FinalSun, Sep 13, 2026 · Neutral site

Stanford def. Ohio 3–0

Stanford beat Ohio 3-0 (25-18, 25-17, 25-16) on Sun, Sep 13, 2026 at a neutral site. Stanford's Julia Blyashov and Ipar Kurt led with 8 kills each, and Spencer Etzler added 10 digs.

Data through · final Sep 13

Set123Sets
STAN2525253
OHIO1817160

Win probability

Ohio above 50 · Stanford below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.0% OHIOrally 126 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.0% to Ohio — set 1, STAN 14-16 OHIO. Attack error by Jordyn Harvey. OHIO win probability 4% → 5%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STAN 97.7%2.3% OHIO

Stanford wins

3-0
65.5%
3-1
25.8%
3-2
6.3%

Ohio wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.6%
3-2
1.5%
STAN break %
48.0% vs this opp
OHIO break %
32.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Jordyn HarveyAttack error+1.0%

    Attack error by Jordyn Harvey

    Set 1 · STAN 14-16 OHIO · OHIO 4% → 5%

  2. 02
    Bailey BlairKill+0.9%

    Kill by Bailey Blair (set by Rose Mahin)

    Set 1 · STAN 9-12 OHIO · OHIO 4% → 5%

  3. 03
    Jordyn HarveyKill+0.8%

    Kill by Jordyn Harvey (set by Lilly Wagner)

    Set 1 · STAN 16-16 OHIO · STAN 96% → 97%

  4. 04
    Emily WaddellAttack error+0.8%

    Attack error by Emily Waddell

    Set 1 · STAN 17-16 OHIO · STAN 97% → 97%

  5. 05
    Lilly WagnerKill+0.7%

    Kill by Lilly Wagner (set by Lillie Meinhart)

    Set 1 · STAN 12-13 OHIO · STAN 95% → 96%

  6. 06
    OhioAce+0.7%

    Ohio ace on Ipar Kurt

    Set 1 · STAN 9-11 OHIO · OHIO 3% → 4%

  7. 07
    StanfordAce+0.7%

    Stanford ace on Rose Mahin

    Set 1 · STAN 14-14 OHIO · STAN 96% → 97%

  8. 08

    Emily Waddell stuffed by Ipar Kurt & Ella Andrews

    Set 1 · STAN 19-17 OHIO · STAN 97% → 98%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38115.46732331010.510.5
38013.615100010219
36013.462011101229
37114.42900210010.57.5
34110.30010000132.56.5
3316.333240090010.53.5
3000–5201000002
3000–100200000
3000–101400000
1213.333000000002
11011.00000000010.51.5
1000–00000010.50.5
1000–000010000
Team totals39575.4533657303212875
Ohiohome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37721.000211440008
37318.22200010010.57.5
36113.385002000006
35515.00010020010.55.5
35413.077101210005
3001.0001700300000
36214.286000200006
3012-.5001410700001
3000–011300001
22Lacy MarxL/DS
3000–000200000
1000–000000000
Team totals362397.134353526502151

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 STAN · OHIO 4

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 7 STANOHIO 4

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 7 STANOHIO 4

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 6 STANOHIO 4

Bars above the line = Ohio leads, below = Stanford leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Stanford

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
71%12/17
2
67%6/9
50%6/12
3
75%6/8
14%1/7
4
55%6/11
45%5/11
5
56%5/9
64%9/14
6
83%5/6
62%8/13
All
65%34/52
55%41/74

Ohio

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%6/14
0%0/5
2
60%6/10
33%3/9
3
75%6/8
40%4/10
4
43%6/14
40%4/10
5
50%5/10
33%3/9
6
22%4/18
44%4/9
All
45%33/74
35%18/52

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#STAN-OHIOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1STANOHIOKillCienna Lapsleyset Lillie Meinhart+0.3
21-1OHIOSTAN×4KillIpar Kurtset Lilly Wagner+0.2
32-1STANSTAN×4BlockedBailey Blairblk Lizzy Andrew, Ipar Kurt+0.3
43-1STANSTAN×4Attack errCienna Lapsley+0.3
54-1STANSTAN×4Attack errBailey Blair+0.2
64-2STANOHIOKillGentry Brownset Lillie Meinhart+0.1
75-2OHIOSTANServe errOhio+0.1
85-3STANOHIOKillOlivia Gardnerset Lillie Meinhart+0.2
96-3OHIOSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Lilly Wagner+0.1
106-4STANOHIOKillOlivia Gardnerset Bryn Janke+0.2
117-4OHIOSTANAttack errRose Mahin+0.2
127-5STANOHIO×4KillEmily Waddellset Bryn Janke+0.2
137-6OHIOOHIO×4Attack errLilly Wagner+0.3
147-7OHIOOHIO×4KillRose Mahinset Bryn Janke+0.4
157-8OHIOOHIO×4KillRose Mahinset Bryn Janke+0.5
168-8OHIOSTANBlockedRose Mahinblk Jordyn Harvey, Ella Andrews+0.3
178-9STANOHIOServe errStanford+0.4
189-9OHIOSTANAttack errRose Mahin+0.3
199-10STANOHIO×3KillCienna Lapsleyset Lillie Meinhart+0.4
209-11OHIOOHIO×3AceOhioaced Ipar Kurt+0.7
219-12OHIOOHIO×3KillBailey Blairset Rose Mahin+0.9
2210-12OHIOSTANKillIpar Kurtset Lilly Wagner+0.5
2310-13STANOHIOKillBailey Blairset Lillie Meinhart+0.6
2411-13OHIOSTANServe errOhio+0.5
2512-13STANSTANKillLilly Wagnerset Lillie Meinhart+0.7
2612-14STANOHIOServe errStanford+0.6
2713-14OHIOSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Lilly Wagner+0.5
2814-14STANSTANAceStanfordaced Rose Mahin+0.7
2914-15STANOHIOServe errStanford+0.6
3014-16OHIOOHIOAttack errJordyn Harvey+1.0
3115-16OHIOSTAN×3Attack errRose Mahin+0.6
3216-16STANSTAN×3KillJordyn Harveyset Lilly Wagner+0.8
3317-16STANSTAN×3Attack errEmily Waddell+0.8
3417-17STANOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Bryn Janke+0.6
3518-17OHIOSTAN×7Serve errOhio+0.5
3619-17STANSTAN×7BlockedEmily Waddellblk Ipar Kurt, Ella Andrews+0.7
3720-17STANSTAN×7KillElla Andrewsset Lilly Wagner+0.5
3821-17STANSTAN×7KillIpar Kurtset Lilly Wagner+0.3
3922-17STANSTAN×7KillJordyn Harveyset Lilly Wagner+0.1
4023-17STANSTAN×7Attack errRose Mahin+0.1
4124-17STANSTAN×7Attack errBryn Janke·
4224-18STANOHIOServe errStanford·
4325-18OHIOSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Lilly Wagner·
Set 2
11-0OHIOSTANKillElla Andrewsset Lilly Wagner+0.1
21-1STANOHIOKillCienna Lapsleyset Lillie Meinhart+0.1
32-1OHIOSTANKillLilly Wagnerset Julia Blyashov+0.1
42-2STANOHIOKillCienna Lapsleyset Lillie Meinhart+0.2
53-2OHIOSTANKillIpar Kurtset Lilly Wagner+0.1
63-3STANOHIO×4KillGentry Brownset Lillie Meinhart+0.2
73-4OHIOOHIO×4KillGentry Brownset Olivia Gardner+0.3
83-5OHIOOHIO×4AceOhioaced Julia Blyashov+0.3
93-6OHIOOHIO×4KillEmily Waddellset Bryn Janke+0.4
104-6OHIOSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Lilly Wagner+0.2
114-7STANOHIOKillOlivia Gardnerset Bryn Janke+0.3
124-8OHIOOHIOKillRose Mahinset Gentry Brown+0.5
135-8OHIOSTANBad setBryn Janke+0.3
145-9STANOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Bryn Janke+0.4
155-10OHIOOHIOKillRose Mahinset Bryn Janke+0.5
166-10OHIOSTANKillElla Andrewsset Lilly Wagner+0.3
176-11STANOHIOKillRose Mahinset Bryn Janke+0.4
187-11OHIOSTAN×3KillIpar Kurtset Lilly Wagner+0.3
198-11STANSTAN×3KillLizzy Andrewset Lilly Wagner+0.4
209-11STANSTAN×3AceStanfordaced Rose Mahin+0.4
219-12STANOHIOKillCienna Lapsleyset Lillie Meinhart+0.4
2210-12OHIOSTANServe errOhio+0.3
2310-13STANOHIOServe errStanford+0.4
2410-14OHIOOHIOKillBailey Blair+0.6
2511-14OHIOSTANKillLilly Wagnerset Julia Blyashov+0.3
2612-14STANSTANBlockedOlivia Gardnerblk Lizzy Andrew+0.5
2712-15STANOHIOKillOlivia Gardnerset Lillie Meinhart+0.5
2813-15OHIOSTAN×5Attack errOlivia Gardner+0.3
2914-15STANSTAN×5Attack errGentry Brown+0.5
3015-15STANSTAN×5Attack errGentry Brown+0.5
3116-15STANSTAN×5Attack errGentry Brown+0.4
3217-15STANSTAN×5KillJulia Blyashovset Ella Andrews+0.4
3317-16STANOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Bryn Janke+0.2
3418-16OHIOSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Lilly Wagner+0.2
3518-17STANOHIOKillOlivia Gardnerset Bryn Janke+0.3
3619-17OHIOSTAN×7KillJulia Blyashovset Lilly Wagner+0.3
3720-17STANSTAN×7KillJordyn Harveyset Gentry Brown+0.3
3821-17STANSTAN×7AceStanfordaced Rose Mahin+0.2
3922-17STANSTAN×7KillJordyn Harveyset Ipar Kurt+0.1
4023-17STANSTAN×7KillJordyn Harveyset Spencer Etzler·
4124-17STANSTAN×7AceStanfordaced Rose Mahin·
4225-17STANSTAN×7KillIpar Kurtset Lilly Wagner·
Set 3
11-0STANSTANKillIpar Kurtset Spencer Etzler+0.1
21-1STANOHIOKillCienna Lapsleyset Lillie Meinhart+0.1
32-1OHIOSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Lilly Wagner+0.1
43-1STANSTANBlockedGentry Brownblk Lizzy Andrew, Lilly Wagner+0.1
53-2STANOHIOServe errStanford+0.1
64-2OHIOSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Lilly Wagner·
74-3STANOHIOKillBailey Blairset Lillie Meinhart+0.1
85-3OHIOSTAN×3KillLizzy Andrewset Lilly Wagner·
96-3STANSTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Malyssa Cawa+0.1
107-3STANSTAN×3BlockedOlivia Gardnerblk Ella Andrews·
117-4STANOHIOKillEmily Waddellset Bryn Janke·
128-4OHIOSTANServe errOhio·
138-5STANOHIOKillRose Mahinset Bryn Janke·
149-5OHIOSTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Lilly Wagner·
1510-5STANSTAN×3Bad setBryn Janke·
1611-5STANSTAN×3KillElla Andrewsset Lilly Wagner·
1711-6STANOHIOServe errStanford·
1812-6OHIOSTAN×6Attack errRose Mahin·
1913-6STANSTAN×6KillJordyn Harveyset Spencer Etzler·
2014-6STANSTAN×6KillIpar Kurt·
2115-6STANSTAN×6KillKaci Demariaset Spencer Etzler·
2216-6STANSTAN×6AceStanfordaced Gentry Brown·
2317-6STANSTAN×6KillKaci Demariaset Julia Blyashov·
2417-7STANOHIOKillRose Mahinset Lillie Meinhart·
2517-8OHIOOHIOKillGentry Brownset Rose Mahin·
2618-8OHIOSTANBad setLillie Meinhart·
2718-9STANOHIO×4KillBailey Blairset Lillie Meinhart·
2818-10OHIOOHIO×4AceOhioaced Koko Kirsch·
2918-11OHIOOHIO×4Attack errJulia Blyashov·
3018-12OHIOOHIO×4BlockedKaci Demariablk Bailey Blair, Olivia Gardner·
3119-12OHIOSTANAttack errBailey Blair·
3219-13STANOHIOKillBailey Blairset Lillie Meinhart·
3319-14OHIOOHIOKillGentry Brownset Lillie Meinhart·
3420-14OHIOSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Simone Roslon·
3521-14STANSTANAttack errOlivia Gardner·
3621-15STANOHIOKillBailey Blairset Lillie Meinhart·
3721-16OHIOOHIOAttack errElla Andrews·
3822-16OHIOSTAN×4KillJulia Blyashovset Lilly Wagner·
3923-16STANSTAN×4BlockedRose Mahinblk Sarah Hickman, Ella Andrews·
4024-16STANSTAN×4BlockedOlivia Gardnerblk Sidney Duncan, Julia Blyashov·
4125-16STANSTAN×4KillSarah Hickmanset Spencer Etzler·

Score shown after each rally, Stanford first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).