Final · 4 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayWCC

1:3

HomeBIG-SKY

Weber St. def. San Francisco 3–1

(25-18, 22-25, 25-13, 25-16)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
S FRAN	18	25	13	16	1
WEB ST	25	22	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WEB ST above 50 · S FRAN below

Biggest swing: 4.2% to San Francisco — set 2, S FRAN 24-22 WEB ST. Kill by Petra Fritz (set by Piper Justiss). WEB ST win probability 80% → 76%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

S FRAN 21.8%78.2% WEB ST

San Francisco wins

3-0

3.7%

3-1

7.3%

3-2

10.8%

Weber St. wins

3-0

29.8%

3-1

29.7%

3-2

18.7%

S FRAN break %: 40.4% vs this opp
WEB ST break %: 46.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Petra FritzKill+4.2%
Kill by Petra Fritz (set by Piper Justiss)
Set 2 · S FRAN 24-22 WEB ST · S FRAN 20% → 24%
02
Alexis CarlsonAttack error+3.4%
Alexis Carlson stuffed by Emma Neukirchen & Hokulani Perez
Set 2 · S FRAN 25-22 WEB ST · S FRAN 24% → 27%
03
Petra FritzKill+3.2%
Kill by Petra Fritz (set by Piper Justiss)
Set 3 · S FRAN 6-5 WEB ST · S FRAN 27% → 31%
04
Anica BobicAttack error+3.2%
Anica Bobic stuffed by Stacia Barker & Alexis Carlson
Set 2 · S FRAN 23-22 WEB ST · WEB ST 77% → 80%
05
Stacia BarkerAttack error+3.0%
Stacia Barker stuffed by Hokulani Perez
Set 3 · S FRAN 2-0 WEB ST · S FRAN 29% → 33%
06
WEB ST serverAce+3.0%
Weber St. ace on Team
Set 3 · S FRAN 6-7 WEB ST · WEB ST 72% → 75%
07
Emma NeukirchenAttack error+2.9%
Emma Neukirchen stuffed by Maggie Larsen & Ziya Munyer
Set 3 · S FRAN 3-3 WEB ST · WEB ST 69% → 72%
08
Jordan SmartBad set+2.8%
Bad set by Jordan Smart
Set 3 · S FRAN 4-5 WEB ST · WEB ST 72% → 75%

Official NCAA box

Box score

San Franciscoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
21Petra FritzOH	4	15	9	44	.136	0	1	5	7	2	0	2	1	17
12Katariina KorhonenOH	4	8	4	23	.174	1	0	2	9	3	0	1	0.5	8.5
14Emma NeukirchenMB	4	8	5	18	.167	1	0	4	1	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
16Maeve BaileyMB	4	3	2	12	.083	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	5
19Hokulani PerezMB	4	3	2	9	.111	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	5
13Jordan SmartS	4	0	0	2	.000	19	0	2	7	0	0	0	0	0
8Anica BobicOH	4	6	2	10	.400	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	8
3Piper JustissS	4	0	0	1	.000	17	1	1	5	1	0	0	0	1
11True TakemotoDS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	0	1	8	4	0	0	0	0
18Laura AmaroL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	24	120	.158	42	2	15	41	13	2	12	8	72

Weber St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
1Alexis CarlsonOH	4	10	4	22	.273	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
11Ziya MunyerMB	4	3	2	11	.091	0	5	2	0	0	4	2	10
5Rose MooreOPP	4	8	6	22	.091	0	0	2	4	0	2	1	9
19Stacia BarkerMB	4	6	2	10	.400	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	7
2Morgan PrattS	4	0	0	0	–	16	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
6Maggie LarsenOH	3	6	1	24	.208	0	4	0	1	0	1	0.5	10.5
12Katelynn AlbanoL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	2	1	3	2	0	0	2
3Addison EastwoodS	4	1	0	1	1.000	14	0	2	4	0	1	0.5	1.5
9Marly PrattL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	1	1	21	0	0	0	1
4Ashlyn AaronOPP	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
18Reagan WilliamsL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
14Tennille GonderOH	2	6	2	11	.364	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	7
Team totals		40	17	101	.228	35	13	9	41	2	12	6	97

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 S FRAN · WEB ST 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 S FRANWEB ST 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 6 S FRANWEB ST 3

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 2 S FRANWEB ST 6

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 2 S FRANWEB ST 4

Bars above the line = Weber St. leads, below = San Francisco leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

San Francisco

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	42%5/12
2	53%8/15	11%1/9
3	53%8/15	43%6/14
4	73%8/11	56%10/18
5	27%7/26	33%4/12
6	40%6/15	13%1/8
All	47%45/96	37%27/73

Weber St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%9/15	50%8/16
2	73%8/11	43%6/14
3	57%8/14	53%9/17
4	47%8/17	27%3/11
5	70%7/10	68%15/22
6	100%6/6	63%10/16
All	63%46/73	53%51/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

169 rallies

Rally log

#	S FRAN-WEB ST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	WEB ST	WEB ST	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+1.7
2	1-1	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+1.4
3	1-2	S FRAN	WEB ST×3	Kill	Stacia Barker	set Morgan Pratt	+1.3
4	1-3	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Kill	Ziya Munyer		+1.6
5	1-4	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Attack err	Emma Neukirchen	blk Ziya Munyer, Rose Moore	+1.5
6	2-4	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.1
7	2-5	S FRAN	WEB ST	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.1
8	2-6	WEB ST	WEB ST	Attack err	Hokulani Perez		+1.3
9	3-6	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.0
10	4-6	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Ziya Munyer		+1.5
11	4-7	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Maggie Larsen	set Morgan Pratt	+1.2
12	5-7	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Anica Bobic	set Piper Justiss	+1.2
13	5-8	S FRAN	WEB ST×4	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Morgan Pratt	+1.2
14	5-9	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Kill	Rose Moore	set Morgan Pratt	+1.4
15	5-10	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Ace	WEB ST server	aced Laura Amaro	+1.2
16	5-11	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Bad set	Piper Justiss		+0.9
17	6-11	WEB ST	S FRAN	Attack err	Alexis Carlson		+0.6
18	7-11	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Rose Moore		+1.0
19	7-12	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Morgan Pratt	+0.9
20	8-12	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Piper Justiss	+0.8
21	8-13	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Stacia Barker	set Morgan Pratt	+0.9
22	8-14	WEB ST	WEB ST	Attack err	Emma Neukirchen		+0.9
23	9-14	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Hokulani Perez	+0.6
24	9-15	S FRAN	WEB ST	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+0.7
25	9-16	WEB ST	WEB ST	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen		+0.6
26	10-16	WEB ST	S FRAN×3	Serve err	WEB ST server		+0.3
27	11-16	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+0.7
28	12-16	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Katariina Korhonen	+1.0
29	12-17	S FRAN	WEB ST×4	Kill	Ziya Munyer	set Morgan Pratt	+0.9
30	12-18	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Kill	Maggie Larsen	set Morgan Pratt	+0.9
31	12-19	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Kill	Rose Moore	set Morgan Pratt	+0.5
32	12-20	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Kill	Maggie Larsen		+0.3
33	13-20	WEB ST	S FRAN×3	Serve err	WEB ST server		+0.1
34	14-20	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Maggie Larsen	blk Maeve Bailey, Anica Bobic	+0.3
35	15-20	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Ace	S FRAN server	aced Katelynn Albano	+0.5
36	15-21	S FRAN	WEB ST	Serve err	S FRAN server		+0.5
37	16-21	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Anica Bobic	set Piper Justiss	+0.3
38	17-21	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen		+0.7
39	17-22	S FRAN	WEB ST×3	Serve err	S FRAN server		+0.8
40	17-23	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Kill	Stacia Barker	set Addison Eastwood	+0.5
41	17-24	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen		+0.2
42	18-24	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Piper Justiss	+0.0
43	18-25	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Addison Eastwood	+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson		+1.0
2	1-1	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.1
3	1-2	S FRAN	WEB ST×3	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.0
4	1-3	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Ace	WEB ST server	aced True Takemoto	+1.3
5	1-4	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Attack err	Hokulani Perez		+1.1
6	2-4	WEB ST	S FRAN	Serve err	WEB ST server		+0.9
7	3-4	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Rose Moore	blk Maeve Bailey, Petra Fritz	+1.3
8	3-5	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Maggie Larsen	set Morgan Pratt	+1.0
9	4-5	WEB ST	S FRAN×3	Kill	Hokulani Perez	set Jordan Smart	+1.0
10	5-5	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Rose Moore	blk Petra Fritz, Maeve Bailey	+1.5
11	6-5	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Anica Bobic	set True Takemoto	+1.7
12	6-6	S FRAN	WEB ST	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+1.2
13	7-6	WEB ST	S FRAN	Serve err	WEB ST server		+1.3
14	8-6	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Anica Bobic	set Piper Justiss	+1.8
15	8-7	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Rose Moore	set Morgan Pratt	+1.3
16	9-7	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Piper Justiss	+1.5
17	9-8	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Morgan Pratt	+1.3
18	9-9	WEB ST	WEB ST	Attack err	Emma Neukirchen		+1.8
19	10-9	WEB ST	S FRAN×3	Serve err	WEB ST server		+1.5
20	11-9	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Rose Moore	blk Katariina Korhonen, Hokulani Perez	+2.0
21	12-9	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Alexis Carlson		+2.1
22	12-10	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Morgan Pratt	+1.4
23	12-11	WEB ST	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Morgan Pratt	+1.9
24	13-11	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Hokulani Perez	set Jordan Smart	+1.7
25	13-12	S FRAN	WEB ST	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.5
26	14-12	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.8
27	14-13	S FRAN	WEB ST	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+1.6
28	14-14	WEB ST	WEB ST	Attack err	Petra Fritz	blk Rose Moore, Ziya Munyer	+2.2
29	15-14	WEB ST	S FRAN×6	Kill	Hokulani Perez	set Jordan Smart	+1.8
30	16-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Attack err	Rose Moore		+2.5
31	17-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Piper Justiss	+2.5
32	18-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Kill	Anica Bobic	set Piper Justiss	+2.3
33	19-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Kill	Anica Bobic	set True Takemoto	+1.9
34	20-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Attack err	Ziya Munyer		+1.4
35	20-15	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Maggie Larsen	set Morgan Pratt	+0.6
36	20-16	WEB ST	WEB ST	Bad set	Piper Justiss		+1.2
37	21-16	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Piper Justiss	+1.4
38	22-16	S FRAN	S FRAN	Ace	S FRAN server	aced Katelynn Albano	+1.2
39	22-17	S FRAN	WEB ST×3	Serve err	S FRAN server		+0.4
40	22-18	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Ace	WEB ST server	aced Katariina Korhonen	+0.9
41	22-19	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Kill	Ziya Munyer		+1.4
42	23-19	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Piper Justiss	+1.8
43	23-20	S FRAN	WEB ST×3	Serve err	S FRAN server		+0.8
44	23-21	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen	blk Stacia Barker, Addison Eastwood	+1.9
45	23-22	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Attack err	Anica Bobic	blk Stacia Barker, Alexis Carlson	+3.2
46	24-22	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Piper Justiss	+4.2
47	25-22	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Alexis Carlson	blk Emma Neukirchen, Hokulani Perez	+3.4
Set 3
1	1-0	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+2.2
2	2-0	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Stacia Barker	blk Hokulani Perez	+3.0
3	2-1	S FRAN	WEB ST	Serve err	S FRAN server		+2.2
4	3-1	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+2.4
5	3-2	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Rose Moore	set Addison Eastwood	+2.2
6	3-3	WEB ST	WEB ST	Attack err	Emma Neukirchen	blk Maggie Larsen, Ziya Munyer	+2.9
7	4-3	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+2.4
8	4-4	S FRAN	WEB ST	Serve err	S FRAN server		+2.2
9	4-5	WEB ST	WEB ST	Bad set	Jordan Smart		+2.8
10	5-5	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set True Takemoto	+2.3
11	6-5	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Piper Justiss	+3.2
12	6-6	S FRAN	WEB ST×6	Kill	Maggie Larsen	set Addison Eastwood	+2.4
13	6-7	WEB ST	WEB ST×6	Ace	WEB ST server	aced Team	+3.0
14	6-8	WEB ST	WEB ST×6	Ace	WEB ST server	aced True Takemoto	+2.8
15	6-9	WEB ST	WEB ST×6	Bad set	Piper Justiss		+2.5
16	6-10	WEB ST	WEB ST×6	Ace	WEB ST server	aced Katariina Korhonen	+2.1
17	6-11	WEB ST	WEB ST×6	Attack err	Maeve Bailey		+1.8
18	7-11	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Piper Justiss	+1.2
19	7-12	S FRAN	WEB ST×5	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.3
20	7-13	WEB ST	WEB ST×5	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Addison Eastwood	+1.4
21	7-14	WEB ST	WEB ST×5	Ace	WEB ST server	aced Katariina Korhonen	+1.0
22	7-15	WEB ST	WEB ST×5	Ace	WEB ST server	aced True Takemoto	+0.7
23	7-16	WEB ST	WEB ST×5	Attack err	Maeve Bailey		+0.4
24	8-16	WEB ST	S FRAN	Serve err	WEB ST server		+0.2
25	8-17	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Stacia Barker	set Addison Eastwood	+0.3
26	8-18	WEB ST	WEB ST	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen		+0.2
27	9-18	WEB ST	S FRAN	Serve err	WEB ST server		+0.1
28	9-19	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Stacia Barker	set Addison Eastwood	+0.1
29	10-19	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+0.1
30	11-19	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+0.2
31	11-20	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Tennille Gonder	set Katelynn Albano	+0.2
32	12-20	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+0.1
33	12-21	S FRAN	WEB ST	Serve err	S FRAN server		+0.2
34	13-21	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Emma Neukirchen	+0.1
35	13-22	S FRAN	WEB ST×4	Kill	Tennille Gonder	set Marly Pratt	+0.1
36	13-23	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+0.0
37	13-24	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Ace	WEB ST server	aced True Takemoto	+0.0
38	13-25	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Attack err	Anica Bobic	blk Ziya Munyer, Ashlyn Aaron	+0.0
Set 4
1	1-0	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Alexis Carlson		+2.3
2	2-0	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+2.5
3	2-1	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Addison Eastwood	+1.7
4	2-2	WEB ST	WEB ST	Ace	WEB ST server	aced Laura Amaro	+2.3
5	3-2	WEB ST	S FRAN	Attack err	Rose Moore		+1.9
6	3-3	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Tennille Gonder	set Marly Pratt	+1.8
7	3-4	WEB ST	WEB ST	Ace	WEB ST server	aced Petra Fritz	+2.2
8	4-4	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.8
9	5-4	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Tennille Gonder	blk Anica Bobic	+2.6
10	5-5	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Tennille Gonder	set Addison Eastwood	+1.9
11	6-5	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Piper Justiss	+2.0
12	6-6	S FRAN	WEB ST	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.9
13	6-7	WEB ST	WEB ST	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+2.4
14	7-7	WEB ST	S FRAN	Serve err	WEB ST server		+2.0
15	7-8	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Addison Eastwood	set Marly Pratt	+1.9
16	7-9	WEB ST	WEB ST	Ace	WEB ST server	aced Piper Justiss	+2.3
17	8-9	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Piper Justiss	+1.8
18	8-10	S FRAN	WEB ST×3	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.8
19	8-11	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Kill	Stacia Barker	set Addison Eastwood	+2.1
20	8-12	WEB ST	WEB ST×3	Kill	Rose Moore	set Addison Eastwood	+1.8
21	9-12	WEB ST	S FRAN	Serve err	WEB ST server		+1.3
22	9-13	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Rose Moore	set Addison Eastwood	+1.4
23	10-13	WEB ST	S FRAN	Attack err	Tennille Gonder		+1.3
24	10-14	S FRAN	WEB ST	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.4
25	10-15	WEB ST	WEB ST	Kill	Tennille Gonder	set Addison Eastwood	+1.5
26	11-15	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+0.9
27	12-15	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Rose Moore	blk Maeve Bailey	+1.7
28	12-16	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Rose Moore	set Addison Eastwood	+1.5
29	12-17	WEB ST	WEB ST	Bad set	Piper Justiss		+1.5
30	13-17	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Piper Justiss	+0.9
31	13-18	S FRAN	WEB ST	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.1
32	14-18	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Piper Justiss	+0.9
33	14-19	S FRAN	WEB ST×4	Kill	Alexis Carlson	set Morgan Pratt	+1.1
34	14-20	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Ace	WEB ST server	aced Petra Fritz	+0.9
35	14-21	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+0.5
36	14-22	WEB ST	WEB ST×4	Attack err	Petra Fritz		+0.2
37	15-22	WEB ST	S FRAN	Attack err	Stacia Barker		+0.1
38	15-23	S FRAN	WEB ST	Attack err	Emma Neukirchen		+0.1
39	16-23	WEB ST	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+0.0
40	16-24	S FRAN	WEB ST	Kill	Rose Moore	set Addison Eastwood	+0.1
41	16-25	WEB ST	WEB ST	Kill	Tennille Gonder	set Marly Pratt	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, San Francisco first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.