San Francisco vs Seattle U: San Francisco Wins 3-0 (Oct 1)

FinalThu, Oct 1, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: San Francisco 91.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 1, 7:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

San Francisco won at Seattle U 3-0 (25-21, 25-18, 25-20) on Thu, Oct 1, 2026. Petra Fritz and Andjela Sojic led San Francisco with 7 kills each; Seattle U's Chloee Leslie had a match-high 14.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 1

Set	1	2	3	Sets
S FRAN	25	25	25	3
SEATTL	21	18	20	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Emma Neukirchen served 6 aces in a San Francisco rout.

Win probability never moved more than 1.7 points on one rally; Seattle U topped out at 15% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave San Francisco 91% before first serve.

San FranciscoSeattle U

Break %+13.5 pts
47.934.4
35 of 73 on serve vs 21 of 61, so Seattle U's sideout was 52.1%.
Hitting+.175
.313.138
Kills and errors: 36–11 vs 34–21.
Longest run+1
54
5 straight San Francisco points in the first set turned an 11–13 deficit into a 16–13 lead. That set ended 25–21.

Seattle U above 50San Francisco belowMax swing 1.7%

San FranciscoSeattle U

Aces: San Francisco 9·Seattle U 4
Serve err: San Francisco 7·Seattle U 8
Blocks: San Francisco 6·Seattle U 61 BS · 10 BA vs 1 BS · 10 BA
Digs: San Francisco 30·Seattle U 30

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Seattle U above 50 · San Francisco below

Biggest swing: 1.7% to Seattle U — set 1, S FRAN 7-10 SEATTL. Kill by Adee Butler (set by Grace Jones). SEATTL win probability 13% → 14%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

S FRAN 78.8%21.2% SEATTL

San Francisco wins

3-0

30.4%

3-1

29.9%

3-2

18.6%

Seattle U wins

3-0

3.5%

3-1

7.1%

3-2

10.6%

S FRAN break %: 47.2% vs this opp
SEATTL break %: 41.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Adee ButlerKill+1.7%
Kill by Adee Butler (set by Grace Jones)
Set 1 · S FRAN 7-10 SEATTL · SEATTL 13% → 14%
02
San FranciscoAce+1.6%
San Francisco ace
Set 1 · S FRAN 13-13 SEATTL · S FRAN 88% → 89%
03
Adee ButlerAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Adee Butler
Set 1 · S FRAN 11-12 SEATTL · S FRAN 86% → 88%
04
Katariina KorhonenAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Katariina Korhonen
Set 1 · S FRAN 7-9 SEATTL · SEATTL 11% → 13%
05
San FranciscoAce+1.5%
San Francisco ace on Elaina Duong
Set 1 · S FRAN 14-13 SEATTL · S FRAN 89% → 91%
06
Teagan MeltonKill+1.5%
Kill by Teagan Melton (set by Grace Jones)
Set 1 · S FRAN 11-13 SEATTL · SEATTL 12% → 14%
07
Hailey McEllrathKill+1.5%
Kill by Hailey McEllrath (set by Grace Jones)
Set 1 · S FRAN 9-12 SEATTL · SEATTL 13% → 15%
08
Adee ButlerKill+1.4%
Kill by Adee Butler (set by Grace Jones)
Set 1 · S FRAN 8-11 SEATTL · SEATTL 13% → 15%

Box score

Official NCAA box

San Franciscoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Emma NeukirchenMB	3	6	0	8	.750	0	6	0	0	0	0	4	2	14
21Petra FritzOH	3	7	3	23	.174	1	0	3	2	0	1	0	1	8
12Katariina KorhonenOH	3	6	5	16	.063	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	0	6
16Maeve BaileyMB	3	5	0	9	.556	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
13Jordan SmartS	3	0	0	1	.000	16	1	0	6	0	0	0	0	1
19Hokulani PerezMB	2	3	0	6	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
17Andjela SojicMB	3	7	3	14	.286	0	0	0	4	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
4Adelynn LegatesS	3	0	0	0	–	11	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
18Laura AmaroL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	1	1	8	1	0	0	0	1
11True TakemotoDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0
1Talula LenoirOH	2	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
Team totals		36	11	80	.313	33	9	7	30	4	1	10	6	75

Seattle Uhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Chloee LeslieOH	3	14	10	39	.103	1	1	2	6	1	1	4	3	18
5Adee ButlerOH	3	7	2	16	.313	0	1	4	3	2	0	1	0.5	8.5
7Hailey McEllrathMB	3	4	0	5	.800	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
6Teagan MeltonOH	3	4	5	18	-.056	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4
10Grace JonesS	3	1	1	2	.000	23	2	1	6	0	0	0	0	3
18Taniyah PruittMB	3	0	1	5	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
2Elaina DuongL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0
12Janae DemantL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	8	1	0	0	0	0
3Clara GarciaL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
4Lexi JonesMB	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Orinayo OlukanmiOH	1	3	0	3	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
14Linnaea MooreOH	1	1	2	6	-.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
1Bella JonesS	1	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	21	94	.138	32	4	8	30	9	1	10	6	59

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

San Francisco vs Seattle U

Season series · San Francisco leads 1-0

Thu, Oct 1, 2026San Francisco at Seattle U · San Francisco won 3-0This match
Sat, Nov 7, 2026Seattle U at San FranciscoPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 S FRAN · SEATTL 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 5 S FRANSEATTL 4

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 4 S FRANSEATTL 4

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 S FRANSEATTL 3

Bars above the line = Seattle U leads, below = San Francisco leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

San Francisco

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	40%4/10
2	89%8/9	43%6/14
3	75%6/8	68%13/19
4	60%6/10	45%5/11
5	60%6/10	33%3/9
6	60%6/10	40%4/10
All	66%40/61	48%35/73

Seattle U

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%8/15	33%4/12
2	33%6/18	27%3/11
3	55%6/11	33%3/9
4	60%6/10	40%4/10
5	50%6/12	33%3/9
6	86%6/7	40%4/10
All	52%38/73	34%21/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

134 rallies

#	S FRAN-SEATTL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	SEATTL	SEATTL	Blocked	Katariina Korhonen	blk Hailey McEllrath, Adee Butler	+1.1
2	1-1	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+0.8
3	2-1	S FRAN	S FRAN	Blocked	Teagan Melton	blk Emma Neukirchen, Hokulani Perez	+0.9
4	2-2	S FRAN	SEATTL	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+0.8
5	3-2	SEATTL	S FRAN×3	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+0.7
6	4-2	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Teagan Melton		+0.9
7	5-2	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Blocked	Teagan Melton	blk Petra Fritz	+0.7
8	5-3	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.6
9	6-3	SEATTL	S FRAN	Attack err	Teagan Melton		+0.6
10	6-4	S FRAN	SEATTL×3	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.6
11	6-5	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Blocked	Petra Fritz	blk Taniyah Pruitt, Chloee Leslie	+0.9
12	6-6	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+1.1
13	7-6	SEATTL	S FRAN	Serve err	Seattle U		+0.8
14	7-7	S FRAN	SEATTL×4	Attack err	Andjela Sojic		+0.9
15	7-8	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Ace	Seattle U		+1.4
16	7-9	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen		+1.6
17	7-10	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Kill	Adee Butler	set Grace Jones	+1.7
18	8-10	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Adelynn Legates	+1.1
19	8-11	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Grace Jones	+1.4
20	9-11	SEATTL	S FRAN	Attack err	Grace Jones		+1.2
21	9-12	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Grace Jones	+1.5
22	10-12	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+1.2
23	11-12	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Adee Butler		+1.6
24	11-13	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+1.5
25	12-13	SEATTL	S FRAN×5	Kill	Hokulani Perez	set Jordan Smart	+1.3
26	13-13	S FRAN	S FRAN×5	Ace	San Francisco		+1.6
27	14-13	S FRAN	S FRAN×5	Ace	San Francisco	aced Elaina Duong	+1.5
28	15-13	S FRAN	S FRAN×5	Ace	San Francisco	aced Janae Demant	+1.3
29	16-13	S FRAN	S FRAN×5	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+1.1
30	16-14	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.8
31	16-15	SEATTL	SEATTL	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+1.4
32	17-15	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.1
33	17-16	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+1.2
34	18-16	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Andjela Sojic	set Adelynn Legates	+1.2
35	18-17	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+1.2
36	19-17	SEATTL	S FRAN×3	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Laura Amaro	+1.3
37	20-17	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Ace	San Francisco	aced Chloee Leslie	+1.4
38	21-17	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+0.9
39	21-18	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Grace Jones	+0.5
40	21-19	SEATTL	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler		+1.1
41	22-19	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Andjela Sojic	set Adelynn Legates	+1.1
42	22-20	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.9
43	23-20	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+1.2
44	23-21	S FRAN	SEATTL	Serve err	San Francisco		+0.8
45	24-21	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Hokulani Perez	set Petra Fritz	+1.2
46	25-21	S FRAN	S FRAN	Ace	San Francisco	aced Elaina Duong	+0.6
Set 2
1	0-1	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Adee Butler	set Grace Jones	+0.6
2	1-1	SEATTL	S FRAN×3	Serve err	Seattle U		+0.5
3	2-1	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Teagan Melton		+0.6
4	3-1	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+0.6
5	3-2	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.5
6	3-3	SEATTL	SEATTL	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen		+0.7
7	4-3	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Hailey McEllrath	+0.5
8	4-4	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.6
9	5-4	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+0.5
10	6-4	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+0.6
11	6-5	S FRAN	SEATTL	Serve err	San Francisco		+0.5
12	7-5	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Adelynn Legates	+0.5
13	8-5	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+0.5
14	8-6	S FRAN	SEATTL	Serve err	San Francisco		+0.4
15	8-7	SEATTL	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Janae Demant	+0.7
16	9-7	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Hokulani Perez	set Adelynn Legates	+0.5
17	9-8	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.6
18	10-8	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Laura Amaro	+0.5
19	11-8	S FRAN	S FRAN	Ace	San Francisco	aced Adee Butler	+0.6
20	11-9	S FRAN	SEATTL×4	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+0.5
21	11-10	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Blocked	Katariina Korhonen	blk Chloee Leslie, Hailey McEllrath	+0.8
22	11-11	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Ace	Seattle U	aced Laura Amaro	+0.9
23	11-12	SEATTL	SEATTL×4	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Grace Jones	+1.1
24	12-12	SEATTL	S FRAN	Serve err	Seattle U		+0.8
25	12-13	S FRAN	SEATTL	Serve err	San Francisco		+0.9
26	13-13	SEATTL	S FRAN×4	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Jordan Smart	+0.8
27	14-13	S FRAN	S FRAN×4	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.0
28	15-13	S FRAN	S FRAN×4	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+0.9
29	16-13	S FRAN	S FRAN×4	Blocked	Chloee Leslie	blk Emma Neukirchen, Andjela Sojic	+0.7
30	16-14	S FRAN	SEATTL	Serve err	San Francisco		+0.5
31	17-14	SEATTL	S FRAN×3	Kill	Andjela Sojic	set Jordan Smart	+0.6
32	18-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Emma Neukirchen		+0.6
33	19-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Bad set	Grace Jones		+0.4
34	19-15	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.2
35	20-15	SEATTL	S FRAN	Serve err	Seattle U		+0.3
36	21-15	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Taniyah Pruitt		+0.2
37	21-16	S FRAN	SEATTL	Serve err	San Francisco		+0.1
38	22-16	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Talula Lenoir	set Adelynn Legates	+0.2
39	22-17	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Grace Jones	set Chloee Leslie	+0.1
40	22-18	SEATTL	SEATTL	Ace	Seattle U	aced True Takemoto	+0.2
41	23-18	SEATTL	S FRAN×3	Serve err	Seattle U		+0.2
42	24-18	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Laura Amaro	+0.1
43	25-18	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Andjela Sojic	set Jordan Smart	·
Set 3
1	1-0	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Jordan Smart	+0.2
2	2-0	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Andjela Sojic	set Jordan Smart	+0.3
3	2-1	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.2
4	3-1	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Andjela Sojic	set Jordan Smart	+0.2
5	3-2	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Linnaea Moore	set Grace Jones	+0.2
6	3-3	SEATTL	SEATTL	Blocked	Andjela Sojic	blk Chloee Leslie	+0.3
7	4-3	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Andjela Sojic	set Laura Amaro	+0.2
8	4-4	S FRAN	SEATTL×3	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Bella Jones	+0.3
9	4-5	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Kill	Adee Butler	set Janae Demant	+0.4
10	4-6	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Kill	Adee Butler	set Bella Jones	+0.4
11	5-6	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Adelynn Legates	+0.3
12	6-6	S FRAN	S FRAN	Blocked	Adee Butler	blk Talula Lenoir, Emma Neukirchen	+0.4
13	6-7	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Bella Jones	+0.3
14	7-7	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Adelynn Legates	+0.3
15	8-7	S FRAN	S FRAN	Ace	San Francisco		+0.4
16	8-8	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Bella Jones	+0.3
17	9-8	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Talula Lenoir	set Adelynn Legates	+0.3
18	10-8	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey		+0.3
19	10-9	S FRAN	SEATTL×3	Kill	Hailey McEllrath	set Grace Jones	+0.3
20	10-10	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Blocked	Katariina Korhonen	blk Chloee Leslie, Hailey McEllrath	+0.4
21	10-11	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Bad set	Jordan Smart		+0.5
22	11-11	SEATTL	S FRAN	Serve err	Seattle U		+0.4
23	11-12	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Chloee Leslie	set Grace Jones	+0.4
24	12-12	SEATTL	S FRAN×4	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		+0.4
25	13-12	S FRAN	S FRAN×4	Attack err	Linnaea Moore		+0.5
26	14-12	S FRAN	S FRAN×4	Blocked	Chloee Leslie	blk Emma Neukirchen, Andjela Sojic	+0.4
27	15-12	S FRAN	S FRAN×4	Attack err	Linnaea Moore		+0.3
28	15-13	S FRAN	SEATTL	Blocked	Andjela Sojic	blk Taniyah Pruitt, Chloee Leslie	+0.3
29	16-13	SEATTL	S FRAN×3	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+0.3
30	17-13	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Ace	San Francisco		+0.3
31	18-13	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Adelynn Legates	+0.2
32	18-14	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Bella Jones	+0.1
33	19-14	SEATTL	S FRAN	Serve err	Seattle U		+0.1
34	19-15	S FRAN	SEATTL	Serve err	San Francisco		+0.1
35	20-15	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Laura Amaro	+0.1
36	21-15	S FRAN	S FRAN	Ace	San Francisco	aced Adee Butler	+0.1
37	21-16	S FRAN	SEATTL×3	Kill	Orinayo Olukanmi	set Bella Jones	·
38	21-17	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Ace	Seattle U	aced True Takemoto	+0.1
39	21-18	SEATTL	SEATTL×3	Bad set	Katariina Korhonen		+0.2
40	22-18	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Adelynn Legates	+0.2
41	22-19	S FRAN	SEATTL	Kill	Teagan Melton	set Grace Jones	+0.1
42	23-19	SEATTL	S FRAN	Serve err	Seattle U		+0.2
43	24-19	S FRAN	S FRAN	Blocked	Chloee Leslie	blk Andjela Sojic, Maeve Bailey	+0.1
44	24-20	S FRAN	SEATTL	Attack err	Chloee Leslie		·
45	25-20	SEATTL	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, San Francisco first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

San Francisco def. Seattle U 3–0

Emma Neukirchen served 6 aces in a San Francisco rout.