Final · 4 setsWed, Oct 7, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Idaho def. Eastern Wash. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Eastern Wash. 58.5% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 6, 8:10 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Idaho won at Eastern Wash. 3-1 (29-27, 25-16, 20-25, 25-22) on Wed, Oct 7, 2026. Idaho's Kiana Greer led with 21 kills, and Keira Kleidon added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 7

Set1234Sets
IDAHO292520253
E WASH271625221

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Csenge Krakoczki served 4 aces, and Idaho needed every one.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Idaho's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, Eastern Wash. was RallyIQ's 59% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Idaho 26–26 Eastern Wash.

    Idaho closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 29–27 and lead 1–0. The match swung to Idaho.

    Idaho 42% → 62%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Idaho 1–1 Eastern Wash.

    9 straight Idaho points broke a 1–1 tie and made it 10–1.

    Idaho 62% → 81%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Idaho 9–8 Eastern Wash.

    Up 9–8, Idaho scored 6 straight to make it 15–8.

    Idaho 76% → 96%

Eastern Wash. above 50Idaho belowMax swing 10.3%

IdahoEastern Wash.

Sideout %
Idaho 54.9·Eastern Wash. 50.0
Break %
Idaho 50.0·Eastern Wash. 45.1
Hitting
Idaho .201·Eastern Wash. .105
Longest run
Idaho 9·Eastern Wash. 5

Alaina Armstrong
18 kills on .318, 18.5 points; 5 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Eastern Wash. above 50 · Idaho below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.3% IDAHOrally 189 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.3% to Idaho — set 1, IDAHO 29-27 E WASH. Kill by Alaina Armstrong (set by Koen Makaula). E WASH win probability 48% → 38%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IDAHO 46.3%53.7% E WASH

Idaho wins

3-0
11.0%
3-1
17.2%
3-2
18.1%

Eastern Wash. wins

3-0
14.1%
3-1
20.3%
3-2
19.3%
IDAHO break %
44.6% vs this opp
E WASH break %
45.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Alaina Armstrong (set by Koen Makaula)

    Set 1 · IDAHO 29-27 E WASH · IDAHO 52% → 62%

  2. 02
    Kalista LukovichAttack error+9.9%

    Attack error by Kalista Lukovich

    Set 1 · IDAHO 25-24 E WASH · IDAHO 42% → 52%

  3. 03
    Kalista LukovichAttack error+9.9%

    Attack error by Kalista Lukovich

    Set 1 · IDAHO 28-27 E WASH · IDAHO 42% → 52%

  4. 04
    Sophie DanielsonAttack error+9.6%

    Attack error by Sophie Danielson

    Set 1 · IDAHO 25-26 E WASH · E WASH 56% → 66%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kalista Lukovich (set by Jailyn Davenport)

    Set 1 · IDAHO 25-25 E WASH · E WASH 48% → 56%

  6. 06

    Kill by Kalista Lukovich (set by Jailyn Davenport)

    Set 1 · IDAHO 23-24 E WASH · E WASH 58% → 66%

  7. 07
    Kiana GreerKill+7.5%

    Kill by Kiana Greer (set by Csenge Krakoczki)

    Set 1 · IDAHO 24-24 E WASH · IDAHO 34% → 42%

  8. 08

    Kill by Sophie Danielson (set by Csenge Krakoczki)

    Set 1 · IDAHO 26-26 E WASH · IDAHO 34% → 42%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Idahoaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
421950.2400137100022
418444.318000151010.518.5
46522.04520130111.57.5
43011.27310010111.54.5
4005.00046431200004
34512-.083000100004
46220.200124110010.58.5
4000–001200000
4000–5042100000
2000–000200000
Team totals5825164.2015571675524499
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420862.19410111110121
47421.14310020010.57.5
47622.045000000007
4429.222001002237
43319.000000003036
41210-.1003210160010.52.5
4129-.111011700002
4000–101720000
4000–6002210000
3000–031000003
1000–000001011
1000–000300000
Team totals4327152.105415568774990

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Idaho vs Eastern Wash.

Season series · Idaho leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 IDAHO · E WASH 5

Set 1

29-27

Longest run 6 IDAHOE WASH 5

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 9 IDAHOE WASH 5

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 IDAHOE WASH 5

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 6 IDAHOE WASH 5

Bars above the line = Eastern Wash. leads, below = Idaho leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Idaho

SlotSideout %Break %
1
79%11/14
18%2/11
2
59%10/17
47%9/19
3
33%8/24
70%21/30
4
70%7/10
46%6/13
5
70%7/10
22%2/9
6
44%7/16
56%9/16
All
55%50/91
50%49/98

Eastern Wash.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
47%8/17
2
35%9/26
21%3/14
3
42%8/19
50%9/18
4
70%7/10
61%11/18
5
47%7/15
42%5/12
6
70%7/10
42%5/12
All
50%49/98
45%41/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

189 rallies

#IDAHO-E WASHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0IDAHOIDAHOAceIdaho+2.4
21-1IDAHOE WASHServe errIdaho+1.8
32-1E WASHIDAHOAttack errBria Carlisle+1.9
43-1IDAHOIDAHOBlockedBria Carlisleblk Alaina Armstrong, Koen Makaula+2.5
53-2IDAHOE WASH×4KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.9
63-3E WASHE WASH×4KillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+2.5
73-4E WASHE WASH×4KillAspyn Reedset Elle Bruegman+2.5
83-5E WASHE WASH×4BlockedSophie Danielsonblk Judith Bolomboy, Aspyn Reed+2.5
94-5E WASHIDAHO×6KillAlaina Armstrongset Csenge Krakoczki+1.9
105-5IDAHOIDAHO×6KillAlaina Armstrongset Keira Kleidon+2.6
116-5IDAHOIDAHO×6KillKoen Makaulaset Csenge Krakoczki+2.7
127-5IDAHOIDAHO×6KillAlaina Armstrongset Keira Kleidon+2.8
138-5IDAHOIDAHO×6KillAlaina Armstrongset Csenge Krakoczki+2.7
149-5IDAHOIDAHO×6KillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+2.6
159-6IDAHOE WASH×5Serve errIdaho+1.7
169-7E WASHE WASH×5Attack errSarah Sullivan+2.5
179-8E WASHE WASH×5KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.8
189-9E WASHE WASH×5KillKalista Lukovichset Elle Bruegman+2.9
199-10E WASHE WASH×5KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+3.0
2010-10E WASHIDAHOAttack errReese Betschart+2.3
2111-10IDAHOIDAHOKillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+3.2
2211-11IDAHOE WASHServe errIdaho+2.4
2312-11E WASHIDAHOKillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+2.6
2413-11IDAHOIDAHOKillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+3.3
2513-12IDAHOE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.4
2614-12E WASHIDAHOAttack errBria Carlisle+2.7
2715-12IDAHOIDAHOAttack errSidney Gray+3.3
2815-13IDAHOE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.2
2916-13E WASHIDAHOServe errEastern Wash.+2.7
3017-13IDAHOIDAHOBlockedBria Carlisleblk Gabrielle Smith+3.0
3117-14IDAHOE WASHServe errIdaho+1.8
3218-14E WASHIDAHOKillAlaina Armstrongset Csenge Krakoczki+2.4
3318-15IDAHOE WASHServe errIdaho+1.8
3419-15E WASHIDAHOAttack errAspyn Reed+2.5
3520-15IDAHOIDAHOAceIdahoaced Carlyn Rapozo-Kamoku+2.4
3620-16IDAHOE WASH×5KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.2
3720-17E WASHE WASH×5KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.2
3820-18E WASHE WASH×5AceEastern Wash.aced Alaina Armstrong+3.1
3920-19E WASHE WASH×5KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+4.1
4020-20E WASHE WASH×5KillJailyn Davenportset Carlyn Rapozo-Kamoku+5.1
4121-20E WASHIDAHOKillKoen Makaulaset Csenge Krakoczki+4.5
4221-21IDAHOE WASH×3KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+4.3
4321-22E WASHE WASH×3Attack errKiana Greer+6.4
4421-23E WASHE WASH×3AceEastern Wash.aced Kiana Greer+6.0
4522-23E WASHIDAHOKillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+3.4
4623-23IDAHOIDAHOKillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+7.3
4723-24IDAHOE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+7.5
4824-24E WASHIDAHOKillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+7.5
4925-24IDAHOIDAHOAttack errKalista Lukovich+9.9
5025-25IDAHOE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+7.7
5125-26E WASHE WASHAttack errSophie Danielson+9.6
5226-26E WASHIDAHOKillSophie Danielsonset Csenge Krakoczki+7.5
5326-27IDAHOE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Elle Bruegman+7.5
5427-27E WASHIDAHO×3KillSophie Danielsonset Csenge Krakoczki+7.5
5528-27IDAHOIDAHO×3Attack errKalista Lukovich+9.9
5629-27IDAHOIDAHO×3KillAlaina Armstrongset Koen Makaula+10.3
Set 2
11-0E WASHIDAHOKillAlaina Armstrongset Csenge Krakoczki+2.1
21-1IDAHOE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.0
32-1E WASHIDAHO×9KillAlaina Armstrongset Csenge Krakoczki+2.1
43-1IDAHOIDAHO×9Attack errKalista Lukovich+2.8
54-1IDAHOIDAHO×9KillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+2.7
65-1IDAHOIDAHO×9BlockedSidney Grayblk Koen Makaula+2.6
76-1IDAHOIDAHO×9Attack errJailyn Davenport+2.4
87-1IDAHOIDAHO×9KillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+2.1
98-1IDAHOIDAHO×9Bad setStephanie Groswirt+1.8
109-1IDAHOIDAHO×9Attack errKalista Lukovich+1.5
1110-1IDAHOIDAHO×9KillAlaina Armstrongset Csenge Krakoczki+1.2
1210-2IDAHOE WASHServe errIdaho+0.7
1310-3E WASHE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Sarah Sullivan+1.1
1411-3E WASHIDAHOKillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+1.1
1511-4IDAHOE WASHAttack errKiana Greer+0.8
1612-4E WASHIDAHOKillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+1.1
1712-5IDAHOE WASHBlockedKiana Greerblk Sidney Gray+0.8
1813-5E WASHIDAHO×5KillGabrielle Smithset Csenge Krakoczki+1.1
1914-5IDAHOIDAHO×5Bad setStephanie Groswirt+1.0
2015-5IDAHOIDAHO×5AceIdaho+0.7
2116-5IDAHOIDAHO×5AceIdaho+0.4
2217-5IDAHOIDAHO×5AceIdahoaced Elle Bruegman+0.3
2317-6IDAHOE WASHServe errIdaho+0.1
2418-6E WASHIDAHOKillSophie Danielsonset Gabrielle Smith+0.2
2518-7IDAHOE WASH×3KillAspyn Reedset Kalista Lukovich+0.1
2618-8E WASHE WASH×3KillReese Betschartset Jailyn Davenport+0.2
2718-9E WASHE WASH×3BlockedSophie Danielsonblk Kalista Lukovich+0.3
2819-9E WASHIDAHOServe errEastern Wash.+0.3
2919-10IDAHOE WASHAttack errSophie Danielson+0.2
3019-11E WASHE WASHAttack errKoen Makaula+0.3
3120-11E WASHIDAHO×3KillKoen Makaulaset Csenge Krakoczki+0.4
3221-11IDAHOIDAHO×3KillAlaina Armstrongset Csenge Krakoczki+0.3
3322-11IDAHOIDAHO×3Attack errKalista Lukovich+0.1
3422-12IDAHOE WASH×5Serve errIdaho·
3522-13E WASHE WASH×5KillKalista Lukovichset Elle Bruegman+0.1
3622-14E WASHE WASH×5BlockedKoen Makaulablk Ziah Sneva+0.1
3722-15E WASHE WASH×5Attack errAlaina Armstrong+0.2
3822-16E WASHE WASH×5Attack errKoen Makaula+0.4
3923-16E WASHIDAHO×3Attack errReese Betschart+0.6
4024-16IDAHOIDAHO×3Attack errKalista Lukovich+0.2
4125-16IDAHOIDAHO×3Attack errKalista Lukovich·
Set 3
10-1IDAHOE WASHServe errIdaho+1.4
21-1E WASHIDAHOKillSophie Danielsonset Csenge Krakoczki+1.5
31-2IDAHOE WASHServe errIdaho+1.5
41-3E WASHE WASHAttack errAlaina Armstrong+1.8
52-3E WASHIDAHO×3KillKoen Makaulaset Csenge Krakoczki+1.4
63-3IDAHOIDAHO×3Attack errJudith Bolomboy+1.9
74-3IDAHOIDAHO×3KillKoen Makaulaset Kalista Lukovich+2.0
84-4IDAHOE WASH×3Attack errAlaina Armstrong+1.6
94-5E WASHE WASH×3KillJudith Bolomboy+2.0
104-6E WASHE WASH×3BlockedAlaina Armstrongblk Jailyn Davenport, Judith Bolomboy+2.0
115-6E WASHIDAHOKillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+1.5
125-7IDAHOE WASHBlockedKiana Greerblk Judith Bolomboy+1.6
136-7E WASHIDAHOAttack errJailyn Davenport+1.5
146-8IDAHOE WASHKillSidney Grayset Jailyn Davenport+1.6
157-8E WASHIDAHOKillKiana Greerset Sarah Sullivan+1.6
167-9IDAHOE WASH×5KillBria Carlisleset Elle Bruegman+1.7
177-10E WASHE WASH×5KillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+2.0
187-11E WASHE WASH×5Attack errKiana Greer+1.8
197-12E WASHE WASH×5BlockedKiana Greerblk Sidney Gray+1.5
207-13E WASHE WASH×5BlockedSophie Danielsonblk Sidney Gray+1.3
218-13E WASHIDAHOAttack errSidney Gray+0.8
228-14IDAHOE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.0
239-14E WASHIDAHOKillSarah Sullivanset Csenge Krakoczki+0.8
2410-14IDAHOIDAHOKillAlaina Armstrong+1.3
2510-15IDAHOE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+1.2
2611-15E WASHIDAHOKillAlaina Armstrongset Csenge Krakoczki+1.0
2711-16IDAHOE WASHBlockedKoen Makaulablk Judith Bolomboy+1.2
2811-17E WASHE WASHAttack errKiana Greer+1.2
2912-17E WASHIDAHO×3KillAlaina Armstrongset Csenge Krakoczki+0.7
3013-17IDAHOIDAHO×3KillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+1.2
3114-17IDAHOIDAHO×3KillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+1.6
3214-18IDAHOE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+1.6
3314-19E WASHE WASHAceEastern Wash.+1.6
3415-19E WASHIDAHOServe errEastern Wash.+0.9
3515-20IDAHOE WASHAttack errKiana Greer+1.2
3615-21E WASHE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+1.0
3716-21E WASHIDAHOKillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+0.4
3817-21IDAHOIDAHOAttack errKalista Lukovich+0.9
3917-22IDAHOE WASHServe errIdaho+1.1
4018-22E WASHIDAHOKillSarah Sullivanset Csenge Krakoczki+0.6
4118-23IDAHOE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+1.0
4219-23E WASHIDAHOKillSarah Sullivanset Csenge Krakoczki+0.4
4319-24IDAHOE WASHServe errIdaho+0.8
4420-24E WASHIDAHOServe errEastern Wash.+0.2
4520-25IDAHOE WASHServe errIdaho+0.4
Set 4
10-1E WASHE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+3.4
21-1E WASHIDAHOKillGabrielle Smithset Csenge Krakoczki+2.7
31-2IDAHOE WASHKillSidney Grayset Jailyn Davenport+2.7
42-2E WASHIDAHOAttack errBria Carlisle+2.7
52-3IDAHOE WASHKillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+2.8
63-3E WASHIDAHOKillKoen Makaulaset Csenge Krakoczki+2.8
74-3IDAHOIDAHOAttack errJudith Bolomboy+3.8
84-4IDAHOE WASHAttack errKoen Makaula+2.9
95-4E WASHIDAHOKillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+3.0
105-5IDAHOE WASHKillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+2.9
115-6E WASHE WASHAttack errKiana Greer+3.8
126-6E WASHIDAHO×3Serve errEastern Wash.+3.0
137-6IDAHOIDAHO×3AceIdahoaced Carlyn Rapozo-Kamoku+4.1
148-6IDAHOIDAHO×3KillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+4.1
158-7IDAHOE WASHBad setKiana Greer+3.0
169-7E WASHIDAHOKillGabrielle Smithset Csenge Krakoczki+3.3
179-8IDAHOE WASHKillSidney Grayset Jailyn Davenport+3.1
1810-8E WASHIDAHO×6KillAlaina Armstrongset Csenge Krakoczki+3.4
1911-8IDAHOIDAHO×6Attack errBria Carlisle+4.2
2012-8IDAHOIDAHO×6KillSarah Sullivanset Keira Kleidon+3.9
2113-8IDAHOIDAHO×6Attack errAspyn Reed+3.5
2214-8IDAHOIDAHO×6Attack errAspyn Reed+2.9
2315-8IDAHOIDAHO×6KillAlaina Armstrongset Koen Makaula+2.3
2415-9IDAHOE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+1.2
2515-10E WASHE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Aspyn Reed+2.1
2616-10E WASHIDAHO×4KillSarah Sullivanset Csenge Krakoczki+2.2
2717-10IDAHOIDAHO×4AceIdahoaced Kalista Lukovich+2.1
2818-10IDAHOIDAHO×4KillAlaina Armstrongset Csenge Krakoczki+1.4
2919-10IDAHOIDAHO×4KillAlaina Armstrongset Csenge Krakoczki+0.9
3019-11IDAHOE WASHKillJudith Bolomboyset Jailyn Davenport+0.3
3120-11E WASHIDAHOAttack errAspyn Reed+0.6
3220-12IDAHOE WASHKillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+0.3
3321-12E WASHIDAHOKillKiana Greerset Csenge Krakoczki+0.5
3421-13IDAHOE WASHServe errIdaho+0.2
3521-14E WASHE WASHAceEastern Wash.+0.4
3622-14E WASHIDAHOKillKiana Greerset Keira Kleidon+0.6
3722-15IDAHOE WASH×5Serve errIdaho+0.2
3822-16E WASHE WASH×5Attack errSarah Sullivan+0.5
3922-17E WASHE WASH×5KillKalista Lukovichset Elle Bruegman+0.9
4022-18E WASHE WASH×5AceEastern Wash.+1.6
4122-19E WASHE WASH×5KillKalista Lukovichset Jailyn Davenport+2.7
4223-19E WASHIDAHOKillKiana Greerset Kiana Greer+3.5
4323-20IDAHOE WASHKillBria Carlisleset Jailyn Davenport+1.7
4424-20E WASHIDAHOKillAlaina Armstrongset Keira Kleidon+3.2
4524-21IDAHOE WASHServe errIdaho+1.0
4624-22E WASHE WASHKillAspyn Reedset Jailyn Davenport+2.9
4725-22E WASHIDAHOKillSarah Sullivanset Csenge Krakoczki+5.2

Score shown after each rally, Idaho first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).