FinalSun, Sep 6, 2026

AwayWCC

3:0

HomeSUN-BELT

San Francisco def. ULM 3–0

(25-22, 26-24, 25-18)

Set	1	2*	3	Sets
S FRAN	25	26	25	3
LA MON	22	24	18	0

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

LA MON above 50 · S FRAN below

Biggest swing: 7.7% to ULM — set 2, S FRAN 24-24 LA MON. ULM ace on Laura Amaro. LA MON win probability 13% → 20%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

S FRAN 66.1%33.9% LA MON

San Francisco wins

3-0

20.7%

3-1

25.4%

3-2

20.0%

ULM wins

3-0

6.8%

3-1

12.1%

3-2

15.0%

S FRAN break %: 44.6% vs this opp
LA MON break %: 41.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
LA MON serverAce+7.7%
ULM ace on Laura Amaro
Set 2 · S FRAN 24-24 LA MON · LA MON 13% → 20%
02
S FRAN serverAce+7.3%
San Francisco ace on Eden Pietrzak
Set 2 · S FRAN 26-24 LA MON · S FRAN 86% → 93%
03
Anica BobicKill+5.8%
Kill by Anica Bobic (set by Adelynn Legates)
Set 2 · S FRAN 25-24 LA MON · S FRAN 80% → 86%
04
Maeve BaileyKill+5.6%
Kill by Maeve Bailey (set by Adelynn Legates)
Set 1 · S FRAN 23-21 LA MON · S FRAN 70% → 75%
05
Abby CunninghamKill+4.8%
Kill by Abby Cunningham (set by Morgan Howard)
Set 1 · S FRAN 20-20 LA MON · LA MON 30% → 35%
06
Katariina KorhonenKill+4.5%
Kill by Katariina Korhonen (set by Jordan Smart)
Set 1 · S FRAN 22-21 LA MON · S FRAN 65% → 70%
07
Talula LenoirKill+4.4%
Kill by Talula Lenoir (set by Jordan Smart)
Set 1 · S FRAN 19-18 LA MON · S FRAN 64% → 69%
08
Kenzie BehlKill+4.3%
Kill by Kenzie Behl (set by Morgan Howard)
Set 1 · S FRAN 17-18 LA MON · LA MON 34% → 39%

Official NCAA box

Box score

San Franciscoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Katariina KorhonenOH	3	10	7	35	.086	0	1	3	4	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
14Emma NeukirchenMB	3	5	2	13	.231	1	2	1	8	0	2	3	3.5	10.5
21Petra FritzOH	3	8	1	23	.304	1	1	4	9	0	0	2	1	10
16Maeve BaileyMB	3	5	1	9	.444	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	6
1Talula LenoirOH	3	4	3	14	.071	1	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
13Jordan SmartS	3	2	0	3	.667	11	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	2
8Anica BobicOH	3	7	0	12	.583	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
18Laura AmaroL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	4	1	0	14	1	0	0	0	1
4Adelynn LegatesS	2	1	0	1	1.000	11	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
3Piper JustissS	2	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0
11True TakemotoDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	14	112	.250	32	5	10	52	3	2	10	7	76

ULMhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Abby CunninghamOH	3	12	6	38	.158	1	2	2	9	1	1	0.5	14.5
7Kenzie BehlMB	3	7	3	21	.190	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	7.5
3Marissa KobelskiMB	3	4	1	14	.214	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
14Tatum ClayMB	3	4	2	11	.182	0	0	1	3	0	2	1	5
15Morgan HowardS	3	1	1	3	.000	18	0	2	6	0	1	0.5	1.5
4Briana RaneyDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	4	1	0	0	1
10Grace TroxellOH	3	4	0	14	.286	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
12Olivia AndersonS	3	1	1	3	.000	8	0	1	5	0	0	0	1
16Eden PietrzakL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	2	15	1	0	0	0
22Gracie DiNardoOH	2	1	1	6	.000	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	1.5
20Myla MatavaoOH	2	1	4	7	-.429	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1
Team totals		35	19	117	.137	30	3	8	47	5	10	5	64

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 S FRAN · LA MON 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 3 S FRANLA MON 3

Set 2*

26-24

Longest run 7 S FRANLA MON 3

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 6 S FRANLA MON 4

Bars above the line = ULM leads, below = San Francisco leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

San Francisco

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	38%3/8
2	50%5/10	44%4/9
3	71%5/7	58%7/12
4	100%5/5	38%3/8
5	80%4/5	33%2/6
6	80%4/5	43%3/7
All	70%28/40	44%22/50

ULM

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	20%1/5
2	56%5/9	38%3/8
3	42%5/12	50%5/10
4	63%5/8	29%2/7
5	67%4/6	0%0/5
6	57%4/7	20%1/5
All	56%28/50	30%12/40

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

140 rallies

Rally log

#	S FRAN-LA MON	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Kenzie Behl	blk Petra Fritz, Emma Neukirchen	+2.2
2	1-1	S FRAN	LA MON	Bad set	Jordan Smart		+1.7
3	1-2	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Emma Neukirchen		+2.4
4	2-2	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Emma Neukirchen	+1.7
5	2-3	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+1.8
6	3-3	LA MON	S FRAN	Attack err	Tatum Clay		+1.8
7	4-3	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+2.4
8	4-4	S FRAN	LA MON×3	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Olivia Anderson	+1.8
9	4-5	LA MON	LA MON×3	Kill	Tatum Clay		+2.5
10	4-6	LA MON	LA MON×3	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen		+2.6
11	5-6	LA MON	S FRAN	Attack err	Myla Matavao		+1.9
12	5-7	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Olivia Anderson	+2.1
13	6-7	LA MON	S FRAN	Attack err	Abby Cunningham		+1.9
14	7-7	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Myla Matavao		+2.6
15	7-8	S FRAN	LA MON	Serve err	S FRAN server		+2.1
16	8-8	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Adelynn Legates	+2.0
17	8-9	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Myla Matavao	set Morgan Howard	+2.2
18	9-9	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Anica Bobic	set Adelynn Legates	+2.1
19	9-10	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Marissa Kobelski	set Morgan Howard	+2.2
20	10-10	LA MON	S FRAN	Attack err	Abby Cunningham	blk Emma Neukirchen	+2.2
21	11-10	S FRAN	S FRAN	Ace	S FRAN server	aced Briana Raney	+2.9
22	11-11	S FRAN	LA MON	Serve err	S FRAN server		+2.2
23	12-11	LA MON	S FRAN	Serve err	LA MON server		+2.2
24	13-11	S FRAN	S FRAN	Ace	S FRAN server	aced Abby Cunningham	+2.9
25	13-12	S FRAN	LA MON	Attack err	Talula Lenoir	blk Abby Cunningham, Grace Troxell	+2.1
26	14-12	LA MON	S FRAN	Serve err	LA MON server		+2.2
27	14-13	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Abby Cunningham	+2.2
28	15-13	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Anica Bobic	set Adelynn Legates	+2.3
29	15-14	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Marissa Kobelski	set Olivia Anderson	+2.2
30	16-14	LA MON	S FRAN	Serve err	LA MON server		+2.4
31	16-15	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Morgan Howard	+2.3
32	16-16	LA MON	LA MON	Ace	LA MON server	aced Team	+3.6
33	17-16	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Adelynn Legates	+2.9
34	17-17	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+2.9
35	17-18	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Morgan Howard	+4.3
36	18-18	LA MON	S FRAN×3	Serve err	LA MON server		+3.1
37	19-18	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Talula Lenoir	set Jordan Smart	+4.4
38	20-18	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Talula Lenoir	+4.1
39	20-19	S FRAN	LA MON	Serve err	S FRAN server		+2.8
40	20-20	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+4.8
41	21-20	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+4.0
42	21-21	S FRAN	LA MON	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen		+4.0
43	22-21	LA MON	S FRAN×3	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+4.5
44	23-21	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Adelynn Legates	+5.6
45	24-21	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Anica Bobic		+3.8
46	24-22	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+1.2
47	25-22	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Anica Bobic	set Adelynn Legates	+2.6
Set 2
1	1-0	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Talula Lenoir	set Laura Amaro	+1.4
2	1-1	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Morgan Howard	+1.5
3	1-2	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Talula Lenoir		+2.0
4	2-2	LA MON	S FRAN	Serve err	LA MON server		+1.5
5	2-3	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Morgan Howard	+1.6
6	2-4	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Tatum Clay		+2.2
7	3-4	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Laura Amaro	+1.5
8	3-5	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Olivia Anderson	set Petra Fritz	+1.7
9	3-6	LA MON	LA MON	Ace	LA MON server	aced Team	+2.2
10	4-6	LA MON	S FRAN	Serve err	LA MON server		+1.5
11	4-7	S FRAN	LA MON	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.7
12	4-8	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Petra Fritz	blk Marissa Kobelski, Grace Troxell	+2.2
13	5-8	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Adelynn Legates	+1.4
14	5-9	S FRAN	LA MON	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen		+1.7
15	6-9	LA MON	S FRAN×7	Kill	Adelynn Legates	set Petra Fritz	+1.4
16	7-9	S FRAN	S FRAN×7	Attack err	Myla Matavao		+2.1
17	8-9	S FRAN	S FRAN×7	Attack err	Myla Matavao		+2.3
18	9-9	S FRAN	S FRAN×7	Attack err	Abby Cunningham	blk Emma Neukirchen	+2.4
19	10-9	S FRAN	S FRAN×7	Kill	Jordan Smart	set Morgan Howard	+2.4
20	11-9	S FRAN	S FRAN×7	Attack err	Kenzie Behl		+2.3
21	12-9	S FRAN	S FRAN×7	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.1
22	12-10	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Morgan Howard		+1.5
23	13-10	LA MON	S FRAN	Attack err	Kenzie Behl	blk Petra Fritz, Emma Neukirchen	+1.6
24	13-11	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Marissa Kobelski	set Morgan Howard	+1.5
25	14-11	LA MON	S FRAN	Attack err	Abby Cunningham	blk Talula Lenoir, Emma Neukirchen	+1.7
26	15-11	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen		+1.9
27	15-12	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Morgan Howard	+1.2
28	15-13	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Eden Pietrzak	+2.1
29	16-13	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Talula Lenoir		+1.8
30	16-14	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Olivia Anderson	+1.6
31	17-14	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Adelynn Legates	+1.9
32	17-15	S FRAN	LA MON	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.6
33	18-15	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Anica Bobic	set Adelynn Legates	+1.9
34	19-15	S FRAN	S FRAN	Attack err	Marissa Kobelski		+2.1
35	19-16	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Olivia Anderson	+1.2
36	19-17	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Gracie DiNardo	set Morgan Howard	+2.2
37	20-17	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Adelynn Legates	+2.1
38	20-18	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Morgan Howard	+1.7
39	21-18	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Talula Lenoir	set Jordan Smart	+2.2
40	21-19	S FRAN	LA MON	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen	blk Marissa Kobelski, Kenzie Behl	+1.7
41	22-19	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Eden Pietrzak	+2.3
42	23-19	S FRAN	S FRAN	Ace	S FRAN server	aced Team	+2.0
43	23-20	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Tatum Clay	+0.7
44	23-21	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen	blk Tatum Clay, Morgan Howard	+1.9
45	24-21	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+2.5
46	24-22	S FRAN	LA MON×3	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.0
47	24-23	LA MON	LA MON×3	Kill	Tatum Clay	set Morgan Howard	+3.2
48	24-24	LA MON	LA MON×3	Ace	LA MON server	aced Laura Amaro	+7.7
49	25-24	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Anica Bobic	set Adelynn Legates	+5.8
50	26-24	S FRAN	S FRAN	Ace	S FRAN server	aced Eden Pietrzak	+7.3
Set 3
1	0-1	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Morgan Howard	+0.9
2	1-1	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+0.8
3	1-2	S FRAN	LA MON×4	Serve err	S FRAN server		+0.9
4	1-3	LA MON	LA MON×4	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen		+1.2
5	1-4	LA MON	LA MON×4	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Eden Pietrzak	+1.2
6	1-5	LA MON	LA MON×4	Attack err	Talula Lenoir		+1.2
7	2-5	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Jordan Smart	+0.8
8	2-6	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Olivia Anderson	+0.9
9	3-6	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Jordan Smart	set Abby Cunningham	+0.8
10	4-6	S FRAN	S FRAN	Bad set	Olivia Anderson		+1.1
11	4-7	S FRAN	LA MON	Attack err	Katariina Korhonen	blk Tatum Clay, Gracie DiNardo	+1.0
12	5-7	LA MON	S FRAN	Attack err	Gracie DiNardo	blk Maeve Bailey, Anica Bobic	+0.9
13	5-8	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Marissa Kobelski	set Olivia Anderson	+1.0
14	5-9	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Maeve Bailey		+1.3
15	6-9	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Anica Bobic	set Morgan Howard	+0.8
16	7-9	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Piper Justiss	+1.2
17	7-10	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Kenzie Behl	set Morgan Howard	+1.1
18	8-10	LA MON	S FRAN×3	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Piper Justiss	+0.9
19	9-10	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Laura Amaro	+1.3
20	10-10	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Abby Cunningham	+1.4
21	10-11	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Eden Pietrzak	+1.1
22	10-12	LA MON	LA MON	Attack err	Emma Neukirchen		+1.5
23	11-12	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Petra Fritz	set Jordan Smart	+1.1
24	12-12	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Emma Neukirchen		+1.5
25	12-13	S FRAN	LA MON	Serve err	S FRAN server		+1.2
26	12-14	LA MON	LA MON	Kill	Abby Cunningham	set Olivia Anderson	+1.7
27	13-14	LA MON	S FRAN×6	Kill	Emma Neukirchen	set Tatum Clay	+1.1
28	14-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+1.6
29	15-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+1.7
30	16-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Attack err	Olivia Anderson		+1.6
31	17-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Attack err	Abby Cunningham	blk Maeve Bailey, Katariina Korhonen	+1.4
32	18-14	S FRAN	S FRAN×6	Attack err	Tatum Clay		+1.1
33	18-15	S FRAN	LA MON	Serve err	S FRAN server		+0.7
34	19-15	LA MON	S FRAN	Kill	Katariina Korhonen	set Jordan Smart	+0.9
35	19-16	S FRAN	LA MON	Serve err	S FRAN server		+0.7
36	20-16	LA MON	S FRAN	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.9
37	21-16	S FRAN	S FRAN	Kill	Maeve Bailey	set Piper Justiss	+0.8
38	21-17	S FRAN	LA MON	Bad set	Piper Justiss		+0.4
39	22-17	LA MON	S FRAN×3	Serve err	LA MON server		+0.6
40	23-17	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Attack err	Morgan Howard		+0.4
41	24-17	S FRAN	S FRAN×3	Ace	S FRAN server	aced Team	+0.1
42	24-18	S FRAN	LA MON	Kill	Grace Troxell	set Morgan Howard	+0.0
43	25-18	LA MON	S FRAN	Attack err	Abby Cunningham		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, San Francisco first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.