Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026 · Neutral site

Northwestern St. def. Murray St. 3–1

Northwestern St. beat Murray St. 3-1 (25-17, 22-25, 25-19, 25-16) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026 at a neutral site. Northwestern St.'s Elsie Sanchez led with 13 kills, and Emmarie McFarland added 20 digs.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set1234Sets
NW ST252225253
MURRAY172519161

Win probability

Murray St. above 50 · Northwestern St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.9% NW STrally 174 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.9% to Northwestern St. — set 3, NW ST 21-18 MURRAY. Attack error by Anne Makowski. MURRAY win probability 45% → 40%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NW ST 38.9%61.1% MURRAY

Northwestern St. wins

3-0
8.4%
3-1
14.1%
3-2
16.4%

Murray St. wins

3-0
17.8%
3-1
23.4%
3-2
20.0%
NW ST break %
40.6% vs this opp
MURRAY break %
42.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Anne MakowskiAttack error+5.9%

    Attack error by Anne Makowski

    Set 3 · NW ST 21-18 MURRAY · NW ST 55% → 60%

  2. 02
    Maezi SnyderBad set+5.5%

    Bad set by Maezi Snyder

    Set 3 · NW ST 17-15 MURRAY · NW ST 47% → 52%

  3. 03

    Kill by Elizabeth Muguruza (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 3 · NW ST 16-15 MURRAY · NW ST 41% → 47%

  4. 04

    Gillian Grace Wolf stuffed by Kathryn Titus & Lily Burnett

    Set 2 · NW ST 21-23 MURRAY · MURRAY 47% → 52%

  5. 05
    Elsie SanchezKill+4.8%

    Kill by Elsie Sanchez (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 3 · NW ST 20-18 MURRAY · NW ST 50% → 55%

  6. 06

    Mija Sagadin Pristovnik stuffed by Amber Craig & Julia Whitfield

    Set 3 · NW ST 14-14 MURRAY · NW ST 36% → 41%

  7. 07
    Lily BurnettKill+4.7%

    Kill by Lily Burnett (set by Kathryn Titus)

    Set 2 · NW ST 21-24 MURRAY · MURRAY 52% → 57%

  8. 08
    Elsie SanchezKill+4.5%

    Kill by Elsie Sanchez (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 3 · NW ST 19-17 MURRAY · NW ST 49% → 54%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413534.23510030031.514.5
46316.18801100174.511.5
4204.500391050052.55.5
4001.000411600001
26316.188000100006
25213.231000000216
410229.2760004004212
4607.857000000428
4000–5332000003
4001.0000001110000
35318.11100120010.55.5
3000–011510001
1001.000000100000
Team totals5318140.25049775821261497
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413333.3030014002114
48833.00011120010.59.5
48823.000002930008
45214.21400020031.56.5
4214.25039011600213
2107.143000000001
413532.2500115002115
4000–6001700000
4000–101430000
1000–100000000
Team totals5027146.1584827597010577

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 NW ST · MURRAY 4

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 4 NW STMURRAY 2

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 NW STMURRAY 4

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 5 NW STMURRAY 3

Set 4

25-16

Longest run 3 NW STMURRAY 2

Bars above the line = Murray St. leads, below = Northwestern St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northwestern St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%12/19
41%7/17
2
77%10/13
42%8/19
3
64%9/14
55%11/20
4
80%8/10
47%7/15
5
80%8/10
38%5/13
6
67%8/12
33%4/12
All
71%55/78
44%42/96

Murray St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
38%6/16
2
52%11/21
31%5/16
3
44%8/18
9%1/11
4
80%8/10
47%7/15
5
53%8/15
0%0/8
6
53%8/15
33%4/12
All
56%54/96
29%23/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

174 rallies

#NW ST-MURRAYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MURRAYMURRAYKillAlexa Wattsset Ada Tamturk+2.4
21-1MURRAYNW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+1.7
32-1NW STNW STBlockedAnne Makowskiblk Olivia Nzioki, Elsie Sanchez+2.5
42-2NW STMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Kathryn Titus+1.8
53-2MURRAYNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.9
64-2NW STNW STBlockedMija Sagadin Pristovnikblk Jade Longlad, Kenadii Winfrey+2.6
74-3NW STMURRAYServe errNorthwestern St.+1.8
85-3MURRAYNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Emmarie McFarland+1.9
96-3NW STNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+2.7
106-4NW STMURRAYAttack errElsie Sanchez+1.7
117-4MURRAYNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+2.0
127-5NW STMURRAYBlockedGillian Grace Wolfblk Kathryn Titus, Maezi Snyder+1.8
138-5MURRAYNW ST×3Attack errMaezi Snyder+2.0
149-5NW STNW ST×3Bad setMija Sagadin Pristovnik+2.6
1510-5NW STNW ST×3Attack errAnne Makowski+2.4
1610-6NW STMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Melis Aydin+1.4
1711-6MURRAYNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.7
1811-7NW STMURRAYServe errNorthwestern St.+1.4
1912-7MURRAYNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.7
2012-8NW STMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Kathryn Titus+1.4
2113-8MURRAYNW ST×4KillElsie Sanchezset Emmarie McFarland+1.8
2214-8NW STNW ST×4AceNorthwestern St.aced Samantha Nelson+2.0
2315-8NW STNW ST×4AceNorthwestern St.aced Samantha Nelson+1.5
2416-8NW STNW ST×4KillElsie Sanchezset Anna Claire Hebert+1.1
2516-9NW STMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Kathryn Titus+0.5
2617-9MURRAYNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+0.7
2717-10NW STMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Kathryn Titus+0.4
2817-11MURRAYMURRAYKillCeren Durakset Kathryn Titus+0.9
2918-11MURRAYNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.0
3018-12NW STMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Kathryn Titus+0.6
3119-12MURRAYNW STServe errMurray St.+0.9
3219-13NW STMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Kathryn Titus+0.5
3319-14MURRAYMURRAYBlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Anne Makowski, Lily Burnett+1.1
3420-14MURRAYNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.2
3521-14NW STNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.0
3621-15NW STMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Kathryn Titus+0.3
3722-15MURRAYNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Anna Claire Hebert+0.6
3823-15NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Mija Sagadin Pristovnik+0.3
3923-16NW STMURRAYServe errNorthwestern St.+0.1
4024-16MURRAYNW STKillJulia Whitfieldset Anna Claire Hebert+0.1
4124-17NW STMURRAYKillCeren Durakset Ada Tamturk·
4225-17MURRAYNW STKillJulia Whitfieldset Anna Claire Hebert·
Set 2
11-0NW STNW STAttack errLily Burnett+2.8
21-1NW STMURRAY×3Attack errOlivia Nzioki+2.0
31-2MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errGillian Grace Wolf+2.8
41-3MURRAYMURRAY×3KillLily Burnettset Kathryn Titus+2.7
52-3MURRAYNW STServe errMurray St.+1.9
63-3NW STNW STBlockedAnne Makowskiblk Olivia Nzioki, Elsie Sanchez+2.8
73-4NW STMURRAYKillCeren Durakset Kathryn Titus+2.1
84-4MURRAYNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.1
95-4NW STNW ST×3Attack errLily Burnett+3.1
106-4NW STNW ST×3AceNorthwestern St.aced Samantha Nelson+3.2
116-5NW STMURRAY×4KillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Kathryn Titus+2.1
126-6MURRAYMURRAY×4Attack errElsie Sanchez+3.1
136-7MURRAYMURRAY×4BlockedElsie Sanchezblk Maezi Snyder, Ceren Durak+3.1
146-8MURRAYMURRAY×4Attack errKenadii Winfrey+3.0
157-8MURRAYNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.1
168-8NW STNW ST×3AceNorthwestern St.+3.2
179-8NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+3.4
189-9NW STMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Kathryn Titus+2.4
1910-9MURRAYNW STAttack errMija Sagadin Pristovnik+2.6
2011-9NW STNW STKillGillian Grace Wolf+3.6
2111-10NW STMURRAY×3KillMaezi Snyderset Kathryn Titus+2.4
2211-11MURRAYMURRAY×3KillCeren Durakset Kathryn Titus+3.6
2311-12MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errAmber Craig+3.7
2412-12MURRAYNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+2.6
2512-13NW STMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Kathryn Titus+2.7
2612-14MURRAYMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Kathryn Titus+3.7
2713-14MURRAYNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+2.5
2814-14NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Mija Sagadin Pristovnik+4.0
2914-15NW STMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Kathryn Titus+3.0
3015-15MURRAYNW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+3.0
3115-16NW STMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Kathryn Titus+3.1
3215-17MURRAYMURRAYAceMurray St.aced Harper Cauley+4.2
3316-17MURRAYNW STServe errMurray St.+2.8
3416-18NW STMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Kathryn Titus+3.2
3516-19MURRAYMURRAYAttack errElsie Sanchez+3.9
3617-19MURRAYNW STBlockedMija Sagadin Pristovnikblk Jade Longlad, Kenadii Winfrey+2.2
3717-20NW STMURRAYKillCeren Durakset Kathryn Titus+2.9
3818-20MURRAYNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+2.2
3919-20NW STNW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+4.4
4019-21NW STMURRAYKillKathryn Titusset Samantha Nelson+3.9
4120-21MURRAYNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+3.3
4220-22NW STMURRAYKillCeren Durakset Ada Tamturk+4.3
4321-22MURRAYNW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+3.4
4421-23NW STMURRAYBlockedGillian Grace Wolfblk Kathryn Titus, Lily Burnett+4.8
4521-24MURRAYMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Kathryn Titus+4.7
4622-24MURRAYNW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+1.3
4722-25NW STMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Kathryn Titus+3.0
Set 3
10-1MURRAYMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Emmarie McFarland+3.2
21-1MURRAYNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+2.3
31-2NW STMURRAYAttack errAmber Craig+2.3
42-2MURRAYNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+2.4
52-3NW STMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Kathryn Titus+2.4
63-3MURRAYNW ST×3KillElizabeth Muguruzaset Emmarie McFarland+2.4
74-3NW STNW ST×3BlockedMija Sagadin Pristovnikblk Julia Whitfield, Jade Longlad+3.6
85-3NW STNW ST×3KillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+3.7
95-4NW STMURRAYKillCeren Durakset Kathryn Titus+2.5
105-5MURRAYMURRAYAceMurray St.aced Valerie Brown+3.6
116-5MURRAYNW STServe errMurray St.+2.7
126-6NW STMURRAYServe errNorthwestern St.+2.6
137-6MURRAYNW STKillJulia Whitfieldset Jade Longlad+2.8
147-7NW STMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Kathryn Titus+2.7
157-8MURRAYMURRAYAttack errKenadii Winfrey+3.8
168-8MURRAYNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.8
178-9NW STMURRAY×3KillLily Burnettset Kathryn Titus+2.8
188-10MURRAYMURRAY×3KillAnne Makowskiset Kathryn Titus+3.8
198-11MURRAYMURRAY×3KillAnne Makowskiset Ada Tamturk+3.5
209-11MURRAYNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.3
2110-11NW STNW ST×3KillAmber Craigset Emmarie McFarland+3.8
2211-11NW STNW ST×3Attack errAnne Makowski+4.2
2311-12NW STMURRAY×3KillLily Burnettset Kathryn Titus+3.1
2411-13MURRAYMURRAY×3KillCeren Durakset Kathryn Titus+4.2
2511-14MURRAYMURRAY×3Attack errElizabeth Muguruza+3.9
2612-14MURRAYNW ST×3BlockedLily Burnettblk Kenadii Winfrey, Amber Craig+2.5
2713-14NW STNW ST×3BlockedCeren Durakblk Elizabeth Muguruza, Julia Whitfield+4.1
2814-14NW STNW ST×3BlockedMija Sagadin Pristovnikblk Amber Craig, Julia Whitfield+4.8
2914-15NW STMURRAYKillCeren Durakset Kathryn Titus+3.5
3015-15MURRAYNW ST×3KillAmber Craigset Emmarie McFarland+3.6
3116-15NW STNW ST×3KillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+5.5
3217-15NW STNW ST×3Bad setMaezi Snyder+5.5
3317-16NW STMURRAYAttack errElizabeth Muguruza+3.5
3418-16MURRAYNW STBad setKathryn Titus+4.2
3518-17NW STMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Kathryn Titus+3.7
3619-17MURRAYNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+4.5
3719-18NW STMURRAYServe errNorthwestern St.+3.9
3820-18MURRAYNW ST×5KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+4.8
3921-18NW STNW ST×5Attack errAnne Makowski+5.9
4022-18NW STNW ST×5BlockedKathryn Titusblk Elsie Sanchez, Kenadii Winfrey+4.4
4123-18NW STNW ST×5Attack errCeren Durak+2.5
4224-18NW STNW ST×5KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.0
4324-19NW STMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Kathryn Titus+0.1
4425-19MURRAYNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+0.3
Set 4
10-1NW STMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Kathryn Titus+2.6
21-1MURRAYNW ST×3KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+2.6
32-1NW STNW ST×3BlockedAnne Makowskiblk Kenadii Winfrey, Amber Craig+3.8
43-1NW STNW ST×3Attack errAnne Makowski+3.9
53-2NW STMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Anne Makowski+2.6
64-2MURRAYNW STServe errMurray St.+2.9
75-2NW STNW STKillJulia Whitfieldset Jade Longlad+4.0
85-3NW STMURRAYKillCeren Durakset Kathryn Titus+2.6
96-3MURRAYNW STServe errMurray St.+2.9
106-4NW STMURRAYKillCeren Durakset Kathryn Titus+2.6
117-4MURRAYNW STAttack errCeren Durak+3.0
128-4NW STNW STKillJulia Whitfieldset Jade Longlad+3.9
138-5NW STMURRAYKillMija Sagadin Pristovnikset Kathryn Titus+2.4
149-5MURRAYNW STServe errMurray St.+2.9
159-6NW STMURRAYKillAnne Makowskiset Ada Tamturk+2.4
1610-6MURRAYNW STKillJade Longladset Elsie Sanchez+2.9
1710-7NW STMURRAYKillCeren Durakset Kathryn Titus+2.5
1811-7MURRAYNW STBlockedAnne Makowskiblk Kenadii Winfrey, Amber Craig+3.0
1911-8NW STMURRAYAttack errKenadii Winfrey+2.5
2012-8MURRAYNW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+3.0
2113-8NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Mija Sagadin Pristovnik+3.7
2213-9NW STMURRAYServe errNorthwestern St.+2.1
2313-10MURRAYMURRAYBlockedElizabeth Muguruzablk Ceren Durak, Maezi Snyder+3.6
2414-10MURRAYNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+3.2
2514-11NW STMURRAYKillCeren Durakset Kathryn Titus+2.6
2615-11MURRAYNW ST×3KillJulia Whitfieldset Jade Longlad+3.2
2716-11NW STNW ST×3Attack errCeren Durak+3.8
2817-11NW STNW ST×3BlockedMija Sagadin Pristovnikblk Julia Whitfield, Jade Longlad+2.9
2917-12NW STMURRAYKillMaezi Snyderset Kathryn Titus+1.4
3018-12MURRAYNW ST×3Attack errCeren Durak+2.0
3119-12NW STNW ST×3KillJade Longladset Anna Claire Hebert+1.9
3220-12NW STNW ST×3BlockedMaezi Snyderblk Jade Longlad, Kenadii Winfrey+1.1
3320-13NW STMURRAYServe errNorthwestern St.+0.4
3420-14MURRAYMURRAYAttack errElsie Sanchez+0.9
3521-14MURRAYNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+1.0
3621-15NW STMURRAYKillKathryn Titusset Kathryn Titus+0.5
3722-15MURRAYNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+0.9
3823-15NW STNW STBlockedMija Sagadin Pristovnikblk Kenadii Winfrey+0.5
3923-16NW STMURRAYKillLily Burnettset Kathryn Titus+0.1
4024-16MURRAYNW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+0.2
4125-16NW STNW STAttack errMija Sagadin Pristovnik·

Score shown after each rally, Northwestern St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).