FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwaySWAC

0:3

HomeSOUTHLAND

Southeastern La. def. Texas Southern 3–0

(25-13, 25-12, 25-13)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
TX SOU	13	12	13	0
SE LA	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SE LA above 50 · TX SOU below

Biggest swing: 0.5% to Texas Southern — set 1, TX SOU 3-3 SE LA. Texas Southern ace on Team. SE LA win probability 96% → 96%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TX SOU 4.1%95.9% SE LA

Texas Southern wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

1.1%

3-2

2.5%

Southeastern La. wins

3-0

58.4%

3-1

28.8%

3-2

8.8%

TX SOU break %: 37.5% vs this opp
SE LA break %: 50.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
TX SOU serverAce+0.5%
Texas Southern ace on Team
Set 1 · TX SOU 3-3 SE LA · TX SOU 4% → 4%
02
Gracie MannKill+0.5%
Kill by Gracie Mann (set by Ashley Richardson)
Set 1 · TX SOU 5-7 SE LA · SE LA 96% → 97%
03
SE LA serverService error+0.5%
Southeastern La. service error
Set 1 · TX SOU 5-5 SE LA · TX SOU 4% → 4%
04
Gracie LeeKill+0.5%
Kill by Gracie Lee (set by Ava Ray)
Set 1 · TX SOU 4-4 SE LA · TX SOU 4% → 4%
05
Lauren BattleKill+0.4%
Kill by Lauren Battle (set by Ava Ray)
Set 1 · TX SOU 2-3 SE LA · TX SOU 3% → 4%
06
Gracie MannKill+0.4%
Kill by Gracie Mann (set by Ashley Richardson)
Set 1 · TX SOU 5-6 SE LA · SE LA 96% → 96%
07
TX SOU serverService error+0.4%
Texas Southern service error
Set 1 · TX SOU 4-5 SE LA · SE LA 96% → 96%
08
Ava HoustonAttack error+0.4%
Ava Houston stuffed by Ashley Richardson & Ainsley Driska
Set 1 · TX SOU 5-8 SE LA · SE LA 97% → 97%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Texas Southernaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
14Lauren BattleOH	3	5	2	21	.143	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5
3Gracie LeeOH	3	3	1	14	.143	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
20Aaliyah BrownMB	3	1	2	4	-.250	0	1	0	1	0	2	1	3
2Lacey KusnierOH	3	1	5	12	-.333	0	1	0	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
7Morgynne McQueenMB	3	1	1	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
11Ava RayS	3	0	0	1	.000	12	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
6Ava HoustonMB	3	5	4	17	.059	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
4Selana MoralesOH	3	1	1	6	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
1Keagan St. JuniousL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	7	2	0	0	1
21Aliyah Spencer	2	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Lauanna PinoL/DS	2	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
16Kadence DavisonS	2	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
15Kaiulani SherrowS	2	0	1	1	-1.000	2	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
12Keldri YoungOH	2	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
10Emory HarperOPP	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Kennedi WalkerS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		17	21	87	-.046	17	3	2	23	5	4	2	38

Southeastern La.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Kyra McKelveyOPP	3	10	4	17	.353	2	1	0	8	0	0	2	1	12
2Abby BaileyOH	3	7	2	15	.333	1	1	2	2	0	0	2	1	9
13Keira BeverlyMB	3	5	2	13	.231	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	7.5
4Ainsley DriskaMB	3	4	0	4	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
12Ashley RichardsonS	3	2	0	3	.667	18	0	0	3	0	1	3	2.5	4.5
8Melina GonzalezOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	5	0	0	0	0	1
19Gracie MannOH	3	15	4	27	.407	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	15
23Audrey VielguthL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	4	2	1	13	0	0	0	0	2
1Brea PayneS	3	1	0	1	1.000	15	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
15Lauren OssmannS	3	1	0	1	1.000	4	0	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
21Kaelyn SharpL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
10Gracie BrownMB	2	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
33Carissa YoungOPP	2	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
5Mina PetrovicOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	13	88	.386	44	5	5	44	3	1	18	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 TX SOU · SE LA 10

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 3 TX SOUSE LA 6

Set 2

12-25

Longest run 2 TX SOUSE LA 5

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 3 TX SOUSE LA 10

Bars above the line = Southeastern La. leads, below = Texas Southern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Texas Southern

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%6/10	0%0/5
2	55%6/11	40%4/10
3	38%5/13	25%2/8
4	16%4/25	17%1/6
5	80%4/5	20%1/5
6	33%3/9	33%2/6
All	38%28/73	25%10/40

Southeastern La.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%6/6	50%4/8
2	60%6/10	50%6/12
3	75%6/8	50%6/12
4	71%5/7	55%6/11
5	100%4/4	83%20/24
6	60%3/5	50%3/6
All	75%30/40	62%45/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

113 rallies

Rally log

#	TX SOU-SE LA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	TX SOU	SE LA×3	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.4
2	0-2	SE LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.4
3	0-3	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Lacey Kusnier	blk Kyra McKelvey, Keira Beverly	+0.3
4	1-3	SE LA	TX SOU×3	Kill	Morgynne McQueen	set Ava Ray	+0.3
5	2-3	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Ava Ray	+0.4
6	3-3	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Ace	TX SOU server	aced Team	+0.5
7	3-4	TX SOU	SE LA	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Ashley Richardson	+0.4
8	4-4	SE LA	TX SOU	Kill	Gracie Lee	set Ava Ray	+0.5
9	4-5	TX SOU	SE LA	Serve err	TX SOU server		+0.4
10	5-5	SE LA	TX SOU	Serve err	SE LA server		+0.5
11	5-6	TX SOU	SE LA×6	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Ashley Richardson	+0.4
12	5-7	SE LA	SE LA×6	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Ashley Richardson	+0.5
13	5-8	SE LA	SE LA×6	Attack err	Ava Houston	blk Ashley Richardson, Ainsley Driska	+0.4
14	5-9	SE LA	SE LA×6	Attack err	Lauren Battle	blk Ashley Richardson, Ainsley Driska	+0.3
15	5-10	SE LA	SE LA×6	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Abby Bailey	+0.2
16	5-11	SE LA	SE LA×6	Kill	Ashley Richardson	set Kyra McKelvey	+0.2
17	6-11	SE LA	TX SOU	Attack err	Gracie Mann		+0.1
18	6-12	TX SOU	SE LA	Attack err	Lacey Kusnier		+0.1
19	7-12	SE LA	TX SOU	Kill	Ava Houston	set Kadence Davison	+0.1
20	7-13	TX SOU	SE LA×4	Attack err	Lacey Kusnier	blk Kyra McKelvey, Ainsley Driska	+0.1
21	7-14	SE LA	SE LA×4	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Audrey Vielguth	+0.1
22	7-15	SE LA	SE LA×4	Ace	SE LA server	aced Keldri Young	+0.1
23	7-16	SE LA	SE LA×4	Attack err	Lacey Kusnier		+0.0
24	8-16	SE LA	TX SOU	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey		+0.0
25	8-17	TX SOU	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.0
26	9-17	SE LA	TX SOU	Serve err	SE LA server		+0.0
27	10-17	TX SOU	TX SOU	Kill	Gracie Lee	set Ava Ray	+0.0
28	10-18	TX SOU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.1
29	11-18	SE LA	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Keagan St. Junious	+0.0
30	11-19	TX SOU	SE LA	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Ashley Richardson	+0.0
31	12-19	SE LA	TX SOU	Kill	Aaliyah Brown	set Ava Ray	+0.0
32	13-19	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Gracie Mann	blk Gracie Lee, Aaliyah Brown	+0.1
33	13-20	TX SOU	SE LA×6	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Brea Payne	+0.1
34	13-21	SE LA	SE LA×6	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Brea Payne	+0.0
35	13-22	SE LA	SE LA×6	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Brea Payne	+0.0
36	13-23	SE LA	SE LA×6	Ace	SE LA server	aced Team	+0.0
37	13-24	SE LA	SE LA×6	Ace	SE LA server	aced Team	+0.0
38	13-25	SE LA	SE LA×6	Attack err	Lauren Battle		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.3
2	1-1	SE LA	TX SOU	Attack err	Keira Beverly		+0.3
3	1-2	TX SOU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.2
4	1-3	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Ashley Richardson	+0.3
5	2-3	SE LA	TX SOU	Kill	Ava Houston	set Ava Ray	+0.2
6	2-4	TX SOU	SE LA×5	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Audrey Vielguth	+0.2
7	2-5	SE LA	SE LA×5	Kill	Brea Payne	set Kyra McKelvey	+0.2
8	2-6	SE LA	SE LA×5	Ace	SE LA server	aced Keagan St. Junious	+0.2
9	2-7	SE LA	SE LA×5	Attack err	Ava Houston	blk Abby Bailey, Keira Beverly	+0.1
10	2-8	SE LA	SE LA×5	Attack err	Aaliyah Brown	blk Brea Payne, Keira Beverly	+0.1
11	3-8	SE LA	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Ava Ray	+0.1
12	3-9	TX SOU	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Brea Payne	+0.1
13	4-9	SE LA	TX SOU	Attack err	Gracie Mann		+0.1
14	5-9	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Keira Beverly		+0.1
15	5-10	TX SOU	SE LA	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Brea Payne	+0.1
16	5-11	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Gracie Mann		+0.1
17	6-11	SE LA	TX SOU	Serve err	SE LA server		+0.1
18	6-12	TX SOU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Brea Payne	+0.1
19	6-13	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Brea Payne	+0.1
20	7-13	SE LA	TX SOU	Kill	Selana Morales	set Kaiulani Sherrow	+0.1
21	7-14	TX SOU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Brea Payne	+0.1
22	8-14	SE LA	TX SOU	Kill	Ava Houston	set Ava Ray	+0.1
23	8-15	TX SOU	SE LA×3	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Brea Payne	+0.1
24	8-16	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Morgynne McQueen	blk Abby Bailey, Keira Beverly	+0.0
25	8-17	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Ava Houston		+0.0
26	9-17	SE LA	TX SOU	Kill	Ava Houston	set Ava Ray	+0.0
27	9-18	TX SOU	SE LA	Serve err	TX SOU server		+0.0
28	10-18	SE LA	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Ava Ray	+0.0
29	10-19	TX SOU	SE LA×3	Kill	Lauren Ossmann	set Brea Payne	+0.0
30	10-20	SE LA	SE LA×3	Ace	SE LA server	aced Keagan St. Junious	+0.0
31	10-21	SE LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Abby Bailey	+0.0
32	11-21	SE LA	TX SOU	Serve err	SE LA server		+0.0
33	11-22	TX SOU	SE LA	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Lauren Ossmann	+0.0
34	12-22	SE LA	TX SOU	Kill	Gracie Lee	set Kaiulani Sherrow	+0.0
35	12-23	TX SOU	SE LA×3	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Lauren Ossmann	+0.0
36	12-24	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Keldri Young	blk Gracie Brown, Lauren Ossmann	+0.0
37	12-25	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Aliyah Spencer		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	TX SOU	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.1
2	1-1	SE LA	TX SOU	Attack err	Abby Bailey		+0.1
3	1-2	TX SOU	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Audrey Vielguth	+0.1
4	2-2	SE LA	TX SOU	Kill	Ava Houston	set Ava Ray	+0.1
5	2-3	TX SOU	SE LA×3	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Ashley Richardson	+0.1
6	2-4	SE LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Ashley Richardson	+0.1
7	2-5	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Selana Morales	blk Keira Beverly, Ashley Richardson	+0.1
8	3-5	SE LA	TX SOU	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey		+0.1
9	3-6	TX SOU	SE LA×10	Attack err	Lauanna Pino		+0.1
10	3-7	SE LA	SE LA×10	Attack err	Gracie Lee	blk Ashley Richardson	+0.1
11	3-8	SE LA	SE LA×10	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Ashley Richardson	+0.1
12	3-9	SE LA	SE LA×10	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Ashley Richardson	+0.0
13	3-10	SE LA	SE LA×10	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Ashley Richardson	+0.0
14	3-11	SE LA	SE LA×10	Attack err	Aliyah Spencer		+0.0
15	3-12	SE LA	SE LA×10	Attack err	Kaiulani Sherrow		+0.0
16	3-13	SE LA	SE LA×10	Kill	Ashley Richardson	set Gracie Lee	+0.0
17	3-14	SE LA	SE LA×10	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Ashley Richardson	+0.0
18	3-15	SE LA	SE LA×10	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Brea Payne	+0.0
19	4-15	SE LA	TX SOU	Kill	Lacey Kusnier	set Kadence Davison	+0.0
20	4-16	TX SOU	SE LA	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Brea Payne	+0.0
21	5-16	SE LA	TX SOU×3	Attack err	Gracie Mann		+0.0
22	6-16	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Ace	TX SOU server	aced Team	+0.0
23	7-16	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey		+0.0
24	7-17	TX SOU	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Brea Payne	+0.0
25	8-17	SE LA	TX SOU	Attack err	Abby Bailey		+0.0
26	8-18	TX SOU	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Brea Payne	+0.0
27	8-19	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Ava Houston		+0.0
28	9-19	SE LA	TX SOU	Kill	Lauren Battle	set Ava Ray	+0.0
29	10-19	TX SOU	TX SOU	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey	blk Lacey Kusnier, Aaliyah Brown	+0.0
30	10-20	TX SOU	SE LA×3	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Brea Payne	+0.0
31	10-21	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Aaliyah Brown		+0.0
32	10-22	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Lacey Kusnier		+0.0
33	11-22	SE LA	TX SOU×3	Serve err	SE LA server		+0.0
34	12-22	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Attack err	Carissa Young		+0.0
35	13-22	TX SOU	TX SOU×3	Ace	TX SOU server	aced Team	+0.0
36	13-23	TX SOU	SE LA×3	Kill	Gracie Brown	set Lauren Ossmann	+0.0
37	13-24	SE LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Lauren Ossmann	+0.0
38	13-25	SE LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Carissa Young	set Audrey Vielguth	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Texas Southern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.