FinalThu, Sep 17, 2026

San Diego def. Arizona 3–0

San Diego beat visiting Arizona 3-0 (25-19, 25-15, 25-11) on Thu, Sep 17, 2026. San Diego's Kierstyn Barton led with 13 kills, and Lauren Lynch added 15 digs.

Data through · final Sep 17

Set123Sets
ARIZ1915110
USD2525253

Win probability

San Diego above 50 · Arizona below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.1% ARIZrally 120 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.1% to Arizona — set 1, ARIZ 13-12 USD. Arizona ace on Ryann Knuth. USD win probability 85% → 83%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ARIZ 13.3%86.7% USD

Arizona wins

3-0
1.9%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
7.2%

San Diego wins

3-0
39.4%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
15.8%
ARIZ break %
40.0% vs this opp
USD break %
48.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    ArizonaAce+2.1%

    Arizona ace on Ryann Knuth

    Set 1 · ARIZ 13-12 USD · ARIZ 15% → 17%

  2. 02
    Meghan ScholzKill+1.9%

    Kill by Meghan Scholz

    Set 1 · ARIZ 13-14 USD · USD 85% → 87%

  3. 03

    Kill by Carlie Cisneros (set by Maria Olga Siapani)

    Set 1 · ARIZ 12-12 USD · ARIZ 13% → 15%

  4. 04
    Carlie CisnerosAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Carlie Cisneros

    Set 1 · ARIZ 13-15 USD · USD 87% → 89%

  5. 05
    ArizonaAce+1.7%

    Arizona ace on Ryann Knuth

    Set 1 · ARIZ 10-10 USD · ARIZ 13% → 14%

  6. 06
    ArizonaService error+1.6%

    Arizona service error

    Set 1 · ARIZ 13-13 USD · USD 83% → 85%

  7. 07
    ArizonaAce+1.6%

    Arizona ace on Ryann Knuth

    Set 1 · ARIZ 5-4 USD · ARIZ 14% → 15%

  8. 08
    Ryann KnuthKill+1.5%

    Kill by Ryann Knuth (set by Lauren Lynch)

    Set 1 · ARIZ 10-12 USD · USD 87% → 88%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36423.08701251010.57.5
36220.200010600007
32417-.11800020031.53.5
3215.200101100213
3118.000000000001
3000–1010400001
37113.462000000007
3000–810600001
3000–101000000
3000–300700000
2014-.250000000000
2023-.667000000000
1104.250000100001
1002.000000000211
1000–000000000
Team totals251699.091234432408445
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311224.37513211100014
313223.47800111002114
35210.30011220132.58.5
3609.667000000217
3306.500370080010.53.5
11011.000000230001
310119.4741012002111
3000–6031500000
2000–100100000
Team totals49792.4574749524110675

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 ARIZ · USD 6

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 ARIZUSD 5

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 2 ARIZUSD 4

Set 3

11-25

Longest run 2 ARIZUSD 6

Bars above the line = San Diego leads, below = Arizona leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arizona

SlotSideout %Break %
1
30%6/20
22%2/9
2
40%6/15
25%2/8
3
42%5/12
33%3/9
4
71%5/7
29%2/7
5
38%5/13
29%2/7
6
83%5/6
29%2/7
All
44%32/73
28%13/47

San Diego

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
44%4/9
2
67%6/9
68%13/19
3
67%6/9
50%6/12
4
83%5/6
64%9/14
5
63%5/8
38%3/8
6
83%5/6
55%6/11
All
72%34/47
56%41/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

120 rallies

#ARIZ-USDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ARIZARIZAttack errKierstyn Barton+1.4
21-1ARIZUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+1.0
32-1USDARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Maria Olga Siapani+1.2
42-2ARIZUSDKillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+1.1
53-2USDARIZServe errSan Diego+1.2
63-3ARIZUSDServe errArizona+1.1
73-4USDUSDKillMeghan Scholz+1.3
84-4USDARIZKillKristen Dearset Maria Olga Siapani+1.1
95-4ARIZARIZAceArizonaaced Ryann Knuth+1.6
105-5ARIZUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.2
116-5USDARIZKillRenee Jonesset Brenna Ginder+1.3
126-6ARIZUSD×4KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.2
136-7USDUSD×4KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+1.4
146-8USDUSD×4Attack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson+1.3
156-9USDUSD×4KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+1.1
167-9USDARIZServe errSan Diego+0.9
178-9ARIZARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Kristen Dear+1.4
188-10ARIZUSDServe errArizona+1.1
199-10USDARIZKillRenee Jonesset Harmony Sample+1.1
2010-10ARIZARIZAceArizonaaced Ryann Knuth+1.7
2110-11ARIZUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.3
2210-12USDUSDKillRyann Knuthset Lauren Lynch+1.5
2311-12USDARIZ×3KillKennedy Osunsanmiset Maria Olga Siapani+1.2
2412-12ARIZARIZ×3KillCarlie Cisnerosset Maria Olga Siapani+1.8
2513-12ARIZARIZ×3AceArizonaaced Ryann Knuth+2.1
2613-13ARIZUSD×5Serve errArizona+1.6
2713-14USDUSD×5KillMeghan Scholz+1.9
2813-15USDUSD×5Attack errCarlie Cisneros+1.7
2913-16USDUSD×5KillEmma Brewerset Lauren Lynch+1.5
3013-17USDUSD×5KillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+1.2
3114-17USDARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Gigi Whann+0.8
3214-18ARIZUSD×3KillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.9
3314-19USDUSD×3KillKylie Mundayset Nemo Beach+0.8
3414-20USDUSD×3KillEmma Brewerset Lauren Lynch+0.5
3515-20USDARIZServe errSan Diego+0.3
3615-21ARIZUSDKillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+0.4
3716-21USDARIZServe errSan Diego+0.2
3817-21ARIZARIZAceArizonaaced Nemo Beach+0.5
3917-22ARIZUSDBlockedDestiny Ndam-Simpsonblk Kylie Munday, Meghan Scholz+0.6
4017-23USDUSDKillNemo Beachset Reese Bates+0.4
4118-23USDARIZKillRenee Jonesset Harmony Sample+0.1
4218-24ARIZUSDBad setJourney Tucker+0.2
4319-24USDARIZKillRenee Jonesset Harmony Sample·
4419-25ARIZUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.1
Set 2
11-0USDARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Maria Olga Siapani+0.8
21-1ARIZUSD×3KillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+0.7
31-2USDUSD×3Attack errMarina Vosloo+0.9
41-3USDUSD×3AceSan Diego+0.8
52-3USDARIZKillKennedy Osunsanmiset Maria Olga Siapani+0.7
62-4ARIZUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.6
73-4USDARIZAttack errNemo Beach+0.7
83-5ARIZUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Lauren Lynch+0.6
93-6USDUSDBlockedMarina Voslooblk Meghan Scholz+0.7
104-6USDARIZAttack errMeghan Scholz+0.6
114-7ARIZUSD×4KillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.6
124-8USDUSD×4Attack errDestiny Ndam-Simpson+0.6
134-9USDUSD×4Bad setGigi Whann+0.5
144-10USDUSD×4Attack errRenee Jones+0.4
155-10USDARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+0.3
165-11ARIZUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.3
176-11USDARIZKillJourney Tuckerset Maria Olga Siapani+0.3
186-12ARIZUSDKillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+0.3
196-13USDUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.3
207-13USDARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Maria Olga Siapani+0.2
217-14ARIZUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.2
227-15USDUSDAttack errCarlie Cisneros+0.2
238-15USDARIZKillKristen Dearset Maria Olga Siapani+0.1
249-15ARIZARIZKillRenee Jones+0.2
259-16ARIZUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.2
2610-16USDARIZServe errSan Diego+0.2
2711-16ARIZARIZKillRenee Jonesset Gigi Whann+0.3
2811-17ARIZUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.3
2911-18USDUSDKillKylie Mundayset Lauren Lynch+0.3
3012-18USDARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Harmony Sample+0.1
3112-19ARIZUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.2
3213-19USDARIZKillDestiny Ndam-Simpsonset Gigi Whann+0.1
3314-19ARIZARIZBlockedNemo Beachblk Maya Flemister, Kennedy Osunsanmi+0.3
3414-20ARIZUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.3
3514-21USDUSDAceSan Diegoaced Destiny Ndam-Simpson+0.2
3615-21USDARIZBlockedKierstyn Bartonblk Maya Flemister, Destiny Ndam-Simpson+0.1
3715-22ARIZUSD×4KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.1
3815-23USDUSD×4KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.1
3915-24USDUSD×4KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday·
4015-25USDUSD×4KillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday·
Set 3
10-1ARIZUSD×6KillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+0.3
20-2USDUSD×6BlockedDestiny Ndam-Simpsonblk Kierstyn Barton, BayLea Sparks+0.4
30-3USDUSD×6Attack errJourney Tucker+0.3
40-4USDUSD×6Attack errKennedy Osunsanmi+0.3
50-5USDUSD×6AceSan Diego+0.2
60-6USDUSD×6AceSan Diego+0.2
71-6USDARIZServe errSan Diego+0.1
81-7ARIZUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.2
91-8USDUSDKillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+0.1
102-8USDARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Maria Olga Siapani+0.1
113-8ARIZARIZBlockedMeghan Scholzblk Kennedy Osunsanmi, Kristen Dear+0.2
123-9ARIZUSD×3BlockedKristen Dearblk Kierstyn Barton, Meghan Scholz+0.2
133-10USDUSD×3KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.1
143-11USDUSD×3Attack errKennedy Osunsanmi+0.1
154-11USDARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Maria Olga Siapani+0.1
164-12ARIZUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.1
175-12USDARIZKillCarlie Cisnerosset Harmony Sample+0.1
186-12ARIZARIZKillRenee Jonesset Harmony Sample+0.1
196-13ARIZUSDKillNemo Beachset Meghan Scholz+0.1
206-14USDUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.1
217-14USDARIZServe errSan Diego+0.1
227-15ARIZUSDKillKylie Mundayset Emma Brewer+0.1
238-15USDARIZKillPayton Woodsset Harmony Sample+0.1
248-16ARIZUSD×5KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.1
258-17USDUSD×5BlockedKennedy Osunsanmiblk Emma Brewer, BayLea Sparks+0.1
268-18USDUSD×5KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday·
278-19USDUSD×5Attack errHayden Reeder·
288-20USDUSD×5KillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday·
299-20USDARIZServe errSan Diego·
309-21ARIZUSDServe errArizona·
319-22USDUSDBlockedKennedy Osunsanmiblk Meghan Scholz, Emma Brewer·
3210-22USDARIZServe errSan Diego·
3311-22ARIZARIZBlockedEmma Brewerblk Kennedy Osunsanmi, Kristen Dear·
3411-23ARIZUSD×3KillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday·
3511-24USDUSD×3KillEmma Brewerset Lauren Lynch·
3611-25USDUSD×3KillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday·

Score shown after each rally, Arizona first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).