Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayAMERICAN

1:3

HomeSOUTHLAND

Southeastern La. def. Charlotte 3–1

(25-18, 25-23, 13-25, 25-17)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
CHAR	18	23	25	17	1
SE LA	25	25	13	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SE LA above 50 · CHAR below

Biggest swing: 9.7% to Southeastern La. — set 2, CHAR 23-25 SE LA. Kill by Gracie Mann (set by Brea Payne). SE LA win probability 78% → 88%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

CHAR 48.3%51.7% SE LA

Charlotte wins

3-0

11.8%

3-1

18.0%

3-2

18.5%

Southeastern La. wins

3-0

13.2%

3-1

19.5%

3-2

19.0%

CHAR break %: 43.0% vs this opp
SE LA break %: 43.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Gracie MannKill+9.7%
Kill by Gracie Mann (set by Brea Payne)
Set 2 · CHAR 23-25 SE LA · SE LA 78% → 88%
02
Abby BaileyKill+7.4%
Kill by Abby Bailey (set by Ashley Richardson)
Set 2 · CHAR 23-24 SE LA · SE LA 71% → 78%
03
Kyra McKelveyKill+6.5%
Kill by Kyra McKelvey (set by Ashley Richardson)
Set 2 · CHAR 21-22 SE LA · SE LA 69% → 76%
04
Keira BeverlyKill+5.8%
Kill by Keira Beverly (set by Ashley Richardson)
Set 2 · CHAR 22-23 SE LA · SE LA 71% → 77%
05
Clara BrileyKill+5.6%
Kill by Clara Briley (set by Harper Hall)
Set 2 · CHAR 23-23 SE LA · CHAR 23% → 29%
06
Mariam MushkudianiKill+4.8%
Kill by Mariam Mushkudiani (set by Harper Hall)
Set 2 · CHAR 22-22 SE LA · CHAR 24% → 29%
07
Kyra McKelveyKill+4.7%
Kill by Kyra McKelvey (set by Ashley Richardson)
Set 2 · CHAR 19-19 SE LA · SE LA 65% → 69%
08
Elena KovacevicKill+4.4%
Kill by Elena Kovacevic (set by Harper Hall)
Set 2 · CHAR 21-20 SE LA · CHAR 31% → 35%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Charlotteaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Elena KovacevicOH	4	14	7	40	.175	1	0	2	4	1	0	2	1	15
2Clara BrileyOH	4	11	7	32	.125	0	0	1	7	2	0	2	1	12
19Sofia LocadiaMB	4	5	2	12	.250	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	2.5	7.5
8Milan CannonMB	4	3	0	7	.429	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	5.5
3Harper HallS	4	0	1	2	-.500	36	2	0	9	0	0	0	0	2
10Sara MarinkovicOH	2	1	3	8	-.250	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
15Mariam MushkudianiOH	4	12	3	29	.310	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	13
16Kennedy EarlsL/DS	4	2	0	2	1.000	0	2	1	3	2	0	0	0	4
9Chloe MaughanL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	6	3	1	22	3	0	0	0	3
6Cassidy FlakesMB	2	1	1	2	.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1
18Gia McGrewOH	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
13Milena LopezS	1	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		49	24	136	.184	48	7	6	54	9	3	10	8	83

Southeastern La.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Abby BaileyOH	4	10	3	21	.333	0	3	1	6	1	0	2	1	14
4Ainsley DriskaMB	4	9	3	25	.240	0	0	0	2	0	2	3	3.5	12.5
17Kyra McKelveyOPP	4	10	4	27	.222	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
13Keira BeverlyMB	4	7	4	17	.176	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	8
8Melina GonzalezOH	4	0	2	6	-.333	0	2	1	3	1	0	0	0	2
12Ashley RichardsonS	3	2	0	4	.500	27	2	1	3	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
19Gracie MannOH	4	8	1	17	.412	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8
23Audrey VielguthL/DS	4	1	0	2	.500	2	0	1	16	3	0	0	0	1
1Brea PayneS	4	0	1	2	-.500	16	1	2	7	0	0	0	0	1
10Gracie BrownMB	3	1	1	2	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
21Kaelyn SharpL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
15Lauren OssmannS	2	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
5Mina PetrovicOH	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	19	127	.228	47	9	7	47	7	2	10	7	88

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 9 CHAR · SE LA 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 5 CHARSE LA 5

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 CHARSE LA 2

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 9 CHARSE LA 3

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 2 CHARSE LA 4

Bars above the line = Southeastern La. leads, below = Charlotte leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Charlotte

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	48%10/21	27%3/11
2	75%9/12	58%14/24
3	53%9/17	25%3/12
4	57%8/14	47%7/15
5	50%6/12	47%7/15
6	55%6/11	14%1/7
All	55%48/87	42%35/84

Southeastern La.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	45%10/22	56%10/18
2	60%9/15	47%8/17
3	62%8/13	36%5/14
4	53%8/15	33%4/12
5	73%8/11	43%6/14
6	75%6/8	50%6/12
All	58%49/84	45%39/87

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

171 rallies

Rally log

#	CHAR-SE LA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	SE LA	SE LA×4	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Ashley Richardson	+2.5
2	0-2	SE LA	SE LA×4	Bad set	Harper Hall		+2.4
3	0-3	SE LA	SE LA×4	Ace	SE LA server	aced Clara Briley	+2.3
4	0-4	SE LA	SE LA×4	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Ashley Richardson	+2.2
5	1-4	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Elena Kovacevic	+1.5
6	1-5	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+1.7
7	1-6	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Clara Briley		+2.0
8	2-6	SE LA	CHAR	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey		+1.3
9	2-7	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+1.5
10	3-7	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Chloe Maughan	+1.3
11	3-8	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+1.6
12	3-9	SE LA	SE LA	Ace	SE LA server	aced Elena Kovacevic	+1.8
13	4-9	SE LA	CHAR	Serve err	SE LA server		+1.1
14	4-10	CHAR	SE LA	Attack err	Clara Briley	blk Lauren Ossmann, Keira Beverly	+1.3
15	4-11	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Sofia Locadia		+1.4
16	5-11	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.8
17	5-12	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Audrey Vielguth	+1.1
18	6-12	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+0.8
19	6-13	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Brea Payne	+1.1
20	7-13	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+0.8
21	7-14	CHAR	SE LA	Attack err	Sara Marinkovic		+1.0
22	8-14	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+0.8
23	8-15	CHAR	SE LA×5	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Brea Payne	+1.0
24	8-16	SE LA	SE LA×5	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Brea Payne	+0.9
25	8-17	SE LA	SE LA×5	Attack err	Sara Marinkovic		+0.6
26	8-18	SE LA	SE LA×5	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Brea Payne	+0.4
27	8-19	SE LA	SE LA×5	Attack err	Elena Kovacevic		+0.2
28	9-19	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+0.1
29	9-20	CHAR	SE LA	Attack err	Cassidy Flakes		+0.1
30	10-20	SE LA	CHAR×5	Kill	Cassidy Flakes	set Milena Lopez	+0.0
31	11-20	CHAR	CHAR×5	Kill	Kennedy Earls	set Chloe Maughan	+0.1
32	12-20	CHAR	CHAR×5	Kill	Clara Briley	set Milena Lopez	+0.2
33	13-20	CHAR	CHAR×5	Kill	Kennedy Earls	set Milena Lopez	+0.3
34	14-20	CHAR	CHAR×5	Ace	CHAR server	aced Mina Petrovic	+0.5
35	14-21	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Ashley Richardson	+0.7
36	15-21	SE LA	CHAR	Serve err	SE LA server		+0.3
37	15-22	CHAR	SE LA	Serve err	CHAR server		+0.5
38	16-22	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Milena Lopez	+0.2
39	17-22	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+0.5
40	17-23	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Ashley Richardson	+0.7
41	18-23	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+0.3
42	18-24	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+0.5
43	18-25	SE LA	SE LA	Ace	SE LA server	aced Chloe Maughan	+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	CHAR	SE LA	Attack err	Elena Kovacevic		+1.8
2	0-2	SE LA	SE LA	Ace	SE LA server	aced Chloe Maughan	+2.4
3	1-2	SE LA	CHAR×4	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+1.8
4	2-2	CHAR	CHAR×4	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey	blk Milan Cannon, Elena Kovacevic	+2.5
5	3-2	CHAR	CHAR×4	Ace	CHAR server	aced Audrey Vielguth	+2.5
6	4-2	CHAR	CHAR×4	Attack err	Melina Gonzalez		+2.5
7	4-3	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Ashley Richardson	+1.8
8	5-3	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+2.0
9	5-4	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+1.9
10	6-4	SE LA	CHAR×3	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+2.0
11	7-4	CHAR	CHAR×3	Ace	CHAR server	aced Audrey Vielguth	+2.6
12	8-4	CHAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+2.4
13	8-5	CHAR	SE LA	Serve err	CHAR server		+1.6
14	9-5	SE LA	CHAR	Attack err	Abby Bailey	blk Sofia Locadia	+1.8
15	9-6	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Ashley Richardson	+1.6
16	10-6	SE LA	CHAR	Attack err	Keira Beverly		+1.9
17	10-7	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Audrey Vielguth		+1.6
18	11-7	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Chloe Maughan	+1.9
19	11-8	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Ashley Richardson	set Gracie Mann	+1.7
20	11-9	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+2.6
21	12-9	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+2.2
22	12-10	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+2.0
23	13-10	SE LA	CHAR	Attack err	Ainsley Driska		+2.3
24	13-11	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+2.0
25	14-11	SE LA	CHAR	Serve err	SE LA server		+2.3
26	14-12	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Ashley Richardson	+2.1
27	14-13	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+3.2
28	15-13	SE LA	CHAR×3	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+2.7
29	16-13	CHAR	CHAR×3	Ace	CHAR server	aced Team	+3.3
30	17-13	CHAR	CHAR×3	Attack err	Keira Beverly	blk Sofia Locadia	+2.9
31	17-14	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+1.7
32	17-15	SE LA	SE LA	Ace	SE LA server	aced Kennedy Earls	+2.9
33	18-15	SE LA	CHAR	Bad set	Ashley Richardson		+2.7
34	18-16	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Ashley Richardson	+2.2
35	18-17	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Harper Hall	blk Ashley Richardson, Ainsley Driska	+3.7
36	19-17	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+3.3
37	19-18	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Ashley Richardson	+2.9
38	19-19	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+4.7
39	20-19	SE LA	CHAR	Serve err	SE LA server		+3.9
40	20-20	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Ashley Richardson	+3.8
41	21-20	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+4.4
42	21-21	CHAR	SE LA	Serve err	CHAR server		+4.2
43	21-22	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+6.5
44	22-22	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+4.8
45	22-23	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Ashley Richardson	+5.8
46	23-23	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+5.6
47	23-24	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Ashley Richardson	+7.4
48	23-25	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Brea Payne	+9.7
Set 3
1	1-0	SE LA	CHAR×3	Attack err	Ainsley Driska	blk Milan Cannon, Clara Briley	+1.2
2	2-0	CHAR	CHAR×3	Attack err	Melina Gonzalez	blk Mariam Mushkudiani, Milan Cannon	+1.6
3	3-0	CHAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+1.5
4	3-1	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Ashley Richardson	+1.1
5	3-2	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Ashley Richardson	+1.5
6	4-2	SE LA	CHAR×3	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+1.2
7	5-2	CHAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+1.6
8	6-2	CHAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+1.5
9	6-3	CHAR	SE LA	Serve err	CHAR server		+1.0
10	6-4	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani	blk Ainsley Driska, Abby Bailey	+1.5
11	7-4	SE LA	CHAR×5	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+1.3
12	8-4	CHAR	CHAR×5	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+1.5
13	9-4	CHAR	CHAR×5	Ace	CHAR server	aced Audrey Vielguth	+1.4
14	10-4	CHAR	CHAR×5	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Chloe Maughan	+1.2
15	11-4	CHAR	CHAR×5	Attack err	Abby Bailey		+1.0
16	11-5	CHAR	SE LA	Attack err	Elena Kovacevic	blk Ainsley Driska	+0.6
17	12-5	SE LA	CHAR	Attack err	Keira Beverly		+0.7
18	12-6	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Brea Payne	+0.5
19	13-6	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+0.7
20	13-7	CHAR	SE LA	Serve err	CHAR server		+0.5
21	13-8	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Clara Briley		+0.9
22	14-8	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.9
23	14-9	CHAR	SE LA×3	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Brea Payne	+0.7
24	14-10	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Clara Briley		+1.2
25	14-11	SE LA	SE LA×3	Ace	SE LA server	aced Team	+1.5
26	15-11	SE LA	CHAR×9	Serve err	SE LA server		+1.3
27	16-11	CHAR	CHAR×9	Attack err	Ainsley Driska		+1.5
28	17-11	CHAR	CHAR×9	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey		+1.1
29	18-11	CHAR	CHAR×9	Attack err	Gracie Mann		+0.8
30	19-11	CHAR	CHAR×9	Attack err	Abby Bailey	blk Milan Cannon	+0.5
31	20-11	CHAR	CHAR×9	Ace	CHAR server	aced Abby Bailey	+0.3
32	21-11	CHAR	CHAR×9	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+0.1
33	22-11	CHAR	CHAR×9	Attack err	Gracie Brown		+0.0
34	23-11	CHAR	CHAR×9	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+0.0
35	23-12	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Ashley Richardson	set Gracie Brown	+0.0
36	24-12	SE LA	CHAR	Attack err	Kyra McKelvey	blk Mariam Mushkudiani, Elena Kovacevic	+0.0
37	24-13	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Gracie Brown	set Ashley Richardson	+0.0
38	25-13	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+0.0
Set 4
1	1-0	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+3.2
2	2-0	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Chloe Maughan	+3.2
3	2-1	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Brea Payne	+2.4
4	2-2	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Elena Kovacevic		+3.3
5	3-2	SE LA	CHAR	Serve err	SE LA server		+2.6
6	3-3	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Kyra McKelvey	set Brea Payne	+2.6
7	4-3	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Chloe Maughan	+2.6
8	4-4	CHAR	SE LA	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani		+2.6
9	4-5	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani	blk Keira Beverly, Abby Bailey	+3.5
10	5-5	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+2.7
11	6-5	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+3.6
12	6-6	CHAR	SE LA×4	Serve err	CHAR server		+2.7
13	6-7	SE LA	SE LA×4	Attack err	Elena Kovacevic		+3.7
14	6-8	SE LA	SE LA×4	Ace	SE LA server	aced Kennedy Earls	+3.7
15	6-9	SE LA	SE LA×4	Ace	SE LA server	aced Chloe Maughan	+3.5
16	7-9	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+2.5
17	7-10	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Brea Payne	+2.7
18	7-11	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Sofia Locadia		+3.3
19	8-11	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+2.2
20	9-11	CHAR	CHAR	Attack err	Brea Payne		+3.4
21	9-12	CHAR	SE LA×4	Attack err	Clara Briley		+2.9
22	9-13	SE LA	SE LA×4	Attack err	Clara Briley	blk Kyra McKelvey, Ainsley Driska	+3.4
23	9-14	SE LA	SE LA×4	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Brea Payne	+2.9
24	9-15	SE LA	SE LA×4	Attack err	Elena Kovacevic	blk Ainsley Driska	+2.3
25	10-15	SE LA	CHAR	Serve err	SE LA server		+1.3
26	10-16	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Ainsley Driska	set Brea Payne	+1.7
27	10-17	SE LA	SE LA	Ace	SE LA server	aced Clara Briley	+1.6
28	11-17	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+0.8
29	12-17	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+1.5
30	12-18	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Brea Payne	+1.6
31	13-18	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+1.1
32	14-18	CHAR	CHAR	Ace	CHAR server	aced Melina Gonzalez	+2.1
33	14-19	CHAR	SE LA	Attack err	Elena Kovacevic		+2.2
34	14-20	SE LA	SE LA	Kill	Keira Beverly	set Brea Payne	+2.0
35	15-20	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Sara Marinkovic	+0.9
36	15-21	CHAR	SE LA	Kill	Abby Bailey	set Audrey Vielguth	+1.4
37	15-22	SE LA	SE LA	Attack err	Sara Marinkovic		+0.9
38	16-22	SE LA	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.3
39	17-22	CHAR	CHAR	Attack err	Keira Beverly	blk Clara Briley, Sofia Locadia	+0.7
40	17-23	CHAR	SE LA×3	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Brea Payne	+1.0
41	17-24	SE LA	SE LA×3	Attack err	Clara Briley		+0.5
42	17-25	SE LA	SE LA×3	Kill	Gracie Mann	set Brea Payne	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Charlotte first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.