Colorado vs Iowa State Volleyball: Colorado Wins 3-0

FinalThu, Oct 15, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: Colorado 55.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 15, 6:26 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Colorado won at Iowa St. 3-0 (26-24, 25-16, 25-23) on Thu, Oct 15, 2026. Colorado's Ana Burilovic led with 17 kills, and Tinons Munar Galmes added 15 digs.

Data through Nov 4, 2:50 PM CT · final Oct 15

Set	1	2	3	Sets
COLO	26	25	25	3
IOWAST	24	16	23	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.517 on 29 swings: Ana Burilovic and Colorado edged Iowa St.

The match turned once. Numbers are Colorado's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Colorado at 56%.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · Colorado 23–23 Iowa St.
Colorado won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 26–24 and lead 1–0.
Colorado 56% → 73%

Iowa St. above 50Colorado belowMax swing 9.7%

ColoradoIowa St.

Sideout %: Colorado 70.8·Iowa St. 59.5
Break %: Colorado 40.5·Iowa St. 29.2
Hitting: Colorado .375·Iowa St. .255
Longest run: Colorado 4·Iowa St. 6

Ines Losada
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 13 K, .250, 17 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Iowa St. above 50 · Colorado below

Biggest swing: 9.7% to Colorado — set 1, COLO 26-24 IOWAST. Daaliyah Kemp stuffed by Maria Splawska & Ines Losada. IOWAST win probability 37% → 27%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

COLO 59.4%40.6% IOWAST

Colorado wins

3-0

16.9%

3-1

22.7%

3-2

19.9%

Iowa St. wins

3-0

8.9%

3-1

14.8%

3-2

16.8%

COLO break %: 42.4% vs this opp
IOWAST break %: 40.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Maria Splawska&Ines LosadaBlock+9.7%
Daaliyah Kemp stuffed by Maria Splawska & Ines Losada
Set 1 · COLO 26-24 IOWAST · COLO 63% → 73%
02
Ines LosadaAttack error+7.5%
Attack error by Ines Losada
Set 1 · COLO 23-23 IOWAST · IOWAST 37% → 44%
03
Ines LosadaKill+7.1%
Kill by Ines Losada (set by Jenna Ylivainio)
Set 1 · COLO 24-23 IOWAST · COLO 56% → 63%
04
Daaliyah KempKill+7.1%
Kill by Daaliyah Kemp (set by Ava Martin)
Set 1 · COLO 24-24 IOWAST · IOWAST 37% → 44%
05
Ines LosadaKill+7.1%
Kill by Ines Losada (set by Jenna Ylivainio)
Set 1 · COLO 25-24 IOWAST · COLO 56% → 63%
06
Ana BurilovicKill+4.5%
Kill by Ana Burilovic (set by Jenna Ylivainio)
Set 1 · COLO 23-21 IOWAST · COLO 62% → 67%
07
Mesaiya BettisKill+4.3%
Kill by Mesaiya Bettis (set by Ella Florez)
Set 1 · COLO 21-20 IOWAST · IOWAST 34% → 39%
08
Lily DwinellKill+4.2%
Kill by Lily Dwinell (set by Jenna Ylivainio)
Set 3 · COLO 25-23 IOWAST · COLO 96% → 100%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Coloradoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Ana BurilovicOH	3	17	2	29	.517	1	2	2	8	1	0	0	0	19
8Ines LosadaOH	3	13	5	32	.250	0	1	4	2	0	1	4	3	17
16Maria SplawskaMB	3	4	0	7	.571	0	1	1	2	0	0	7	3.5	8.5
21Lily DwinellOH	3	5	0	13	.385	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	7
33Cayla PayneMB	3	5	0	11	.455	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	6.5
2Jenna YlivainioS	3	0	1	3	-.333	39	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
9Avery BollesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	4	0	0	0	0	2
22Tinons Munar GalmesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	15	0	0	0	0	1
10Sydney JordanOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20Peyton NealL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	8	96	.375	41	7	9	35	2	2	16	10	76

Iowa St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Mesaiya BettisOH	3	16	6	32	.313	0	0	1	2	1	1	0	1	17
14Nayeli GonzalezOH	3	13	4	28	.321	0	0	1	6	0	0	1	0.5	13.5
1Pam McCuneMB	3	5	1	13	.308	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
20Nayeli Ti'aOH	3	3	2	11	.091	0	1	1	3	1	0	0	0	4
11Ella FlorezS	3	0	0	2	.000	32	0	2	5	0	0	0	0	0
8Macie LupkesMB	2	2	1	4	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
5Daaliyah KempMB	3	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2
4Reagan HanfeltMB	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	1
10Rachel Van GorpL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	1	0	16	0	0	0	0	1
30Alea GoolsbyOH	2	0	1	2	-.500	1	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
17Ava MartinS	2	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Taylor JohnsonMB	1	2	2	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		44	18	102	.255	43	2	7	39	7	1	2	2	63

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Colorado vs Iowa St.

Season series · Colorado leads 1-0

Thu, Oct 15, 2026Colorado at Iowa St. · Colorado won 3-0This match
Fri, Nov 27, 2026Iowa St. at ColoradoPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 COLO · IOWAST 6

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 3 COLOIOWAST 4

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 3 COLOIOWAST 2

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 4 COLOIOWAST 6

Bars above the line = Iowa St. leads, below = Colorado leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Colorado

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%9/13	50%7/14
2	73%8/11	20%2/10
3	57%8/14	43%6/14
4	70%7/10	42%5/12
5	70%7/10	22%2/9
6	100%7/7	53%8/15
All	71%46/65	41%30/74

Iowa St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	27%3/11
2	57%8/14	33%4/12
3	67%8/12	43%6/14
4	70%7/10	27%3/11
5	50%7/14	30%3/10
6	50%6/12	0%0/7
All	59%44/74	29%19/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#	COLO-IOWAST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	IOWAST	COLO	Serve err	Ella Florez		+1.8
2	1-1	COLO	IOWAST×4	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Rachel Van Gorp	+1.8
3	1-2	IOWAST	IOWAST×4	Blocked	Ana Burilovic	blk Macie Lupkes, Nayeli Gonzalez	+2.6
4	1-3	IOWAST	IOWAST×4	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Rachel Van Gorp	+2.6
5	1-4	IOWAST	IOWAST×4	Ace	Iowa St.	aced Ana Burilovic	+2.5
6	2-4	IOWAST	COLO	Attack err	Mesaiya Bettis		+1.7
7	2-5	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Macie Lupkes	set Ella Florez	+1.9
8	3-5	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.7
9	3-6	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Rachel Van Gorp	+1.9
10	3-7	IOWAST	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+2.5
11	4-7	IOWAST	COLO	Serve err	Nayeli Gonzalez		+1.6
12	4-8	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+1.8
13	5-8	IOWAST	COLO×3	Blocked	Nayeli Gonzalez	blk Cayla Payne	+1.6
14	6-8	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.5
15	7-8	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Ines Losada	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.8
16	7-9	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ella Florez	+2.2
17	8-9	IOWAST	COLO	Attack err	Nayeli Ti'a		+2.1
18	8-10	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Reagan Hanfelt	set Ella Florez	+2.2
19	8-11	IOWAST	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ella Florez	+3.0
20	9-11	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Maria Splawska	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.9
21	10-11	COLO	COLO	Kill	Ines Losada	set Ella Florez	+3.0
22	10-12	COLO	IOWAST	Serve err	Colorado		+2.4
23	11-12	IOWAST	COLO×3	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.2
24	12-12	COLO	COLO×3	Blocked	Macie Lupkes	blk Cayla Payne, Lily Dwinell	+3.4
25	13-12	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Nayeli Gonzalez		+3.5
26	13-13	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+2.5
27	14-13	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.6
28	15-13	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Mesaiya Bettis		+3.6
29	15-14	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Pam McCune	set Ella Florez	+2.4
30	16-14	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.7
31	16-15	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Rachel Van Gorp	+2.5
32	17-15	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Ines Losada	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.8
33	18-15	COLO	COLO	Ace	Colorado	aced Mesaiya Bettis	+3.5
34	18-16	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Pam McCune	set Ava Martin	+2.1
35	19-16	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Ines Losada	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.6
36	19-17	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Daaliyah Kemp	set Ava Martin	+2.1
37	20-17	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Ines Losada	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.7
38	20-18	COLO	IOWAST	Serve err	Colorado		+2.1
39	21-18	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.9
40	21-19	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+2.1
41	21-20	IOWAST	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+4.3
42	22-20	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+4.0
43	22-21	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+3.2
44	23-21	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+4.5
45	23-22	COLO	IOWAST	Serve err	Colorado		+3.2
46	23-23	IOWAST	IOWAST	Attack err	Ines Losada		+7.5
47	24-23	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Ines Losada	set Jenna Ylivainio	+7.1
48	24-24	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Daaliyah Kemp	set Ava Martin	+7.1
49	25-24	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Ines Losada	set Jenna Ylivainio	+7.1
50	26-24	COLO	COLO	Blocked	Daaliyah Kemp	blk Maria Splawska, Ines Losada	+9.7
Set 2
1	1-0	COLO	COLO	Kill	Ines Losada	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.3
2	2-0	COLO	COLO	Blocked	Nayeli Ti'a	blk Maria Splawska, Ines Losada	+2.3
3	2-1	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ella Florez	+1.6
4	3-1	IOWAST	COLO	Blocked	Mesaiya Bettis	blk Maria Splawska, Ines Losada	+1.7
5	4-1	COLO	COLO	Ace	Colorado		+2.2
6	4-2	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Macie Lupkes		+1.5
7	5-2	IOWAST	COLO	Serve err	Reagan Hanfelt		+1.6
8	5-3	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+1.5
9	6-3	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.7
10	6-4	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+1.6
11	7-4	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.7
12	7-5	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Ella Florez	+1.6
13	8-5	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.7
14	8-6	COLO	IOWAST	Attack err	Ines Losada		+1.6
15	9-6	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Ines Losada	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.8
16	9-7	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ella Florez	+1.7
17	9-8	IOWAST	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ella Florez	+2.6
18	10-8	IOWAST	COLO	Serve err	Nayeli Ti'a		+2.0
19	10-9	COLO	IOWAST	Serve err	Colorado		+1.9
20	11-9	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Maria Splawska	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.1
21	12-9	COLO	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.7
22	12-10	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Pam McCune	set Ella Florez	+1.8
23	13-10	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.0
24	13-11	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+1.8
25	14-11	IOWAST	COLO	Serve err	Mesaiya Bettis		+2.1
26	15-11	COLO	COLO	Ace	Colorado		+2.5
27	15-12	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Pam McCune	set Ava Martin	+1.5
28	16-12	IOWAST	COLO×3	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.8
29	17-12	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Maria Splawska		+2.0
30	18-12	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Ines Losada	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.4
31	18-13	COLO	IOWAST	Attack err	Ines Losada		+0.7
32	19-13	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.0
33	20-13	COLO	COLO	Blocked	Alea Goolsby	blk Maria Splawska, Ines Losada	+0.8
34	20-14	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Alea Goolsby	+0.3
35	21-14	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Maria Splawska	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.5
36	21-15	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+0.2
37	22-15	IOWAST	COLO	Blocked	Nayeli Gonzalez	blk Maria Splawska, Lily Dwinell	+0.4
38	22-16	COLO	IOWAST	Serve err	Colorado		+0.2
39	23-16	IOWAST	COLO×3	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.3
40	24-16	COLO	COLO×3	Ace	Colorado		+0.1
41	25-16	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Mesaiya Bettis		·
Set 3
1	0-1	IOWAST	IOWAST	Attack err	Ines Losada		+1.5
2	1-1	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.1
3	1-2	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+1.1
4	2-2	IOWAST	COLO×4	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.1
5	3-2	COLO	COLO×4	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.6
6	4-2	COLO	COLO×4	Ace	Colorado		+1.6
7	5-2	COLO	COLO×4	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.5
8	5-3	COLO	IOWAST×6	Kill	Taylor Johnson	set Ella Florez	+1.0
9	5-4	IOWAST	IOWAST×6	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Ella Florez	+1.5
10	5-5	IOWAST	IOWAST×6	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ella Florez	+1.7
11	5-6	IOWAST	IOWAST×6	Ace	Iowa St.		+1.7
12	5-7	IOWAST	IOWAST×6	Kill	Pam McCune	set Ella Florez	+1.7
13	5-8	IOWAST	IOWAST×6	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Rachel Van Gorp	+1.7
14	6-8	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.1
15	7-8	COLO	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Cayla Payne	+1.7
16	7-9	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Rachel Van Gorp	+1.3
17	8-9	IOWAST	COLO	Serve err	Alea Goolsby		+1.3
18	9-9	COLO	COLO	Ace	Colorado		+1.9
19	9-10	COLO	IOWAST	Serve err	Colorado		+1.4
20	9-11	IOWAST	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ella Florez	+2.0
21	10-11	IOWAST	COLO×3	Blocked	Pam McCune	blk Ines Losada	+1.3
22	11-11	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Ines Losada	set Ana Burilovic	+2.0
23	12-11	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.0
24	12-12	COLO	IOWAST	Blocked	Jenna Ylivainio	blk Mesaiya Bettis	+1.5
25	13-12	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.5
26	13-13	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Taylor Johnson	set Ella Florez	+1.5
27	14-13	IOWAST	COLO	Serve err	Ella Florez		+1.6
28	14-14	COLO	IOWAST	Serve err	Colorado		+1.6
29	15-14	IOWAST	COLO	Attack err	Taylor Johnson		+1.7
30	15-15	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ella Florez	+1.7
31	16-15	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.8
32	17-15	COLO	COLO	Ace	Colorado	aced Nayeli Ti'a	+2.4
33	17-16	COLO	IOWAST×3	Serve err	Colorado		+1.6
34	17-17	IOWAST	IOWAST×3	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Ella Florez	+2.6
35	17-18	IOWAST	IOWAST×3	Attack err	Ana Burilovic		+2.8
36	18-18	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.0
37	18-19	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ella Florez	+2.2
38	18-20	IOWAST	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+3.0
39	19-20	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Ines Losada	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.8
40	20-20	COLO	COLO	Kill	Ines Losada	set Jenna Ylivainio	+3.2
41	20-21	COLO	IOWAST	Serve err	Colorado		+2.6
42	21-21	IOWAST	COLO×4	Attack err	Taylor Johnson		+2.5
43	22-21	COLO	COLO×4	Blocked	Mesaiya Bettis	blk Lily Dwinell, Maria Splawska	+4.1
44	23-21	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	Nayeli Gonzalez		+3.9
45	24-21	COLO	COLO×4	Blocked	Mesaiya Bettis	blk Lily Dwinell, Maria Splawska	+2.7
46	24-22	COLO	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+0.7
47	24-23	IOWAST	IOWAST	Attack err	Ines Losada		+2.5
48	25-23	IOWAST	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+4.2

Score shown after each rally, Colorado first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Colorado def. Iowa St. 3–0

.517 on 29 swings: Ana Burilovic and Colorado edged Iowa St.