Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Northwestern St. def. Houston Christian 3–1

Northwestern St. won at Houston Christian 3-1 (24-26, 25-22, 25-23, 25-17) on Thu, Sep 24, 2026. Elsie Sanchez led Northwestern St. with 13 kills; Houston Christian's Katy Barger had a match-high 14.

Data through · final Sep 24

Set1234Sets
NW ST242525253
HOUCHR262223171

Win probability

Houston Christian above 50 · Northwestern St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+14.4% NW STrally 187 · set 4

Biggest swing: 14.4% to Northwestern St. — set 3, NW ST 25-23 HOUCHR. Bad set by Enisilina Savelio. HOUCHR win probability 51% → 37%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NW ST 30.2%69.8% HOUCHR

Northwestern St. wins

3-0
5.8%
3-1
10.6%
3-2
13.8%

Houston Christian wins

3-0
23.1%
3-1
26.8%
3-2
19.9%
NW ST break %
40.9% vs this opp
HOUCHR break %
44.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Enisilina SavelioBad set+14.4%

    Bad set by Enisilina Savelio

    Set 3 · NW ST 25-23 HOUCHR · NW ST 49% → 63%

  2. 02

    Joya Euhus stuffed by Olivia Nzioki & Elsie Sanchez

    Set 3 · NW ST 24-23 HOUCHR · NW ST 36% → 49%

  3. 03
    Elsie SanchezKill+9.3%

    Kill by Elsie Sanchez (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 3 · NW ST 23-23 HOUCHR · NW ST 26% → 36%

  4. 04
    Amber CraigBad set+8.7%

    Bad set by Amber Craig

    Set 1 · NW ST 24-25 HOUCHR · HOUCHR 67% → 75%

  5. 05
    Joya EuhusKill+7.9%

    Kill by Joya Euhus (set by Enisilina Savelio)

    Set 1 · NW ST 24-26 HOUCHR · HOUCHR 75% → 83%

  6. 06

    Kill by Kenadii Winfrey (set by Jade Longlad)

    Set 1 · NW ST 23-22 HOUCHR · NW ST 31% → 39%

  7. 07
    Houston ChristianService error+7.1%

    Houston Christian service error

    Set 1 · NW ST 24-23 HOUCHR · NW ST 33% → 41%

  8. 08

    Kill by Malaya Balina-Ayers (set by Enisilina Savelio)

    Set 1 · NW ST 24-24 HOUCHR · HOUCHR 59% → 67%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410118.5000000018515
413745.13301240010.514.5
49125.32000010031.510.5
47119.31612220031.510.5
42114.0713621500637
34316.06300001010.54.5
4003.000023810002
4000–010300001
4004.0001012710000
4001.000002400000
2103.333000100001
1000–000000000
Team totals4614148.216388115531221299
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413941.0980002000013
49726.0770001002110
49521.190000000009
44210.20000200132.56.5
42118.0564511800003
4001.0000021400000
414741.17100000010.514.5
4002.0000102300001
4000–014930001
4001.000001930000
Team totals5131161.1244531066816488

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Northwestern St. vs Houston Christian

Season series · Northwestern St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 NW ST · HOUCHR 9

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 3 NW STHOUCHR 9

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 6 NW STHOUCHR 4

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 NW STHOUCHR 4

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 5 NW STHOUCHR 2

Bars above the line = Houston Christian leads, below = Northwestern St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northwestern St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
33%5/15
2
71%10/14
44%8/18
3
75%9/12
25%3/12
4
73%8/11
65%15/23
5
50%8/16
43%6/14
6
44%8/18
50%8/16
All
61%54/89
46%45/98

Houston Christian

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%10/20
44%7/16
2
77%10/13
17%2/12
3
47%9/19
33%5/15
4
42%8/19
31%4/13
5
57%8/14
33%4/12
6
62%8/13
62%13/21
All
54%53/98
39%35/89

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

187 rallies

#NW ST-HOUCHRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1HOUCHRHOUCHRAttack errElsie Sanchez+2.1
21-1HOUCHRNW ST×3Serve errHouston Christian+1.6
32-1NW STNW ST×3AceNorthwestern St.+2.3
43-1NW STNW ST×3Attack errJoya Euhus+2.4
53-2NW STHOUCHRServe errNorthwestern St.+1.7
63-3HOUCHRHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+2.3
74-3HOUCHRNW STBlockedJoya Euhusblk Kenadii Winfrey, Gillian Grace Wolf+1.8
84-4NW STHOUCHRKillAllana Archieset Enisilina Savelio+1.7
95-4HOUCHRNW STServe errHouston Christian+1.9
106-4NW STNW STAttack errAllana Archie+2.6
116-5NW STHOUCHRServe errNorthwestern St.+1.8
126-6HOUCHRHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+2.5
137-6HOUCHRNW ST×3Attack errKaty Barger+2.0
148-6NW STNW ST×3AceNorthwestern St.aced Emma Wild+2.7
159-6NW STNW ST×3AceNorthwestern St.aced Ekin Aslanmirza+2.7
169-7NW STHOUCHRServe errNorthwestern St.+1.8
1710-7HOUCHRNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.1
1810-8NW STHOUCHR×9Bad setHarper Cauley+1.9
1910-9HOUCHRHOUCHR×9KillMalaya Balina-Ayersset Enisilina Savelio+2.7
2010-10HOUCHRHOUCHR×9BlockedElsie Sanchezblk Malaya Balina-Ayers, Joya Euhus+2.8
2110-11HOUCHRHOUCHR×9Bad setElsie Sanchez+2.8
2210-12HOUCHRHOUCHR×9Bad setElsie Sanchez+2.6
2310-13HOUCHRHOUCHR×9BlockedKenadii Winfreyblk Malaya Balina-Ayers, Katy Barger+2.3
2410-14HOUCHRHOUCHR×9Bad setEmmarie McFarland+2.0
2510-15HOUCHRHOUCHR×9BlockedElsie Sanchezblk Malaya Balina-Ayers+1.6
2610-16HOUCHRHOUCHR×9Attack errElsie Sanchez+1.2
2711-16HOUCHRNW STKillJade Longladset Kenadii Winfrey+0.7
2811-17NW STHOUCHRServe errNorthwestern St.+0.9
2912-17HOUCHRNW STAttack errSa'Myah Medford+0.6
3013-17NW STNW STAttack errSa'Myah Medford+1.2
3113-18NW STHOUCHRServe errNorthwestern St.+1.2
3214-18HOUCHRNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+0.9
3314-19NW STHOUCHRServe errNorthwestern St.+1.2
3415-19HOUCHRNW ST×3KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+0.8
3516-19NW STNW ST×3Attack errAllana Archie+1.7
3617-19NW STNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.4
3717-20NW STHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+2.3
3818-20HOUCHRNW ST×3KillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+1.8
3919-20NW STNW ST×3BlockedEnisilina Savelioblk Jade Longlad, Olivia Nzioki+3.5
4020-20NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Anna Claire Hebert+4.6
4120-21NW STHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+3.8
4220-22HOUCHRHOUCHRAceHouston Christianaced Emmarie McFarland+4.7
4321-22HOUCHRNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.9
4422-22NW STNW ST×3BlockedKaty Bargerblk Jade Longlad, Olivia Nzioki+5.7
4523-22NW STNW ST×3KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+7.4
4623-23NW STHOUCHRKillMalaya Balina-Ayersset Enisilina Savelio+5.2
4724-23HOUCHRNW STServe errHouston Christian+7.1
4824-24NW STHOUCHR×3KillMalaya Balina-Ayersset Enisilina Savelio+7.1
4924-25HOUCHRHOUCHR×3Bad setAmber Craig+8.7
5024-26HOUCHRHOUCHR×3KillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+7.9
Set 2
10-1NW STHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+1.3
21-1HOUCHRNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Emmarie McFarland+1.3
31-2NW STHOUCHRServe errNorthwestern St.+1.3
41-3HOUCHRHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+1.7
52-3HOUCHRNW STKillJade Longlad+1.3
62-4NW STHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+1.3
73-4HOUCHRNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+1.3
84-4NW STNW ST×3Attack errKaty Barger+1.9
95-4NW STNW ST×3Attack errAllana Archie+2.0
105-5NW STHOUCHRKillAllana Archieset Enisilina Savelio+1.5
116-5HOUCHRNW STAttack errKaty Barger+1.6
127-5NW STNW STBlockedKaty Bargerblk Kenadii Winfrey, Amber Craig+2.2
137-6NW STHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+1.5
148-6HOUCHRNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.7
158-7NW STHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+1.6
168-8HOUCHRHOUCHRKillEnisilina Savelioset Emmarie McFarland+2.2
179-8HOUCHRNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+1.7
1810-8NW STNW STBlockedSa'Myah Medfordblk Jade Longlad, Olivia Nzioki+2.4
1910-9NW STHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+1.7
2010-10HOUCHRHOUCHRKillAllana Archieset Enisilina Savelio+2.3
2111-10HOUCHRNW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+1.9
2211-11NW STHOUCHRKillAllana Archieset Enisilina Savelio+1.8
2312-11HOUCHRNW STServe errHouston Christian+1.9
2412-12NW STHOUCHRKillAllana Archieset Enisilina Savelio+1.8
2512-13HOUCHRHOUCHRAttack errElsie Sanchez+2.5
2613-13HOUCHRNW ST×6KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+1.9
2714-13NW STNW ST×6AceNorthwestern St.aced Ekin Aslanmirza+2.8
2815-13NW STNW ST×6KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+2.9
2916-13NW STNW ST×6Bad setBianca Byerly+2.8
3017-13NW STNW ST×6Attack errAllana Archie+2.6
3118-13NW STNW ST×6KillElsie Sanchezset Emmarie McFarland+2.1
3218-14NW STHOUCHRKillAllana Archieset Enisilina Savelio+1.1
3319-14HOUCHRNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+1.6
3419-15NW STHOUCHR×4KillMalaya Balina-Ayersset Enisilina Savelio+1.0
3519-16HOUCHRHOUCHR×4AceHouston Christianaced Gillian Grace Wolf+1.9
3619-17HOUCHRHOUCHR×4Attack errGillian Grace Wolf+2.5
3719-18HOUCHRHOUCHR×4KillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+3.1
3820-18HOUCHRNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+2.9
3920-19NW STHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+2.4
4021-19HOUCHRNW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Emmarie McFarland+3.2
4121-20NW STHOUCHRBad setValerie Brown+2.6
4222-20HOUCHRNW STAttack errSa'Myah Medford+3.5
4323-20NW STNW STAttack errJoya Euhus+3.9
4423-21NW STHOUCHRBad setElsie Sanchez+1.6
4524-21HOUCHRNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+3.1
4624-22NW STHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+1.2
4725-22HOUCHRNW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+2.9
Set 3
10-1HOUCHRHOUCHR×3BlockedGillian Grace Wolfblk Joya Euhus, Malaya Balina-Ayers+2.9
20-2HOUCHRHOUCHR×3KillSa'Myah Medfordset Joya Euhus+2.8
30-3HOUCHRHOUCHR×3KillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+2.6
41-3HOUCHRNW STKillGillian Grace Wolfset Jade Longlad+1.9
51-4NW STHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+1.9
62-4HOUCHRNW STAttack errJoya Euhus+1.9
72-5NW STHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+2.0
82-6HOUCHRHOUCHRBad setKenadii Winfrey+2.4
93-6HOUCHRNW ST×4BlockedSa'Myah Medfordblk Kenadii Winfrey, Jade Longlad+1.7
104-6NW STNW ST×4AceNorthwestern St.+2.6
115-6NW STNW ST×4KillElsie Sanchezset Enisilina Savelio+3.0
126-6NW STNW ST×4Attack errAllana Archie+3.4
136-7NW STHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+2.5
146-8HOUCHRHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+3.2
157-8HOUCHRNW STServe errHouston Christian+2.4
167-9NW STHOUCHRBad setJade Longlad+2.5
178-9HOUCHRNW ST×3KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+2.5
189-9NW STNW ST×3AceNorthwestern St.aced Emma Wild+3.7
1910-9NW STNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+4.0
2010-10NW STHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+2.9
2110-11HOUCHRHOUCHRAttack errGillian Grace Wolf+3.9
2211-11HOUCHRNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+3.0
2311-12NW STHOUCHRAttack errJade Longlad+3.0
2412-12HOUCHRNW STAttack errSa'Myah Medford+3.1
2512-13NW STHOUCHRServe errNorthwestern St.+3.1
2613-13HOUCHRNW STServe errHouston Christian+3.2
2714-13NW STNW STAttack errJoya Euhus+4.7
2814-14NW STHOUCHRAttack errElsie Sanchez+3.4
2914-15HOUCHRHOUCHRAttack errElsie Sanchez+4.6
3015-15HOUCHRNW ST×3KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+3.5
3116-15NW STNW ST×3Attack errSa'Myah Medford+5.2
3217-15NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+5.4
3317-16NW STHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+3.6
3417-17HOUCHRHOUCHRKillEnisilina Savelioset Jade Longlad+5.3
3518-17HOUCHRNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Kenadii Winfrey+4.4
3618-18NW STHOUCHR×4KillAllana Archieset Bianca Byerly+4.2
3718-19HOUCHRHOUCHR×4KillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+5.9
3818-20HOUCHRHOUCHR×4KillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+5.5
3918-21HOUCHRHOUCHR×4KillKaty Bargerset Bianca Byerly+4.5
4019-21HOUCHRNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+2.6
4119-22NW STHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+3.5
4220-22HOUCHRNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.4
4321-22NW STNW STBlockedMalaya Balina-Ayersblk Olivia Nzioki+5.3
4421-23NW STHOUCHRServe errNorthwestern St.+5.5
4522-23HOUCHRNW ST×4KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+4.1
4623-23NW STNW ST×4KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+9.3
4724-23NW STNW ST×4BlockedJoya Euhusblk Olivia Nzioki, Elsie Sanchez+13.1
4825-23NW STNW ST×4Bad setEnisilina Savelio+14.4
Set 4
10-1NW STHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+2.7
21-1HOUCHRNW STServe errHouston Christian+2.8
31-2NW STHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+2.7
42-2HOUCHRNW ST×3BlockedSa'Myah Medfordblk Jade Longlad, Olivia Nzioki+2.9
53-2NW STNW ST×3KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+4.1
64-2NW STNW ST×3Bad setKatelyn Vo+4.2
74-3NW STHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+3.0
85-3HOUCHRNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+3.3
95-4NW STHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+3.0
106-4HOUCHRNW STAttack errMalaya Balina-Ayers+3.4
117-4NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Ekin Aslanmirza+4.5
127-5NW STHOUCHRAttack errAmber Craig+3.0
137-6HOUCHRHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+4.3
148-6HOUCHRNW ST×5KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad+3.6
159-6NW STNW ST×5AceNorthwestern St.aced Emma Wild+4.7
1610-6NW STNW ST×5BlockedKaty Bargerblk Olivia Nzioki, Amber Craig+4.6
1711-6NW STNW ST×5KillOlivia Nzioki+4.2
1812-6NW STNW ST×5BlockedKaty Bargerblk Olivia Nzioki, Amber Craig+3.7
1912-7NW STHOUCHRServe errNorthwestern St.+2.1
2013-7HOUCHRNW STServe errHouston Christian+2.8
2113-8NW STHOUCHRAttack errOlivia Nzioki+2.1
2214-8HOUCHRNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+2.8
2315-8NW STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.9
2415-9NW STHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+1.5
2515-10HOUCHRHOUCHRAceHouston Christianaced Harper Cauley+2.6
2616-10HOUCHRNW STServe errHouston Christian+2.7
2716-11NW STHOUCHRServe errNorthwestern St.+1.9
2817-11HOUCHRNW STBad setKaty Barger+2.7
2917-12NW STHOUCHRKillAllana Archieset Enisilina Savelio+1.8
3018-12HOUCHRNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad+2.6
3118-13NW STHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+1.6
3219-13HOUCHRNW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad+2.5
3319-14NW STHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+1.5
3420-14HOUCHRNW ST×4Attack errJoya Euhus+2.4
3521-14NW STNW ST×4KillOlivia Nzioki+1.9
3622-14NW STNW ST×4KillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad+1.0
3723-14NW STNW ST×4BlockedSa'Myah Medfordblk Olivia Nzioki, Jade Longlad+0.4
3823-15NW STHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+0.1
3924-15HOUCHRNW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad+0.1
4024-16NW STHOUCHRKillAllana Archieset Enisilina Savelio·
4124-17HOUCHRHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+0.1
4225-17HOUCHRNW STServe errHouston Christian+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Northwestern St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).