Northwestern St. def. Houston Christian 3–1
Northwestern St. won at Houston Christian 3-1 (24-26, 25-22, 25-23, 25-17) on Thu, Sep 24, 2026. Elsie Sanchez led Northwestern St. with 13 kills; Houston Christian's Katy Barger had a match-high 14.
Data through · final Sep 24
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NW ST | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| HOUCHR | 26 | 22 | 23 | 17 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 14.4% to Northwestern St. — set 3, NW ST 25-23 HOUCHR. Bad set by Enisilina Savelio. HOUCHR win probability 51% → 37%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Northwestern St. wins
Houston Christian wins
- NW ST break %
- 40.9% vs this opp
- HOUCHR break %
- 44.8% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Enisilina SavelioBad set+14.4%
Bad set by Enisilina Savelio
Set 3 · NW ST 25-23 HOUCHR · NW ST 49% → 63%
- 02Olivia Nzioki&Elsie SanchezBlock+13.1%
Joya Euhus stuffed by Olivia Nzioki & Elsie Sanchez
Set 3 · NW ST 24-23 HOUCHR · NW ST 36% → 49%
- 03Elsie SanchezKill+9.3%
Kill by Elsie Sanchez (set by Jade Longlad)
Set 3 · NW ST 23-23 HOUCHR · NW ST 26% → 36%
- 04
- 05Joya EuhusKill+7.9%
Kill by Joya Euhus (set by Enisilina Savelio)
Set 1 · NW ST 24-26 HOUCHR · HOUCHR 75% → 83%
- 06Kenadii WinfreyKill+7.4%
Kill by Kenadii Winfrey (set by Jade Longlad)
Set 1 · NW ST 23-22 HOUCHR · NW ST 31% → 39%
- 07Houston ChristianService error+7.1%
Houston Christian service error
Set 1 · NW ST 24-23 HOUCHR · NW ST 33% → 41%
- 08Malaya Balina-AyersKill+7.1%
Kill by Malaya Balina-Ayers (set by Enisilina Savelio)
Set 1 · NW ST 24-24 HOUCHR · HOUCHR 59% → 67%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 10 | 1 | 18 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 45 | .133 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 1 | 25 | .320 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 1 | 19 | .316 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | .071 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | .063 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 46 | 14 | 148 | .216 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 55 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 99 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 13 | 9 | 41 | .098 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 4 | 9 | 7 | 26 | .077 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 21 | .190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 6.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | .056 | 45 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 14 | 7 | 41 | .171 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 51 | 31 | 161 | .124 | 45 | 3 | 10 | 66 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 88 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Northwestern St. vs Houston Christian
Season series · Northwestern St. leads 2-0
- Thu, Sep 24, 2026Northwestern St. at Houston Christian · Northwestern St. won 3-1This match
- Thu, Oct 29, 2026Houston Christian at Northwestern St. · Northwestern St. won 3-2Result →
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
24-26
Set 2
25-22
Set 3
25-23
Set 4
25-17
Bars above the line = Houston Christian leads, below = Northwestern St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Northwestern St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 61%11/18 | 33%5/15 |
| 2 | 71%10/14 | 44%8/18 |
| 3 | 75%9/12 | 25%3/12 |
| 4 | 73%8/11 | 65%15/23 |
| 5 | 50%8/16 | 43%6/14 |
| 6 | 44%8/18 | 50%8/16 |
| All | 61%54/89 | 46%45/98 |
Houston Christian
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%10/20 | 44%7/16 |
| 2 | 77%10/13 | 17%2/12 |
| 3 | 47%9/19 | 33%5/15 |
| 4 | 42%8/19 | 31%4/13 |
| 5 | 57%8/14 | 33%4/12 |
| 6 | 62%8/13 | 62%13/21 |
| All | 54%53/98 | 39%35/89 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
187 rallies
| # | NW ST-HOUCHR | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | +2.1 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | HOUCHR | NW ST×3 | Serve err | Houston Christian | +1.6 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Ace | Northwestern St. | +2.3 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Joya Euhus | +2.4 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +1.7 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR | Kill | Sa'Myah Medford | set Enisilina Savelio | +2.3 |
| 7 | 4-3 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Blocked | Joya Euhus | blk Kenadii Winfrey, Gillian Grace Wolf | +1.8 |
| 8 | 4-4 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Allana Archie | set Enisilina Savelio | +1.7 |
| 9 | 5-4 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Serve err | Houston Christian | +1.9 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Allana Archie | +2.6 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +1.8 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR | Kill | Katy Barger | set Enisilina Savelio | +2.5 |
| 13 | 7-6 | HOUCHR | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Katy Barger | +2.0 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Ace | Northwestern St. | aced Emma Wild | +2.7 |
| 15 | 9-6 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Ace | Northwestern St. | aced Ekin Aslanmirza | +2.7 |
| 16 | 9-7 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +1.8 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +2.1 |
| 18 | 10-8 | NW ST | HOUCHR×9 | Bad set | Harper Cauley | +1.9 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×9 | Kill | Malaya Balina-Ayers | set Enisilina Savelio | +2.7 |
| 20 | 10-10 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×9 | Blocked | Elsie Sanchez | blk Malaya Balina-Ayers, Joya Euhus | +2.8 |
| 21 | 10-11 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×9 | Bad set | Elsie Sanchez | +2.8 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×9 | Bad set | Elsie Sanchez | +2.6 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×9 | Blocked | Kenadii Winfrey | blk Malaya Balina-Ayers, Katy Barger | +2.3 |
| 24 | 10-14 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×9 | Bad set | Emmarie McFarland | +2.0 | |
| 25 | 10-15 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×9 | Blocked | Elsie Sanchez | blk Malaya Balina-Ayers | +1.6 |
| 26 | 10-16 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×9 | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | +1.2 | |
| 27 | 11-16 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Jade Longlad | set Kenadii Winfrey | +0.7 |
| 28 | 11-17 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +0.9 | |
| 29 | 12-17 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Attack err | Sa'Myah Medford | +0.6 | |
| 30 | 13-17 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Sa'Myah Medford | +1.2 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +1.2 | |
| 32 | 14-18 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +0.9 |
| 33 | 14-19 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +1.2 | |
| 34 | 15-19 | HOUCHR | NW ST×3 | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +0.8 |
| 35 | 16-19 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Allana Archie | +1.7 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +2.4 |
| 37 | 17-20 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Sa'Myah Medford | set Enisilina Savelio | +2.3 |
| 38 | 18-20 | HOUCHR | NW ST×3 | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +1.8 |
| 39 | 19-20 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Blocked | Enisilina Savelio | blk Jade Longlad, Olivia Nzioki | +3.5 |
| 40 | 20-20 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Anna Claire Hebert | +4.6 |
| 41 | 20-21 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Katy Barger | set Enisilina Savelio | +3.8 |
| 42 | 20-22 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR | Ace | Houston Christian | aced Emmarie McFarland | +4.7 |
| 43 | 21-22 | HOUCHR | NW ST×3 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +2.9 |
| 44 | 22-22 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Blocked | Katy Barger | blk Jade Longlad, Olivia Nzioki | +5.7 |
| 45 | 23-22 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +7.4 |
| 46 | 23-23 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Malaya Balina-Ayers | set Enisilina Savelio | +5.2 |
| 47 | 24-23 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Serve err | Houston Christian | +7.1 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | NW ST | HOUCHR×3 | Kill | Malaya Balina-Ayers | set Enisilina Savelio | +7.1 |
| 49 | 24-25 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×3 | Bad set | Amber Craig | +8.7 | |
| 50 | 24-26 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×3 | Kill | Joya Euhus | set Enisilina Savelio | +7.9 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Sa'Myah Medford | set Enisilina Savelio | +1.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Emmarie McFarland | +1.3 |
| 3 | 1-2 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +1.3 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR | Kill | Sa'Myah Medford | set Enisilina Savelio | +1.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Jade Longlad | +1.3 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Sa'Myah Medford | set Enisilina Savelio | +1.3 |
| 7 | 3-4 | HOUCHR | NW ST×3 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +1.3 |
| 8 | 4-4 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Katy Barger | +1.9 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Allana Archie | +2.0 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Allana Archie | set Enisilina Savelio | +1.5 |
| 11 | 6-5 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Attack err | Katy Barger | +1.6 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | NW ST | NW ST | Blocked | Katy Barger | blk Kenadii Winfrey, Amber Craig | +2.2 |
| 13 | 7-6 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Katy Barger | set Enisilina Savelio | +1.5 |
| 14 | 8-6 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +1.7 |
| 15 | 8-7 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Joya Euhus | set Enisilina Savelio | +1.6 |
| 16 | 8-8 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR | Kill | Enisilina Savelio | set Emmarie McFarland | +2.2 |
| 17 | 9-8 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +1.7 |
| 18 | 10-8 | NW ST | NW ST | Blocked | Sa'Myah Medford | blk Jade Longlad, Olivia Nzioki | +2.4 |
| 19 | 10-9 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Joya Euhus | set Enisilina Savelio | +1.7 |
| 20 | 10-10 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR | Kill | Allana Archie | set Enisilina Savelio | +2.3 |
| 21 | 11-10 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +1.9 |
| 22 | 11-11 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Allana Archie | set Enisilina Savelio | +1.8 |
| 23 | 12-11 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Serve err | Houston Christian | +1.9 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Allana Archie | set Enisilina Savelio | +1.8 |
| 25 | 12-13 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | +2.5 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | HOUCHR | NW ST×6 | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +1.9 |
| 27 | 14-13 | NW ST | NW ST×6 | Ace | Northwestern St. | aced Ekin Aslanmirza | +2.8 |
| 28 | 15-13 | NW ST | NW ST×6 | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +2.9 |
| 29 | 16-13 | NW ST | NW ST×6 | Bad set | Bianca Byerly | +2.8 | |
| 30 | 17-13 | NW ST | NW ST×6 | Attack err | Allana Archie | +2.6 | |
| 31 | 18-13 | NW ST | NW ST×6 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Emmarie McFarland | +2.1 |
| 32 | 18-14 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Allana Archie | set Enisilina Savelio | +1.1 |
| 33 | 19-14 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +1.6 |
| 34 | 19-15 | NW ST | HOUCHR×4 | Kill | Malaya Balina-Ayers | set Enisilina Savelio | +1.0 |
| 35 | 19-16 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×4 | Ace | Houston Christian | aced Gillian Grace Wolf | +1.9 |
| 36 | 19-17 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×4 | Attack err | Gillian Grace Wolf | +2.5 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×4 | Kill | Katy Barger | set Enisilina Savelio | +3.1 |
| 38 | 20-18 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +2.9 |
| 39 | 20-19 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Joya Euhus | set Enisilina Savelio | +2.4 |
| 40 | 21-19 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Emmarie McFarland | +3.2 |
| 41 | 21-20 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Bad set | Valerie Brown | +2.6 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Attack err | Sa'Myah Medford | +3.5 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Joya Euhus | +3.9 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Bad set | Elsie Sanchez | +1.6 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +3.1 |
| 46 | 24-22 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Sa'Myah Medford | set Enisilina Savelio | +1.2 |
| 47 | 25-22 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +2.9 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×3 | Blocked | Gillian Grace Wolf | blk Joya Euhus, Malaya Balina-Ayers | +2.9 |
| 2 | 0-2 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×3 | Kill | Sa'Myah Medford | set Joya Euhus | +2.8 |
| 3 | 0-3 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×3 | Kill | Joya Euhus | set Enisilina Savelio | +2.6 |
| 4 | 1-3 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Gillian Grace Wolf | set Jade Longlad | +1.9 |
| 5 | 1-4 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Sa'Myah Medford | set Enisilina Savelio | +1.9 |
| 6 | 2-4 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Attack err | Joya Euhus | +1.9 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Joya Euhus | set Enisilina Savelio | +2.0 |
| 8 | 2-6 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR | Bad set | Kenadii Winfrey | +2.4 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | HOUCHR | NW ST×4 | Blocked | Sa'Myah Medford | blk Kenadii Winfrey, Jade Longlad | +1.7 |
| 10 | 4-6 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Ace | Northwestern St. | +2.6 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Enisilina Savelio | +3.0 |
| 12 | 6-6 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Attack err | Allana Archie | +3.4 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Sa'Myah Medford | set Enisilina Savelio | +2.5 |
| 14 | 6-8 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR | Kill | Katy Barger | set Enisilina Savelio | +3.2 |
| 15 | 7-8 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Serve err | Houston Christian | +2.4 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Bad set | Jade Longlad | +2.5 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | HOUCHR | NW ST×3 | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +2.5 |
| 18 | 9-9 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Ace | Northwestern St. | aced Emma Wild | +3.7 |
| 19 | 10-9 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +4.0 |
| 20 | 10-10 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Katy Barger | set Enisilina Savelio | +2.9 |
| 21 | 10-11 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR | Attack err | Gillian Grace Wolf | +3.9 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +3.0 |
| 23 | 11-12 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Attack err | Jade Longlad | +3.0 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Attack err | Sa'Myah Medford | +3.1 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +3.1 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Serve err | Houston Christian | +3.2 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | NW ST | NW ST | Attack err | Joya Euhus | +4.7 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | +3.4 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR | Attack err | Elsie Sanchez | +4.6 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | HOUCHR | NW ST×3 | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +3.5 |
| 31 | 16-15 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Attack err | Sa'Myah Medford | +5.2 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +5.4 |
| 33 | 17-16 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Sa'Myah Medford | set Enisilina Savelio | +3.6 |
| 34 | 17-17 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR | Kill | Enisilina Savelio | set Jade Longlad | +5.3 |
| 35 | 18-17 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Kenadii Winfrey | +4.4 |
| 36 | 18-18 | NW ST | HOUCHR×4 | Kill | Allana Archie | set Bianca Byerly | +4.2 |
| 37 | 18-19 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×4 | Kill | Katy Barger | set Enisilina Savelio | +5.9 |
| 38 | 18-20 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×4 | Kill | Katy Barger | set Enisilina Savelio | +5.5 |
| 39 | 18-21 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR×4 | Kill | Katy Barger | set Bianca Byerly | +4.5 |
| 40 | 19-21 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +2.6 |
| 41 | 19-22 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Katy Barger | set Enisilina Savelio | +3.5 |
| 42 | 20-22 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +2.4 |
| 43 | 21-22 | NW ST | NW ST | Blocked | Malaya Balina-Ayers | blk Olivia Nzioki | +5.3 |
| 44 | 21-23 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +5.5 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | HOUCHR | NW ST×4 | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +4.1 |
| 46 | 23-23 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +9.3 |
| 47 | 24-23 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Blocked | Joya Euhus | blk Olivia Nzioki, Elsie Sanchez | +13.1 |
| 48 | 25-23 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Bad set | Enisilina Savelio | +14.4 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Sa'Myah Medford | set Enisilina Savelio | +2.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Serve err | Houston Christian | +2.8 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Joya Euhus | set Enisilina Savelio | +2.7 |
| 4 | 2-2 | HOUCHR | NW ST×3 | Blocked | Sa'Myah Medford | blk Jade Longlad, Olivia Nzioki | +2.9 |
| 5 | 3-2 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +4.1 |
| 6 | 4-2 | NW ST | NW ST×3 | Bad set | Katelyn Vo | +4.2 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Sa'Myah Medford | set Enisilina Savelio | +3.0 |
| 8 | 5-3 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +3.3 |
| 9 | 5-4 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Katy Barger | set Enisilina Savelio | +3.0 |
| 10 | 6-4 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Attack err | Malaya Balina-Ayers | +3.4 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | NW ST | NW ST | Ace | Northwestern St. | aced Ekin Aslanmirza | +4.5 |
| 12 | 7-5 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Attack err | Amber Craig | +3.0 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR | Kill | Katy Barger | set Enisilina Savelio | +4.3 |
| 14 | 8-6 | HOUCHR | NW ST×5 | Kill | Kenadii Winfrey | set Jade Longlad | +3.6 |
| 15 | 9-6 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Ace | Northwestern St. | aced Emma Wild | +4.7 |
| 16 | 10-6 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Blocked | Katy Barger | blk Olivia Nzioki, Amber Craig | +4.6 |
| 17 | 11-6 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | +4.2 | |
| 18 | 12-6 | NW ST | NW ST×5 | Blocked | Katy Barger | blk Olivia Nzioki, Amber Craig | +3.7 |
| 19 | 12-7 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +2.1 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Serve err | Houston Christian | +2.8 | |
| 21 | 13-8 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Attack err | Olivia Nzioki | +2.1 | |
| 22 | 14-8 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +2.8 |
| 23 | 15-8 | NW ST | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +2.9 |
| 24 | 15-9 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Joya Euhus | set Enisilina Savelio | +1.5 |
| 25 | 15-10 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR | Ace | Houston Christian | aced Harper Cauley | +2.6 |
| 26 | 16-10 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Serve err | Houston Christian | +2.7 | |
| 27 | 16-11 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Serve err | Northwestern St. | +1.9 | |
| 28 | 17-11 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Bad set | Katy Barger | +2.7 | |
| 29 | 17-12 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Allana Archie | set Enisilina Savelio | +1.8 |
| 30 | 18-12 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Elsie Sanchez | set Jade Longlad | +2.6 |
| 31 | 18-13 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Katy Barger | set Enisilina Savelio | +1.6 |
| 32 | 19-13 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Amber Craig | set Jade Longlad | +2.5 |
| 33 | 19-14 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Katy Barger | set Enisilina Savelio | +1.5 |
| 34 | 20-14 | HOUCHR | NW ST×4 | Attack err | Joya Euhus | +2.4 | |
| 35 | 21-14 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | +1.9 | |
| 36 | 22-14 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Kill | Elizabeth Muguruza | set Jade Longlad | +1.0 |
| 37 | 23-14 | NW ST | NW ST×4 | Blocked | Sa'Myah Medford | blk Olivia Nzioki, Jade Longlad | +0.4 |
| 38 | 23-15 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Joya Euhus | set Enisilina Savelio | +0.1 |
| 39 | 24-15 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Kill | Olivia Nzioki | set Jade Longlad | +0.1 |
| 40 | 24-16 | NW ST | HOUCHR | Kill | Allana Archie | set Enisilina Savelio | · |
| 41 | 24-17 | HOUCHR | HOUCHR | Kill | Sa'Myah Medford | set Enisilina Savelio | +0.1 |
| 42 | 25-17 | HOUCHR | NW ST | Serve err | Houston Christian | +0.1 | |
Score shown after each rally, Northwestern St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).