Penn St. def. Stanford 3–0
Penn St. beat Stanford 3-0 (27-25, 25-20, 25-21) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026 at a neutral site. Penn St.'s Kennedy Martin led with 14 kills.
Data through · final Sep 11
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STAN | 25 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| PENNST | 27 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 9.7% to Penn St. — set 1, STAN 25-26 PENNST. Kill by Ryla Jones (set by Alexis Stucky). PENNST win probability 57% → 67%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Stanford wins
Penn St. wins
- STAN break %
- 40.2% vs this opp
- PENNST break %
- 42.1% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Ryla JonesKill+9.7%
Kill by Ryla Jones (set by Alexis Stucky)
Set 1 · STAN 25-26 PENNST · PENNST 57% → 67%
- 02
- 03Kennedy MartinKill+7.6%
Kill by Kennedy Martin (set by Ava Falduto)
Set 1 · STAN 23-23 PENNST · PENNST 50% → 57%
- 04
- 05
- 06Logan ParksKill+7.1%
Kill by Logan Parks (set by Jordyn Harvey)
Set 1 · STAN 25-24 PENNST · STAN 43% → 50%
- 07Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+7.1%
Point Penn St. (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 1 · STAN 25-25 PENNST · PENNST 50% → 57%
- 08
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 36 | .194 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 19 | .158 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 3 | 8 | 3 | 29 | .172 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 5 | 0 | 15 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | -.091 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .556 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .400 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| Team totals | 38 | 12 | 126 | .206 | 35 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 66 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 14 | 7 | 38 | .184 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | |
| 3 | 10 | 1 | 20 | .450 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 12.5 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 31 | .129 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 3 | 5 | 0 | 9 | .556 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | .333 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | .000 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -.750 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 45 | 22 | 120 | .192 | 44 | 4 | 2 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4.5 | 77 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-27
Set 2
20-25
Set 3
21-25
Bars above the line = Penn St. leads, below = Stanford leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Stanford
No clean sets to split.
Penn St.
No clean sets to split.
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
143 rallies
| # | STAN-PENNST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | PENNST | PENNST | Attack err | Jordyn Harvey | +2.4 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | PENNST | PENNST | Attack err | Ipar Kurt | +2.4 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | PENNST | STAN | Kill | Ipar Kurt | set Logan Parks | +1.6 |
| 4–5 | 2-3 | STAN · PENNST | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | · | |||
| 6 | 3-3 | STAN | STAN | Ace | Jordyn Harvey | aced Whitney Lauenstein | +2.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | STAN | PENNST×3 | Serve err | Jordyn Harvey | +1.8 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Alexis Stucky | +2.5 |
| 9 | 3-6 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | +2.4 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | PENNST | STAN×3 | Kill | Ipar Kurt | set Spencer Etzler | +1.6 |
| 11 | 5-6 | STAN | STAN×3 | Kill | Logan Parks | set Julia Blyashov | +2.5 |
| 12 | 6-6 | STAN | STAN×3 | Attack err | Whitney Lauenstein | +2.7 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | STAN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +2.0 |
| 14 | 7-7 | STAN | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.0 | |||
| 15 | 7-8 | STAN | PENNST | Kill | Gabrielle Nichols | set Alexis Stucky | +2.0 |
| 16 | 8-8 | PENNST | STAN | Kill | Jordyn Harvey | set Logan Parks | +2.0 |
| 17 | 9-8 | STAN | STAN | Blocked | Finley Krystkowiak | blk Jordyn Harvey, Ella Andrews | +3.1 |
| 18 | 9-9 | STAN | PENNST | Serve err | Stanford | +2.1 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | PENNST | STAN | Kill | Julia Blyashov | set Logan Parks | +2.2 |
| 20 | 10-10 | STAN | PENNST×3 | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +2.2 |
| 21 | 10-11 | PENNST | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +3.2 | |||
| 22 | 10-12 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Serve err | Penn St. | +3.1 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | STAN | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.1 | |||
| 24 | 12-12 | STAN | STAN | Kill | Jordyn Harvey | set Logan Parks | +3.3 |
| 25 | 12-13 | STAN | PENNST | Serve err | Stanford | +2.4 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | PENNST | STAN×3 | Attack err | Alexis Stucky | +2.4 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | STAN | STAN×3 | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | +3.7 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | STAN | STAN×3 | Kill | Ipar Kurt | +3.8 | |
| 29–31 | 16-15 | STAN · PENNST 2 | NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +2.1 | |||
| 32 | 16-16 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Kill | Gabrielle Nichols | +4.0 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Alexis Stucky | +4.2 |
| 34 | 16-18 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Ace | Penn St. | aced Ipar Kurt | +4.0 |
| 35 | 17-18 | PENNST | STAN×4 | Attack err | Lizzy Andrew | +2.6 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | STAN | STAN×4 | Attack err | Kennedy Martin | +4.4 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | STAN | STAN×4 | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | +5.0 | |
| 38 | 20-18 | STAN | STAN×4 | Bad set | Kennedy Martin | +5.0 | |
| 39 | 20-19 | STAN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +2.9 |
| 40 | 21-19 | PENNST | STAN | Kill | Logan Parks | set Spencer Etzler | +3.8 |
| 41 | 22-19 | STAN | STAN | Attack err | Finley Krystkowiak | +4.6 | |
| 42–44 | 23-21 | STAN · PENNST 2 | NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.5 | |||
| 45 | 23-22 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Ace | Penn St. | aced Julia Blyashov | +4.7 |
| 46 | 23-23 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Ava Falduto | +7.6 |
| 47 | 24-23 | PENNST | STAN | Kill | Julia Blyashov | +7.1 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | STAN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | +7.1 | |
| 49 | 25-24 | PENNST | STAN | Kill | Logan Parks | set Jordyn Harvey | +7.1 |
| 50 | 25-25 | PENNST | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +7.1 | |||
| 51 | 25-26 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Ryla Jones | set Alexis Stucky | +9.7 |
| 52 | 25-27 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Attack err | Ipar Kurt | +9.3 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1–2 | 0-2 | PENNST 2 | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +3.7 | |||
| 3 | 1-2 | PENNST | STAN | Kill | Jordyn Harvey | +1.5 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | STAN | PENNST | Kill | Alexis Stucky | +1.5 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | PENNST | STAN | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | +1.5 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | STAN | PENNST | Attack err | Lizzy Andrew | +1.6 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | PENNST | STAN | Attack err | Kennedy Martin | +1.5 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | STAN | PENNST×3 | Serve err | Stanford | +1.6 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Haley Burgdorf | set Alexis Stucky | +2.2 |
| 10 | 3-7 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Ryla Jones | set Alexis Stucky | +2.0 |
| 11 | 4-7 | PENNST | STAN | Kill | Julia Blyashov | set Spencer Etzler | +1.2 |
| 12 | 4-8 | STAN | PENNST | Serve err | Stanford | +1.4 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | PENNST | STAN | Attack err | Kennedy Martin | +1.2 | |
| 14 | 5-9 | STAN | PENNST | Kill | Haley Burgdorf | set Alexis Stucky | +1.4 |
| 15 | 6-9 | PENNST | STAN | Kill | Ipar Kurt | set Logan Parks | +1.3 |
| 16 | 6-10 | STAN | PENNST | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Alexis Stucky | +1.4 |
| 17 | 6-11 | PENNST | PENNST | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | +1.7 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | PENNST | STAN | Attack err | Whitney Lauenstein | +1.0 | |
| 19 | 7-12 | STAN | PENNST×3 | Serve err | Stanford | +1.2 | |
| 20 | 7-13 | PENNST | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.4 | |||
| 21 | 7-14 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Attack err | Jordyn Harvey | +1.0 | |
| 22 | 8-14 | PENNST | STAN | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | +0.5 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | STAN | STAN | Kill | Logan Parks | set Julia Blyashov | +1.0 |
| 24 | 9-15 | STAN | PENNST | Blocked | Julia Blyashov | blk Gabrielle Nichols | +0.9 |
| 25 | 10-15 | PENNST | STAN | Attack err | Kennedy Martin | +0.7 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | STAN | STAN | Kill | Ella Andrews | set Logan Parks | +1.4 |
| 27 | 11-16 | STAN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +1.3 |
| 28 | 11-17 | PENNST | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.3 | |||
| 29 | 12-17 | PENNST | STAN | Kill | Lilly Wagner | +0.6 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | STAN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | +0.9 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | PENNST | STAN×3 | Kill | Julia Blyashov | set Lilly Wagner | +0.6 |
| 32 | 14-18 | STAN | STAN×3 | Kill | Ipar Kurt | +1.2 | |
| 33 | 15-18 | STAN | STAN×3 | Attack err | Kennedy Martin | +1.8 | |
| 34–35 | 15-20 | PENNST 2 | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +3.4 | |||
| 36 | 15-21 | PENNST | PENNST×4 | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Alexis Stucky | +1.0 |
| 37–38 | 16-22 | STAN · PENNST | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.4 | |||
| 39 | 17-22 | STAN | STAN×3 | Attack err | Whitney Lauenstein | +0.4 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | STAN | STAN×3 | Attack err | Whitney Lauenstein | +0.7 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | STAN | PENNST | Serve err | Stanford | +0.9 | |
| 42 | 19-23 | PENNST | STAN | Kill | Ipar Kurt | set Lilly Wagner | +0.3 |
| 43 | 19-24 | STAN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +0.7 |
| 44 | 20-24 | PENNST | STAN | Serve err | Penn St. | +0.2 | |
| 45 | 20-25 | STAN | PENNST | Kill | Haley Burgdorf | set Alexis Stucky | +0.4 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Bad set | Lilly Wagner | +1.3 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Blocked | Ipar Kurt | blk Ryla Jones, Alexis Stucky | +1.3 |
| 3 | 0-3 | PENNST | PENNST×3 | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Alexis Stucky | +1.2 |
| 4 | 1-3 | PENNST | STAN | Kill | Jordyn Harvey | set Lilly Wagner | +0.8 |
| 5 | 1-4 | STAN | PENNST | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Alexis Stucky | +0.9 |
| 6 | 2-4 | PENNST | STAN | Attack err | Kennedy Martin | +0.8 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | STAN | PENNST | Kill | Kennedy Martin | set Alexis Stucky | +0.9 |
| 8 | 3-5 | PENNST | STAN | Attack err | Whitney Lauenstein | +0.8 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | STAN | STAN | Serve err | Stanford | +1.3 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | STAN | PENNST | Attack err | Ella Andrews | +1.0 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | PENNST | STAN×3 | Kill | Lilly Wagner | set Simone Roslon | +1.0 |
| 12 | 6-6 | STAN | STAN×3 | Kill | Julia Blyashov | set Spencer Etzler | +1.5 |
| 13 | 7-6 | STAN | STAN×3 | Attack err | Haley Burgdorf | +1.6 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | PENNST | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.1 | |||
| 15 | 7-8 | PENNST | PENNST×6 | Kill | Haley Burgdorf | set Alexis Stucky | +1.6 |
| 16 | 7-9 | PENNST | PENNST×6 | Attack err | Julia Blyashov | +1.5 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | PENNST | PENNST×6 | Serve err | Penn St. | +1.4 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | PENNST | PENNST×6 | Attack err | Ella Andrews | +1.3 | |
| 19 | 7-12 | PENNST | PENNST×6 | Kill | Kennedy Martin | +1.1 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | PENNST | STAN | Kill | Julia Blyashov | +0.6 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | STAN | PENNST | Attack err | Julia Blyashov | +0.7 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | PENNST | STAN | Kill | Ipar Kurt | set Lilly Wagner | +0.6 |
| 23–24 | 10-14 | STAN · PENNST | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.1 | |||
| 25 | 11-14 | STAN | STAN×6 | Blocked | Whitney Lauenstein | blk Jordyn Harvey, Lizzy Andrew | +1.1 |
| 26 | 12-14 | STAN | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.4 | |||
| 27 | 13-14 | STAN | STAN×6 | Kill | Lizzy Andrew | set Lilly Wagner | +1.7 |
| 28 | 14-14 | STAN | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.9 | |||
| 29 | 15-14 | STAN | STAN×6 | Ace | Jordyn Harvey | aced Ava Falduto | +2.1 |
| 30 | 15-15 | STAN | PENNST | Kill | Whitney Lauenstein | set Alexis Stucky | +1.4 |
| 31–32 | 16-16 | STAN · PENNST | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.6 | |||
| 33 | 17-16 | STAN | STAN | Serve err | Stanford | +2.3 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | STAN | PENNST×5 | Kill | Gabrielle Nichols | set Alexis Stucky | +1.6 |
| 35 | 17-18 | PENNST | PENNST×5 | Attack err | Ella Andrews | +2.4 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | PENNST | PENNST×5 | Kill | Haley Burgdorf | set Ava Falduto | +2.3 |
| 37 | 17-20 | PENNST | PENNST×5 | Kill | Haley Burgdorf | +2.0 | |
| 38 | 17-21 | PENNST | PENNST×5 | Blocked | Julia Blyashov | blk Kennedy Martin, Gabrielle Nichols | +1.5 |
| 39 | 18-21 | PENNST | STAN | Kill | Julia Blyashov | set Lilly Wagner | +0.6 |
| 40–45 | 21-24 | STAN 3 · PENNST 3 | NCAA feed gap6 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +1.3 | |||
| 46 | 21-25 | PENNST | PENNST | Ace | Penn St. | aced Julia Blyashov | +0.8 |
Score shown after each rally, Stanford first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).