Central Ark. vs Colorado Volleyball: Colorado Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

0:3

Colorado beat visiting Central Ark. 3-0 (25-13, 27-25, 25-18) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. Colorado's Ana Burilovic led with 14 kills, and Sydney Jordan added 11 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 1:50 PM CT · final Aug 29

Set	1	2	3	Sets
C ARK	13	25	18	0
COLO	25	27	25	3

Win probability

Colorado above 50 · Central Ark. below

Biggest swing: 1.1% to Colorado — set 2, C ARK 24-24 COLO. Colorado ace on Ella Chaney. COLO win probability 98% → 99%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

C ARK 1.0%99.0% COLO

Central Ark. wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.2%

3-2

0.7%

Colorado wins

3-0

73.9%

3-1

21.2%

3-2

3.8%

C ARK break %: 34.3% vs this opp
COLO break %: 52.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
ColoradoAce+1.1%
Colorado ace on Ella Chaney
Set 2 · C ARK 24-24 COLO · COLO 98% → 99%
02
Nicole SargentAttack error+0.8%
Attack error by Nicole Sargent
Set 2 · C ARK 25-24 COLO · C ARK 1% → 2%
03
Ana BurilovicKill+0.8%
Kill by Ana Burilovic (set by Jenna Ylivainio)
Set 2 · C ARK 25-25 COLO · COLO 98% → 99%
04
Nicole Sargent&McKinzee HaasBlock+0.8%
Ana Burilovic stuffed by Nicole Sargent & McKinzee Haas
Set 2 · C ARK 24-22 COLO · C ARK 2% → 3%
05
Greyson ButtonAttack error+0.7%
Attack error by Greyson Button
Set 2 · C ARK 25-26 COLO · COLO 99% → 99%
06
McKinzee Haas&Nicole SargentBlock+0.7%
Lily Dwinell stuffed by McKinzee Haas & Nicole Sargent
Set 2 · C ARK 22-20 COLO · C ARK 1% → 2%
07
Sarah CarnathanKill+0.6%
Kill by Sarah Carnathan (set by Sophie Skinner)
Set 2 · C ARK 23-21 COLO · C ARK 2% → 2%
08
Cayla PayneAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Cayla Payne
Set 2 · C ARK 19-16 COLO · C ARK 2% → 2%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Central Ark.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
10Ella ChaneyOH	3	7	7	23	.000	0	0	0	6	2	1	0.5	7.5
8McKinzee HaasMB	3	4	1	8	.375	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	6.5
12Sarah CarnathanOH	3	4	9	25	-.200	0	0	0	2	1	1	0.5	4.5
16Tatelyn BrandsmaS	3	1	1	6	.000	9	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	1.5
2Trinity HamiltonOH	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	4	3	0	0	1
3Karlyn FrazierMB	2	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Nicole SargentOPP	3	6	1	13	.385	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
22Cameron McDanielL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	1
5Olivia KremerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	0	3	1	0	0	1
23Sophie SkinnerS	3	0	0	0	–	11	0	1	6	0	0	0	0
20Greyson ButtonMB	2	5	3	15	.133	0	0	0	1	1	3	1.5	6.5
Team totals		28	24	94	.043	24	2	3	35	8	16	8	56

Coloradohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Ana BurilovicOH	3	14	6	32	.250	2	1	3	4	0	0	1	0.5	15.5
21Lily DwinellOH	3	8	1	18	.389	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	9
10Sydney JordanOH	3	7	1	20	.300	0	0	3	11	1	1	1	1.5	8.5
33Cayla PayneMB	3	6	4	15	.133	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	7.5
7Barbora RakauskaiteMB	3	4	1	7	.429	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	6
2Jenna YlivainioS	3	1	1	6	.000	30	0	1	3	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
9Avery BollesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	5	1	4	1	0	0	0	5
13Katie SalongaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
22Tinons Munar GalmesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	2	10	0	0	0	0	1
20Peyton NealL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8Ines LosadaOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
4Audrey AslesonS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	14	99	.273	38	8	10	35	2	2	10	7	77

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 C ARK · COLO 5

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 3 C ARKCOLO 4

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 3 C ARKCOLO 3

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 2 C ARKCOLO 5

Bars above the line = Colorado leads, below = Central Ark. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Central Ark.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%6/9	38%3/8
2	83%5/6	45%5/11
3	50%5/10	17%1/6
4	40%4/10	29%2/7
5	67%4/6	43%3/7
6	40%4/10	20%1/5
All	55%28/51	34%15/44

Colorado

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%6/9	55%6/11
2	60%6/10	14%1/7
3	71%5/7	50%5/10
4	67%4/6	56%5/9
5	67%4/6	33%2/6
6	67%4/6	50%4/8
All	66%29/44	45%23/51

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

133 rallies

#	C ARK-COLO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	C ARK	COLO×4	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.1
2	0-2	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	Ella Chaney		+0.1
3	0-3	COLO	COLO×4	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.1
4	0-4	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	Karlyn Frazier		+0.1
5	1-4	COLO	C ARK	Serve err	Colorado		+0.1
6	2-4	C ARK	C ARK	Blocked	Cayla Payne	blk Tatelyn Brandsma, McKinzee Haas	+0.1
7	2-5	C ARK	COLO×4	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Cameron McDaniel	+0.1
8	2-6	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	Sarah Carnathan		+0.1
9	2-7	COLO	COLO×4	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.1
10	2-8		COLO	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			·
11	3-8	COLO	C ARK	Kill	McKinzee Haas	set Tatelyn Brandsma	·
12	3-9	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	·
13	3-10	COLO	COLO	Ace	Colorado	aced Sarah Carnathan	·
14	4-10	COLO	C ARK	Serve err	Colorado		·
15	5-10	C ARK	C ARK	Ace	Central Ark.	aced Avery Bolles	·
16	5-11	C ARK	COLO×3	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	·
17	5-12	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Barbora Rakauskaite	set Jenna Ylivainio	·
18	5-13	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	McKinzee Haas		·
19	6-13	COLO	C ARK	Kill	Nicole Sargent	set Sophie Skinner	·
20	7-13	C ARK	C ARK	Kill	Nicole Sargent	set Sophie Skinner	·
21	7-14	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	·
22	8-14	COLO	C ARK	Kill	Ella Chaney	set Sophie Skinner	·
23	8-15	C ARK	COLO	Blocked	Ella Chaney	blk Barbora Rakauskaite, Sydney Jordan	·
24	9-15	COLO	C ARK	Kill	Ella Chaney	set Tatelyn Brandsma	·
25	9-16	C ARK	COLO×4	Attack err	Sarah Carnathan		·
26	9-17	COLO	COLO×4	Ace	Colorado	aced Ella Chaney	·
27	9-18	COLO	COLO×4	Blocked	Karlyn Frazier	blk Cayla Payne, Ana Burilovic	·
28	9-19	COLO	COLO×4	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	·
29	10-19	COLO	C ARK	Kill	Sarah Carnathan	set Tatelyn Brandsma	·
30	10-20	C ARK	COLO×3	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	·
31	10-21	COLO	COLO×3	Blocked	Tatelyn Brandsma	blk Cayla Payne	·
32	10-22	COLO	COLO×3	Ace	Colorado	aced Trinity Hamilton	·
33	11-22	COLO	C ARK×3	Kill	Ella Chaney	set Tatelyn Brandsma	·
34	12-22	C ARK	C ARK×3	Kill	Nicole Sargent	set Sophie Skinner	·
35	13-22	C ARK	C ARK×3	Attack err	Ana Burilovic		·
36	13-23	C ARK	COLO×3	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Audrey Asleson	·
37	13-24	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Ines Losada	set Avery Bolles	·
38	13-25	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Sarah Carnathan		·
Set 2
1	0-1	COLO	COLO	Bad set	Ella Chaney		+0.1
2	1-1	COLO	C ARK	Serve err	Colorado		+0.1
3	1-2	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.1
4	2-2	COLO	C ARK	Kill	McKinzee Haas	set Sophie Skinner	+0.1
5	2-3	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.1
6	2-4	COLO	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.1
7	3-4	COLO	C ARK	Blocked	Ana Burilovic	blk Greyson Button, Nicole Sargent	+0.1
8	4-4	C ARK	C ARK	Blocked	Cayla Payne	blk Ella Chaney, Greyson Button	+0.1
9	4-5	C ARK	COLO	Serve err	Central Ark.		+0.1
10	4-6	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Greyson Button		+0.1
11	5-6	COLO	C ARK	Serve err	Colorado		+0.1
12	6-6	C ARK	C ARK	Blocked	Cayla Payne	blk Greyson Button, Sarah Carnathan	+0.1
13	6-7	C ARK	COLO	Attack err	Sarah Carnathan		+0.1
14	7-7	COLO	C ARK	Kill	Greyson Button	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+0.1
15	8-7	C ARK	C ARK	Attack err	Ana Burilovic		+0.2
16	8-8	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.1
17	9-8	COLO	C ARK	Serve err	Colorado		+0.1
18	10-8	C ARK	C ARK	Blocked	Sydney Jordan	blk Nicole Sargent, McKinzee Haas	+0.2
19	10-9	C ARK	COLO	Serve err	Central Ark.		+0.1
20	10-10	COLO	COLO	Kill	Barbora Rakauskaite		+0.2
21	11-10	COLO	C ARK×3	Serve err	Colorado		+0.2
22	12-10	C ARK	C ARK×3	Attack err	Ana Burilovic		+0.3
23	13-10	C ARK	C ARK×3	Kill	Nicole Sargent	set Olivia Kremer	+0.3
24	13-11	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.2
25	14-11	COLO	C ARK	Kill	Ella Chaney	set Olivia Kremer	+0.3
26	15-11	C ARK	C ARK	Kill	Nicole Sargent	set Olivia Kremer	+0.4
27	15-12	C ARK	COLO×3	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.2
28	15-13	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.3
29	15-14	COLO	COLO×3	Ace	Colorado	aced Greyson Button	+0.3
30	16-14	COLO	C ARK	Kill	Greyson Button	set Sophie Skinner	+0.3
31	17-14	C ARK	C ARK	Ace	Central Ark.	aced Sydney Jordan	+0.4
32	17-15	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Ana Burilovic	+0.2
33	17-16	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Ella Chaney		+0.3
34	18-16	COLO	C ARK	Kill	Greyson Button	set Tatelyn Brandsma	+0.3
35	19-16	C ARK	C ARK	Attack err	Cayla Payne		+0.5
36	19-17	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Jenna Ylivainio	set Tinons Munar Galmes	+0.3
37	20-17	COLO	C ARK	Attack err	Barbora Rakauskaite		+0.4
38	20-18	C ARK	COLO×3	Serve err	Central Ark.		+0.3
39	20-19	COLO	COLO×3	Blocked	Sarah Carnathan	blk Lily Dwinell, Barbora Rakauskaite	+0.4
40	20-20	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.4
41	21-20	COLO	C ARK	Bad set	Barbora Rakauskaite		+0.4
42	22-20	C ARK	C ARK	Blocked	Lily Dwinell	blk McKinzee Haas, Nicole Sargent	+0.7
43	22-21	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Barbora Rakauskaite	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.4
44	23-21	COLO	C ARK	Kill	Sarah Carnathan	set Sophie Skinner	+0.6
45	23-22	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Tinons Munar Galmes	+0.4
46	24-22	COLO	C ARK	Blocked	Ana Burilovic	blk Nicole Sargent, McKinzee Haas	+0.8
47	24-23	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.4
48	24-24	COLO	COLO	Ace	Colorado	aced Ella Chaney	+1.1
49	25-24	COLO	C ARK	Attack err	Nicole Sargent		+0.8
50	25-25	C ARK	COLO×3	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.8
51	25-26	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Greyson Button		+0.7
52	25-27	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Ella Chaney		+0.5
Set 3
1	0-1	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	·
2	0-2	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Sarah Carnathan		·
3	1-2	COLO	C ARK	Serve err	Colorado		·
4	2-2	C ARK	C ARK	Kill	Ella Chaney	set Sophie Skinner	·
5	2-3	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Ana Burilovic	·
6	2-4	COLO	COLO	Ace	Colorado	aced Olivia Kremer	·
7	3-4	COLO	C ARK	Kill	Ella Chaney	set Sophie Skinner	·
8	3-5	C ARK	COLO	Attack err	Nicole Sargent		·
9	4-5	COLO	C ARK	Serve err	Colorado		·
10	4-6	C ARK	COLO	Attack err	Ella Chaney		·
11	5-6	COLO	C ARK	Kill	Greyson Button	set Tatelyn Brandsma	·
12	5-7	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	·
13	5-8	COLO	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Tinons Munar Galmes	·
14	6-8	COLO	C ARK	Kill	Greyson Button	set Tatelyn Brandsma	·
15	6-9	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	·
16	7-9	COLO	C ARK	Attack err	Jenna Ylivainio		·
17	8-9	C ARK	C ARK	Kill	McKinzee Haas	set Sydney Jordan	·
18	8-10	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	·
19	9-10	COLO	C ARK	Kill	Sarah Carnathan	set Sophie Skinner	·
20	10-10	C ARK	C ARK	Blocked	Ana Burilovic	blk Nicole Sargent, McKinzee Haas	+0.1
21	10-11	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	·
22	11-11	COLO	C ARK	Serve err	Colorado		+0.1
23	11-12	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.1
24	11-13	COLO	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne		+0.1
25	12-13	COLO	C ARK	Kill	Ella Chaney	set Sophie Skinner	·
26	12-14	C ARK	COLO×3	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	·
27	12-15	COLO	COLO×3	Blocked	Ella Chaney	blk Barbora Rakauskaite, Jenna Ylivainio	·
28	12-16	COLO	COLO×3	Ace	Colorado	aced Trinity Hamilton	·
29	13-16	COLO	C ARK	Kill	Tatelyn Brandsma	set Tatelyn Brandsma	·
30	14-16	C ARK	C ARK	Kill	Sarah Carnathan	set Tatelyn Brandsma	·
31	14-17	C ARK	COLO	Blocked	Greyson Button	blk Sydney Jordan	·
32	14-18	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Sarah Carnathan		·
33	15-18	COLO	C ARK	Kill	Cameron McDaniel	set Jenna Ylivainio	·
34	15-19	C ARK	COLO×5	Kill	Barbora Rakauskaite	set Jenna Ylivainio	·
35	15-20	COLO	COLO×5	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Tinons Munar Galmes	·
36	15-21	COLO	COLO×5	Attack err	Sarah Carnathan		·
37	15-22	COLO	COLO×5	Blocked	Sarah Carnathan	blk Barbora Rakauskaite, Lily Dwinell	·
38	15-23	COLO	COLO×5	Attack err	Ella Chaney		·
39	16-23	COLO	C ARK	Serve err	Colorado		·
40	16-24	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	·
41	17-24	COLO	C ARK	Kill	McKinzee Haas	set Tatelyn Brandsma	·
42	18-24	C ARK	C ARK	Kill	Nicole Sargent		·
43	18-25	C ARK	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	·

Score shown after each rally, Central Ark. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Colorado def. Central Ark. 3–0