FinalSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ACCNX

Stanford def. Virginia 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Stanford 97.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 8:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Stanford beat visiting Virginia 3-0 (25-12, 25-23, 25-13) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Stanford's Julia Blyashov led with 18 kills.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set123Sets
UVA1223130
STAN2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Julia Blyashov hit .607 with 18 kills as Stanford rolled past Virginia.

The biggest single-rally swing was 0.9 points, and Virginia's high was 5% in Set 2. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Stanford 98% before first serve.

VirginiaStanford
  • Break %+26.2 pts
    26.552.7

    39 of 74 on serve vs 13 of 49, so Virginia's sideout was 47.3%.

  • Hitting+.215
    .167.382

    49 kills, 10 errors vs 33 kills, 15 errors.

  • Longest run+4
    37

    From 3–3 in the first set, Stanford scored 7 straight to lead 10–3. The set finished 25–12.

Stanford above 50Virginia belowMax swing 0.9%

VirginiaStanford

Aces
Virginia 0·Stanford 4
Serve err
Virginia 5·Stanford 5
Blocks
Virginia 4.5·Stanford 61 BS · 7 BA vs 0 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Virginia 32·Stanford 49

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Stanford above 50 · Virginia below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 123 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Stanford stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UVA 1.4%98.6% STAN

Virginia wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.3%
3-2
0.9%

Stanford wins

3-0
70.8%
3-1
23.1%
3-2
4.7%
UVA break %
34.1% vs this opp
STAN break %
50.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36322.136000210217
36422.091102810006
36320.150000100006
33116.12500101132.55.5
34113.231000000004
31011.0001501400001
36211.364000000217
31011.0001200200001
3001.000300800000
3000–201710000
2011-1.000000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3315108.1673305324174.548
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318128.60701160010.519.5
310324.2920001004212
36323.1301011400006
34041.00000000010.54.5
3115.000441260031.53.5
3000–011600001
38114.500000200219
3000–1101400001
3000–000000000
1112.000000000001
11011.000000000001
1001.00000000010.50.5
Team totals4910102.3824645490012675

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 UVA · STAN 7

Set 1

12-25

Longest run 2 UVASTAN 7

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 UVASTAN 5

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 2 UVASTAN 5

Bars above the line = Stanford leads, below = Virginia leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Virginia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%5/9
29%2/7
2
50%5/10
29%2/7
3
80%4/5
29%2/7
4
80%4/5
0%0/4
5
50%4/8
33%2/6
6
33%4/12
33%2/6
All
53%26/49
27%10/37

Stanford

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%5/6
50%4/8
2
71%5/7
44%4/9
3
71%5/7
50%5/10
4
100%4/4
20%1/5
5
67%4/6
50%4/8
6
57%4/7
56%5/9
All
73%27/37
47%23/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

123 rallies

#UVA-STANSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1STANSTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks
21-1STANUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott
31-2UVASTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks
41-3STANSTANAceStanfordaced Ella Brodner
52-3STANUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott
63-3UVAUVAKillElla Brodnerset Olivia Siskin
73-4UVASTAN×7KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks
83-5STANSTAN×7BlockedBecca Wightblk Kaci Demaria, Lizzy Andrew
93-6STANSTAN×7Bad setOlivia Siskin
103-7STANSTAN×7KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks
113-8STANSTAN×7KillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks
123-9STANSTAN×7BlockedElla Brodnerblk Lizzy Andrew, Logan Parks
133-10STANSTAN×7Bad setOlivia Siskin
144-10STANUVAServe errStanford
154-11UVASTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks
165-11STANUVAAttack errLizzy Andrew
175-12UVASTAN×3Serve errVirginia
185-13STAN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

195-14STANSTAN×3KillElla Andrews
206-14STANUVAServe errStanford
216-15UVASTANServe errVirginia
226-16STANSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks
237-16STANUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott
247-17UVASTANServe errVirginia
258-17STANUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott
268-18UVASTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks
278-19STANSTAN×3KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks
288-20STANSTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks
299-20STANUVAServe errStanford
3010-20UVAUVABlockedLogan Parksblk Emily Fowler
3110-21UVASTAN×4KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks
3210-22STANSTAN×4KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks
3310-23STANSTAN×4AceStanfordaced Emily Fowler
3410-24STANSTAN×4BlockedBecca Wightblk Kaci Demaria, Lizzy Andrew
3511-24STANUVAKillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin
3612-24UVAUVAKillOlivia Siskinset Meredith Reeg
3712-25UVASTANServe errVirginia
Set 2
10-1UVASTANServe errVirginia
21-1STANUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott
32-1UVAUVAAttack errJulia Blyashov
42-2UVASTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks
53-2STANUVAAttack errLizzy Andrew
63-3UVASTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks
74-3STANUVAKillBecca Wightset Katie Barrier
84-4UVASTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks
95-4STANUVA×3KillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin
106-4UVAUVA×3KillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin
117-4UVAUVA×3KillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin
127-5UVASTANBlockedReese Wuebkerblk Ella Andrews, Logan Parks
138-5STANUVAKillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin
149-5UVAUVAAttack errJordyn Harvey
159-6UVASTAN×3KillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks
169-7STANSTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks
179-8STANSTAN×3Attack errLauryn Bowie
1810-8STANUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott
1911-8UVAUVAKillElla Brodnerset Hannah Scott
2011-9UVASTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks
2111-10STANSTAN×3Attack errLauryn Bowie
2211-11STANSTAN×3Attack errElla Brodner
2312-11STANUVAKillElla Brodnerset Hannah Scott
2413-11UVAUVAAttack errJordyn Harvey
2513-12UVASTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks
2614-12STANUVA×3KillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott
2715-12UVAUVA×3BlockedJordyn Harveyblk Becca Wight, Emily Fowler
2816-12UVAUVA×3BlockedLizzy Andrewblk Emily Fowler, Ella Brodner
2916-13UVASTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks
3017-13STANUVAKillEmily Fowlerset Olivia Siskin
3117-14UVASTANBlockedReese Wuebkerblk Lizzy Andrew, Logan Parks
3218-14STANUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin
3318-15UVASTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks
3419-15STANUVAKillCaroline Langset Olivia Siskin
3520-15UVAUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Katie Barrier
3620-16UVASTANKillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks
3720-17STANSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks
3821-17STANUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott
3921-18UVASTANAttack errElla Brodner
4021-19STANSTANAttack errReese Wuebker
4122-19STANUVAKillCaroline Langset Hannah Scott
4222-20UVASTAN×5KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks
4322-21STANSTAN×5Attack errLauryn Bowie
4422-22STANSTAN×5KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks
4522-23STANSTAN×5Attack errEmily Fowler
4622-24STANSTAN×5KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks
4723-24STANUVAKillElla Brodnerset Hannah Scott
4823-25UVASTANKillJulia Blyashovset Spencer Etzler
Set 3
11-0STANUVAKillCaroline Langset Hannah Scott
21-1UVASTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks
32-1STANUVAKillElla Brodnerset Katie Barrier
42-2UVASTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks
53-2STANUVAKillEmily Fowlerset Olivia Siskin
63-3UVASTANKillLogan Parksset Jordyn Harvey
74-3STANUVAKillEmily Fowlerset Olivia Siskin
84-4UVASTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks
94-5STANSTANKillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks
105-5STANUVAKillCaroline Langset Olivia Siskin
115-6UVASTANKillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks
125-7STANSTANAceStanfordaced Reese Wuebker
136-7STANUVAServe errStanford
147-7UVAUVAKillHannah Scottset Reese Wuebker
157-8UVASTANKillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks
167-9STANSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks
178-9STANUVAKillElla Brodnerset Hannah Scott
188-10UVASTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks
198-11STANSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks
209-11STANUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott
219-12UVASTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks
229-13STANSTANKillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks
2310-13STANUVABlockedKaci Demariablk Emily Fowler, Becca Wight
2410-14UVASTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks
2510-15STANSTANKillKaci Demaria
2611-15STANUVAKillBecca Wightset Meredith Reeg
2711-16UVASTAN×4KillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks
2811-17STANSTAN×4Attack errReese Wuebker
2911-18STANSTAN×4KillKaci Demariaset Katie Barrier
3011-19STANSTAN×4AceStanfordaced Meredith Reeg
3112-19STANUVAServe errStanford
3212-20UVASTAN×5KillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks
3312-21STANSTAN×5KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks
3412-22STANSTAN×5KillSarah Hickmanset Logan Parks
3512-23STANSTAN×5BlockedMaryGrace Gonyeaublk Sidney Duncan, Julia Blyashov
3612-24STANSTAN×5Attack errCaroline Lang
3713-24STANUVAAttack errSarah Hickman
3813-25UVASTANKillSimone Roslonset Logan Parks

Score shown after each rally, Virginia first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).