FinalTue, Sep 1, 2026

San Francisco def. CSU Bakersfield 3–0

San Francisco beat visiting CSU Bakersfield 3-0 (25-18, 25-18, 25-16) on Tue, Sep 1, 2026. San Francisco's Katariina Korhonen led with 13 kills, and Jordan Smart added 11 digs.

Data through · final Sep 1

Set123Sets
CSUBAK1818160
S FRAN2525253

Win probability

San Francisco above 50 · CSU Bakersfield below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.1% S FRANrally 127 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.1% to San Francisco — set 2, CSUBAK 17-19 S FRAN. Attack error by Nele Broszat. S FRAN win probability 76% → 81%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CSUBAK 44.1%55.9% S FRAN

CSU Bakersfield wins

3-0
10.2%
3-1
16.3%
3-2
17.6%

San Francisco wins

3-0
15.1%
3-1
21.2%
3-2
19.6%
CSUBAK break %
42.2% vs this opp
S FRAN break %
43.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Nele BroszatAttack error+4.1%

    Attack error by Nele Broszat

    Set 2 · CSUBAK 17-19 S FRAN · S FRAN 76% → 81%

  2. 02
    Jordan SmartBad set+3.9%

    Bad set by Jordan Smart

    Set 2 · CSUBAK 17-17 S FRAN · CSUBAK 23% → 27%

  3. 03

    Kill by Katariina Korhonen (set by Jordan Smart)

    Set 2 · CSUBAK 17-20 S FRAN · S FRAN 81% → 84%

  4. 04

    Kill by Katariina Korhonen (set by True Takemoto)

    Set 2 · CSUBAK 17-18 S FRAN · S FRAN 73% → 76%

  5. 05
    Defne YanikBlock+3.1%

    Maeve Bailey stuffed by Defne Yanik

    Set 2 · CSUBAK 14-15 S FRAN · CSUBAK 20% → 23%

  6. 06

    Leylah Duran stuffed by Katariina Korhonen

    Set 2 · CSUBAK 9-10 S FRAN · S FRAN 73% → 76%

  7. 07

    Kill by Katariina Korhonen (set by True Takemoto)

    Set 1 · CSUBAK 7-8 S FRAN · S FRAN 55% → 58%

  8. 08
    Anna BacchinAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Anna Bacchin

    Set 2 · CSUBAK 9-11 S FRAN · S FRAN 76% → 78%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39225.280001920009
36629.000011110007
3218.12510030111.53.5
3218.12500010010.52.5
3102.5001302300001
2316.33300000111.54.5
35214.21400030010.55.5
3000–110600001
3000–101100000
2011-1.000601400000
2000–001200000
1022-1.000000000000
1001.000000000000
1001.000100100000
1000–000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals281697.124232735624452
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313226.4230107010115
312326.34601251010.513.5
37116.37510110111.58.5
36313.231000100217
3124-.250000100001
3001.00014111000001
36113.38510010010.56.5
3000–15311100003
2000–800410000
1000–00000010.50.5
1011-1.000000000000
1000–002600000
Team totals4513100.320396747226575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CSUBAK · S FRAN 7

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 CSUBAKS FRAN 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 4 CSUBAKS FRAN 7

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 CSUBAKS FRAN 4

Bars above the line = San Francisco leads, below = CSU Bakersfield leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

CSU Bakersfield

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
13%1/8
2
55%6/11
46%6/13
3
67%6/9
45%5/11
4
60%6/10
25%2/8
5
40%6/15
0%0/6
6
33%5/15
25%2/8
All
49%36/73
30%16/54

San Francisco

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
58%7/12
2
47%7/15
36%4/11
3
67%6/9
40%4/10
4
86%6/7
50%6/12
5
86%6/7
14%1/7
6
86%6/7
71%15/21
All
70%38/54
51%37/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#CSUBAK-S FRANSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CSUBAKS FRANServe errCSU Bakersfield+1.8
20-2S FRANS FRANAceSan Franciscoaced Suelen Lima+2.4
31-2S FRANCSUBAKAttack errPetra Fritz+1.7
42-2CSUBAKCSUBAKKillDefne Yanikset Luiza Da Cruz+2.5
52-3CSUBAKS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Adelynn Legates+1.9
62-4S FRANS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Emma Neukirchen+2.5
73-4S FRANCSUBAK×3Attack errMaeve Bailey+1.8
84-4CSUBAKCSUBAK×3AceCSU Bakersfieldaced True Takemoto+2.6
95-4CSUBAKCSUBAK×3KillNele Broszat+2.7
105-5CSUBAKS FRANKillMaeve Baileyset Adelynn Legates+2.0
116-5S FRANCSUBAKKillNele Broszatset Ella Pallagi+2.1
126-6CSUBAKS FRANKillMaeve Baileyset Jordan Smart+2.0
137-6S FRANCSUBAKBlockedKatariina Korhonenblk Jordyn Waite-Ward, Nele Broszat+2.1
147-7CSUBAKS FRAN×3KillKatariina Korhonenset Jordan Smart+2.1
157-8S FRANS FRAN×3KillKatariina Korhonenset True Takemoto+2.9
167-9S FRANS FRAN×3KillAnica Bobicset Jordan Smart+2.8
178-9S FRANCSUBAKKillJordyn Waite-Wardset Samantha Capinpin+2.0
188-10CSUBAKS FRANKillAnica Bobicset Jordan Smart+2.2
198-11S FRANS FRANAttack errJordyn Waite-Ward+2.7
209-11S FRANCSUBAKKillDefne Yanikset Samantha Capinpin+1.9
219-12CSUBAKS FRANBlockedAnna Bacchinblk Emma Neukirchen+2.1
229-13S FRANS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Adelynn Legates+2.5
2310-13S FRANCSUBAKAttack errPetra Fritz+1.6
2411-13CSUBAKCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Analiese Gagliano+2.6
2511-14CSUBAKS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Adelynn Legates+2.2
2612-14S FRANCSUBAKKillLeylah Duranset Luiza Da Cruz+2.0
2712-15CSUBAKS FRANKillMaeve Baileyset Adelynn Legates+2.3
2812-16S FRANS FRANAceSan Franciscoaced Anna Bacchin+2.7
2913-16S FRANCSUBAKKillLuiza Da Cruz+1.6
3013-17CSUBAKS FRANKillAnica Bobicset Jordan Smart+2.0
3114-17S FRANCSUBAKServe errSan Francisco+1.6
3214-18CSUBAKS FRAN×3KillMaeve Baileyset Jordan Smart+2.1
3314-19S FRANS FRAN×3KillEmma Neukirchenset Anica Bobic+2.1
3414-20S FRANS FRAN×3KillKatariina Korhonenset True Takemoto+1.4
3515-20S FRANCSUBAKKillSuelen Lima+0.6
3615-21CSUBAKS FRANKillAnica Bobicset Suelen Lima+0.9
3715-22S FRANS FRANAttack errDefne Yanik+0.6
3816-22S FRANCSUBAKKillJordyn Waite-Wardset Samantha Capinpin+0.2
3917-22CSUBAKCSUBAKAttack errHokulani Perez+0.5
4017-23CSUBAKS FRANServe errCSU Bakersfield+0.7
4117-24S FRANS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Adelynn Legates+0.3
4218-24S FRANCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Luiza Da Cruz·
4318-25CSUBAKS FRANServe errCSU Bakersfield+0.1
Set 2
11-0S FRANCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Luiza Da Cruz+1.7
21-1CSUBAKS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset True Takemoto+1.7
32-1S FRANCSUBAK×4KillAnna Bacchinset Luiza Da Cruz+1.8
43-1CSUBAKCSUBAK×4KillAnna Bacchinset Luiza Da Cruz+2.4
54-1CSUBAKCSUBAK×4BlockedPetra Fritzblk Defne Yanik, Leylah Duran+2.4
65-1CSUBAKCSUBAK×4KillSuelen Limaset Boden Liljedahl+2.2
75-2CSUBAKS FRANKillHokulani Perezset Adelynn Legates+1.5
86-2S FRANCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+1.7
96-3CSUBAKS FRAN×4Attack errAnna Bacchin+1.5
106-4S FRANS FRAN×4Attack errSamantha Capinpin+2.3
116-5S FRANS FRAN×4KillPetra Fritzset True Takemoto+2.5
126-6S FRANS FRAN×4AceSan Francisco+2.6
137-6S FRANCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Samantha Capinpin+2.0
147-7CSUBAKS FRANKillPetra Fritzset True Takemoto+2.0
158-7S FRANCSUBAKServe errSan Francisco+2.1
168-8CSUBAKS FRANServe errCSU Bakersfield+2.0
179-8S FRANCSUBAKKillJordyn Waite-Wardset Samantha Capinpin+2.1
189-9CSUBAKS FRAN×4KillAnica Bobicset Luiza Da Cruz+2.1
199-10S FRANS FRAN×4BlockedLeylah Duranblk Katariina Korhonen+2.9
209-11S FRANS FRAN×4Attack errAnna Bacchin+2.8
219-12S FRANS FRAN×4Serve errSan Francisco+2.7
2210-12S FRANCSUBAKKillNele Broszatset Luiza Da Cruz+1.8
2311-12CSUBAKCSUBAKAttack errKatariina Korhonen+2.8
2411-13CSUBAKS FRANKillEmma Neukirchenset Adelynn Legates+2.3
2511-14S FRANS FRANKillEmma Neukirchenset True Takemoto+2.8
2612-14S FRANCSUBAKBlockedHokulani Perezblk Nele Broszat+1.9
2712-15CSUBAKS FRANServe errCSU Bakersfield+2.2
2813-15S FRANCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+1.9
2914-15CSUBAKCSUBAKBlockedMaeve Baileyblk Defne Yanik+3.1
3014-16CSUBAKS FRANServe errCSU Bakersfield+2.6
3115-16S FRANCSUBAKServe errSan Francisco+2.4
3215-17CSUBAKS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+2.7
3316-17S FRANCSUBAKKillJordyn Waite-Wardset Samantha Capinpin+2.5
3417-17CSUBAKCSUBAKBad setJordan Smart+3.9
3517-18CSUBAKS FRAN×7KillKatariina Korhonenset True Takemoto+3.1
3617-19S FRANS FRAN×7Attack errNele Broszat+4.1
3717-20S FRANS FRAN×7KillKatariina Korhonenset Jordan Smart+3.5
3817-21S FRANS FRAN×7KillAnica Bobicset Jordan Smart+2.7
3917-22S FRANS FRAN×7KillKatariina Korhonenset True Takemoto+1.7
4017-23S FRANS FRAN×7KillEmma Neukirchenset Samantha Capinpin+0.8
4117-24S FRANS FRAN×7KillKatariina Korhonenset Jordan Smart+0.3
4218-24S FRANCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Defne Yanik·
4318-25CSUBAKS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Jordan Smart+0.1
Set 3
10-1CSUBAKS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Adelynn Legates+1.1
21-1S FRANCSUBAK×3KillJordyn Waite-Wardset Luiza Da Cruz+1.1
32-1CSUBAKCSUBAK×3KillSuelen Lima+1.5
43-1CSUBAKCSUBAK×3Attack errEmma Neukirchen+1.5
53-2CSUBAKS FRANKillEmma Neukirchenset Adelynn Legates+1.1
64-2S FRANCSUBAKAttack errMaeve Bailey+1.2
74-3CSUBAKS FRANKillPetra Fritzset Adelynn Legates+1.1
85-3S FRANCSUBAKAttack errAnica Bobic+1.2
96-3CSUBAKCSUBAKBad setJordan Smart+1.6
106-4CSUBAKS FRANBlockedSuelen Limablk Maeve Bailey, Petra Fritz+1.1
117-4S FRANCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+1.2
127-5CSUBAKS FRAN×3Serve errCSU Bakersfield+1.1
137-6S FRANS FRAN×3KillEmma Neukirchenset Jordan Smart+1.6
147-7S FRANS FRAN×3Attack errAnna Bacchin+1.7
158-7S FRANCSUBAKServe errSan Francisco+1.3
168-8CSUBAKS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Jordan Smart+1.3
179-8S FRANCSUBAKServe errSan Francisco+1.4
189-9CSUBAKS FRANKillKatariina Korhonenset Adelynn Legates+1.3
1910-9S FRANCSUBAKKillAnna Bacchinset Luiza Da Cruz+1.4
2011-9CSUBAKCSUBAKAceCSU Bakersfieldaced Petra Fritz+1.9
2111-10CSUBAKS FRAN×4KillEmma Neukirchenset Adelynn Legates+1.3
2211-11S FRANS FRAN×4Attack errJordyn Waite-Ward+1.9
2311-12S FRANS FRAN×4KillMaeve Baileyset Adelynn Legates+2.0
2411-13S FRANS FRAN×4KillPetra Fritz+2.0
2512-13S FRANCSUBAKServe errSan Francisco+1.4
2612-14CSUBAKS FRAN×3KillPetra Fritzset Adelynn Legates+1.5
2712-15S FRANS FRAN×3AceSan Francisco+1.9
2812-16S FRANS FRAN×3Attack errSuelen Lima+1.6
2913-16S FRANCSUBAKKillLeylah Duranset Luiza Da Cruz+1.0
3013-17CSUBAKS FRANBlockedAnna Bacchinblk Maeve Bailey, Anica Bobic+1.2
3113-18S FRANS FRANAceSan Francisco+1.3
3214-18S FRANCSUBAKKillSuelen Limaset Luiza Da Cruz+0.7
3314-19CSUBAKS FRAN×4KillMaeve Baileyset Jordan Smart+0.9
3414-20S FRANS FRAN×4KillKatariina Korhonenset Jordan Smart+0.8
3514-21S FRANS FRAN×4KillPetra Fritzset Jordan Smart+0.5
3614-22S FRANS FRAN×4Attack errReese Jackson+0.2
3715-22S FRANCSUBAKServe errSan Francisco+0.1
3816-22CSUBAKCSUBAKAttack errTalula Lenoir+0.2
3916-23CSUBAKS FRAN×3Attack errReese Jackson+0.2
4016-24S FRANS FRAN×3BlockedAnna Bacchinblk Emma Neukirchen, Simona Ivanova+0.1
4116-25S FRANS FRAN×3AceSan Franciscoaced Suelen Lima·

Score shown after each rally, CSU Bakersfield first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).