Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayBIG-12

3:1

HomeBIG-TEN

Colorado def. Southern California 3–1

(26-24, 23-25, 25-13, 26-24)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
COLO	26	23	25	26	3
USC	24	25	13	24	1

RallyIQ model

Win probability

USC above 50 · COLO below

Biggest swing: 16.7% to Colorado — set 4, COLO 26-24 USC. Mia Tvrdy stuffed by Sydney Jordan. USC win probability 17% → 0%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

COLO 35.5%64.5% USC

Colorado wins

3-0

7.3%

3-1

12.7%

3-2

15.4%

Southern California wins

3-0

19.7%

3-1

24.7%

3-2

20.1%

COLO break %: 39.7% vs this opp
USC break %: 42.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Mia TvrdyAttack error+16.7%
Mia Tvrdy stuffed by Sydney Jordan
Set 4 · COLO 26-24 USC · COLO 83% → 100%
02
Sydney JordanKill+15.6%
Kill by Sydney Jordan (set by Jenna Ylivainio)
Set 4 · COLO 24-23 USC · COLO 68% → 83%
03
COLO serverService error+11.0%
Colorado service error
Set 4 · COLO 24-24 USC · USC 17% → 28%
04
Mia TvrdyAttack error+11.0%
Mia Tvrdy stuffed by Jenna Ylivainio
Set 4 · COLO 25-24 USC · COLO 72% → 83%
05
London WijayAttack error+10.5%
London Wijay stuffed by Cayla Payne & Jenna Ylivainio
Set 1 · COLO 26-24 USC · COLO 45% → 56%
06
Cayla PayneAttack error+10.1%
Cayla Payne stuffed by Leah Ford & London Wijay
Set 4 · COLO 21-22 USC · USC 29% → 39%
07
Ana BurilovicKill+9.8%
Kill by Ana Burilovic (set by Tinons Munar Galmes)
Set 1 · COLO 25-24 USC · COLO 35% → 45%
08
London WijayKill+9.0%
Kill by London Wijay (set by Lilli Etter)
Set 4 · COLO 21-21 USC · USC 20% → 29%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Coloradoaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Ana BurilovicOH	4	15	8	44	.159	2	1	3	9	0	0	2	1	17
21Lily DwinellOH	4	12	2	28	.357	0	0	1	0	0	1	3	2.5	14.5
33Cayla PayneMB	4	7	2	13	.385	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	4.5	11.5
2Jenna YlivainioS	4	3	0	7	.429	35	1	4	7	0	2	3	3.5	7.5
16Maria SplawskaMB	4	3	1	7	.286	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
20Peyton NealL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	0
10Sydney JordanOH	4	11	2	21	.429	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	2	13
9Avery BollesL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	7	2	0	0	0	1
13Katie SalongaL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
22Tinons Munar GalmesL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	7	0	2	12	1	0	0	0	0
8Ines LosadaOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		51	15	121	.298	47	4	13	43	5	7	14	14	100

Southern Californiahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
5Abigail MullenOPP	4	17	5	34	.353	1	1	2	7	0	3	1.5	19.5
2London WijayOH	4	13	8	43	.116	2	1	1	9	1	4	2	16
7Leah FordMB	4	7	2	17	.294	2	1	5	2	0	8	4	12
8Mia TvrdyMB	4	8	7	19	.053	1	0	0	0	0	4	2	10
1Adonia FaumuinaOH	4	3	3	10	.000	1	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	3.5
16Lilli EtterS	4	2	1	3	.333	34	1	0	6	0	1	0.5	3.5
3Layli OstovarOH	4	0	3	3	-1.000	2	1	3	4	1	0	0	1
17Paisley DouglasL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
6Taylor DeckertL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	10	1	0	0	0
10Quinn LoperOH	3	3	2	9	.111	0	0	1	1	1	2	1	4
18Riley MalloyOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	1
24Milly McGeeS	1	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		53	31	138	.159	49	5	14	40	4	25	12.5	86

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 COLO · USC 5

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 6 COLOUSC 5

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 COLOUSC 4

Set 3

25-13

Longest run 7 COLOUSC 3

Set 4

26-24

Longest run 3 COLOUSC 4

Bars above the line = Southern California leads, below = Colorado leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Colorado

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	61%11/18	36%5/14
2	55%11/20	54%13/24
3	59%10/17	57%13/23
4	73%8/11	25%3/12
5	89%8/9	50%8/16
6	58%7/12	30%3/10
All	63%55/87	45%45/99

Southern California

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%11/25	40%6/15
2	48%10/21	31%5/16
3	67%10/15	55%12/22
4	50%9/18	17%2/12
5	70%7/10	27%3/11
6	70%7/10	36%4/11
All	55%54/99	37%32/87

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

186 rallies

Rally log

#	COLO-USC	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	USC	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.7
2	1-1	COLO	USC×3	Serve err	COLO server		+1.7
3	1-2	USC	USC×3	Kill	Leah Ford	set Lilli Etter	+2.4
4	1-3	USC	USC×3	Kill	Leah Ford	set Lilli Etter	+2.3
5	2-3	USC	COLO	Serve err	USC server		+1.6
6	2-4	COLO	USC×3	Kill	London Wijay	set Layli Ostovar	+1.6
7	2-5	USC	USC×3	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Leah Ford	+2.2
8	2-6	USC	USC×3	Kill	Lilli Etter	set Layli Ostovar	+1.9
9	3-6	USC	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.2
10	3-7	COLO	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+1.4
11	4-7	USC	COLO×6	Serve err	USC server		+1.3
12	5-7	COLO	COLO×6	Attack err	Abigail Mullen		+2.1
13	6-7	COLO	COLO×6	Ace	COLO server	aced London Wijay	+2.4
14	7-7	COLO	COLO×6	Kill	Jenna Ylivainio	set Katie Salonga	+2.7
15	8-7	COLO	COLO×6	Attack err	London Wijay		+2.9
16	9-7	COLO	COLO×6	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+3.0
17	9-8	COLO	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+1.9
18	10-8	USC	COLO	Attack err	Lilli Etter	blk Sydney Jordan	+2.2
19	10-9	COLO	USC×4	Kill	Adonia Faumuina	set Abigail Mullen	+2.0
20	10-10	USC	USC×4	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+3.0
21	10-11	USC	USC×4	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Adonia Faumuina	+3.1
22	10-12	USC	USC×4	Attack err	Lily Dwinell	blk Leah Ford, Lilli Etter	+2.9
23	11-12	USC	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.0
24	11-13	COLO	USC	Kill	Leah Ford	set Lilli Etter	+2.1
25	12-13	USC	COLO	Attack err	Adonia Faumuina	blk Ana Burilovic, Jenna Ylivainio	+2.0
26	12-14	COLO	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set London Wijay	+2.2
27	13-14	USC	COLO×4	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.1
28	14-14	COLO	COLO×4	Attack err	Layli Ostovar	blk Cayla Payne	+3.5
29	15-14	COLO	COLO×4	Ace	COLO server	aced Layli Ostovar	+3.8
30	16-14	COLO	COLO×4	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+3.9
31	16-15	COLO	USC	Serve err	COLO server		+2.4
32	17-15	USC	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.9
33	17-16	COLO	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+2.5
34	18-16	USC	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+3.0
35	18-17	COLO	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Lilli Etter	+2.6
36	19-17	USC	COLO	Kill	Jenna Ylivainio	set Taylor Deckert	+3.2
37	19-18	COLO	USC	Serve err	COLO server		+2.8
38	20-18	USC	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+3.5
39	20-19	COLO	USC×5	Kill	Adonia Faumuina	set Lilli Etter	+2.9
40	20-20	USC	USC×5	Attack err	Ana Burilovic	blk Leah Ford, Abigail Mullen	+5.1
41	20-21	USC	USC×5	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+5.6
42	20-22	USC	USC×5	Ace	USC server	aced Peyton Neal	+5.2
43	20-23	USC	USC×5	Attack err	Ana Burilovic	blk Abigail Mullen, Leah Ford	+3.9
44	21-23	USC	COLO×3	Kill	Maria Splawska	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.5
45	22-23	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Abigail Mullen		+4.1
46	23-23	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Adonia Faumuina		+7.1
47	23-24	COLO	USC	Kill	Leah Ford	set Lilli Etter	+6.5
48	24-24	USC	COLO×3	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+6.5
49	25-24	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Tinons Munar Galmes	+9.8
50	26-24	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	London Wijay	blk Cayla Payne, Jenna Ylivainio	+10.5
Set 2
1	1-0	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Leah Ford		+2.9
2	1-1	COLO	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+2.0
3	2-1	USC	COLO	Kill	Maria Splawska	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.1
4	2-2	COLO	USC×4	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+2.0
5	2-3	USC	USC×4	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+2.9
6	2-4	USC	USC×4	Attack err	Ana Burilovic	blk Mia Tvrdy, Abigail Mullen	+2.8
7	2-5	USC	USC×4	Kill	London Wijay		+2.6
8	3-5	USC	COLO	Serve err	USC server		+1.7
9	3-6	COLO	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+1.8
10	4-6	USC	COLO	Attack err	Layli Ostovar		+1.7
11	4-7	COLO	USC	Serve err	COLO server		+1.9
12	5-7	USC	COLO	Serve err	USC server		+1.8
13	5-8	COLO	USC	Kill	Adonia Faumuina	set Lilli Etter	+1.9
14	6-8	USC	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.8
15	6-9	COLO	USC	Serve err	COLO server		+1.9
16	6-10	USC	USC	Attack err	Sydney Jordan	blk Adonia Faumuina, Leah Ford	+2.5
17	7-10	USC	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Ana Burilovic	+1.5
18	7-11	COLO	USC	Attack err	Ana Burilovic		+1.7
19	8-11	USC	COLO×3	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.5
20	9-11	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	London Wijay	blk Cayla Payne, Lily Dwinell	+2.7
21	10-11	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	London Wijay	blk Cayla Payne, Lily Dwinell	+3.2
22	10-12	COLO	USC×3	Kill	Leah Ford	set Lilli Etter	+2.4
23	10-13	USC	USC×3	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Jenna Ylivainio	+3.1
24	10-14	USC	USC×3	Attack err	Lily Dwinell	blk London Wijay, Mia Tvrdy	+2.7
25	11-14	USC	COLO	Attack err	Layli Ostovar		+1.6
26	12-14	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Mia Tvrdy		+2.9
27	12-15	COLO	USC	Attack err	Cayla Payne	blk London Wijay, Mia Tvrdy	+2.3
28	12-16	USC	USC	Ace	USC server	aced Tinons Munar Galmes	+2.8
29	13-16	USC	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.6
30	13-17	COLO	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Lilli Etter	+2.0
31	14-17	USC	COLO	Kill	Jenna Ylivainio	set Tinons Munar Galmes	+1.6
32	14-18	COLO	USC	Serve err	COLO server		+2.0
33	15-18	USC	COLO×3	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.5
34	16-18	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+3.1
35	17-18	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+4.1
36	17-19	COLO	USC	Kill	Leah Ford	set Lilli Etter	+3.3
37	18-19	USC	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+3.0
38	19-19	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Abigail Mullen	blk Maria Splawska, Lily Dwinell	+5.4
39	19-20	COLO	USC	Serve err	COLO server		+4.1
40	20-20	USC	COLO	Serve err	USC server		+4.1
41	20-21	COLO	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+4.6
42	20-22	USC	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+6.2
43	21-22	USC	COLO	Serve err	USC server		+3.4
44	21-23	COLO	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+4.8
45	21-24	USC	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Lilli Etter	+4.6
46	22-24	USC	COLO	Attack err	London Wijay		+1.2
47	23-24	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Mia Tvrdy		+4.3
48	23-25	COLO	USC	Serve err	COLO server		+7.2
Set 3
1	1-0	USC	COLO×7	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Taylor Deckert	+2.4
2	2-0	COLO	COLO×7	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Tinons Munar Galmes	+3.5
3	3-0	COLO	COLO×7	Attack err	Abigail Mullen		+3.5
4	4-0	COLO	COLO×7	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+3.3
5	5-0	COLO	COLO×7	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Ana Burilovic	+3.1
6	6-0	COLO	COLO×7	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Peyton Neal	+2.8
7	7-0	COLO	COLO×7	Attack err	Adonia Faumuina		+2.4
8	7-1	COLO	USC	Serve err	COLO server		+1.3
9	8-1	USC	COLO×3	Serve err	USC server		+1.7
10	9-1	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Abigail Mullen	blk Ana Burilovic, Cayla Payne	+2.0
11	10-1	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Leah Ford		+1.5
12	10-2	COLO	USC×3	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Milly McGee	+0.7
13	10-3	USC	USC×3	Kill	Mia Tvrdy		+1.4
14	10-4	USC	USC×3	Ace	USC server	aced Avery Bolles	+1.8
15	11-4	USC	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+1.7
16	11-5	COLO	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Milly McGee	+1.2
17	12-5	USC	COLO	Attack err	London Wijay	blk Jenna Ylivainio, Cayla Payne	+1.6
18	13-5	COLO	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan		+1.8
19	13-6	COLO	USC	Attack err	Maria Splawska		+0.8
20	14-6	USC	COLO	Attack err	Mia Tvrdy		+1.2
21	15-6	COLO	COLO	Ace	COLO server	aced Quinn Loper	+1.2
22	15-7	COLO	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Milly McGee	+0.5
23	16-7	USC	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.8
24	17-7	COLO	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Tinons Munar Galmes	+0.7
25	17-8	COLO	USC	Kill	Quinn Loper	set Milly McGee	+0.2
26	18-8	USC	COLO×3	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.4
27	19-8	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.3
28	20-8	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Abigail Mullen		+0.1
29	20-9	COLO	USC	Attack err	Ana Burilovic	blk Leah Ford, Quinn Loper	+0.0
30	21-9	USC	COLO	Serve err	USC server		+0.1
31	22-9	COLO	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+0.0
32	22-10	COLO	USC	Attack err	Ana Burilovic	blk London Wijay, Leah Ford, Riley Malloy	+0.0
33	22-11	USC	USC	Attack err	Ana Burilovic	blk Riley Malloy	+0.0
34	23-11	USC	COLO	Serve err	USC server		+0.0
35	23-12	COLO	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Milly McGee	+0.0
36	24-12	USC	COLO	Serve err	USC server		+0.0
37	24-13	COLO	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Milly McGee	+0.0
38	25-13	USC	COLO	Attack err	Quinn Loper	blk Jenna Ylivainio	+0.0
Set 4
1	0-1	COLO	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+2.6
2	1-1	USC	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.6
3	2-1	COLO	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+4.0
4	2-2	COLO	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen		+2.7
5	3-2	USC	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+2.9
6	4-2	COLO	COLO	Kill	Cayla Payne	set Jenna Ylivainio	+4.2
7	4-3	COLO	USC	Kill	Mia Tvrdy	set Lilli Etter	+2.7
8	5-3	USC	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Avery Bolles	+3.0
9	6-3	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Mia Tvrdy		+4.3
10	6-4	COLO	USC×3	Kill	London Wijay	set Mia Tvrdy	+2.7
11	6-5	USC	USC×3	Kill	Quinn Loper		+4.2
12	6-6	USC	USC×3	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+4.3
13	7-6	USC	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+3.2
14	8-6	COLO	COLO	Kill	Maria Splawska		+4.6
15	8-7	COLO	USC	Serve err	COLO server		+3.0
16	9-7	USC	COLO	Serve err	USC server		+3.4
17	9-8	COLO	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+3.1
18	9-9	USC	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+4.7
19	10-9	USC	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+3.5
20	10-10	COLO	USC	Attack err	Ana Burilovic	blk Leah Ford, Quinn Loper	+3.3
21	11-10	USC	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Tinons Munar Galmes	+3.6
22	11-11	COLO	USC	Kill	Leah Ford	set Lilli Etter	+3.4
23	11-12	USC	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Leah Ford	+5.0
24	12-12	USC	COLO×3	Serve err	USC server		+3.6
25	13-12	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	Mia Tvrdy	blk Cayla Payne	+5.5
26	14-12	COLO	COLO×3	Ace	COLO server	aced Taylor Deckert	+5.6
27	14-13	COLO	USC	Kill	Abigail Mullen	set Lilli Etter	+3.6
28	15-13	USC	COLO	Serve err	USC server		+4.2
29	15-14	COLO	USC	Attack err	Sydney Jordan		+3.7
30	15-15	USC	USC	Ace	USC server	aced Avery Bolles	+5.9
31	16-15	USC	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+4.5
32	17-15	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Quinn Loper	blk Lily Dwinell	+6.5
33	17-16	COLO	USC	Serve err	COLO server		+4.0
34	17-17	USC	USC	Kill	Quinn Loper	set Lilli Etter	+6.5
35	18-17	USC	COLO	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Jenna Ylivainio	+5.0
36	18-18	COLO	USC	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+4.8
37	19-18	USC	COLO×3	Kill	Lily Dwinell	set Tinons Munar Galmes	+5.4
38	20-18	COLO	COLO×3	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Tinons Munar Galmes	+7.8
39	21-18	COLO	COLO×3	Attack err	London Wijay		+7.0
40	21-19	COLO	USC×4	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+3.4
41	21-20	USC	USC×4	Ace	USC server	aced Cayla Payne	+7.0
42	21-21	USC	USC×4	Kill	London Wijay	set Lilli Etter	+9.0
43	21-22	USC	USC×4	Attack err	Cayla Payne	blk Leah Ford, London Wijay	+10.1
44	22-22	USC	COLO	Kill	Ana Burilovic	set Jenna Ylivainio	+6.8
45	22-23	COLO	USC	Serve err	COLO server		+8.2
46	23-23	USC	COLO	Serve err	USC server		+7.9
47	24-23	COLO	COLO	Kill	Sydney Jordan	set Jenna Ylivainio	+15.6
48	24-24	COLO	USC	Serve err	COLO server		+11.0
49	25-24	USC	COLO	Attack err	Mia Tvrdy	blk Jenna Ylivainio	+11.0
50	26-24	COLO	COLO	Attack err	Mia Tvrdy	blk Sydney Jordan	+16.7

Score shown after each rally, Colorado first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.