CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

Lipscomb def. Florida St. 31

(25-23, 13-25, 25-18, 25-23)
Set123*4Sets
FSU232518231
LIPSCO251325253
  • * Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

LIPSCO above 50 · FSU below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100LIPSCOFSUBiggest swing +12.8% LIPSCO · S4 22-23rally 177 · set 4

Biggest swing: 12.8% to Lipscomb — set 4, FSU 22-23 LIPSCO. Kill by Sydney Strenger (set by Kelsey Schenck). LIPSCO win probability 68%80%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

FSU 64.9%35.1% LIPSCO

Florida St. wins

3-0
20.0%
3-1
24.9%
3-2
20.1%

Lipscomb wins

3-0
7.2%
3-1
12.6%
3-2
15.3%
FSU break %
41.2% vs this opp
LIPSCO break %
38.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Sydney StrengerKill+12.8%

    Kill by Sydney Strenger (set by Kelsey Schenck)

    Set 4 · FSU 22-23 LIPSCO · LIPSCO 68%80%

  2. 02
    Lexie MasonAttack error+12.7%

    Lexie Mason stuffed by Ella Durham & Sydney Strenger

    Set 4 · FSU 22-24 LIPSCO · LIPSCO 80%93%

  3. 03
    Ella DurhamKill+11.4%

    Kill by Ella Durham (set by Kelsey Schenck)

    Set 4 · FSU 23-25 LIPSCO · LIPSCO 89%100%

  4. 04

    Kill by Anna claire Brown (set by Kelsey Schenck)

    Set 1 · FSU 23-25 LIPSCO · LIPSCO 46%56%

  5. 05
    LIPSCO serverAce+8.8%

    Lipscomb ace on Maile Chan

    Set 4 · FSU 21-21 LIPSCO · LIPSCO 59%68%

  6. 06
    Lexi GuinnAttack error+7.6%

    Attack error by Lexi Guinn

    Set 1 · FSU 23-23 LIPSCO · FSU 53%61%

  7. 07

    Kill by Victoria David (set by Kyleene Filimaua)

    Set 4 · FSU 22-21 LIPSCO · FSU 32%39%

  8. 08
    FSU serverService error+6.7%

    Florida St. service error

    Set 1 · FSU 23-24 LIPSCO · LIPSCO 39%46%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411731.12924215302116
412321.4290000012214
49026.3461001002110
46216.250000200428
45414.071000610005
40002801800000
46219.21100020111.57.5
4228.00011030010.53.5
4001.000002101011
4000010000001
40004101840001
4000000000000
40001200800000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
Team totals5120136.2284875648312989
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414428.35700030132.516.5
411448.14601294010.512.5
46215.267000101228
4429.22244121200005
4000011630001
4001.000200500000
414328.39305340031.520.5
45617-.05900000010.55.5
4000000000000
4000000000000
40005021300000
4000000000000
4000000000000
4000000000000
Team totals5421146.22651810537210788

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 FSU · LIPSCO 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 FSULIPSCO 3

Set 2

25-13

Longest run 5 FSULIPSCO 2

Set 3*

18-25

Longest run 4 FSULIPSCO 5

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 5 FSULIPSCO 4

Bars above the line = Lipscomb leads, below = Florida St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Florida St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
13%1/8
2
78%7/9
46%6/13
3
70%7/10
53%8/15
4
64%7/11
36%4/11
5
55%6/11
61%11/18
6
55%6/11
14%1/7
All
65%40/62
43%31/72

Lipscomb

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
42%5/12
2
58%7/12
13%1/8
3
50%7/14
30%3/10
4
47%7/15
36%4/11
5
46%6/13
40%4/10
6
86%6/7
45%5/11
All
57%41/72
35%22/62

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

177 rallies

Rally log

#FSU-LIPSCOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1LIPSCOLIPSCOAttack errSofia Moss+2.5
20-2LIPSCOLIPSCOAceLIPSCO serveraced Sofia Moss+2.6
31-2LIPSCOFSUAttack errElla Durhamset Makenna Kirlin+1.6
41-3FSULIPSCOKillKelsey Schenckset Grace Jones+1.8
52-3LIPSCOFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+1.6
62-4FSULIPSCOKillBrooklyn Fuchsset Kelsey Schenck+1.8
73-4LIPSCOFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+1.7
83-5FSULIPSCO×3KillElla Durham+1.9
93-6LIPSCOLIPSCO×3AceLIPSCO serveraced Kyleene Filimaua+2.8
103-7LIPSCOLIPSCO×3KillAnna claire Brownset Grace Jones+2.6
114-7LIPSCOFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Callie Kieffer+1.5
124-8FSULIPSCOServe errFSU server+1.8
134-9LIPSCOLIPSCOKillLexi Guinnset Kelsey Schenck+2.4
145-9LIPSCOFSUKillSofia Mossset Callie Kieffer+1.3
155-10FSULIPSCO×3KillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+1.6
165-11LIPSCOLIPSCO×3KillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+2.1
175-12LIPSCOLIPSCO×3AceLIPSCO serveraced Kyleene Filimaua+1.7
186-12LIPSCOFSUServe errLIPSCO server+0.8
196-13FSULIPSCOKillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+1.1
207-13LIPSCOFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+0.8
217-14FSULIPSCOKillKelsey Schenck+1.1
228-14LIPSCOFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.7
239-14FSUFSUAceFSU serveraced Kenzie Kucks+1.5
249-15FSULIPSCOKillBrooklyn Fuchsset Kelsey Schenck+1.4
259-16LIPSCOLIPSCOKillElla Durhamset Kelsey Schenck+1.5
2610-16LIPSCOFSUKillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+0.6
2710-17FSULIPSCOKillElla Durhamset Kelsey Schenck+0.9
2811-17LIPSCOFSU×3KillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+0.6
2912-17FSUFSU×3KillLexie Masonset Maile Chan+1.3
3013-17FSUFSU×3AceFSU serveraced Ella Durham+1.8
3113-18FSULIPSCOKillAnna claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+1.7
3214-18LIPSCOFSUKillLexie Masonset Callie Kieffer+1.1
3314-19FSULIPSCOKillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+1.7
3415-19LIPSCOFSUKillSofia Mossset Callie Kieffer+1.0
3515-20FSULIPSCOKillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+1.6
3616-20LIPSCOFSU×3KillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.9
3717-20FSUFSU×3KillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+2.2
3818-20FSUFSU×3KillMaile Chanset Maile Chan+3.2
3918-21FSULIPSCOKillKelsey Schenck+3.0
4019-21LIPSCOFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+2.0
4119-22FSULIPSCOKillElla Durhamset Kelsey Schenck+3.1
4220-22LIPSCOFSUServe errLIPSCO server+1.9
4320-23FSULIPSCOKillBrooklyn Fuchsset Kelsey Schenck+3.2
4421-23LIPSCOFSU×3Attack errLexi Guinnblk Nenu Kpea, Lexie Mason+1.7
4522-23FSUFSU×3Attack errBrooklyn Fuchs+4.7
4623-23FSUFSU×3Attack errLexi Guinn+7.6
4723-24FSULIPSCOServe errFSU server+6.7
4823-25LIPSCOLIPSCOKillAnna claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+10.7
Set 2
11-0FSUFSUAttack errElla Durhamblk Delaney Ewing, Bailey Higgins+2.8
21-1FSULIPSCOAttack errKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+1.9
32-1LIPSCOFSUKillDelaney Ewing+1.9
42-2FSULIPSCOKillBrooklyn Fuchs+2.0
53-2LIPSCOFSU×5KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+1.9
64-2FSUFSU×5KillElla Durham+2.8
75-2FSUFSU×5Attack errElla Durham+2.6
86-2FSUFSU×5KillBailey Higginsset Maile Chan+2.3
97-2FSUFSU×5KillNenu Kpea+2.0
107-3FSULIPSCOKillElla Durhamset Kelsey Schenck+1.1
118-3LIPSCOFSU×3KillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+1.3
129-3FSUFSU×3KillKyleene Filimaua+1.6
1310-3FSUFSU×3Attack errAnna claire Brownblk Nenu Kpea, Kyleene Filimaua+1.3
1410-4FSULIPSCOKillAnna claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+0.6
1511-4LIPSCOFSU×5Serve errLIPSCO server+0.8
1612-4FSUFSU×5AceFSU serveraced Ella Durham+0.9
1713-4FSUFSU×5KillLexie Mason+0.6
1814-4FSUFSU×5AceFSU serveraced Ella Durham+0.4
1915-4FSUFSU×5AceFSU serveraced Ella Durham+0.2
2015-5FSULIPSCOKillAnna claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+0.1
2116-5LIPSCOFSUAttack errLexi Guinnblk Lexie Mason+0.1
2216-6FSULIPSCOKillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+0.1
2317-6LIPSCOFSUKillLexie Mason+0.1
2417-7FSULIPSCOServe errFSU server+0.1
2518-7LIPSCOFSUKillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+0.1
2618-8FSULIPSCOAttack errKyleene Filimauaset Caylan Russ+0.0
2719-8LIPSCOFSUKillKyleene Filimaua+0.1
2819-9FSULIPSCOKillAnna claire Brown+0.0
2920-9LIPSCOFSUKillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+0.0
3021-9FSUFSUAttack errBrooklyn Fuchsblk Bennett Raterman+0.0
3121-10FSULIPSCOKillAnna claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+0.0
3221-11LIPSCOLIPSCOKillLexi Guinnset Kelsey Schenck+0.0
3322-11LIPSCOFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Callie Kieffer+0.0
3422-12FSULIPSCOKillSydney Strenger+0.0
3523-12LIPSCOFSUKillSofia Mossset Callie Kieffer+0.0
3624-12FSUFSUAttack errSydney Strenger+0.0
3724-13FSULIPSCOServe errFSU server+0.0
3825-13LIPSCOFSUKillLexie Masonset Callie Kieffer+0.0
Set 3
10-1LIPSCOLIPSCOAttack errSofia Moss+3.5
20-2LIPSCOLIPSCOKillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+3.6
31-2LIPSCOFSU×4KillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+2.2
42-2FSUFSU×4KillKyleene Filimauaset Bailey Higgins+3.5
53-2FSUFSU×4Attack errSydney Strengerblk Kyleene Filimaua, Delaney Ewing+3.4
64-2FSUFSU×4KillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+3.3
74-3FSULIPSCOKillElla Durhamset Kelsey Schenck+2.1
85-3LIPSCOFSUFeed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+2.2
95-4FSULIPSCOKillElla Durhamset Kelsey Schenck+2.2
106-4LIPSCOFSUAttack errElla Durhamblk Nenu Kpea, Bailey Higgins+2.3
116-5FSULIPSCOAttack errKyleene Filimauablk Brooklyn Fuchs, Anna claire Brown+2.2
126-6LIPSCOLIPSCOAttack errKyleene Filimaua+3.7
137-6LIPSCOFSUKillLexie Masonset Victoria David+2.5
147-7FSULIPSCO×4Bad setCallie Kieffer+2.6
157-8LIPSCOLIPSCO×4Attack errSofia Mossblk Anna claire Brown, Sydney Strenger+4.1
167-9LIPSCOLIPSCO×4Attack errKyleene Filimaua+4.2
177-10LIPSCOLIPSCO×4KillSydney Strenger+4.2
188-10LIPSCOFSUAttack errLexi Guinnset Kelsey Schenck+2.4
198-11FSULIPSCOServe errFSU server+2.9
209-11LIPSCOFSU×3Serve errLIPSCO server+2.5
2110-11FSUFSU×3KillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+4.2
2211-11FSUFSU×3KillBailey Higginsset Maile Chan+4.4
2311-12FSULIPSCOKillLexi Guinnset Kelsey Schenck+3.1
2412-12LIPSCOFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+3.0
2512-13FSULIPSCOAttack errDelaney Ewingblk Sydney Strenger+3.3
2613-13LIPSCOFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+3.1
2713-14FSULIPSCOKillKelsey Schenckset Makenna Kirlin+3.4
2814-14LIPSCOFSUKillBailey Higginsset Kyleene Filimaua+3.3
2914-15FSULIPSCO×4KillAnna claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+3.6
3014-16LIPSCOLIPSCO×4Attack errKyleene Filimauablk Brooklyn Fuchs, Anna claire Brown+5.5
3114-17LIPSCOLIPSCO×4KillAnna claire Brownset Grace Jones+5.2
3214-18LIPSCOLIPSCO×4Attack errNenu Kpea+4.5
3315-18LIPSCOFSUServe errLIPSCO server+2.1
3415-19FSULIPSCOKillAnna claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+3.0
3516-19LIPSCOFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+2.1
3617-19FSUFSUAttack errAnna claire Brown+4.3
3717-20FSULIPSCO×5KillAnna claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+3.9
3817-21LIPSCOLIPSCO×5Attack errLexie Masonblk Sydney Strenger, Lexi Guinn+4.5
3917-22LIPSCOLIPSCO×5Attack errKyleene Filimaua+2.9
4017-23LIPSCOLIPSCO×5AceLIPSCO serveraced Kyleene Filimaua+1.4
4117-24LIPSCOLIPSCO×5Attack errSofia Moss+0.4
4218-24LIPSCOFSUServe errLIPSCO server+0.0
4318-25FSULIPSCOKillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+0.1
Set 4
10-1FSULIPSCOAttack errVictoria Davidset Emma Lilo+2.7
21-1LIPSCOFSU×5KillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+2.6
32-1FSUFSU×5Attack errKelsey Schenck+3.9
43-1FSUFSU×5KillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+3.7
54-1FSUFSU×5AceFSU serveraced Kenzie Kucks+3.5
65-1FSUFSU×5KillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+3.1
75-2FSULIPSCO×3KillElla Durham+1.9
85-3LIPSCOLIPSCO×3Attack errDelaney Ewingblk Brooklyn Fuchs+3.3
95-4LIPSCOLIPSCO×3AceLIPSCO serveraced Maile Chan+3.8
106-4LIPSCOFSU×3Serve errLIPSCO server+2.6
117-4FSUFSU×3KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+3.7
128-4FSUFSU×3AceFSU serveraced Kenzie Kucks+3.2
138-5FSULIPSCOKillElla Durhamset Kelsey Schenck+1.9
148-6LIPSCOLIPSCOAttack errNenu Kpea+3.5
159-6LIPSCOFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+2.5
1610-6FSUFSUAttack errLexi Guinn+3.4
1710-7FSULIPSCOKillAnna claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+1.9
1810-8LIPSCOLIPSCOKillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+3.6
1911-8LIPSCOFSU×4Serve errLIPSCO server+2.6
2012-8FSUFSU×4KillVictoria Davidset Callie Kieffer+3.5
2113-8FSUFSU×4Attack errAnna claire Brownblk Nenu Kpea, Victoria David+2.8
2214-8FSUFSU×4Attack errSydney Strenger+2.1
2314-9FSULIPSCOKillAnna claire Brownset Grace Jones+1.0
2415-9LIPSCOFSUAttack errLexi Guinnset Kyleene Filimaua+1.4
2515-10FSULIPSCOKillVictoria Davidset Bennett Raterman+1.0
2615-11LIPSCOLIPSCOAttack errVictoria David+2.2
2716-11LIPSCOFSUServe errLIPSCO server+1.9
2816-12FSULIPSCOKillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+1.4
2916-13LIPSCOLIPSCOAttack errDelaney Ewing+3.0
3017-13LIPSCOFSUAttack errKelsey Schenckblk Delaney Ewing+2.5
3117-14FSULIPSCOKillBrooklyn Fuchsset Kelsey Schenck+2.0
3218-14LIPSCOFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+2.5
3319-14FSUFSUKillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+2.7
3419-15FSULIPSCOKillElla Durhamset Kelsey Schenck+1.2
3519-16LIPSCOLIPSCOKillBrooklyn Fuchsset Kelsey Schenck+2.8
3620-16LIPSCOFSUServe errLIPSCO server+2.6
3720-17FSULIPSCOKillAnna claire Brownset Kelsey Schenck+1.8
3821-17LIPSCOFSUAttack errSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+2.6
3921-18FSULIPSCO×4KillLexi Guinnset Kelsey Schenck+1.6
4021-19LIPSCOLIPSCO×4AceLIPSCO serveraced Maile Chan+4.0
4121-20LIPSCOLIPSCO×4AceLIPSCO serveraced Maile Chan+6.3
4221-21LIPSCOLIPSCO×4AceLIPSCO serveraced Maile Chan+8.8
4322-21LIPSCOFSUKillVictoria Davidset Kyleene Filimaua+6.7
4422-22FSULIPSCO×3KillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+6.6
4522-23LIPSCOLIPSCO×3KillSydney Strengerset Kelsey Schenck+12.8
4622-24LIPSCOLIPSCO×3Attack errLexie Masonblk Ella Durham, Sydney Strenger+12.7
4723-24LIPSCOFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Callie Kieffer+4.4
4823-25FSULIPSCOKillElla Durhamset Kelsey Schenck+11.4

Score shown after each rally, Florida St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.