Arizona vs TCU Volleyball: TCU Wins 3-0 (Oct 9, 2026)

FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: TCU 94.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 6:26 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

TCU beat visiting Arizona 3-0 (25-17, 25-23, 25-20) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. TCU's Becca Kelley led with 12 kills, and Alice Volpe added 11 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 8:05 PM CT · final Oct 9

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ARIZ	17	23	20	0
TCU	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

No. 8 TCU left no doubt against Arizona.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.7 points. Arizona peaked at 6% in Set 2. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had TCU at 95%.

ArizonaTCU

Break %+12.2 pts
37.149.3
On serve: 36/73 against 23/62 (Arizona sideout 50.7%).
Hitting+.166
.154.320
43 K / 12 E against 35 K / 19 E.
Longest run+1
45
TCU scored 5 straight in the second set to turn an 8–12 deficit into a 13–12 lead. Final score of the set: 25–23.

TCU above 50Arizona belowMax swing 1.7%

ArizonaTCU

Aces: Arizona 5·TCU 2
Serve err: Arizona 11·TCU 5
Blocks: Arizona 4·TCU 90 BS · 8 BA vs 1 BS · 16 BA
Digs: Arizona 39·TCU 47

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

TCU above 50 · Arizona below

Biggest swing: 1.7% to TCU — set 2, ARIZ 23-25 TCU. Kill by Jalyn Gibson (set by Alice Volpe). TCU win probability 98% → 99%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ARIZ 6.5%93.5% TCU

Arizona wins

3-0

0.8%

3-1

1.9%

3-2

3.8%

TCU wins

3-0

51.5%

3-1

30.7%

3-2

11.3%

ARIZ break %: 36.3% vs this opp
TCU break %: 47.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Jalyn GibsonKill+1.7%
Kill by Jalyn Gibson (set by Alice Volpe)
Set 2 · ARIZ 23-25 TCU · TCU 98% → 99%
02
Becca KelleyKill+1.6%
Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 2 · ARIZ 23-24 TCU · TCU 96% → 98%
03
ArizonaAce+1.5%
Arizona ace
Set 2 · ARIZ 22-22 TCU · ARIZ 3% → 4%
04
Kennedy OsunsanmiKill+1.3%
Kill by Kennedy Osunsanmi (set by Harmony Sample)
Set 2 · ARIZ 23-23 TCU · ARIZ 3% → 4%
05
Becca KelleyKill+1.2%
Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Reese Wilburn)
Set 2 · ARIZ 22-23 TCU · TCU 96% → 97%
06
Reese RobinsAttack error+1.2%
Attack error by Reese Robins
Set 2 · ARIZ 20-20 TCU · ARIZ 3% → 4%
07
De'Andrea McMillian&Reese RobinsBlock+1.0%
Carlie Cisneros stuffed by De'Andrea McMillian & Reese Robins
Set 2 · ARIZ 20-22 TCU · TCU 97% → 98%
08
Carlie CisnerosKill+1.0%
Kill by Carlie Cisneros (set by Maria Olga Siapani)
Set 2 · ARIZ 18-18 TCU · ARIZ 3% → 4%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Arizonaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
12Carlie CisnerosOH	3	5	6	23	-.043	0	1	1	6	1	2	1	7
22Journey TuckerMB	3	5	2	13	.231	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	6.5
14Kennedy OsunsanmiOPP	3	6	2	17	.235	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	6
8Kristen DearMB	3	3	1	5	.400	0	0	2	2	0	1	0.5	3.5
1Maria Olga SiapaniS	3	0	0	0	–	13	1	1	7	1	0	0	1
18Destiny Ndam-SimpsonOH	1	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
10Britt CarlsonOPP	3	7	1	19	.316	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	8
21Hayden ReederOH	3	3	2	9	.111	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	3
5Gigi WhannL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	2	1	10	0	0	0	3
7Harmony SampleS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	16	1	3	4	0	0	0	1
3Brenna GinderL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19Brookelyn HattonL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31Payton WoodsOH	1	2	1	6	.167	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
2Renee JonesOPP	1	1	2	4	-.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
23Marina VoslooMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
Team totals		35	19	104	.154	33	5	11	39	2	8	4	60

TCUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Becca KelleyOH	3	12	3	26	.346	0	2	2	2	0	1	3	2.5	16.5
5Jalyn GibsonOH	3	11	2	17	.529	2	0	0	8	1	0	1	0.5	11.5
2Evan HendrixOH	3	9	5	31	.129	1	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	9
10Kinsley YoungMB	3	5	1	10	.400	1	0	1	4	0	0	5	2.5	7.5
4De'Andrea McMillianMB	3	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
17Rosemary ArcherS	3	1	0	2	.500	25	0	2	6	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
7Reese RobinsMB	3	1	1	6	.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
9Lauren MurphyOH	3	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
0Alice VolpeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	11	3	0	0	0	0
6Reese WilburnS	3	0	0	0	–	7	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
13Molly McCarthyL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
16Jaylen ClarkL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	12	97	.320	40	2	5	47	5	1	16	9	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 ARIZ · TCU 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 4 ARIZTCU 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 ARIZTCU 5

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 ARIZTCU 4

Bars above the line = TCU leads, below = Arizona leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arizona

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	40%8/20	30%3/10
2	60%6/10	47%7/15
3	50%6/12	25%2/8
4	43%6/14	25%2/8
5	75%6/8	50%6/12
6	56%5/9	33%3/9
All	51%37/73	37%23/62

TCU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	54%7/13
2	58%7/12	56%9/16
3	60%6/10	45%5/11
4	75%6/8	54%7/13
5	46%6/13	50%6/12
6	86%6/7	25%2/8
All	63%39/62	49%36/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

135 rallies

#	ARIZ-TCU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	ARIZ	TCU×4	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.4
2	0-2	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Kinsley Young		+0.5
3	0-3	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Kinsley Young	+0.4
4	0-4	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Carlie Cisneros		+0.4
5	1-4	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	set Maria Olga Siapani	+0.3
6	2-4	ARIZ	ARIZ	Attack err	Jalyn Gibson		+0.5
7	2-5	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.3
8	3-5	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Maria Olga Siapani	+0.4
9	4-5	ARIZ	ARIZ	Ace	Arizona	aced Alice Volpe	+0.6
10	4-6	ARIZ	TCU×4	Attack err	Renee Jones		+0.4
11	4-7	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Carlie Cisneros		+0.5
12	4-8	TCU	TCU×4	Blocked	Kristen Dear	blk Becca Kelley, Kinsley Young	+0.4
13	4-9	TCU	TCU×4	Blocked	Destiny Ndam-Simpson	blk Rosemary Archer, Kinsley Young	+0.3
14	5-9	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Renee Jones	set Harmony Sample	+0.2
15	5-10	ARIZ	TCU×3	Serve err	Arizona		+0.2
16	5-11	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.2
17	5-12	TCU	TCU×3	Blocked	Renee Jones	blk Becca Kelley	+0.2
18	6-12	TCU	ARIZ	Blocked	Evan Hendrix	blk Kristen Dear, Carlie Cisneros	+0.1
19	6-13	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
20	7-13	TCU	ARIZ	Serve err	TCU		+0.1
21	7-14	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
22	7-15	TCU	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
23	8-15	TCU	ARIZ	Serve err	TCU		+0.1
24	9-15	ARIZ	ARIZ	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+0.1
25	9-16	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
26	10-16	TCU	ARIZ×4	Kill	Hayden Reeder	set Maria Olga Siapani	+0.1
27	11-16	ARIZ	ARIZ×4	Ace	Arizona	aced Alice Volpe	+0.2
28	12-16	ARIZ	ARIZ×4	Ace	Arizona	aced Alice Volpe	+0.3
29	13-16	ARIZ	ARIZ×4	Kill	Kristen Dear	set Rosemary Archer	+0.5
30	13-17	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.4
31	14-17	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Hayden Reeder	set Kennedy Osunsanmi	+0.3
32	14-18	ARIZ	TCU	Serve err	Arizona		+0.4
33	15-18	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Harmony Sample	+0.3
34	15-19	ARIZ	TCU×3	Serve err	Arizona		+0.4
35	15-20	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Reese Wilburn	+0.4
36	15-21	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Reese Wilburn	+0.2
37	16-21	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Britt Carlson	set Harmony Sample	+0.1
38	16-22	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	De'Andrea McMillian	set Reese Wilburn	+0.1
39	17-22	TCU	ARIZ	Serve err	TCU		+0.1
40	17-23	ARIZ	TCU×3	Kill	Lauren Murphy	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
41	17-24	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Lauren Murphy	set Rosemary Archer	·
42	17-25	TCU	TCU×3	Ace	Becca Kelley	aced Maria Olga Siapani	·
Set 2
1	1-0	TCU	ARIZ×3	Kill	Journey Tucker	set Harmony Sample	+0.4
2	2-0	ARIZ	ARIZ×3	Kill	Kristen Dear		+0.6
3	3-0	ARIZ	ARIZ×3	Kill	Hayden Reeder	set Harmony Sample	+0.6
4	3-1	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.4
5	4-1	TCU	ARIZ	Serve err	TCU		+0.5
6	4-2	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.4
7	4-3	TCU	TCU	Blocked	Hayden Reeder	blk Jalyn Gibson, Kinsley Young	+0.6
8	5-3	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Britt Carlson	set Maria Olga Siapani	+0.5
9	6-3	ARIZ	ARIZ	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+0.7
10	6-4	ARIZ	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.4
11	6-5	TCU	TCU×3	Attack err	Hayden Reeder		+0.6
12	6-6	TCU	TCU×3	Attack err	Carlie Cisneros		+0.6
13	7-6	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Maria Olga Siapani	+0.5
14	8-6	ARIZ	ARIZ	Blocked	Evan Hendrix	blk Britt Carlson, Journey Tucker	+0.7
15	8-7	ARIZ	TCU	Serve err	Arizona		+0.5
16	9-7	TCU	ARIZ×3	Kill	Britt Carlson	set Maria Olga Siapani	+0.6
17	10-7	ARIZ	ARIZ×3	Kill	Kennedy Osunsanmi	set Harmony Sample	+0.8
18	11-7	ARIZ	ARIZ×3	Blocked	Reese Robins	blk Journey Tucker, Carlie Cisneros	+0.9
19	11-8	ARIZ	TCU	Serve err	Arizona		+0.5
20	12-8	TCU	ARIZ	Serve err	TCU		+0.7
21	12-9	ARIZ	TCU×5	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.5
22	12-10	TCU	TCU×5	Blocked	Kennedy Osunsanmi	blk Becca Kelley, De'Andrea McMillian	+0.8
23	12-11	TCU	TCU×5	Attack err	Harmony Sample		+0.8
24	12-12	TCU	TCU×5	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Alice Volpe	+0.7
25	12-13	TCU	TCU×5	Attack err	Journey Tucker		+0.7
26	13-13	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Kennedy Osunsanmi	set Harmony Sample	+0.5
27	13-14	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.5
28	14-14	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Kennedy Osunsanmi	set Harmony Sample	+0.6
29	14-15	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	De'Andrea McMillian	set Rosemary Archer	+0.5
30	14-16	TCU	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.6
31	15-16	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Kristen Dear	set Maria Olga Siapani	+0.5
32	16-16	ARIZ	ARIZ	Attack err	Jalyn Gibson		+0.8
33	16-17	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.6
34	16-18	TCU	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Jalyn Gibson	+0.7
35	17-18	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Britt Carlson	set Maria Olga Siapani	+0.5
36	18-18	ARIZ	ARIZ	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Maria Olga Siapani	+1.0
37	18-19	ARIZ	TCU	Serve err	Arizona		+0.7
38	18-20	TCU	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Reese Wilburn	+0.9
39	19-20	TCU	ARIZ	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+0.6
40	20-20	ARIZ	ARIZ	Attack err	Reese Robins		+1.2
41	20-21	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Reese Wilburn	+0.9
42	20-22	TCU	TCU	Blocked	Carlie Cisneros	blk De'Andrea McMillian, Reese Robins	+1.0
43	21-22	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Journey Tucker	set Harmony Sample	+0.6
44	22-22	ARIZ	ARIZ	Ace	Arizona		+1.5
45	22-23	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+1.2
46	23-23	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Kennedy Osunsanmi	set Harmony Sample	+1.3
47	23-24	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+1.6
48	23-25	TCU	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Alice Volpe	+1.7
Set 3
1	1-0	ARIZ	ARIZ	Kill	Gigi Whann	set Kennedy Osunsanmi	+0.2
2	1-1	ARIZ	TCU×4	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
3	1-2	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.2
4	1-3	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.2
5	1-4	TCU	TCU×4	Ace	Becca Kelley	aced Carlie Cisneros	+0.1
6	2-4	TCU	ARIZ	Bad set	Rosemary Archer		+0.1
7	2-5	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Alice Volpe	+0.1
8	2-6	TCU	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
9	3-6	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Kennedy Osunsanmi	set Harmony Sample	+0.1
10	4-6	ARIZ	ARIZ	Ace	Arizona	aced Jalyn Gibson	+0.1
11	4-7	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
12	4-8	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Payton Woods		+0.1
13	5-8	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Britt Carlson	set Maria Olga Siapani	+0.1
14	5-9	ARIZ	TCU	Serve err	Arizona		+0.1
15	5-10	TCU	TCU	Blocked	Carlie Cisneros	blk Reese Robins, Kinsley Young	+0.1
16	6-10	TCU	ARIZ×3	Kill	Britt Carlson	set Maria Olga Siapani	+0.1
17	7-10	ARIZ	ARIZ×3	Kill	Carlie Cisneros	set Brookelyn Hatton	+0.1
18	8-10	ARIZ	ARIZ×3	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+0.2
19	8-11	ARIZ	TCU	Blocked	Britt Carlson	blk Kinsley Young, Becca Kelley	+0.1
20	9-11	TCU	ARIZ	Bad set	Kinsley Young		+0.1
21	9-12	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
22	10-12	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Journey Tucker	set Harmony Sample	+0.1
23	10-13	ARIZ	TCU	Serve err	Arizona		+0.1
24	10-14	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Kennedy Osunsanmi		+0.2
25	11-14	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Payton Woods	set Harmony Sample	+0.1
26	12-14	ARIZ	ARIZ	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+0.2
27	12-15	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
28	13-15	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Kennedy Osunsanmi	set Harmony Sample	+0.1
29	13-16	ARIZ	TCU	Serve err	Arizona		+0.2
30	14-16	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Payton Woods	set Britt Carlson	+0.2
31	14-17	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Rosemary Archer	set Jalyn Gibson	+0.2
32	15-17	TCU	ARIZ×3	Kill	Marina Vosloo	set Maria Olga Siapani	+0.2
33	16-17	ARIZ	ARIZ×3	Attack err	Kinsley Young		+0.3
34	17-17	ARIZ	ARIZ×3	Blocked	Becca Kelley	blk Britt Carlson, Journey Tucker	+0.4
35	17-18	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.3
36	17-19	TCU	TCU	Blocked	Carlie Cisneros	blk Reese Robins, De'Andrea McMillian	+0.4
37	18-19	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Britt Carlson	set Maria Olga Siapani	+0.3
38	18-20	ARIZ	TCU	Serve err	Arizona		+0.3
39	19-20	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Journey Tucker	set Harmony Sample	+0.3
40	19-21	ARIZ	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.3
41	19-22	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Journey Tucker		+0.3
42	20-22	TCU	ARIZ	Kill	Journey Tucker	set Harmony Sample	+0.2
43	20-23	ARIZ	TCU×3	Serve err	Arizona		+0.2
44	20-24	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Alice Volpe	+0.1
45	20-25	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Evan Hendrix	·

Score shown after each rally, Arizona first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

TCU def. Arizona 3–0

No. 8 TCU left no doubt against Arizona.