Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

Southern California def. Arizona 3–1

Southern California beat visiting Arizona 3-1 (25-21, 20-25, 25-20, 25-23) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Southern California's London Wijay led with 14 kills, and Taylor Deckert added 18 digs.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set1234Sets
ARIZ212520231
USC252025253

Win probability

Southern California above 50 · Arizona below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.0% USCrally 184 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.0% to Southern California — set 4, ARIZ 23-25 USC. Kill by Abigail Mullen (set by Lilli Etter). USC win probability 95% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ARIZ 18.6%81.4% USC

Arizona wins

3-0
3.0%
3-1
6.1%
3-2
9.5%

Southern California wins

3-0
33.0%
3-1
30.6%
3-2
17.9%
ARIZ break %
37.5% vs this opp
USC break %
44.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Abigail Mullen (set by Lilli Etter)

    Set 4 · ARIZ 23-25 USC · USC 95% → 100%

  2. 02
    London WijayKill+4.0%

    Kill by London Wijay (set by Lilli Etter)

    Set 4 · ARIZ 22-24 USC · USC 93% → 97%

  3. 03
    Kristen DearKill+3.6%

    Kill by Kristen Dear

    Set 4 · ARIZ 22-23 USC · ARIZ 3% → 7%

  4. 04
    London WijayAttack error+2.7%

    Attack error by London Wijay

    Set 3 · ARIZ 2-2 USC · ARIZ 21% → 24%

  5. 05

    Kill by Abigail Mullen (set by Lilli Etter)

    Set 3 · ARIZ 0-1 USC · USC 76% → 78%

  6. 06
    Mia TvrdyKill+2.4%

    Kill by Mia Tvrdy

    Set 3 · ARIZ 2-4 USC · USC 78% → 80%

  7. 07
    Layli OstovarKill+2.3%

    Kill by Layli Ostovar (set by Lilli Etter)

    Set 3 · ARIZ 0-2 USC · USC 78% → 80%

  8. 08

    Kill by Destiny Ndam-Simpson (set by Harmony Sample)

    Set 1 · ARIZ 9-8 USC · ARIZ 19% → 21%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413739.15410395010.513.5
410534.14700030031.511.5
410233.24210312102111
4608.750001100428
4206.33300000031.53.5
4000–13111700001
43317.000000001225
4000–7211000002
4000–1320700002
1015-.20000000010.50.5
1000–202210000
1000–001000000
Team totals4418142.18337512617116989
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414345.244003104010.514.5
412634.17600030010.512.5
49114.57102230031.512.5
410631.12901412002112
48419.211000100219
4107.1434712170010.52.5
4213.3330231000004
4000–5141810001
2000–000000000
Team totals5621153.22952718745010595

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 ARIZ · USC 5

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 ARIZUSC 5

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 7 ARIZUSC 4

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 2 ARIZUSC 4

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 3 ARIZUSC 3

Bars above the line = Southern California leads, below = Arizona leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arizona

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%11/20
31%4/13
2
53%10/19
42%8/19
3
50%9/18
33%5/15
4
80%8/10
36%5/14
5
57%8/14
47%7/15
6
54%7/13
50%7/14
All
56%53/94
40%36/90

Southern California

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%11/19
44%7/16
2
71%10/14
33%5/15
3
53%9/17
55%11/20
4
53%9/17
36%5/14
5
80%8/10
20%2/10
6
54%7/13
58%11/19
All
60%54/90
44%41/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

184 rallies

#ARIZ-USCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1USCUSC×3Attack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson+1.6
20-2USCUSC×3KillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.5
30-3USCUSC×3KillLayli Ostovarset Lilli Etter+1.3
41-3USCARIZ×3KillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Brenna Ginder+0.9
52-3ARIZARIZ×3KillCarlie Cisnerosset Brenna Ginder+1.5
63-3ARIZARIZ×3KillJourney Tuckerset Maria Olga Siapani+1.7
73-4ARIZUSCServe errArizona+1.2
83-5USCUSCAceSouthern Californiaaced Brenna Ginder+1.6
94-5USCARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Destiny Ndam-Simpson+1.1
104-6ARIZUSCServe errArizona+1.1
114-7USCUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+1.5
125-7USCARIZKillKristen Dearset Maria Olga Siapani+1.0
136-7ARIZARIZAceArizonaaced London Wijay+1.7
146-8ARIZUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.2
157-8USCARIZ×3KillCarlie Cisnerosset Harmony Sample+1.2
168-8ARIZARIZ×3KillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+2.0
179-8ARIZARIZ×3KillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+2.3
189-9ARIZUSCServe errArizona+1.5
1910-9USCARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+1.7
2010-10ARIZUSC×5KillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+1.5
2110-11USCUSC×5KillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+2.2
2210-12USCUSC×5AceSouthern Californiaaced Destiny Ndam-Simpson+2.0
2310-13USCUSC×5Attack errRenee Jones+1.7
2410-14USCUSC×5KillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+1.4
2511-14USCARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+0.8
2611-15ARIZUSCServe errArizona+1.0
2712-15USCARIZKillJourney Tuckerset Maria Olga Siapani+0.8
2812-16ARIZUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.0
2912-17USCUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+1.1
3013-17USCARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Maria Olga Siapani+0.6
3113-18ARIZUSCServe errArizona+0.7
3213-19USCUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+0.7
3314-19USCARIZServe errSouthern California+0.3
3414-20ARIZUSCBad setHarmony Sample+0.4
3515-20USCARIZ×3Serve errSouthern California+0.3
3616-20ARIZARIZ×3BlockedMia Tvrdyblk Kristen Dear, Destiny Ndam-Simpson+0.6
3717-20ARIZARIZ×3KillDestiny Ndam-Simpson+1.1
3817-21ARIZUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.1
3918-21USCARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+0.7
4018-22ARIZUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Taylor Deckert+1.0
4119-22USCARIZServe errSouthern California+0.6
4219-23ARIZUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Taylor Deckert+1.0
4319-24USCUSCAceSouthern Californiaaced Carlie Cisneros+0.6
4420-24USCARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Gigi Whann+0.1
4521-24ARIZARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Lilli Etter+0.4
4621-25ARIZUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+0.6
Set 2
11-0ARIZARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Maria Olga Siapani+1.4
21-1ARIZUSCAttack errKennedy Osunsanmi+0.9
32-1USCARIZ×3KillCarlie Cisnerosset Maria Olga Siapani+1.0
43-1ARIZARIZ×3KillKennedy Osunsanmiset Leah Ford+1.5
54-1ARIZARIZ×3AceArizonaaced London Wijay+1.6
64-2ARIZUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+1.0
74-3USCUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.5
85-3USCARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Gigi Whann+1.1
96-3ARIZARIZAceArizonaaced London Wijay+1.7
106-4ARIZUSC×4KillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+1.0
116-5USCUSC×4AceSouthern Californiaaced Destiny Ndam-Simpson+1.5
126-6USCUSC×4KillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+1.5
136-7USCUSC×4Bad setHarmony Sample+1.4
147-7USCARIZServe errSouthern California+1.0
157-8ARIZUSCServe errArizona+1.0
168-8USCARIZBlockedAdonia Faumuinablk Kristen Dear, Renee Jones+1.1
178-9ARIZUSC×4Serve errArizona+1.0
188-10USCUSC×4KillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.4
198-11USCUSC×4AceSouthern Californiaaced Destiny Ndam-Simpson+1.2
208-12USCUSC×4KillLilli Etterset Taylor Deckert+1.0
219-12USCARIZ×7Serve errSouthern California+0.6
2210-12ARIZARIZ×7KillKennedy Osunsanmiset Maria Olga Siapani+1.2
2311-12ARIZARIZ×7BlockedLeah Fordblk Kennedy Osunsanmi, Journey Tucker+1.5
2412-12ARIZARIZ×7KillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Maria Olga Siapani+1.8
2513-12ARIZARIZ×7BlockedAdonia Faumuinablk Kennedy Osunsanmi, Journey Tucker+2.0
2614-12ARIZARIZ×7AceArizonaaced Taylor Deckert+2.2
2715-12ARIZARIZ×7BlockedAdonia Faumuinablk Kennedy Osunsanmi, Journey Tucker+2.2
2815-13ARIZUSCAttack errKennedy Osunsanmi+1.3
2916-13USCARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Maria Olga Siapani+1.6
3017-13ARIZARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Maria Olga Siapani+2.1
3117-14ARIZUSCServe errArizona+1.1
3218-14USCARIZ×3KillCarlie Cisnerosset Gigi Whann+1.6
3319-14ARIZARIZ×3Attack errLayli Ostovar+1.8
3420-14ARIZARIZ×3AceArizonaaced London Wijay+1.3
3520-15ARIZUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+0.5
3620-16USCUSCAceSouthern Californiaaced Destiny Ndam-Simpson+1.0
3721-16USCARIZAttack errMia Tvrdy+1.2
3822-16ARIZARIZKillKristen Dear+1.0
3922-17ARIZUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+0.3
4023-17USCARIZServe errSouthern California+0.6
4123-18ARIZUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+0.2
4223-19USCUSCAttack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson+0.5
4324-19USCARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+0.8
4424-20ARIZUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+0.2
4525-20USCARIZServe errSouthern California+0.4
Set 3
10-1USCUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+2.5
20-2USCUSCKillLayli Ostovarset Lilli Etter+2.3
31-2USCARIZServe errSouthern California+1.6
42-2ARIZARIZAttack errLondon Wijay+2.7
52-3ARIZUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+1.8
62-4USCUSCKillMia Tvrdy+2.4
73-4USCARIZAttack errLondon Wijay+1.7
83-5ARIZUSC×4Serve errArizona+1.7
93-6USCUSC×4Attack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson+2.2
103-7USCUSC×4KillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+1.9
113-8USCUSC×4KillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.5
124-8USCARIZBlockedMia Tvrdyblk Kristen Dear+0.9
135-8ARIZARIZKillRenee Jonesset Harmony Sample+1.7
145-9ARIZUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+1.3
155-10USCUSCBlockedRenee Jonesblk Lilli Etter, Mia Tvrdy+1.6
166-10USCARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+1.0
177-10ARIZARIZAttack errAbigail Mullen+1.8
187-11ARIZUSCServe errArizona+1.4
198-11USCARIZKillRenee Jonesset Harmony Sample+1.3
208-12ARIZUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+1.4
218-13USCUSCBlockedDestiny Ndam-Simpsonblk Abigail Mullen, Leah Ford+1.6
229-13USCARIZKillRenee Jonesset Gigi Whann+0.9
239-14ARIZUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+1.1
249-15USCUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+1.2
2510-15USCARIZServe errSouthern California+0.6
2610-16ARIZUSCAttack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson+0.8
2711-16USCARIZAttack errAbigail Mullen+0.6
2811-17ARIZUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+0.8
2912-17USCARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Carlie Cisneros+0.6
3013-17ARIZARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Gigi Whann+1.2
3113-18ARIZUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.1
3214-18USCARIZServe errSouthern California+0.8
3315-18ARIZARIZAttack errAdonia Faumuina+1.8
3415-19ARIZUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.6
3515-20USCUSCKillAdonia Faumuina+1.6
3616-20USCARIZServe errSouthern California+0.7
3717-20ARIZARIZAttack errAbigail Mullen+1.7
3817-21ARIZUSCServe errArizona+1.6
3917-22USCUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+1.4
4018-22USCARIZServe errSouthern California+0.5
4118-23ARIZUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+0.8
4219-23USCARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Gigi Whann+0.3
4319-24ARIZUSCServe errArizona+0.6
4420-24USCARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Maria Olga Siapani+0.1
4520-25ARIZUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+0.3
Set 4
10-1ARIZUSCBlockedDestiny Ndam-Simpsonblk Abigail Mullen, Leah Ford+1.3
20-2USCUSCBlockedKennedy Osunsanmiblk Adonia Faumuina, Leah Ford+1.8
31-2USCARIZBad setLilli Etter+1.3
41-3ARIZUSC×3Attack errCarlie Cisneros+1.3
51-4USCUSC×3KillLeah Fordset Taylor Deckert+1.7
61-5USCUSC×3AceSouthern Californiaaced Destiny Ndam-Simpson+1.4
72-5USCARIZBlockedAbigail Mullenblk Marina Vosloo, Carlie Cisneros+0.9
82-6ARIZUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+1.0
92-7USCUSCAttack errKennedy Osunsanmi+1.2
103-7USCARIZKillKristen Dearset Maria Olga Siapani+0.7
114-7ARIZARIZBlockedLondon Wijayblk Kristen Dear, Renee Jones+1.4
124-8ARIZUSCBlockedRenee Jonesblk London Wijay, Mia Tvrdy+1.0
135-8USCARIZServe errSouthern California+1.0
146-8ARIZARIZKillKristen Dearset Harmony Sample+1.7
156-9ARIZUSC×3KillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.3
166-10USCUSC×3Attack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson+1.6
176-11USCUSC×3KillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.3
187-11USCARIZKillKristen Dearset Harmony Sample+0.8
197-12ARIZUSCKillMia Tvrdyset Lilli Etter+0.9
208-12USCARIZServe errSouthern California+0.8
219-12ARIZARIZAttack errAdonia Faumuina+1.4
229-13ARIZUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.1
239-14USCUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+1.3
2410-14USCARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Maria Olga Siapani+0.7
2510-15ARIZUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Lilli Etter+0.9
2610-16USCUSCAttack errMarina Vosloo+0.9
2711-16USCARIZServe errSouthern California+0.5
2812-16ARIZARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Gigi Whann+1.0
2912-17ARIZUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+0.9
3013-17USCARIZServe errSouthern California+0.7
3114-17ARIZARIZBlockedMia Tvrdyblk Renee Jones+1.5
3214-18ARIZUSCAttack errCarlie Cisneros+1.3
3315-18USCARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Harmony Sample+1.0
3415-19ARIZUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+1.3
3516-19USCARIZServe errSouthern California+1.0
3616-20ARIZUSCKillAdonia Faumuinaset Taylor Deckert+1.3
3717-20USCARIZAttack errAdonia Faumuina+0.9
3818-20ARIZARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Gigi Whann+2.2
3918-21ARIZUSCAttack errKennedy Osunsanmi+2.0
4019-21USCARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Maria Olga Siapani+1.5
4119-22ARIZUSCKillLeah Fordset Lilli Etter+2.1
4219-23USCUSCKillLondon Wijayset Taylor Deckert+1.8
4320-23USCARIZ×3Attack errAbigail Mullen+0.6
4421-23ARIZARIZ×3Attack errAbigail Mullen+1.7
4522-23ARIZARIZ×3KillKristen Dear+3.6
4622-24ARIZUSCKillLondon Wijayset Lilli Etter+4.0
4723-24USCARIZServe errSouthern California+2.2
4823-25ARIZUSCKillAbigail Mullenset Lilli Etter+5.0

Score shown after each rally, Arizona first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).