Final · 4 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayACC

3:1

HomeBIG-TEN

Stanford def. Wisconsin 3–1

(15-25, 28-26, 25-20, 25-14)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
STAN	15	28	25	25	3
WISC	25	26	20	14	1

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WISC above 50 · STAN below

Biggest swing: 9.9% to Stanford — set 2, STAN 28-26 WISC. Attack error by Audrey Flanagan. WISC win probability 65% → 55%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

STAN 43.0%57.0% WISC

Stanford wins

3-0

9.8%

3-1

15.8%

3-2

17.4%

Wisconsin wins

3-0

15.7%

3-1

21.7%

3-2

19.7%

STAN break %: 38.7% vs this opp
WISC break %: 40.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Audrey FlanaganAttack error+9.9%
Attack error by Audrey Flanagan
Set 2 · STAN 28-26 WISC · STAN 35% → 45%
02
Grace EganAttack error+9.6%
Attack error by Grace Egan
Set 2 · STAN 25-24 WISC · STAN 25% → 35%
03
Charlie FuerbringerBad set+9.3%
Bad set by Charlie Fuerbringer
Set 2 · STAN 24-24 WISC · STAN 16% → 25%
04
Natalie WardlowKill+6.3%
Kill by Natalie Wardlow (set by Charlie Fuerbringer)
Set 2 · STAN 25-25 WISC · WISC 65% → 72%
05
Ipar KurtKill+6.3%
Kill by Ipar Kurt (set by Spencer Etzler)
Set 2 · STAN 26-25 WISC · STAN 28% → 35%
06
Natalie WardlowKill+6.3%
Kill by Natalie Wardlow (set by Charlie Fuerbringer)
Set 2 · STAN 26-26 WISC · WISC 65% → 72%
07
Ipar KurtKill+6.3%
Kill by Ipar Kurt (set by Logan Parks)
Set 2 · STAN 27-26 WISC · STAN 28% → 35%
08
Charlie FuerbringerAttack error+5.5%
Attack error by Charlie Fuerbringer
Set 3 · STAN 16-14 WISC · STAN 50% → 56%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Stanfordaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
5Jordyn HarveyOPP	4	16	1	31	.484	0	3	2	6	0	3	1.5	20.5
11Lizzy AndrewMB	4	9	1	22	.364	0	0	0	1	0	5	2.5	11.5
15Ipar KurtOH	4	9	6	49	.061	1	0	1	3	1	2	1	10
22Erika SayerMB	4	8	0	18	.444	2	0	0	1	0	4	2	10
7Julia BlyashovOH	4	6	3	25	.120	0	1	1	25	1	0	0	7
24Logan ParksS	4	1	0	4	.250	38	0	2	13	0	4	2	3
9Spencer EtzlerL/DS	4	1	0	1	1.000	5	2	0	14	2	0	0	3
19Simone RoslonOH	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	4	1	0	0	0
14Malyssa CawaDS	2	0	0	1	.000	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	1
6Koko KirschDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	2	3	0	0	0
Team totals		50	11	151	.258	46	7	12	71	8	18	9	93

Wisconsinhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
22Audrey FlanaganOH	4	17	8	45	.200	0	5	1	12	2	0	1	0.5	22.5
5Eva TravisOH	4	13	10	42	.071	1	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	13.5
32Grace EganOH	4	11	3	31	.258	0	2	3	18	0	0	1	0.5	13.5
12Natalie WardlowMB	4	8	1	14	.500	0	0	1	2	0	1	1	1.5	9.5
20Lynney TarnowMB	4	3	2	17	.059	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
24Charlie FuerbringerS	4	1	2	8	-.125	49	0	0	11	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
7Kristen SimonL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	2	1	0	10	2	0	0	0	1
2Anna BardaroL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	19	1	0	0	0	0
23Grace LopezOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
6Isabelle HoppeS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
67Halle ThompsonOH	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0
10Madison QuestOH	1	0	0	5	.000	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
88Kymora ScottMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		53	26	165	.164	53	8	7	81	7	1	8	5	85

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 STAN · WISC 5

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 3 STANWISC 5

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 4 STANWISC 5

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 5 STANWISC 2

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 6 STANWISC 2

Bars above the line = Wisconsin leads, below = Stanford leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Stanford

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%10/19	50%8/16
2	63%10/16	55%12/22
3	67%10/15	41%7/17
4	50%8/16	18%2/11
5	55%6/11	50%6/12
6	67%6/9	57%8/14
All	58%50/86	47%43/92

Wisconsin

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%10/20	20%2/10
2	53%10/19	55%12/22
3	75%9/12	29%4/14
4	62%8/13	25%3/12
5	50%6/12	59%10/17
6	38%6/16	45%5/11
All	53%49/92	42%36/86

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

178 rallies

Rally log

#	STAN-WISC	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	STAN	STAN	Ace	STAN server	aced Audrey Flanagan	+2.7
2	2-0	STAN	STAN	Attack err	Eva Travis	blk Ipar Kurt, Erika Sayer	+2.7
3	2-1	STAN	WISC	Serve err	STAN server		+1.7
4	2-2	WISC	WISC	Attack err	Ipar Kurt		+2.7
5	3-2	WISC	STAN	Kill	Erika Sayer	set Logan Parks	+1.8
6	3-3	STAN	WISC	Kill	Grace Egan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.8
7	4-3	WISC	STAN	Serve err	WISC server		+1.9
8	4-4	STAN	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.8
9	4-5	WISC	WISC	Ace	WISC server	aced Spencer Etzler	+2.8
10	5-5	WISC	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Logan Parks	+1.9
11	5-6	STAN	WISC×4	Kill	Grace Egan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.9
12	5-7	WISC	WISC×4	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.8
13	5-8	WISC	WISC×4	Ace	WISC server	aced Koko Kirsch	+2.7
14	5-9	WISC	WISC×4	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.4
15	6-9	WISC	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+1.3
16	7-9	STAN	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Logan Parks	+2.5
17	7-10	STAN	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.8
18	7-11	WISC	WISC	Attack err	Julia Blyashov	blk Natalie Wardlow	+2.5
19	8-11	WISC	STAN	Kill	Erika Sayer	set Logan Parks	+1.4
20	8-12	STAN	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.6
21	9-12	WISC	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Erika Sayer	+1.4
22	9-13	STAN	WISC×4	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.6
23	9-14	WISC	WISC×4	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.1
24	9-15	WISC	WISC×4	Kill	Grace Egan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.6
25	9-16	WISC	WISC×4	Attack err	Ipar Kurt		+1.1
26	10-16	WISC	STAN	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan		+0.4
27	11-16	STAN	STAN	Ace	STAN server	aced Anna Bardaro	+1.0
28	11-17	STAN	WISC	Kill	Natalie Wardlow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.0
29	11-18	WISC	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.9
30	12-18	WISC	STAN×3	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+0.4
31	13-18	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Anna Bardaro	+0.9
32	14-18	STAN	STAN×3	Ace	STAN server	aced Audrey Flanagan	+1.4
33	14-19	STAN	WISC	Serve err	STAN server		+1.3
34	14-20	WISC	WISC	Ace	WISC server	aced Julia Blyashov	+1.2
35	15-20	WISC	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Logan Parks	+0.4
36	15-21	STAN	WISC×5	Kill	Grace Egan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.7
37	15-22	WISC	WISC×5	Ace	WISC server	aced Koko Kirsch	+0.5
38	15-23	WISC	WISC×5	Ace	WISC server	aced Koko Kirsch	+0.2
39	15-24	WISC	WISC×5	Kill	Charlie Fuerbringer	set Eva Travis	+0.0
40	15-25	WISC	WISC×5	Ace	WISC server	aced Spencer Etzler	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	WISC	STAN	Kill	Erika Sayer	set Logan Parks	+1.6
2	1-1	STAN	WISC×5	Kill	Natalie Wardlow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.6
3	1-2	WISC	WISC×5	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.5
4	1-3	WISC	WISC×5	Ace	WISC server	aced Ipar Kurt	+2.4
5	1-4	WISC	WISC×5	Kill	Natalie Wardlow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.3
6	1-5	WISC	WISC×5	Attack err	Ipar Kurt	blk Grace Egan, Natalie Wardlow	+2.1
7	2-5	WISC	STAN×3	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Logan Parks	+1.2
8	3-5	STAN	STAN×3	Attack err	Grace Egan		+2.1
9	4-5	STAN	STAN×3	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan	blk Lizzy Andrew, Logan Parks	+2.4
10	4-6	STAN	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.7
11	5-6	WISC	STAN	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Logan Parks	+1.6
12	5-7	STAN	WISC	Serve err	STAN server		+1.7
13	6-7	WISC	STAN	Serve err	WISC server		+1.7
14	6-8	STAN	WISC	Serve err	STAN server		+1.8
15	7-8	WISC	STAN×4	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Spencer Etzler	+1.7
16	8-8	STAN	STAN×4	Attack err	Eva Travis		+2.9
17	9-8	STAN	STAN×4	Attack err	Lynney Tarnow		+3.0
18	10-8	STAN	STAN×4	Attack err	Eva Travis		+3.0
19	10-9	STAN	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.8
20	10-10	WISC	WISC	Attack err	Julia Blyashov		+3.1
21	11-10	WISC	STAN×4	Attack err	Eva Travis	blk Jordyn Harvey, Erika Sayer	+2.1
22	12-10	STAN	STAN×4	Kill	Spencer Etzler	set Erika Sayer	+3.2
23	13-10	STAN	STAN×4	Attack err	Natalie Wardlow		+3.1
24	14-10	STAN	STAN×4	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Logan Parks	+2.7
25	14-11	STAN	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.4
26	14-12	WISC	WISC	Attack err	Jordyn Harvey		+2.7
27	15-12	WISC	STAN	Kill	Erika Sayer	set Logan Parks	+2.1
28	15-13	STAN	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.8
29	15-14	WISC	WISC	Kill	Natalie Wardlow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+3.3
30	16-14	WISC	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Logan Parks	+2.5
31	16-15	STAN	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.2
32	16-16	WISC	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+3.9
33	17-16	WISC	STAN	Bad set	Lynney Tarnow		+2.8
34	17-17	STAN	WISC	Serve err	STAN server		+2.7
35	18-17	WISC	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Logan Parks	+2.9
36	18-18	STAN	WISC×4	Serve err	STAN server		+2.8
37	18-19	WISC	WISC×4	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+4.7
38	18-20	WISC	WISC×4	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+4.5
39	18-21	WISC	WISC×4	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+3.7
40	19-21	WISC	STAN	Serve err	WISC server		+1.7
41	20-21	STAN	STAN	Attack err	Eva Travis	blk Erika Sayer, Jordyn Harvey	+4.0
42	20-22	STAN	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+3.5
43	20-23	WISC	WISC	Kill	Natalie Wardlow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+4.0
44	21-23	WISC	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+1.4
45	22-23	STAN	STAN	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan		+4.1
46	22-24	STAN	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+4.5
47	23-24	WISC	STAN×3	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+2.3
48	24-24	STAN	STAN×3	Bad set	Charlie Fuerbringer		+9.3
49	25-24	STAN	STAN×3	Attack err	Grace Egan		+9.6
50	25-25	STAN	WISC	Kill	Natalie Wardlow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+6.3
51	26-25	WISC	STAN	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Spencer Etzler	+6.3
52	26-26	STAN	WISC	Kill	Natalie Wardlow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+6.3
53	27-26	WISC	STAN	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Logan Parks	+6.3
54	28-26	STAN	STAN	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan		+9.9
Set 3
1	0-1	STAN	WISC	Kill	Grace Egan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.2
2	0-2	WISC	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+3.4
3	1-2	WISC	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+2.1
4	1-3	STAN	WISC	Kill	Grace Egan	set Anna Bardaro	+2.2
5	2-3	WISC	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Logan Parks	+2.2
6	2-4	STAN	WISC	Serve err	STAN server		+2.3
7	3-4	WISC	STAN	Serve err	WISC server		+2.2
8	3-5	STAN	WISC	Kill	Grace Egan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.3
9	4-5	WISC	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Logan Parks	+2.3
10	4-6	STAN	WISC	Kill	Grace Egan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.4
11	5-6	WISC	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+2.3
12	5-7	STAN	WISC	Attack err	Ipar Kurt	blk Lynney Tarnow, Eva Travis	+2.5
13	6-7	WISC	STAN	Attack err	Eva Travis		+2.4
14	6-8	STAN	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.5
15	6-9	WISC	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+3.6
16	7-9	WISC	STAN×4	Attack err	Lynney Tarnow	blk Jordyn Harvey, Lizzy Andrew	+2.2
17	8-9	STAN	STAN×4	Ace	STAN server	aced Kristen Simon	+3.8
18	9-9	STAN	STAN×4	Bad set	Kristen Simon		+4.2
19	10-9	STAN	STAN×4	Attack err	Grace Egan	blk Lizzy Andrew, Ipar Kurt	+4.5
20	10-10	STAN	WISC	Attack err	Ipar Kurt		+2.9
21	11-10	WISC	STAN	Serve err	WISC server		+3.0
22	11-11	STAN	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Kristen Simon	+3.0
23	12-11	WISC	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+3.1
24	12-12	STAN	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+3.1
25	13-12	WISC	STAN	Attack err	Eva Travis		+3.3
26	14-12	STAN	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Spencer Etzler	+5.0
27	14-13	STAN	WISC	Serve err	STAN server		+3.0
28	14-14	WISC	WISC	Attack err	Julia Blyashov		+5.1
29	15-14	WISC	STAN×5	Kill	Erika Sayer	set Simone Roslon	+3.6
30	16-14	STAN	STAN×5	Attack err	Charlie Fuerbringer		+5.5
31	17-14	STAN	STAN×5	Kill	Erika Sayer		+5.1
32	18-14	STAN	STAN×5	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Spencer Etzler	+4.2
33	19-14	STAN	STAN×5	Attack err	Charlie Fuerbringer		+3.1
34	19-15	STAN	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.3
35	20-15	WISC	STAN	Kill	Erika Sayer	set Logan Parks	+2.0
36	20-16	STAN	WISC	Kill	Grace Egan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.2
37	20-17	WISC	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.8
38	21-17	WISC	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+2.8
39	21-18	STAN	WISC	Serve err	STAN server		+1.7
40	22-18	WISC	STAN	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Logan Parks	+2.7
41	22-19	STAN	WISC	Kill	Grace Egan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.4
42	23-19	WISC	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+2.6
43	24-19	STAN	STAN	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan	blk Logan Parks, Erika Sayer	+1.7
44	24-20	STAN	WISC	Serve err	STAN server		+0.2
45	25-20	WISC	STAN	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan		+0.6
Set 4
1	0-1	WISC	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Kristen Simon	+3.7
2	1-1	WISC	STAN×6	Kill	Erika Sayer	set Logan Parks	+2.4
3	2-1	STAN	STAN×6	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Logan Parks	+3.9
4	3-1	STAN	STAN×6	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+3.9
5	4-1	STAN	STAN×6	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+3.8
6	5-1	STAN	STAN×6	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Logan Parks	+3.6
7	6-1	STAN	STAN×6	Ace	STAN server	aced Kristen Simon	+3.3
8	6-2	STAN	WISC	Kill	Natalie Wardlow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.8
9	7-2	WISC	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+2.1
10	7-3	STAN	WISC	Kill	Grace Egan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.8
11	7-4	WISC	WISC	Attack err	Ipar Kurt	blk Lynney Tarnow, Charlie Fuerbringer	+3.2
12	8-4	WISC	STAN	Serve err	WISC server		+2.5
13	8-5	STAN	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.1
14	8-6	WISC	WISC	Ace	WISC server	aced Simone Roslon	+3.8
15	9-6	WISC	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Logan Parks	+2.8
16	9-7	STAN	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.5
17	10-7	WISC	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Logan Parks	+2.8
18	10-8	STAN	WISC	Serve err	STAN server		+2.5
19	10-9	WISC	WISC	Bad set	Logan Parks		+4.4
20	11-9	WISC	STAN×3	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan		+3.1
21	12-9	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+4.6
22	13-9	STAN	STAN×3	Attack err	Eva Travis		+4.1
23	13-10	STAN	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+2.2
24	14-10	WISC	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Ipar Kurt	+2.8
25	15-10	STAN	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Spencer Etzler	+3.5
26	15-11	STAN	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+1.7
27	16-11	WISC	STAN×4	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Logan Parks	+2.3
28	17-11	STAN	STAN×4	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan	blk Lizzy Andrew, Logan Parks	+2.6
29	18-11	STAN	STAN×4	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Logan Parks	+1.7
30	19-11	STAN	STAN×4	Ace	STAN server	aced Team	+1.0
31	19-12	STAN	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.3
32	19-13	WISC	WISC	Attack err	Lizzy Andrew	blk Audrey Flanagan, Lynney Tarnow	+0.8
33	20-13	WISC	STAN	Serve err	WISC server		+0.9
34	20-14	STAN	WISC	Serve err	STAN server		+0.4
35	21-14	WISC	STAN×5	Attack err	Eva Travis	blk Lizzy Andrew, Logan Parks	+0.8
36	22-14	STAN	STAN×5	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Logan Parks	+0.5
37	23-14	STAN	STAN×5	Ace	STAN server	aced Halle Thompson	+0.2
38	24-14	STAN	STAN×5	Kill	Logan Parks		+0.0
39	25-14	STAN	STAN×5	Attack err	Eva Travis		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Stanford first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.