FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026 · Neutral site

N.C. Central def. Ark.-Pine Bluff 3–0

N.C. Central beat Ark.-Pine Bluff 3-0 (25-20, 26-24, 25-17) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026 at a neutral site. N.C. Central's Allyson Rouse led with 10 kills, and Jayla Egerton added 9 digs.

Data through · final Aug 28

Set123Sets
NC CEN2526253
ARK PB2024170

Win probability

Ark.-Pine Bluff above 50 · N.C. Central below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.6% NC CENrally 137 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.6% to N.C. Central — set 2, NC CEN 24-24 ARK PB. Attack error by Haley Reeves. ARK PB win probability 7% → 4%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NC CEN 95.3%4.7% ARK PB

N.C. Central wins

3-0
56.3%
3-1
29.4%
3-2
9.6%

Ark.-Pine Bluff wins

3-0
0.5%
3-1
1.3%
3-2
2.9%
NC CEN break %
53.2% vs this opp
ARK PB break %
40.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Haley ReevesAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Haley Reeves

    Set 2 · NC CEN 24-24 ARK PB · NC CEN 93% → 96%

  2. 02
    Allyson RouseKill+2.0%

    Kill by Allyson Rouse (set by Lusiana Damuni)

    Set 2 · NC CEN 25-24 ARK PB · NC CEN 96% → 98%

  3. 03

    Kill by Ashanti Butler (set by Ava Miller)

    Set 2 · NC CEN 21-23 ARK PB · ARK PB 5% → 7%

  4. 04
    Ark.-Pine BluffAce+1.7%

    Ark.-Pine Bluff ace on Isabella Rodriguez

    Set 2 · NC CEN 21-24 ARK PB · ARK PB 7% → 9%

  5. 05
    Tabitha NewlinAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Tabitha Newlin

    Set 2 · NC CEN 21-22 ARK PB · ARK PB 4% → 5%

  6. 06
    Shalyn BellKill+1.5%

    Kill by Shalyn Bell (set by Lusiana Damuni)

    Set 2 · NC CEN 26-24 ARK PB · NC CEN 98% → 99%

  7. 07
    Haley ReevesAttack error+1.4%

    Attack error by Haley Reeves

    Set 2 · NC CEN 23-24 ARK PB · NC CEN 92% → 93%

  8. 08

    Kill by Kaylen Robinson (set by Ava Miller)

    Set 2 · NC CEN 21-21 ARK PB · ARK PB 3% → 4%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310214.5710031012212
36110.50000050010.56.5
3517.57100000010.55.5
3014-.2502221500002
27115.400002710007
2308.375001100003
37522.09100031010.57.5
3124-.2501931600004
3103.333100310001
3000–110900001
3034-.75000020010.50.5
25313.154101000005
1000–000110000
1000–000010000
Team totals4519104.250446943616476
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37318.22200020031.58.5
3308.37513100010.56.5
3105.200932500004
3318.25010011010.53.5
24616-.12500020010.54.5
2000–000110000
34111.273000001226
3002.000302720000
22313-.077000310002
22211.000000100002
2011-1.000800510000
1000–201000000
1000–000000000
Team totals261793.097246627618561

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 NC CEN · ARK PB 9

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 NC CENARK PB 3

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 8 NC CENARK PB 9

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 8 NC CENARK PB 3

Bars above the line = Ark.-Pine Bluff leads, below = N.C. Central leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

N.C. Central

SlotSideout %Break %
1
46%6/13
64%9/14
2
67%6/9
54%7/13
3
75%6/8
54%7/13
4
63%5/8
50%5/10
5
71%5/7
64%9/14
6
29%5/17
55%6/11
All
53%33/62
57%43/75

Ark.-Pine Bluff

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%6/11
50%5/10
2
40%6/15
60%9/15
3
55%6/11
0%0/6
4
29%5/17
25%2/8
5
63%5/8
44%4/9
6
31%4/13
64%9/14
All
43%32/75
47%29/62

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#NC CEN-ARK PBSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NC CENNC CENAttack errHaley Reeves+0.5
21-1NC CENARK PBKillAshanti Butlerset Martyna Lubowicz+0.5
31-2ARK PBARK PBKillHaley Reevesset Jnireah Henry+0.6
42-2ARK PBNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Breylan Fairley+0.5
52-3NC CENARK PBKillHaley Reevesset Martyna Lubowicz+0.6
63-3ARK PBNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.5
73-4NC CENARK PBKillAshanti Butlerset Martyna Lubowicz+0.6
83-5ARK PBARK PBAttack errPeyton Jenkins+0.8
94-5ARK PBNC CENServe errArk.-Pine Bluff+0.6
104-6NC CENARK PBAttack errLusiana Damuni+0.8
114-7ARK PBARK PBBlockedMya Smithblk Kaylen Robinson+1.0
125-7ARK PBNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Hailey Gibbons+0.7
136-7NC CENNC CENAttack errNgozi Nwosu+0.8
146-8NC CENARK PBKillKaylen Robinsonset Ava Miller+0.8
157-8ARK PBNC CENKillHailey Gibbons+0.7
168-8NC CENNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Lusiana Damuni+0.8
178-9NC CENARK PBKillHaley Reevesset Ava Miller+0.8
189-9ARK PBNC CEN×3KillAllyson Rouseset Lusiana Damuni+0.7
1910-9NC CENNC CEN×3Attack errHaley Reeves+0.7
2011-9NC CENNC CEN×3AceN.C. Centralaced Jnireah Henry+0.6
2111-10NC CENARK PBKillAshanti Butlerset Ava Miller+0.6
2211-11ARK PBARK PBAceArk.-Pine Bluffaced Hailey Gibbons+0.8
2312-11ARK PBNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Breylan Fairley+0.7
2412-12NC CENARK PBServe errN.C. Central+0.8
2513-12ARK PBNC CEN×4KillAllyson Rouseset Breylan Fairley+0.7
2614-12NC CENNC CEN×4KillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.7
2715-12NC CENNC CEN×4KillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+0.6
2816-12NC CENNC CEN×4KillPeyton Jenkinsset Breylan Fairley+0.5
2916-13NC CENARK PBServe errN.C. Central+0.4
3017-13ARK PBNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+0.4
3118-13NC CENNC CENAttack errHaley Reeves+0.3
3218-14NC CENARK PBAttack errKayla Riley+0.3
3318-15ARK PBARK PBKillNgozi Nwosu+0.4
3419-15ARK PBNC CENKillPeyton Jenkinsset Lusiana Damuni+0.5
3519-16NC CENARK PBKillKennedy Adamsset Ava Miller+0.4
3619-17ARK PBARK PBAttack errPeyton Jenkins+0.7
3720-17ARK PBNC CEN×4KillTabitha Newlinset Lusiana Damuni+0.7
3821-17NC CENNC CEN×4KillTabitha Newlinset Lusiana Damuni+0.6
3922-17NC CENNC CEN×4BlockedKaylen Robinsonblk Tabitha Newlin, Allyson Rouse+0.3
4023-17NC CENNC CEN×4AceN.C. Centralaced Jnireah Henry+0.2
4123-18NC CENARK PB×3Attack errTabitha Newlin+0.1
4223-19ARK PBARK PB×3AceArk.-Pine Bluffaced Talia Emmen+0.1
4323-20ARK PBARK PB×3BlockedLusiana Damuniblk Haley Reeves, Ashanti Butler+0.3
4424-20ARK PBNC CENKillTabitha Newlinset Kayla Riley+0.4
4525-20NC CENNC CENKillTabitha Newlinset Lusiana Damuni+0.2
Set 2
10-1ARK PBARK PBAttack errAllyson Rouse+0.4
21-1ARK PBNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Breylan Fairley+0.3
31-2NC CENARK PBServe errN.C. Central+0.4
42-2ARK PBNC CEN×3KillTabitha Newlinset Breylan Fairley+0.3
53-2NC CENNC CEN×3KillTabitha Newlinset Jayla Egerton+0.3
64-2NC CENNC CEN×3KillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.3
74-3NC CENARK PBKillZuzanna Zietekset Jnireah Henry+0.3
85-3ARK PBNC CENServe errArk.-Pine Bluff+0.3
95-4NC CENARK PBKillZuzanna Zietekset Martyna Lubowicz+0.3
106-4ARK PBNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+0.3
116-5NC CENARK PBKillKarli Gloverset Ava Miller+0.3
126-6ARK PBARK PBKillKennedy Adams+0.4
137-6ARK PBNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Lusiana Damuni+0.3
148-6NC CENNC CENAttack errHaley Reeves+0.4
158-7NC CENARK PBServe errN.C. Central+0.3
169-7ARK PBNC CENServe errArk.-Pine Bluff+0.3
179-8NC CENARK PBBlockedTabitha Newlinblk Ashanti Butler, Kaylen Robinson+0.4
1810-8ARK PBNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Lusiana Damuni+0.3
1910-9NC CENARK PB×4KillAshanti Butlerset Martyna Lubowicz+0.4
2010-10ARK PBARK PB×4Attack errAllyson Rouse+0.5
2110-11ARK PBARK PB×4KillMartyna Lubowiczset Jnireah Henry+0.6
2210-12ARK PBARK PB×4Attack errTabitha Newlin+0.7
2311-12ARK PBNC CENKillTabitha Newlinset Breylan Fairley+0.5
2411-13NC CENARK PBAttack errTalia Emmen+0.7
2512-13ARK PBNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Breylan Fairley+0.6
2612-14NC CENARK PBServe errN.C. Central+0.7
2713-14ARK PBNC CEN×8KillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley+0.6
2814-14NC CENNC CEN×8KillLusiana Damuniset Breylan Fairley+0.7
2915-14NC CENNC CEN×8Attack errKarli Glover+0.6
3016-14NC CENNC CEN×8Attack errKarli Glover+0.5
3117-14NC CENNC CEN×8Attack errAva Miller+0.4
3218-14NC CENNC CEN×8BlockedKarli Gloverblk Mya Smith, Peyton Jenkins+0.3
3319-14NC CENNC CEN×8KillTalia Emmenset Lusiana Damuni+0.2
3420-14NC CENNC CEN×8AceN.C. Centralaced Ava Miller+0.1
3520-15NC CENARK PBServe errN.C. Central+0.1
3621-15ARK PBNC CENKillPeyton Jenkinsset Lusiana Damuni+0.1
3721-16NC CENARK PB×9Serve errN.C. Central+0.1
3821-17ARK PBARK PB×9Attack errMya Smith+0.2
3921-18ARK PBARK PB×9KillHaley Reevesset Ava Miller+0.3
4021-19ARK PBARK PB×9BlockedTabitha Newlinblk Ashanti Butler, Kaylen Robinson+0.5
4121-20ARK PBARK PB×9KillKaylen Robinsonset Kennedy Adams+0.8
4221-21ARK PBARK PB×9KillKaylen Robinsonset Ava Miller+1.1
4321-22ARK PBARK PB×9Attack errTabitha Newlin+1.6
4421-23ARK PBARK PB×9KillAshanti Butlerset Ava Miller+1.8
4521-24ARK PBARK PB×9AceArk.-Pine Bluffaced Isabella Rodriguez+1.7
4622-24ARK PBNC CEN×5KillShalyn Bellset Lusiana Damuni+0.6
4723-24NC CENNC CEN×5Attack errHaley Reeves+1.4
4824-24NC CENNC CEN×5Attack errHaley Reeves+2.6
4925-24NC CENNC CEN×5KillAllyson Rouseset Lusiana Damuni+2.0
5026-24NC CENNC CEN×5KillShalyn Bellset Lusiana Damuni+1.5
Set 3
11-0NC CENNC CENAceN.C. Centralaced Zuzanna Zietek+0.1
21-1NC CENARK PB×3KillKarli Gloverset Martyna Lubowicz+0.1
31-2ARK PBARK PB×3Attack errAniah Bass+0.2
41-3ARK PBARK PB×3AceArk.-Pine Bluff+0.2
52-3ARK PBNC CENServe errArk.-Pine Bluff+0.2
62-4NC CENARK PBKillZuzanna Zietekset Martyna Lubowicz+0.2
73-4ARK PBNC CEN×3KillKayla Rileyset Breylan Fairley+0.2
84-4NC CENNC CEN×3Attack errAshanti Butler+0.2
95-4NC CENNC CEN×3Bad setMartyna Lubowicz+0.2
105-5NC CENARK PBServe errN.C. Central+0.2
115-6ARK PBARK PBBlockedKayla Rileyblk Zuzanna Zietek, Kennedy Adams+0.2
126-6ARK PBNC CEN×5KillKayla Rileyset Breylan Fairley+0.2
137-6NC CENNC CEN×5AceN.C. Centralaced Karli Glover+0.2
148-6NC CENNC CEN×5KillKayla Rileyset Lusiana Damuni+0.2
159-6NC CENNC CEN×5AceN.C. Centralaced Kinsley Hooper+0.1
1610-6NC CENNC CEN×5KillKayla Rileyset Lusiana Damuni+0.1
1710-7NC CENARK PBKillKennedy Adamsset Martyna Lubowicz+0.1
1810-8ARK PBARK PBAttack errKayla Riley+0.1
1911-8ARK PBNC CENServe errArk.-Pine Bluff+0.1
2012-8NC CENNC CENKillPeyton Jenkinsset Lusiana Damuni+0.1
2112-9NC CENARK PBServe errN.C. Central+0.1
2213-9ARK PBNC CENKillPeyton Jenkinsset Lusiana Damuni+0.1
2314-9NC CENNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Lusiana Damuni+0.1
2414-10NC CENARK PB×3KillNgozi Nwosuset London King+0.1
2514-11ARK PBARK PB×3Attack errMya Smith+0.1
2614-12ARK PBARK PB×3AceArk.-Pine Bluffaced Tabitha Newlin+0.2
2715-12ARK PBNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Lusiana Damuni+0.1
2815-13NC CENARK PB×3KillKaylen Robinsonset London King+0.2
2915-14ARK PBARK PB×3AceArk.-Pine Bluffaced Alex Fuller+0.2
3015-15ARK PBARK PB×3KillAshanti Butlerset Martyna Lubowicz+0.3
3116-15ARK PBNC CEN×8Serve errArk.-Pine Bluff+0.3
3217-15NC CENNC CEN×8KillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley+0.3
3318-15NC CENNC CEN×8BlockedAshanti Butlerblk Aniah Bass, Allyson Rouse+0.2
3419-15NC CENNC CEN×8KillKayla Rileyset Breylan Fairley+0.2
3520-15NC CENNC CEN×8Attack errAshanti Butler+0.1
3621-15NC CENNC CEN×8Attack errZuzanna Zietek+0.1
3722-15NC CENNC CEN×8BlockedNgozi Nwosublk Allyson Rouse·
3823-15NC CENNC CEN×8Bad setMartyna Lubowicz·
3923-16NC CENARK PBAttack errBreylan Fairley·
4024-16ARK PBNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley·
4124-17NC CENARK PBKillAshanti Butlerset Zuzanna Zietek·
4225-17ARK PBNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley·

Score shown after each rally, N.C. Central first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).