FinalThu, Sep 17, 2026

AwayBIG-12

0:3

HomeWCC

San Diego def. Arizona 3–0

(25-19, 25-15, 25-11)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ARIZ	19	15	11	0
USD	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

USD above 50 · ARIZ below

Biggest swing: 2.6% to Arizona — set 1, ARIZ 13-12 USD. Arizona ace on Ryann Knuth. USD win probability 80% → 77%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ARIZ 18.7%81.3% USD

Arizona wins

3-0

3.0%

3-1

6.2%

3-2

9.6%

San Diego wins

3-0

32.8%

3-1

30.5%

3-2

17.9%

ARIZ break %: 40.8% vs this opp
USD break %: 47.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
ARIZ serverAce+2.6%
Arizona ace on Ryann Knuth
Set 1 · ARIZ 13-12 USD · ARIZ 20% → 23%
02
Meghan ScholzKill+2.4%
Kill by Meghan Scholz
Set 1 · ARIZ 13-14 USD · USD 79% → 82%
03
Carlie CisnerosKill+2.3%
Kill by Carlie Cisneros (set by Maria Olga Siapani)
Set 1 · ARIZ 12-12 USD · ARIZ 18% → 20%
04
Carlie CisnerosAttack error+2.2%
Attack error by Carlie Cisneros
Set 1 · ARIZ 13-15 USD · USD 82% → 84%
05
ARIZ serverAce+2.1%
Arizona ace on Ryann Knuth
Set 1 · ARIZ 10-10 USD · ARIZ 18% → 20%
06
ARIZ serverAce+1.9%
Arizona ace on Ryann Knuth
Set 1 · ARIZ 5-4 USD · ARIZ 19% → 21%
07
Ryann KnuthKill+1.9%
Kill by Ryann Knuth (set by Lauren Lynch)
Set 1 · ARIZ 10-12 USD · USD 82% → 84%
08
ARIZ serverService error+1.9%
Arizona service error
Set 1 · ARIZ 13-13 USD · USD 77% → 79%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Arizonaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
18Destiny Ndam-SimpsonOH	3	6	4	23	.087	0	1	2	5	1	1	0.5	7.5
12Carlie CisnerosOH	3	6	2	20	.200	0	1	0	6	0	0	0	7
14Kennedy OsunsanmiOPP	3	2	4	17	-.118	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	3.5
8Kristen DearMB	3	2	1	5	.200	1	0	1	1	0	2	1	3
22Journey TuckerMB	3	1	1	8	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
1Maria Olga SiapaniS	3	0	0	0	–	10	1	0	4	0	0	0	1
2Renee JonesOPP	3	7	1	13	.462	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
7Harmony SampleS	3	0	0	0	–	8	1	0	6	0	0	0	1
3Brenna GinderL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
5Gigi WhannL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	7	0	0	0	0
21Hayden ReederOH	2	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Marina VoslooMB	2	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31Payton WoodsOH	1	1	0	4	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
4Maya FlemisterMB	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	1
19Brookelyn HattonL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		25	16	99	.091	23	4	4	32	4	8	4	45

San Diegohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Nemo BeachOH	3	11	2	24	.375	1	3	2	11	1	0	0	0	14
7Kierstyn BartonOH	3	13	2	23	.478	0	0	1	11	0	0	2	1	14
15Meghan ScholzMB	3	5	2	10	.300	1	1	2	2	0	1	3	2.5	8.5
18BayLea SparksMB	3	6	0	9	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	7
12Kylie MundayS	3	3	0	6	.500	37	0	0	8	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
8Ryann KnuthOH	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0	1
13Emma BrewerOH	3	10	1	19	.474	1	0	1	2	0	0	2	1	11
2Lauren LynchL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	0	3	15	0	0	0	0	0
4Reese BatesDS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		49	7	92	.457	47	4	9	52	4	1	10	6	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 ARIZ · USD 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 ARIZUSD 5

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 2 ARIZUSD 4

Set 3

11-25

Longest run 2 ARIZUSD 6

Bars above the line = San Diego leads, below = Arizona leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Arizona

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	30%6/20	22%2/9
2	40%6/15	25%2/8
3	42%5/12	33%3/9
4	71%5/7	29%2/7
5	38%5/13	29%2/7
6	83%5/6	29%2/7
All	44%32/73	28%13/47

San Diego

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	44%4/9
2	67%6/9	68%13/19
3	67%6/9	50%6/12
4	83%5/6	64%9/14
5	63%5/8	38%3/8
6	83%5/6	55%6/11
All	72%34/47	56%41/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

120 rallies

Rally log

#	ARIZ-USD	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ARIZ	ARIZ	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton		+1.7
2	1-1	ARIZ	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+1.3
3	2-1	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	set Maria Olga Siapani	+1.4
4	2-2	ARIZ	USD	Kill	BayLea Sparks	set Kylie Munday	+1.3
5	3-2	USD	ARIZ	Serve err	USD server		+1.5
6	3-3	ARIZ	USD	Serve err	ARIZ server		+1.4
7	3-4	USD	USD	Kill	Meghan Scholz		+1.7
8	4-4	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Kristen Dear	set Maria Olga Siapani	+1.4
9	5-4	ARIZ	ARIZ	Ace	ARIZ server	aced Ryann Knuth	+1.9
10	5-5	ARIZ	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+1.4
11	6-5	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Renee Jones	set Brenna Ginder	+1.6
12	6-6	ARIZ	USD×4	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+1.5
13	6-7	USD	USD×4	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+1.8
14	6-8	USD	USD×4	Attack err	Destiny Ndam-Simpson		+1.7
15	6-9	USD	USD×4	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+1.5
16	7-9	USD	ARIZ	Serve err	USD server		+1.2
17	8-9	ARIZ	ARIZ	Kill	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	set Kristen Dear	+1.7
18	8-10	ARIZ	USD	Serve err	ARIZ server		+1.4
19	9-10	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Renee Jones	set Harmony Sample	+1.4
20	10-10	ARIZ	ARIZ	Ace	ARIZ server	aced Ryann Knuth	+2.1
21	10-11	ARIZ	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+1.6
22	10-12	USD	USD	Kill	Ryann Knuth	set Lauren Lynch	+1.9
23	11-12	USD	ARIZ×3	Kill	Kennedy Osunsanmi	set Maria Olga Siapani	+1.5
24	12-12	ARIZ	ARIZ×3	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Maria Olga Siapani	+2.3
25	13-12	ARIZ	ARIZ×3	Ace	ARIZ server	aced Ryann Knuth	+2.6
26	13-13	ARIZ	USD×5	Serve err	ARIZ server		+1.9
27	13-14	USD	USD×5	Kill	Meghan Scholz		+2.4
28	13-15	USD	USD×5	Attack err	Carlie Cisneros		+2.2
29	13-16	USD	USD×5	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Lauren Lynch	+1.9
30	13-17	USD	USD×5	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+1.5
31	14-17	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Gigi Whann	+1.0
32	14-18	ARIZ	USD×3	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+1.2
33	14-19	USD	USD×3	Kill	Kylie Munday	set Nemo Beach	+1.1
34	14-20	USD	USD×3	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Lauren Lynch	+0.7
35	15-20	USD	ARIZ	Serve err	USD server		+0.4
36	15-21	ARIZ	USD	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+0.5
37	16-21	USD	ARIZ	Serve err	USD server		+0.3
38	17-21	ARIZ	ARIZ	Ace	ARIZ server	aced Nemo Beach	+0.7
39	17-22	ARIZ	USD	Attack err	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	blk Kylie Munday, Meghan Scholz	+0.8
40	17-23	USD	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Reese Bates	+0.5
41	18-23	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Renee Jones	set Harmony Sample	+0.1
42	18-24	ARIZ	USD	Bad set	Journey Tucker		+0.3
43	19-24	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Renee Jones	set Harmony Sample	+0.1
44	19-25	ARIZ	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	set Maria Olga Siapani	+1.0
2	1-1	ARIZ	USD×3	Kill	BayLea Sparks	set Kylie Munday	+1.0
3	1-2	USD	USD×3	Attack err	Marina Vosloo		+1.2
4	1-3	USD	USD×3	Ace	USD server	aced Team	+1.1
5	2-3	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Kennedy Osunsanmi	set Maria Olga Siapani	+0.9
6	2-4	ARIZ	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+0.9
7	3-4	USD	ARIZ	Attack err	Nemo Beach		+0.9
8	3-5	ARIZ	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Lauren Lynch	+0.9
9	3-6	USD	USD	Attack err	Marina Vosloo	blk Meghan Scholz	+1.0
10	4-6	USD	ARIZ	Attack err	Meghan Scholz		+0.8
11	4-7	ARIZ	USD×4	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+0.8
12	4-8	USD	USD×4	Attack err	Destiny Ndam-Simpson		+0.9
13	4-9	USD	USD×4	Bad set	Gigi Whann		+0.7
14	4-10	USD	USD×4	Attack err	Renee Jones		+0.6
15	5-10	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	set Harmony Sample	+0.4
16	5-11	ARIZ	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+0.5
17	6-11	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Journey Tucker	set Maria Olga Siapani	+0.4
18	6-12	ARIZ	USD	Kill	BayLea Sparks	set Kylie Munday	+0.5
19	6-13	USD	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+0.4
20	7-13	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Maria Olga Siapani	+0.3
21	7-14	ARIZ	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+0.3
22	7-15	USD	USD	Attack err	Carlie Cisneros		+0.3
23	8-15	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Kristen Dear	set Maria Olga Siapani	+0.2
24	9-15	ARIZ	ARIZ	Kill	Renee Jones		+0.3
25	9-16	ARIZ	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+0.3
26	10-16	USD	ARIZ	Serve err	USD server		+0.2
27	11-16	ARIZ	ARIZ	Kill	Renee Jones	set Gigi Whann	+0.5
28	11-17	ARIZ	USD	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+0.5
29	11-18	USD	USD	Kill	Kylie Munday	set Lauren Lynch	+0.4
30	12-18	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	set Harmony Sample	+0.2
31	12-19	ARIZ	USD	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+0.3
32	13-19	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	set Gigi Whann	+0.2
33	14-19	ARIZ	ARIZ	Attack err	Nemo Beach	blk Maya Flemister, Kennedy Osunsanmi	+0.4
34	14-20	ARIZ	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.4
35	14-21	USD	USD	Ace	USD server	aced Destiny Ndam-Simpson	+0.3
36	15-21	USD	ARIZ	Attack err	Kierstyn Barton	blk Maya Flemister, Destiny Ndam-Simpson	+0.1
37	15-22	ARIZ	USD×4	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.2
38	15-23	USD	USD×4	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+0.1
39	15-24	USD	USD×4	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.0
40	15-25	USD	USD×4	Kill	BayLea Sparks	set Kylie Munday	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	ARIZ	USD×6	Kill	BayLea Sparks	set Kylie Munday	+0.5
2	0-2	USD	USD×6	Attack err	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	blk Kierstyn Barton, BayLea Sparks	+0.5
3	0-3	USD	USD×6	Attack err	Journey Tucker		+0.5
4	0-4	USD	USD×6	Attack err	Kennedy Osunsanmi		+0.4
5	0-5	USD	USD×6	Ace	USD server	aced Team	+0.4
6	0-6	USD	USD×6	Ace	USD server	aced Team	+0.3
7	1-6	USD	ARIZ	Serve err	USD server		+0.2
8	1-7	ARIZ	USD	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+0.2
9	1-8	USD	USD	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+0.2
10	2-8	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Maria Olga Siapani	+0.2
11	3-8	ARIZ	ARIZ	Attack err	Meghan Scholz	blk Kennedy Osunsanmi, Kristen Dear	+0.3
12	3-9	ARIZ	USD×3	Attack err	Kristen Dear	blk Kierstyn Barton, Meghan Scholz	+0.2
13	3-10	USD	USD×3	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.2
14	3-11	USD	USD×3	Attack err	Kennedy Osunsanmi		+0.2
15	4-11	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Maria Olga Siapani	+0.1
16	4-12	ARIZ	USD	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+0.1
17	5-12	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Harmony Sample	+0.1
18	6-12	ARIZ	ARIZ	Kill	Renee Jones	set Harmony Sample	+0.2
19	6-13	ARIZ	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Meghan Scholz	+0.2
20	6-14	USD	USD	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.2
21	7-14	USD	ARIZ	Serve err	USD server		+0.1
22	7-15	ARIZ	USD	Kill	Kylie Munday	set Emma Brewer	+0.1
23	8-15	USD	ARIZ	Kill	Payton Woods	set Harmony Sample	+0.1
24	8-16	ARIZ	USD×5	Kill	Kierstyn Barton	set Kylie Munday	+0.1
25	8-17	USD	USD×5	Attack err	Kennedy Osunsanmi	blk Emma Brewer, BayLea Sparks	+0.1
26	8-18	USD	USD×5	Kill	Nemo Beach	set Kylie Munday	+0.0
27	8-19	USD	USD×5	Attack err	Hayden Reeder		+0.0
28	8-20	USD	USD×5	Kill	BayLea Sparks	set Kylie Munday	+0.0
29	9-20	USD	ARIZ	Serve err	USD server		+0.0
30	9-21	ARIZ	USD	Serve err	ARIZ server		+0.0
31	9-22	USD	USD	Attack err	Kennedy Osunsanmi	blk Meghan Scholz, Emma Brewer	+0.0
32	10-22	USD	ARIZ	Serve err	USD server		+0.0
33	11-22	ARIZ	ARIZ	Attack err	Emma Brewer	blk Kennedy Osunsanmi, Kristen Dear	+0.0
34	11-23	ARIZ	USD×3	Kill	Meghan Scholz	set Kylie Munday	+0.0
35	11-24	USD	USD×3	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Lauren Lynch	+0.0
36	11-25	USD	USD×3	Kill	Emma Brewer	set Kylie Munday	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Arizona first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.