CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026
3:1
VCU logo

HomeATLANTIC-10

Florida St. def. VCU 31

(25-19, 19-25, 25-22, 26-24)
Set1234Sets
FSU251925263
VCU192522241

RallyIQ model

Win probability

VCU above 50 · FSU below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100VCUFSUBiggest swing +6.3% VCU · S4 24-24rally 185 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.3% to VCU — set 4, FSU 24-24 VCU. Attack error by Lexie Mason. VCU win probability 4%10%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

FSU 90.6%9.4% VCU

Florida St. wins

3-0
45.5%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
13.6%

VCU wins

3-0
1.2%
3-1
2.8%
3-2
5.3%
FSU break %
46.8% vs this opp
VCU break %
36.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Lexie MasonAttack error+6.3%

    Attack error by Lexie Mason

    Set 4 · FSU 24-24 VCU · VCU 4%10%

  2. 02
    FSU serverAce+5.3%

    Florida St. ace on Team

    Set 4 · FSU 26-24 VCU · FSU 95%100%

  3. 03
    Lannah PriceAttack error+4.7%

    Lannah Price stuffed by Lexie Mason & Nenu Kpea

    Set 4 · FSU 25-24 VCU · FSU 90%95%

  4. 04
    Dominika KasinskaAttack error+4.3%

    Dominika Kasinska stuffed by Lexie Mason & Nenu Kpea

    Set 4 · FSU 24-22 VCU · FSU 94%98%

  5. 05
    Delaney EwingAttack error+4.1%

    Attack error by Delaney Ewing

    Set 4 · FSU 19-20 VCU · VCU 9%13%

  6. 06
    Nina BoledovicovaAttack error+3.9%

    Attack error by Nina Boledovicova

    Set 4 · FSU 21-20 VCU · FSU 89%93%

  7. 07
    Lexie MasonAttack error+3.8%

    Attack error by Lexie Mason

    Set 3 · FSU 17-17 VCU · VCU 15%19%

  8. 08
    Dominika KasinskaAttack error+3.7%

    Attack error by Dominika Kasinska

    Set 4 · FSU 23-22 VCU · FSU 90%94%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414526.3460001004216
413632.2190126302115
412418.44400200052.514.5
49728.07114710100013
46219.211000200217
40003011900001
46421.09500000052.58.5
40005111310001
40002000400000
4000100130000
31011.000032000004
Team totals6128145.228571015468018995
VCUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
47121.28611330052.510.5
48211.54510140052.510.5
47729.000020920009
42210.00000000132.54.5
4206.33333111000003
26214.286020510008
4000120700002
4000000200000
4000100210000
4000200350000
300000010010.50.5
27316.250000000218
Team totals3917107.20639854610116990

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 FSU · VCU 5

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 5 FSUVCU 3

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 7 FSUVCU 5

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 3 FSUVCU 3

Set 4

26-24

Longest run 3 FSUVCU 3

Bars above the line = VCU leads, below = Florida St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Florida St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%11/21
36%5/14
2
56%10/18
44%8/18
3
60%9/15
38%6/16
4
75%9/12
25%3/12
5
47%7/15
70%16/23
6
70%7/10
36%4/11
All
58%53/91
45%42/94

VCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
36%5/14
2
48%10/21
52%11/21
3
100%10/10
44%8/18
4
42%8/19
31%4/13
5
41%7/17
47%7/15
6
64%7/11
30%3/10
All
55%52/94
42%38/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

185 rallies

Rally log

#FSU-VCUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1VCUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+1.2
21-1VCUFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.8
32-1FSUFSUAttack errLannah Priceblk Delaney Ewing, Bailey Higgins+1.0
42-2FSUVCUServe errFSU server+0.8
53-2VCUFSU×5KillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.7
64-2FSUFSU×5KillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.9
75-2FSUFSU×5AceFSU serveraced Molly McCall+0.8
86-2FSUFSU×5KillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.6
97-2FSUFSU×5KillKyleene Filimauaset Maile Chan+0.5
107-3FSUVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+0.3
117-4VCUVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+0.6
128-4VCUFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.5
138-5FSUVCUKillCansin Sendirset Jordan Baksh+0.5
148-6VCUVCUAceVCU serveraced Sofia Moss+0.8
159-6VCUFSU×5KillKyleene Filimauaset Callie Kieffer+0.6
1610-6FSUFSU×5KillSofia Mossset Callie Kieffer+0.7
1711-6FSUFSU×5KillSofia Mossset Kyleene Filimaua+0.6
1812-6FSUFSU×5KillSofia Mossset Callie Kieffer+0.4
1913-6FSUFSU×5KillSofia Moss+0.3
2013-7FSUVCU×3Serve errFSU server+0.2
2113-8VCUVCU×3KillMolly McCallset Kayla Foley+0.3
2213-9VCUVCU×3Attack errLexie Mason+0.5
2314-9VCUFSUKillSofia Mossset Callie Kieffer+0.4
2414-10FSUVCUKillMolly McCallset Cansin Sendir+0.4
2515-10VCUFSUKillSofia Mossset Callie Kieffer+0.4
2615-11FSUVCUAttack errKyleene Filimaua+0.4
2716-11VCUFSUAttack errBailey Higgins+0.4
2817-11FSUFSUAceFSU serveraced Meghan Touhey+0.4
2917-12FSUVCUKillLannah Priceset Letizia Galli+0.2
3017-13VCUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+0.5
3118-13VCUFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.4
3218-14FSUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+0.3
3319-14VCUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.4
3419-15FSUVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+0.3
3520-15VCUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Callie Kieffer+0.4
3621-15FSUFSUKillLexie Masonset Maile Chan+0.3
3721-16FSUVCUKillSarah Dibbs-Frantzset Cansin Sendir+0.1
3821-17VCUVCUAttack errSofia Mossblk Letizia Galli, Maddalena Fiolo+0.3
3922-17VCUFSUKillBennett Ratermanset Callie Kieffer+0.4
4023-17FSUFSUAceFSU serveraced Lannah Price+0.2
4123-18FSUVCUServe errFSU server+0.1
4224-18VCUFSUAttack errMolly McCall+0.1
4324-19FSUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+0.0
4425-19VCUFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+0.0
Set 2
10-1FSUVCU×3Attack errSofia Moss+0.6
20-2VCUVCU×3Attack errSofia Moss+0.9
30-3VCUVCU×3Attack errSofia Mossblk Letizia Galli, Nina Boledovicova+1.0
41-3VCUFSUServe errVCU server+0.6
52-3FSUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.8
62-4FSUVCU×3KillMolly McCallset Meghan Touhey+0.7
72-5VCUVCU×3AceVCU serveraced Sofia Moss+1.0
82-6VCUVCU×3AceVCU serveraced Sofia Moss+1.1
93-6VCUFSUKillBailey Higginsset Victoria David+0.6
103-7FSUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+0.8
113-8VCUVCUAttack errNenu Kpea+1.1
124-8VCUFSU×3KillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+0.6
135-8FSUFSU×3KillLexie Masonset Maile Chan+1.0
146-8FSUFSU×3KillLexie Masonset Callie Kieffer+1.0
156-9FSUVCUAttack errKyleene Filimaua+0.9
166-10VCUVCUAceVCU serveraced Victoria David+1.2
177-10VCUFSU×7KillLexie Masonset Callie Kieffer+0.7
188-10FSUFSU×7AceFSU serveraced Lannah Price+1.1
199-10FSUFSU×7KillSofia Mossset Maile Chan+1.1
2010-10FSUFSU×7AceFSU serveraced Meghan Touhey+1.0
2111-10FSUFSU×7Attack errSarah Dibbs-Frantzblk Sofia Moss, Nenu Kpea+0.9
2212-10FSUFSU×7Attack errMolly McCall+0.8
2313-10FSUFSU×7AceFSU serveraced Jordan Baksh+0.7
2413-11FSUVCU×4Serve errFSU server+0.5
2513-12VCUVCU×4Attack errSofia Moss+0.9
2613-13VCUVCU×4KillMolly McCallset Cansin Sendir+1.1
2713-14VCUVCU×4Attack errLexie Mason+1.3
2814-14VCUFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+0.9
2914-15FSUVCUServe errFSU server+1.0
3014-16VCUVCUAceVCU serveraced Maile Chan+1.6
3115-16VCUFSUKillLexie Masonset Callie Kieffer+1.0
3216-16FSUFSUAceFSU serveraced Meghan Touhey+1.4
3316-17FSUVCU×5KillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+1.2
3416-18VCUVCU×5KillMolly McCallset Cansin Sendir+1.8
3516-19VCUVCU×5KillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+1.8
3616-20VCUVCU×5Attack errSofia Mossblk Letizia Galli, Nina Boledovicova+1.7
3716-21VCUVCU×5KillMolly McCallset Cansin Sendir+1.3
3817-21VCUFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.5
3918-21FSUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+1.0
4018-22FSUVCU×3Attack errKyleene Filimauablk Letizia Galli, Nina Boledovicova+1.3
4118-23VCUVCU×3Attack errKyleene Filimauablk Letizia Galli, Nina Boledovicova+1.1
4218-24VCUVCU×3Attack errBailey Higgins+0.5
4319-24VCUFSUAttack errLannah Price+0.1
4419-25FSUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+0.2
Set 3
10-1VCUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+2.2
21-1VCUFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+1.4
32-1FSUFSUKillBailey Higginsset Maile Chan+1.9
42-2FSUVCUKillDominika Kasinskaset Cansin Sendir+1.5
52-3VCUVCUAttack errDelaney Ewingblk Sarah Dibbs-Frantz+2.3
63-3VCUFSUKillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+1.5
74-3FSUFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+2.0
84-4FSUVCU×3KillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+1.6
94-5VCUVCU×3Attack errBailey Higginsblk Dominika Kasinska, Sarah Dibbs-Frantz+2.5
104-6VCUVCU×3Attack errNenu Kpea+2.8
115-6VCUFSUKillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+1.8
125-7FSUVCUKillSarah Dibbs-Frantzset Cansin Sendir+2.2
136-7VCUFSU×3KillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+1.8
147-7FSUFSU×3Attack errSarah Dibbs-Frantzblk Nenu Kpea, Lexie Mason+2.5
158-7FSUFSU×3KillSofia Moss+2.3
168-8FSUVCUServe errFSU server+1.8
179-8VCUFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+1.7
189-9FSUVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+1.9
1910-9VCUFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Callie Kieffer+1.7
2011-9FSUFSUAttack errLetizia Galliblk Sofia Moss, Delaney Ewing+2.2
2111-10FSUVCUAttack errDelaney Ewing+1.6
2212-10VCUFSUAttack errLetizia Galli+1.6
2312-11FSUVCUAttack errKyleene Filimaua+1.7
2412-12VCUVCUAttack errDelaney Ewing+2.9
2513-12VCUFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+2.0
2614-12FSUFSUKillNenu Kpea+2.6
2714-13FSUVCUKillDominika Kasinskaset Cansin Sendir+1.8
2815-13VCUFSUServe errVCU server+1.9
2915-14FSUVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+1.9
3016-14VCUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Callie Kieffer+2.0
3117-14FSUFSUAceFSU serveraced Meghan Touhey+2.3
3217-15FSUVCU×3Serve errFSU server+1.5
3317-16VCUVCU×3AceVCU serveraced Victoria David+2.9
3417-17VCUVCU×3Attack errLexie Mason+3.8
3518-17VCUFSUKillLexie Masonset Callie Kieffer+2.7
3619-17FSUFSUAceFSU serveraced Meghan Touhey+3.4
3719-18FSUVCUServe errFSU server+2.3
3820-18VCUFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Callie Kieffer+2.6
3921-18FSUFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+2.8
4021-19FSUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+1.5
4122-19VCUFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+2.0
4222-20FSUVCUServe errFSU server+1.5
4323-20VCUFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+2.1
4423-21FSUVCUKillDominika Kasinskaset Cansin Sendir+1.3
4524-21VCUFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+2.1
4624-22FSUVCUKillDominika Kasinskaset Cansin Sendir+0.9
4725-22VCUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Callie Kieffer+1.8
Set 4
11-0FSUFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+1.3
22-0FSUFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+1.2
32-1FSUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+0.9
43-1VCUFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.8
54-1FSUFSUKillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+1.0
64-2FSUVCUKillDominika Kasinskaset Cansin Sendir+0.8
75-2VCUFSUServe errVCU server+0.7
85-3FSUVCUAttack errKyleene Filimaua+0.8
96-3VCUFSUServe errVCU server+0.8
106-4FSUVCUServe errFSU server+0.8
117-4VCUFSUAttack errLannah Priceblk Lexie Mason, Nenu Kpea+0.8
127-5FSUVCUKillLannah Priceset Meghan Touhey+0.8
138-5VCUFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Callie Kieffer+0.8
148-6FSUVCU×3KillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+0.8
158-7VCUVCU×3Attack errDelaney Ewing+1.5
168-8VCUVCU×3AceVCU serveraced Kyleene Filimaua+1.8
179-8VCUFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+1.2
189-9FSUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+1.4
199-10VCUVCUAceVCU serveraced Victoria David+2.2
2010-10VCUFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+1.4
2111-10FSUFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+1.9
2211-11FSUVCUKillDominika Kasinskaset Cansin Sendir+1.5
2311-12VCUVCUAttack errNenu Kpeablk Sarah Dibbs-Frantz, Nina Boledovicova+2.4
2412-12VCUFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+1.6
2512-13FSUVCU×3Attack errNenu Kpea+1.9
2612-14VCUVCU×3KillCansin Sendirset Nina Boledovicova+2.9
2712-15VCUVCU×3Attack errKyleene Filimauablk Sarah Dibbs-Frantz, Dominika Kasinska+3.0
2813-15VCUFSUServe errVCU server+1.7
2913-16FSUVCUServe errFSU server+2.4
3014-16VCUFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+1.8
3115-16FSUFSUBad setJordan Baksh+2.8
3215-17FSUVCUServe errFSU server+2.5
3316-17VCUFSU×3Attack errLannah Priceblk Lexie Mason, Delaney Ewing+2.0
3417-17FSUFSU×3Attack errLannah Priceblk Delaney Ewing, Bailey Higgins+3.0
3518-17FSUFSU×3Attack errLannah Price+2.9
3618-18FSUVCUServe errFSU server+2.2
3719-18VCUFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+2.2
3819-19FSUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+2.4
3919-20VCUVCUAttack errDelaney Ewing+4.1
4020-20VCUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+2.7
4121-20FSUFSUAttack errNina Boledovicova+3.9
4221-21FSUVCUServe errFSU server+2.9
4322-21VCUFSUAttack errDominika Kasinska+3.1
4422-22FSUVCUKillDominika Kasinskaset Cansin Sendir+3.3
4523-22VCUFSUAttack errDominika Kasinska+3.7
4624-22FSUFSUAttack errDominika Kasinskablk Lexie Mason, Nenu Kpea+4.3
4724-23FSUVCUServe errFSU server+1.7
4824-24VCUVCUAttack errLexie Mason+6.3
4925-24VCUFSUAttack errLannah Priceblk Lexie Mason, Nenu Kpea+4.7
5026-24FSUFSUAceFSU serveraced Team+5.3

Score shown after each rally, Florida St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.