FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayACC

0:3

HomeBIG-TEN

Penn St. def. Stanford 3–0

(27-25, 25-20, 25-21)

Set	1*	2*	3*	Sets
STAN	25	20	21	0
PENNST	27	25	25	3

* Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

PENNST above 50 · STAN below

Biggest swing: 10.3% to Penn St. — set 1, STAN 25-27 PENNST. Attack error by Ipar Kurt. PENNST win probability 53% → 64%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

STAN 56.7%43.3% PENNST

Stanford wins

3-0

15.5%

3-1

21.5%

3-2

19.6%

Penn St. wins

3-0

9.9%

3-1

16.0%

3-2

17.5%

STAN break %: 43.5% vs this opp
PENNST break %: 42.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ipar KurtAttack error+10.3%
Attack error by Ipar Kurt
Set 1 · STAN 25-27 PENNST · PENNST 53% → 64%
02
Ryla JonesKill+10.0%
Kill by Ryla Jones (set by Alexis Stucky)
Set 1 · STAN 25-26 PENNST · PENNST 43% → 53%
03
Kennedy MartinKill+7.4%
Kill by Kennedy Martin (set by Ava Falduto)
Set 1 · STAN 23-23 PENNST · PENNST 36% → 43%
04
Julia BlyashovKill+7.3%
Kill by Julia Blyashov
Set 1 · STAN 24-23 PENNST · STAN 57% → 64%
05
Kennedy MartinKill+7.3%
Kill by Kennedy Martin
Set 1 · STAN 24-24 PENNST · PENNST 36% → 43%
06
Logan ParksKill+7.3%
Kill by Logan Parks (set by Jordyn Harvey)
Set 1 · STAN 25-24 PENNST · STAN 57% → 64%
07
Unlogged pointFeed gap+7.3%
Point Penn St. (not logged in NCAA feed)
Set 1 · STAN 25-25 PENNST · PENNST 36% → 43%
08
Lizzy AndrewKill+4.7%
Kill by Lizzy Andrew
Set 1 · STAN 19-18 PENNST · STAN 55% → 60%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Stanfordaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Julia BlyashovOH	3	10	3	36	.194	2	0	1	4	2	0	0	0	10
5Jordyn HarveyOPP	3	6	3	19	.158	1	2	4	8	0	0	2	1	9
15Ipar KurtOH	3	8	3	29	.172	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0.5	8.5
11Lizzy AndrewMB	3	5	0	15	.333	0	0	2	3	0	1	3	2.5	7.5
16Ella AndrewsMB	3	2	3	11	-.091	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
24Logan ParksS	2	5	0	9	.556	14	0	2	3	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
9Spencer EtzlerL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	6	0	2	13	0	0	0	0	0
14Malyssa CawaDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
19Simone RoslonOH	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	2	5	0	0	0	0	0
26Lilly WagnerS	2	2	0	5	.400	10	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
Team totals		38	12	126	.206	35	2	13	42	4	1	10	6	66

Penn St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
18Kennedy MartinOH	3	14	7	38	.184	1	0	0	13	0	0	2	1	15
23Haley BurgdorfOH	3	10	1	20	.450	1	2	0	9	0	0	1	0.5	12.5
26Whitney LauensteinOH	3	11	7	31	.129	1	0	1	5	1	0	0	0	11
8Gabrielle NicholsMB	3	5	0	9	.556	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	6.5
7Ryla JonesMB	3	3	1	6	.333	1	0	1	2	0	0	2	1	4
5Alexis StuckyS	3	2	2	8	.000	36	1	0	10	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
2Ava FaldutoL/DS	3	0	1	3	-.333	4	1	0	12	1	0	0	0	1
11Jocelyn NathanL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
42Finley KrystkowiakOH	1	0	3	4	-.750	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Lexi GinDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	22	120	.192	44	4	2	56	2	1	7	4.5	77

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 STAN · PENNST 6

Set 1*

25-27

Longest run 4 STANPENNST 4

Set 2*

20-25

Longest run 3 STANPENNST 4

Set 3*

21-25

Longest run 6 STANPENNST 6

Bars above the line = Penn St. leads, below = Stanford leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Stanford

No clean sets to split.

Penn St.

No clean sets to split.

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (0 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

143 rallies

Rally log

#	STAN-PENNST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	PENNST	PENNST	Attack err	Jordyn Harvey		+2.5
2	0-2	PENNST	PENNST	Attack err	Ipar Kurt		+2.5
3	1-2	PENNST	STAN	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Logan Parks	+1.8
4	1-3	STAN	PENNST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.9
5	2-3	PENNST	STAN	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.8
6	3-3	STAN	STAN	Ace	STAN server	aced Whitney Lauenstein	+2.6
7	3-4	STAN	PENNST×3	Serve err	STAN server		+2.0
8	3-5	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+2.7
9	3-6	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein		+2.6
10	4-6	PENNST	STAN×3	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Spencer Etzler	+1.8
11	5-6	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Logan Parks	set Julia Blyashov	+2.6
12	6-6	STAN	STAN×3	Attack err	Whitney Lauenstein		+2.7
13	6-7	STAN	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+2.1
14	7-7	PENNST	STAN	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.1
15	7-8	STAN	PENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+2.2
16	8-8	PENNST	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+2.2
17	9-8	STAN	STAN	Attack err	Finley Krystkowiak	blk Jordyn Harvey, Ella Andrews	+3.0
18	9-9	STAN	PENNST	Serve err	STAN server		+2.2
19	10-9	PENNST	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Logan Parks	+2.3
20	10-10	STAN	PENNST×3	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+2.3
21	10-11	PENNST	PENNST×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+3.2
22	10-12	PENNST	PENNST×3	Serve err	PENNST server		+3.3
23	11-12	PENNST	STAN	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.3
24	12-12	STAN	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Logan Parks	+3.3
25	12-13	STAN	PENNST	Serve err	STAN server		+2.6
26	13-13	PENNST	STAN×3	Attack err	Alexis Stucky		+2.6
27	14-13	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Lizzy Andrew		+3.5
28	15-13	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Ipar Kurt		+3.5
29	15-14	STAN	PENNST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.4
30	16-14	PENNST	STAN	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.7
31	16-15	STAN	PENNST×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.5
32	16-16	PENNST	PENNST×4	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols		+3.9
33	16-17	PENNST	PENNST×4	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+4.2
34	16-18	PENNST	PENNST×4	Ace	PENNST server	aced Ipar Kurt	+4.3
35	17-18	PENNST	STAN×4	Attack err	Lizzy Andrew		+2.8
36	18-18	STAN	STAN×4	Attack err	Kennedy Martin		+4.4
37	19-18	STAN	STAN×4	Kill	Lizzy Andrew		+4.7
38	20-18	STAN	STAN×4	Bad set	Kennedy Martin		+4.6
39	20-19	STAN	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+3.0
40	21-19	PENNST	STAN	Kill	Logan Parks	set Spencer Etzler	+3.7
41	22-19	STAN	STAN	Attack err	Finley Krystkowiak		+4.1
42	22-20	STAN	PENNST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.1
43	23-20	PENNST	STAN	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+3.2
44	23-21	STAN	PENNST×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.8
45	23-22	PENNST	PENNST×3	Ace	PENNST server	aced Julia Blyashov	+4.5
46	23-23	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Ava Falduto	+7.4
47	24-23	PENNST	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov		+7.3
48	24-24	STAN	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin		+7.3
49	25-24	PENNST	STAN	Kill	Logan Parks	set Jordyn Harvey	+7.3
50	25-25	STAN	PENNST×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+7.3
51	25-26	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Ryla Jones	set Alexis Stucky	+10.0
52	25-27	PENNST	PENNST×3	Attack err	Ipar Kurt		+10.3
Set 2
1	0-1	STAN	PENNST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.0
2	0-2	PENNST	PENNST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.7
3	1-2	PENNST	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey		+1.9
4	1-3	STAN	PENNST	Kill	Alexis Stucky		+2.1
5	2-3	PENNST	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew		+2.0
6	2-4	STAN	PENNST	Attack err	Lizzy Andrew		+2.1
7	3-4	PENNST	STAN	Attack err	Kennedy Martin		+2.0
8	3-5	STAN	PENNST×3	Serve err	STAN server		+2.2
9	3-6	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+2.8
10	3-7	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Ryla Jones	set Alexis Stucky	+2.6
11	4-7	PENNST	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Spencer Etzler	+1.8
12	4-8	STAN	PENNST	Serve err	STAN server		+2.0
13	5-8	PENNST	STAN	Attack err	Kennedy Martin		+1.8
14	5-9	STAN	PENNST	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+2.1
15	6-9	PENNST	STAN	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Logan Parks	+1.8
16	6-10	STAN	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+2.1
17	6-11	PENNST	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein		+2.5
18	7-11	PENNST	STAN	Attack err	Whitney Lauenstein		+1.5
19	7-12	STAN	PENNST×3	Serve err	STAN server		+1.9
20	7-13	PENNST	PENNST×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.1
21	7-14	PENNST	PENNST×3	Attack err	Jordyn Harvey		+1.7
22	8-14	PENNST	STAN	Kill	Lizzy Andrew		+0.9
23	9-14	STAN	STAN	Kill	Logan Parks	set Julia Blyashov	+1.6
24	9-15	STAN	PENNST	Attack err	Julia Blyashov	blk Gabrielle Nichols	+1.6
25	10-15	PENNST	STAN	Attack err	Kennedy Martin		+1.1
26	11-15	STAN	STAN	Kill	Ella Andrews	set Logan Parks	+2.0
27	11-16	STAN	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+2.0
28	11-17	PENNST	PENNST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.0
29	12-17	PENNST	STAN	Kill	Lilly Wagner		+1.0
30	12-18	STAN	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin		+1.5
31	13-18	PENNST	STAN×3	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Lilly Wagner	+1.0
32	14-18	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Ipar Kurt		+1.8
33	15-18	STAN	STAN×3	Attack err	Kennedy Martin		+2.5
34	15-19	STAN	PENNST×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.5
35	15-20	PENNST	PENNST×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.5
36	15-21	PENNST	PENNST×4	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+1.6
37	15-22	PENNST	PENNST×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.9
38	16-22	PENNST	STAN×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.3
39	17-22	STAN	STAN×3	Attack err	Whitney Lauenstein		+0.6
40	18-22	STAN	STAN×3	Attack err	Whitney Lauenstein		+1.1
41	18-23	STAN	PENNST	Serve err	STAN server		+1.5
42	19-23	PENNST	STAN	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Lilly Wagner	+0.6
43	19-24	STAN	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+1.2
44	20-24	PENNST	STAN	Serve err	PENNST server		+0.3
45	20-25	STAN	PENNST	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+0.7
Set 3
1	0-1	PENNST	PENNST×3	Bad set	Lilly Wagner		+1.9
2	0-2	PENNST	PENNST×3	Attack err	Ipar Kurt	blk Ryla Jones, Alexis Stucky	+1.9
3	0-3	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+1.9
4	1-3	PENNST	STAN	Kill	Jordyn Harvey	set Lilly Wagner	+1.3
5	1-4	STAN	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+1.4
6	2-4	PENNST	STAN	Attack err	Kennedy Martin		+1.3
7	2-5	STAN	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+1.5
8	3-5	PENNST	STAN	Attack err	Whitney Lauenstein		+1.3
9	4-5	STAN	STAN	Serve err	STAN server		+1.9
10	4-6	STAN	PENNST	Attack err	Ella Andrews		+1.6
11	5-6	PENNST	STAN×3	Kill	Lilly Wagner	set Simone Roslon	+1.5
12	6-6	STAN	STAN×3	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Spencer Etzler	+2.1
13	7-6	STAN	STAN×3	Attack err	Haley Burgdorf		+2.1
14	7-7	STAN	PENNST×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.6
15	7-8	PENNST	PENNST×6	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+2.2
16	7-9	PENNST	PENNST×6	Attack err	Julia Blyashov		+2.2
17	7-10	PENNST	PENNST×6	Serve err	PENNST server		+2.2
18	7-11	PENNST	PENNST×6	Attack err	Ella Andrews		+2.0
19	7-12	PENNST	PENNST×6	Kill	Kennedy Martin		+1.8
20	8-12	PENNST	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov		+1.1
21	8-13	STAN	PENNST	Attack err	Julia Blyashov		+1.3
22	9-13	PENNST	STAN	Kill	Ipar Kurt	set Lilly Wagner	+1.1
23	9-14	STAN	PENNST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.4
24	10-14	PENNST	STAN×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.1
25	11-14	STAN	STAN×6	Attack err	Whitney Lauenstein	blk Jordyn Harvey, Lizzy Andrew	+1.8
26	12-14	STAN	STAN×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.1
27	13-14	STAN	STAN×6	Kill	Lizzy Andrew	set Lilly Wagner	+2.5
28	14-14	STAN	STAN×6	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.7
29	15-14	STAN	STAN×6	Ace	STAN server	aced Ava Falduto	+2.8
30	15-15	STAN	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+2.1
31	15-16	PENNST	PENNST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+3.0
32	16-16	PENNST	STAN	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.2
33	17-16	STAN	STAN	Serve err	STAN server		+3.1
34	17-17	STAN	PENNST×5	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+2.3
35	17-18	PENNST	PENNST×5	Attack err	Ella Andrews		+3.4
36	17-19	PENNST	PENNST×5	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Ava Falduto	+3.4
37	17-20	PENNST	PENNST×5	Kill	Haley Burgdorf		+3.1
38	17-21	PENNST	PENNST×5	Attack err	Julia Blyashov	blk Kennedy Martin, Gabrielle Nichols	+2.4
39	18-21	PENNST	STAN	Kill	Julia Blyashov	set Lilly Wagner	+1.2
40	18-22	STAN	PENNST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.8
41	18-23	PENNST	PENNST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.4
42	19-23	PENNST	STAN×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.4
43	20-23	STAN	STAN×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.1
44	21-23	STAN	STAN×3	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.0
45	21-24	STAN	PENNST	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+2.7
46	21-25	PENNST	PENNST	Ace	PENNST server	aced Julia Blyashov	+1.5

Score shown after each rally, Stanford first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.