle Hairston	set Emerson Traylor	+2.1
29	13-16	LATECH	NW ST	Attack err	Tyra McKinnie		+2.6
30	13-17	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig	set Jade Longlad	+3.1
31	14-17	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Gabrielle Hairston	set Emerson Traylor	+1.7
32	14-18	LATECH	NW ST	Serve err	LATECH server		+2.3
33	15-18	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Gabrielle Hairston	set Emerson Traylor	+1.7
34	16-18	LATECH	LATECH	Ace	LATECH server	aced Gillian Grace Wolf	+3.1
35	16-19	LATECH	NW ST	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad	+2.9
36	17-19	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Taylor Woods	set Riley Steubing	+2.2
37	17-20	LATECH	NW ST×3	Serve err	LATECH server		+3.0
38	17-21	NW ST	NW ST×3	Attack err	Kylie Rodriguez		+3.3
39	17-22	NW ST	NW ST×3	Attack err	Megan Cooley		+2.2
40	18-22	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Kylie Rodriguez	set Sydnee Carter	+0.8
41	19-22	LATECH	LATECH	Kill	Megan Cooley	set Sydnee Carter	+1.8
42	19-23	LATECH	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+2.3
43	20-23	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Kylie Rodriguez	set Sydnee Carter	+1.0
44	20-24	LATECH	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+2.1
45	21-24	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Megan Cooley	set Emerson Traylor	+0.6
46	22-24	LATECH	LATECH	Ace	LATECH server	aced Elsie Sanchez	+1.9
47	22-25	LATECH	NW ST	Attack err	Tyra McKinnie	blk Kenadii Winfrey	+3.4
Set 2
1	0-1	LATECH	NW ST	Serve err	LATECH server		+2.1
2	1-1	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Megan Cooley	set Sydnee Carter	+2.0
3	1-2	LATECH	NW ST	Attack err	Kylie Rodriguez	blk Elsie Sanchez, Olivia Nzioki	+2.2
4	1-3	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Megan Cooley		+3.1
5	2-3	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Tyra McKinnie	set Sydnee Carter	+2.1
6	2-4	LATECH	NW ST	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad	+2.3
7	3-4	NW ST	LATECH×5	Kill	Tyra McKinnie	set Emerson Traylor	+2.1
8	4-4	LATECH	LATECH×5	Kill	Gabrielle Hairston	set Emerson Traylor	+3.0
9	5-4	LATECH	LATECH×5	Ace	LATECH server	aced Elsie Sanchez	+3.0
10	6-4	LATECH	LATECH×5	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez		+2.8
11	7-4	LATECH	LATECH×5	Kill	Gabrielle Hairston	set Emerson Traylor	+2.6
12	7-5	LATECH	NW ST	Serve err	LATECH server		+1.8
13	8-5	NW ST	LATECH×4	Attack err	Amber Craig	blk Tyra McKinnie, Taylor Woods	+1.9
14	9-5	LATECH	LATECH×4	Kill	Violet Morrandez	set Sydnee Carter	+2.3
15	10-5	LATECH	LATECH×4	Ace	LATECH server	aced Team	+2.0
16	11-5	LATECH	LATECH×4	Attack err	Kenadii Winfrey		+1.6
17	11-6	LATECH	NW ST×9	Kill	Amber Craig	set Jade Longlad	+0.9
18	11-7	NW ST	NW ST×9	Attack err	Gabrielle Hairston		+1.7
19	11-8	NW ST	NW ST×9	Kill	Amber Craig	set Valerie Brown	+2.1
20	11-9	NW ST	NW ST×9	Kill	Amber Craig	set Jade Longlad	+2.7
21	11-10	NW ST	NW ST×9	Ace	NW ST server	aced Megan Cooley	+3.2
22	11-11	NW ST	NW ST×9	Kill	Gillian Grace Wolf	set Valerie Brown	+3.6
23	11-12	NW ST	NW ST×9	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+4.0
24	11-13	NW ST	NW ST×9	Attack err	Gabrielle Hairston		+4.1
25	11-14	NW ST	NW ST×9	Attack err	Violet Morrandez	blk Olivia Nzioki	+4.0
26	12-14	NW ST	LATECH	Serve err	NW ST server		+2.5
27	12-15	LATECH	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+3.1
28	12-16	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+3.8
29	13-16	NW ST	LATECH	Serve err	NW ST server		+2.1
30	13-17	LATECH	NW ST	Kill	Jade Longlad	set Valerie Brown	+2.8
31	13-18	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Kylie Rodriguez	blk Elsie Sanchez, Olivia Nzioki	+3.2
32	14-18	NW ST	LATECH	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez		+1.6
33	15-18	LATECH	LATECH	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki		+3.0
34	15-19	LATECH	NW ST×3	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad	+3.0
35	15-20	NW ST	NW ST×3	Attack err	Kylie Rodriguez		+3.1
36	15-21	NW ST	NW ST×3	Attack err	Tyra McKinnie		+2.0
37	16-21	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Tyra McKinnie	set Sydnee Carter	+0.7
38	16-22	LATECH	NW ST	Attack err	Megan Cooley	blk Kenadii Winfrey, Jade Longlad	+1.3
39	17-22	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Megan Cooley	set Emerson Traylor	+0.5
40	17-23	LATECH	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Emmarie McFarland	+1.0
41	17-24	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Gillian Grace Wolf	set Valerie Brown	+0.5
42	18-24	NW ST	LATECH×3	Attack err	Gillian Grace Wolf		+0.1
43	19-24	LATECH	LATECH×3	Kill	Violet Morrandez	set Emerson Traylor	+0.2
44	20-24	LATECH	LATECH×3	Attack err	Kenadii Winfrey		+0.4
45	20-25	LATECH	NW ST	Attack err	Taylor Woods	blk Kenadii Winfrey, Amber Craig	+0.8
Set 3
1	0-1	NW ST	NW ST	Ace	NW ST server	aced Riley Steubing	+2.3
2	1-1	NW ST	LATECH	Serve err	NW ST server		+1.6
3	1-2	LATECH	NW ST	Serve err	LATECH server		+1.7
4	2-2	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Megan Cooley	set Sydnee Carter	+1.7
5	2-3	LATECH	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+1.8
6	2-4	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Megan Cooley	blk Kenadii Winfrey	+2.5
7	3-4	NW ST	LATECH×5	Kill	Kylie Rodriguez	set Emerson Traylor	+1.7
8	4-4	LATECH	LATECH×5	Attack err	Elsie Sanchez	blk Kylie Rodriguez, Violet Morrandez	+2.4
9	5-4	LATECH	LATECH×5	Kill	Taylor Woods	set Emerson Traylor	+2.4
10	6-4	LATECH	LATECH×5	Kill	Violet Morrandez	set Emmarie McFarland	+2.3
11	7-4	LATECH	LATECH×5	Attack err	Kenadii Winfrey		+2.1
12	7-5	LATECH	NW ST	Serve err	LATECH server		+1.4
13	7-6	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Violet Morrandez		+2.3
14	8-6	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Taylor Woods	set Emerson Traylor	+1.7
15	8-7	LATECH	NW ST×6	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad	+1.7
16	8-8	NW ST	NW ST×6	Kill	Gillian Grace Wolf	set Jade Longlad	+2.6
17	8-9	NW ST	NW ST×6	Kill	Amber Craig	set Emmarie McFarland	+2.9
18	8-10	NW ST	NW ST×6	Attack err	Taylor Woods		+3.0
19	8-11	NW ST	NW ST×6	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey		+3.0
20	8-12	NW ST	NW ST×6	Attack err	Tyra McKinnie		+2.8
21	9-12	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Taylor Woods	set Emerson Traylor	+1.7
22	9-13	LATECH	NW ST	Kill	Amber Craig	set Jade Longlad	+2.1
23	10-13	NW ST	LATECH	Attack err	Gillian Grace Wolf		+1.7
24	10-14	LATECH	NW ST	Attack err	Megan Cooley		+2.1
25	10-15	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Tyra McKinnie		+2.6
26	11-15	NW ST	LATECH×4	Kill	Gabrielle Hairston	set Sydnee Carter	+1.4
27	12-15	LATECH	LATECH×4	Attack err	Olivia Nzioki	blk Violet Morrandez, Megan Cooley	+2.4
28	13-15	LATECH	LATECH×4	Kill	Gabrielle Hairston	set Sydnee Carter	+2.9
29	14-15	LATECH	LATECH×4	Ace	LATECH server	aced Anna Claire Hebert	+3.3
30	14-16	LATECH	NW ST	Serve err	LATECH server		+2.8
31	15-16	NW ST	LATECH	Serve err	NW ST server		+2.4
32	15-17	LATECH	NW ST	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+2.9
33	16-17	NW ST	LATECH×5	Kill	Megan Cooley	set Emerson Traylor	+2.5
34	17-17	LATECH	LATECH×5	Attack err	Kenadii Winfrey		+3.9
35	18-17	LATECH	LATECH×5	Ace	LATECH server	aced Elsie Sanchez	+4.1
36	19-17	LATECH	LATECH×5	Ace	LATECH server	aced Harper Cauley	+3.8
37	20-17	LATECH	LATECH×5	Kill	Violet Morrandez	set Emerson Traylor	+3.2
38	20-18	LATECH	NW ST	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad	+1.8
39	20-19	NW ST	NW ST	Kill	Elsie Sanchez	set Jade Longlad	+3.6
40	21-19	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Kylie Rodriguez	set Emerson Traylor	+3.2
41	21-20	LATECH	NW ST	Kill	Kenadii Winfrey	set Jade Longlad	+2.7
42	21-21	NW ST	NW ST	Attack err	Tyra McKinnie	blk Kenadii Winfrey	+5.2
43	22-21	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Taylor Woods	set Megan Cooley	+4.3
44	22-22	LATECH	NW ST	Serve err	LATECH server		+4.3
45	23-22	NW ST	LATECH	Kill	Taylor Woods	set Sydnee Carter	+5.1
46	23-23	LATECH	NW ST×3	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+5.0
47	23-24	NW ST	NW ST×3	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Valerie Brown	+9.6
48	23-25	NW ST	NW ST×3	Kill	Olivia Nzioki	set Jade Longlad	+10.5

Score shown after each rally, Louisiana Tech first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.