Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026

Colorado def. Southern California 3–1

Colorado won at Southern California 3-1 (26-24, 23-25, 25-13, 26-24) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. Ana Burilovic led Colorado with 15 kills; Southern California's Abigail Mullen had a match-high 17.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set1234Sets
COLO262325263
USC242513241

Win probability

Southern California above 50 · Colorado below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+13.7% COLOrally 186 · set 4

Biggest swing: 13.7% to Colorado — set 4, COLO 26-24 USC. Mia Tvrdy stuffed by Sydney Jordan. USC win probability 14% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

COLO 49.0%51.0% USC

Colorado wins

3-0
12.1%
3-1
18.3%
3-2
18.6%

Southern California wins

3-0
12.9%
3-1
19.2%
3-2
18.9%
COLO break %
40.9% vs this opp
USC break %
41.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Sydney JordanBlock+13.7%

    Mia Tvrdy stuffed by Sydney Jordan

    Set 4 · COLO 26-24 USC · COLO 86% → 100%

  2. 02
    Sydney JordanKill+13.7%

    Kill by Sydney Jordan (set by Jenna Ylivainio)

    Set 4 · COLO 24-23 USC · COLO 73% → 86%

  3. 03

    London Wijay stuffed by Cayla Payne & Jenna Ylivainio

    Set 1 · COLO 26-24 USC · COLO 57% → 68%

  4. 04
    Ana BurilovicKill+10.2%

    Kill by Ana Burilovic (set by Tinons Munar Galmes)

    Set 1 · COLO 25-24 USC · COLO 47% → 57%

  5. 05
    ColoradoService error+9.5%

    Colorado service error

    Set 4 · COLO 24-24 USC · USC 14% → 23%

  6. 06
    Jenna YlivainioBlock+9.5%

    Mia Tvrdy stuffed by Jenna Ylivainio

    Set 4 · COLO 25-24 USC · COLO 77% → 86%

  7. 07

    Cayla Payne stuffed by Leah Ford & London Wijay

    Set 4 · COLO 21-22 USC · USC 24% → 33%

  8. 08
    London WijayKill+7.9%

    Kill by London Wijay (set by Lilli Etter)

    Set 4 · COLO 21-21 USC · USC 16% → 24%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415844.1592139002117
412228.35700100132.514.5
47213.38500001254.511.5
4307.429351470233.57.5
4317.28600020010.53.5
4001.000100410000
411221.4290011020213
4000–111720001
4000–111100001
4000–7021210000
2000–000000000
Team totals5115121.2984741343571414100
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417534.35311270031.519.5
413843.1162119104216
47217.2942152008412
48719.0531000004210
43310.00010010010.53.5
4213.333341060010.53.5
4033-1.000213410001
4000–001000000
4000–0001010000
3329.111001110214
1000–001000211
1000–600000000
Team totals5331138.1594951440402512.586

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 COLO · USC 5

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 6 COLOUSC 5

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 COLOUSC 4

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 7 COLOUSC 3

Set 4

26-24

Longest run 3 COLOUSC 4

Bars above the line = Southern California leads, below = Colorado leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Colorado

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
36%5/14
2
55%11/20
54%13/24
3
59%10/17
57%13/23
4
73%8/11
25%3/12
5
89%8/9
50%8/16
6
58%7/12
30%3/10
All
63%55/87
45%45/99

Southern California

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%11/25
40%6/15
2
48%10/21
31%5/16
3
67%10/15
55%12/22
4
50%9/18
17%2/12
5
70%7/10
27%3/11
6
70%7/10
36%4/11
All
55%54/99
37%32/87

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

186 rallies

#COLO-USCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0USCCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+1.8
21-1COLOUSC×3Serve errColorado+1.8
31-2USCUSC×3KillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+2.6
41-3USCUSC×3KillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+2.6
52-3USCCOLOServe errSouthern California+1.7
62-4COLOUSC×3KillLondon Wijayset Layli Ostovar+1.8
72-5USCUSC×3KillAbigail Mullenset Leah Ford+2.6
82-6USCUSC×3KillLilli Etterset Layli Ostovar+2.4
93-6USCCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+1.5
103-7COLOUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+1.7
114-7USCCOLO×6Serve errSouthern California+1.5
125-7COLOCOLO×6Attack errAbigail Mullen+2.4
136-7COLOCOLO×6AceColoradoaced London Wijay+2.7
147-7COLOCOLO×6KillJenna Ylivainioset Katie Salonga+2.9
158-7COLOCOLO×6Attack errLondon Wijay+3.1
169-7COLOCOLO×6KillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio+3.0
179-8COLOUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+2.0
1810-8USCCOLOBlockedLilli Etterblk Sydney Jordan+2.2
1910-9COLOUSC×4KillAdonia Faumuinaset Abigail Mullen+2.1
2010-10USCUSC×4KillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+3.2
2110-11USCUSC×4KillAbigail Mullenset Adonia Faumuina+3.3
2210-12USCUSC×4BlockedLily Dwinellblk Leah Ford, Lilli Etter+3.3
2311-12USCCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+2.2
2411-13COLOUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+2.4
2512-13USCCOLOBlockedAdonia Faumuinablk Ana Burilovic, Jenna Ylivainio+2.2
2612-14COLOUSCKillAbigail Mullenset London Wijay+2.5
2713-14USCCOLO×4KillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+2.3
2814-14COLOCOLO×4BlockedLayli Ostovarblk Cayla Payne+3.7
2915-14COLOCOLO×4AceColoradoaced Layli Ostovar+3.9
3016-14COLOCOLO×4KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+3.9
3116-15COLOUSCServe errColorado+2.5
3217-15USCCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+2.9
3317-16COLOUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+2.6
3418-16USCCOLOKillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio+3.0
3518-17COLOUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+2.7
3619-17USCCOLOKillJenna Ylivainioset Taylor Deckert+3.2
3719-18COLOUSCServe errColorado+2.8
3820-18USCCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+3.4
3920-19COLOUSC×5KillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+2.9
4020-20USCUSC×5BlockedAna Burilovicblk Leah Ford, Abigail Mullen+5.3
4120-21USCUSC×5KillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+6.1
4220-22USCUSC×5AceSouthern Californiaaced Peyton Neal+5.9
4320-23USCUSC×5BlockedAna Burilovicblk Abigail Mullen, Leah Ford+4.5
4421-23USCCOLO×3KillMaria Splawskaset Jenna Ylivainio+1.7
4522-23COLOCOLO×3Attack errAbigail Mullen+4.6
4623-23COLOCOLO×3Attack errAdonia Faumuina+7.7
4723-24COLOUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+7.0
4824-24USCCOLO×3KillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+7.0
4925-24COLOCOLO×3KillAna Burilovicset Tinons Munar Galmes+10.2
5026-24COLOCOLO×3BlockedLondon Wijayblk Cayla Payne, Jenna Ylivainio+10.2
Set 2
11-0COLOCOLOAttack errLeah Ford+2.6
21-1COLOUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+1.8
32-1USCCOLOKillMaria Splawskaset Jenna Ylivainio+1.8
42-2COLOUSC×4KillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.8
52-3USCUSC×4KillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+2.7
62-4USCUSC×4BlockedAna Burilovicblk Mia Tvrdy, Abigail Mullen+2.7
72-5USCUSC×4KillLondon Wijay+2.6
83-5USCCOLOServe errSouthern California+1.7
93-6COLOUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+1.8
104-6USCCOLOAttack errLayli Ostovar+1.7
114-7COLOUSCServe errColorado+1.9
125-7USCCOLOServe errSouthern California+1.7
135-8COLOUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.9
146-8USCCOLOKillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio+1.7
156-9COLOUSCServe errColorado+2.0
166-10USCUSCBlockedSydney Jordanblk Adonia Faumuina, Leah Ford+2.6
177-10USCCOLOKillSydney Jordanset Ana Burilovic+1.5
187-11COLOUSCAttack errAna Burilovic+1.8
198-11USCCOLO×3KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+1.6
209-11COLOCOLO×3BlockedLondon Wijayblk Cayla Payne, Lily Dwinell+2.7
2110-11COLOCOLO×3BlockedLondon Wijayblk Cayla Payne, Lily Dwinell+3.1
2210-12COLOUSC×3KillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+2.3
2310-13USCUSC×3KillMia Tvrdyset Jenna Ylivainio+3.1
2410-14USCUSC×3BlockedLily Dwinellblk London Wijay, Mia Tvrdy+2.8
2511-14USCCOLOAttack errLayli Ostovar+1.6
2612-14COLOCOLOAttack errMia Tvrdy+2.8
2712-15COLOUSCBlockedCayla Payneblk London Wijay, Mia Tvrdy+2.3
2812-16USCUSCAceSouthern Californiaaced Tinons Munar Galmes+2.9
2913-16USCCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+1.6
3013-17COLOUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+2.0
3114-17USCCOLOKillJenna Ylivainioset Tinons Munar Galmes+1.6
3214-18COLOUSCServe errColorado+2.1
3315-18USCCOLO×3KillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio+1.5
3416-18COLOCOLO×3KillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio+3.0
3517-18COLOCOLO×3KillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+3.9
3617-19COLOUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+3.2
3718-19USCCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+2.8
3819-19COLOCOLOBlockedAbigail Mullenblk Maria Splawska, Lily Dwinell+5.0
3919-20COLOUSCServe errColorado+3.8
4020-20USCCOLOServe errSouthern California+3.7
4120-21COLOUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+4.2
4220-22USCUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+5.9
4321-22USCCOLOServe errSouthern California+3.2
4421-23COLOUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+4.6
4521-24USCUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+4.6
4622-24USCCOLOAttack errLondon Wijay+1.2
4723-24COLOCOLOAttack errMia Tvrdy+4.2
4823-25COLOUSCServe errColorado+7.1
Set 3
11-0USCCOLO×7KillLily Dwinellset Taylor Deckert+2.4
22-0COLOCOLO×7KillAna Burilovicset Tinons Munar Galmes+3.4
33-0COLOCOLO×7Attack errAbigail Mullen+3.3
44-0COLOCOLO×7KillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+3.1
55-0COLOCOLO×7KillCayla Payneset Ana Burilovic+2.8
66-0COLOCOLO×7KillAna Burilovicset Peyton Neal+2.4
77-0COLOCOLO×7Attack errAdonia Faumuina+2.0
87-1COLOUSCServe errColorado+1.1
98-1USCCOLO×3Serve errSouthern California+1.4
109-1COLOCOLO×3BlockedAbigail Mullenblk Ana Burilovic, Cayla Payne+1.6
1110-1COLOCOLO×3Attack errLeah Ford+1.2
1210-2COLOUSC×3KillAbigail Mullenset Milly McGee+0.6
1310-3USCUSC×3KillMia Tvrdy+1.1
1410-4USCUSC×3AceSouthern Californiaaced Avery Bolles+1.5
1511-4USCCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+1.4
1611-5COLOUSCKillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee+1.0
1712-5USCCOLOBlockedLondon Wijayblk Jenna Ylivainio, Cayla Payne+1.3
1813-5COLOCOLOKillSydney Jordan+1.4
1913-6COLOUSCAttack errMaria Splawska+0.7
2014-6USCCOLOAttack errMia Tvrdy+0.9
2115-6COLOCOLOAceColoradoaced Quinn Loper+0.9
2215-7COLOUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee+0.4
2316-7USCCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+0.6
2417-7COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Tinons Munar Galmes+0.5
2517-8COLOUSCKillQuinn Loperset Milly McGee+0.2
2618-8USCCOLO×3KillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+0.3
2719-8COLOCOLO×3KillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+0.2
2820-8COLOCOLO×3Attack errAbigail Mullen+0.1
2920-9COLOUSCBlockedAna Burilovicblk Leah Ford, Quinn Loper·
3021-9USCCOLOServe errSouthern California·
3122-9COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio·
3222-10COLOUSCBlockedAna Burilovicblk London Wijay, Leah Ford, Riley Malloy·
3322-11USCUSCBlockedAna Burilovicblk Riley Malloy·
3423-11USCCOLOServe errSouthern California·
3523-12COLOUSCKillLondon Wijayset Milly McGee·
3624-12USCCOLOServe errSouthern California·
3724-13COLOUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Milly McGee·
3825-13USCCOLOBlockedQuinn Loperblk Jenna Ylivainio·
Set 4
10-1COLOUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+2.4
21-1USCCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+2.4
32-1COLOCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+3.5
42-2COLOUSCKillAbigail Mullen+2.4
53-2USCCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+2.5
64-2COLOCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+3.6
74-3COLOUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+2.4
85-3USCCOLOKillSydney Jordanset Avery Bolles+2.6
96-3COLOCOLOAttack errMia Tvrdy+3.5
106-4COLOUSC×3KillLondon Wijayset Mia Tvrdy+2.3
116-5USCUSC×3KillQuinn Loper+3.6
126-6USCUSC×3KillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+3.9
137-6USCCOLOKillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio+2.8
148-6COLOCOLOKillMaria Splawska+4.0
158-7COLOUSCServe errColorado+2.6
169-7USCCOLOServe errSouthern California+2.8
179-8COLOUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+2.7
189-9USCUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+4.2
1910-9USCCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+3.0
2010-10COLOUSCBlockedAna Burilovicblk Leah Ford, Quinn Loper+3.0
2111-10USCCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Tinons Munar Galmes+3.1
2211-11COLOUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+3.1
2311-12USCUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Leah Ford+4.7
2412-12USCCOLO×3Serve errSouthern California+3.2
2513-12COLOCOLO×3BlockedMia Tvrdyblk Cayla Payne+4.9
2614-12COLOCOLO×3AceColoradoaced Taylor Deckert+4.8
2714-13COLOUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+3.1
2815-13USCCOLOServe errSouthern California+3.5
2915-14COLOUSCAttack errSydney Jordan+3.2
3015-15USCUSCAceSouthern Californiaaced Avery Bolles+5.2
3116-15USCCOLOKillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio+3.9
3217-15COLOCOLOBlockedQuinn Loperblk Lily Dwinell+5.5
3317-16COLOUSCServe errColorado+3.5
3417-17USCUSCKillQuinn Loperset Lilli Etter+5.8
3518-17USCCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Jenna Ylivainio+4.4
3618-18COLOUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+4.3
3719-18USCCOLO×3KillLily Dwinellset Tinons Munar Galmes+4.7
3820-18COLOCOLO×3KillAna Burilovicset Tinons Munar Galmes+6.7
3921-18COLOCOLO×3Attack errLondon Wijay+5.7
4021-19COLOUSC×4KillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+2.8
4121-20USCUSC×4AceSouthern Californiaaced Cayla Payne+5.9
4221-21USCUSC×4KillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+7.9
4321-22USCUSC×4BlockedCayla Payneblk Leah Ford, London Wijay+9.2
4422-22USCCOLOKillAna Burilovicset Jenna Ylivainio+6.2
4522-23COLOUSCServe errColorado+7.6
4623-23USCCOLOServe errSouthern California+7.2
4724-23COLOCOLOKillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio+13.7
4824-24COLOUSCServe errColorado+9.5
4925-24USCCOLOBlockedMia Tvrdyblk Jenna Ylivainio+9.5
5026-24COLOCOLOBlockedMia Tvrdyblk Sydney Jordan+13.7

Score shown after each rally, Colorado first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).