FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ACCNX

Stanford def. Wake Forest 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Stanford 96.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 8:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Stanford beat visiting Wake Forest 3-0 (25-22, 25-15, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Stanford's Lizzy Andrew led with 15 kills, and Malyssa Cawa added 10 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set123Sets
WAKE2215170
STAN2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.591 and 15 kills for Lizzy Andrew as Stanford rolled past Wake Forest.

Win probability never moved more than 1.1 points on one rally; Wake Forest topped out at 5% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Stanford 96% before first serve.

Wake ForestStanford
  • Break %+18.7 pts
    32.751.4

    38 of 74 on serve vs 18 of 55, so Wake Forest's sideout was 48.6%.

  • Hitting+.158
    .179.337

    44 kills, 9 errors vs 39 kills, 18 errors.

  • Longest run+2
    46

    Stanford scored 6 straight in the first set to turn a 3–4 deficit into a 9–4 lead. That set ended 25–22.

Stanford above 50Wake Forest belowMax swing 1.1%

Wake ForestStanford

Aces
Wake Forest 2·Stanford 6
Serve err
Wake Forest 7·Stanford 3
Blocks
Wake Forest 6·Stanford 52 BS · 8 BA vs 0 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Wake Forest 42·Stanford 46

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Stanford above 50 · Wake Forest below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.1% STANrally 129 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.1% to Stanford — set 1, WAKE 22-24 STAN. Kill by Kaci Demaria (set by Logan Parks). STAN win probability 96% → 98%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WAKE 4.9%95.1% STAN

Wake Forest wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.4%
3-2
3.0%

Stanford wins

3-0
55.8%
3-1
29.6%
3-2
9.8%
WAKE break %
35.2% vs this opp
STAN break %
47.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kaci DemariaKill+1.1%

    Kill by Kaci Demaria (set by Logan Parks)

    Set 1 · WAKE 22-24 STAN · STAN 96% → 98%

  2. 02
    Andrea RomanAce+1.0%

    Ace by Andrea Roman on Kaci Demaria

    Set 1 · WAKE 22-23 STAN · WAKE 3% → 4%

  3. 03
    Lyla StewartKill+0.7%

    Kill by Lyla Stewart (set by Mattea Saunders)

    Set 1 · WAKE 14-15 STAN · WAKE 3% → 4%

  4. 04

    Kill by Julia Blyashov (set by Becca Bellows)

    Set 1 · WAKE 22-25 STAN · STAN 98% → 98%

  5. 05
    Lyla StewartKill+0.7%

    Kill by Lyla Stewart (set by Andrea Roman)

    Set 1 · WAKE 2-0 STAN · WAKE 4% → 5%

  6. 06
    Sanaa WilliamsAttack error+0.7%

    Attack error by Sanaa Williams

    Set 1 · WAKE 16-19 STAN · STAN 97% → 97%

  7. 07

    Kill by Ryleigh Whitekettle (set by Andrea Roman)

    Set 2 · WAKE 7-2 STAN · WAKE 4% → 5%

  8. 08

    Kill by Ryleigh Whitekettle (set by Becca Bellows)

    Set 2 · WAKE 6-2 STAN · WAKE 3% → 4%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311434.20600383010.511.5
310117.52900030111.511.5
36211.36400020132.58.5
37628.03600022010.57.5
34113.23100100010.54.5
3000–2101300000
3000–5211200002
3027-.286000000000
3001.0001000500000
3011-1.000101210000
3000–000200000
2102.500000100001
1013-.33300010010.50.5
1000–100100000
Team totals3918117.179382742628654
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315222.59121010031.517.5
311126.38500080010.511.5
310324.29200032010.510.5
34218.11103270010.57.5
3409.444000000215
3015-.2003811900212
3000–1101000001
3000–300800000
Team totals449104.3374463462010575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 WAKE · STAN 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 WAKESTAN 6

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 4 WAKESTAN 5

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 2 WAKESTAN 5

Bars above the line = Stanford leads, below = Wake Forest leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Wake Forest

SlotSideout %Break %
1
54%7/13
33%3/9
2
64%7/11
36%4/11
3
60%6/10
53%8/15
4
33%6/18
14%1/7
5
45%5/11
14%1/7
6
45%5/11
17%1/6
All
49%36/74
33%18/55

Stanford

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
57%8/14
2
50%7/14
22%2/9
3
60%6/10
40%4/10
4
86%6/7
57%8/14
5
86%6/7
63%10/16
6
63%5/8
55%6/11
All
67%37/55
51%38/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#WAKE-STANSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0STANWAKEKillCatherine Burkeset Becca Bellows+0.4
22-0WAKEWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Andrea Roman+0.7
32-1WAKESTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.4
42-2STANSTANAttack errRyleigh Whitekettle+0.6
53-2STANWAKEServe errJordyn Harvey+0.5
63-3WAKESTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.4
74-3STANWAKEBlockedJulia Blyashovblk Ryleigh Whitekettle, Sanaa Williams+0.5
84-4WAKESTAN×6KillJulia Blyashovset Spencer Etzler+0.4
94-5STANSTAN×6AceLizzy Andrewaced Lyla Stewart+0.5
104-6STANSTAN×6BlockedLaiya Eboblk Julia Blyashov, Ella Andrews+0.5
114-7STANSTAN×6KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.4
124-8STANSTAN×6KillJulia Blyashovset Malyssa Cawa+0.3
134-9STANSTAN×6KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.2
145-9STANWAKEKillKelis Hawkinsset Emma Keeping+0.1
155-10WAKESTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.1
166-10STANWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Andrea Roman+0.1
177-10WAKEWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Julia Blyashov+0.3
187-11WAKESTANKillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+0.2
198-11STANWAKE×3KillAmina Ndiayeset Emma Keeping+0.2
209-11WAKEWAKE×3KillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows+0.4
2110-11WAKEWAKE×3KillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows+0.6
2210-12WAKESTANAttack errAmina Ndiaye+0.4
2310-13STANSTANKillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.5
2411-13STANWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows+0.3
2511-14WAKESTANAttack errLyla Stewart+0.3
2611-15STANSTANAceJordyn Harveyaced Mattea Saunders+0.4
2712-15STANWAKE×3KillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows+0.2
2813-15WAKEWAKE×3AceAndrea Romanaced Kaci Demaria+0.5
2914-15WAKEWAKE×3KillLyla Stewartset Mattea Saunders+0.7
3014-16WAKESTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.5
3115-16STANWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Becca Bellows+0.5
3215-17WAKESTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.5
3316-17STANWAKEKillSanaa Williamsset Emma Keeping+0.6
3416-18WAKESTAN×3Attack errLyla Stewart+0.6
3516-19STANSTAN×3Attack errSanaa Williams+0.7
3616-20STANSTAN×3AceLogan Parksaced Amina Ndiaye+0.4
3717-20STANWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Emma Keeping+0.2
3817-21WAKESTANServe errSanaa Williams+0.3
3918-21STANWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Emma Keeping+0.2
4018-22WAKESTANKillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.3
4119-22STANWAKEKillCatherine Burkeset Becca Bellows+0.2
4219-23WAKESTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.3
4320-23STANWAKE×3BlockedLizzy Andrewblk Catherine Burke, Lyla Stewart+0.1
4421-23WAKEWAKE×3Attack errKaci Demaria+0.4
4522-23WAKEWAKE×3AceAndrea Romanaced Kaci Demaria+1.0
4622-24WAKESTANKillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+1.1
4722-25STANSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Becca Bellows+0.7
Set 2
10-1WAKESTANServe errBecca Bellows+0.2
21-1STANWAKE×3KillLyla Stewartset Becca Bellows+0.2
32-1WAKEWAKE×3BlockedJordyn Harveyblk Catherine Burke, Amina Ndiaye+0.4
43-1WAKEWAKE×3KillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows+0.5
53-2WAKESTANServe errLyla Stewart+0.3
64-2STANWAKE×4KillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows+0.3
75-2WAKEWAKE×4KillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows+0.5
86-2WAKEWAKE×4KillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows+0.6
97-2WAKEWAKE×4KillRyleigh Whitekettleset Andrea Roman+0.6
107-3WAKESTAN×3KillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.3
117-4STANSTAN×3KillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.5
127-5STANSTAN×3KillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.5
138-5STANWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows+0.5
148-6WAKESTAN×3KillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.4
158-7STANSTAN×3Attack errAmina Ndiaye+0.5
168-8STANSTAN×3KillKaci Demariaset Lizzy Andrew+0.5
179-8STANWAKEAttack errJordyn Harvey+0.4
189-9WAKESTAN×3KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.3
199-10STANSTAN×3Attack errLyla Stewart+0.4
209-11STANSTAN×3AceJordyn Harveyaced Lyla Stewart+0.4
2110-11STANWAKEServe errJordyn Harvey+0.3
2210-12WAKESTAN×3KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.3
2310-13STANSTAN×3Attack errMattea Saunders+0.3
2410-14STANSTAN×3KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.2
2511-14STANWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Emma Keeping+0.1
2611-15WAKESTANKillJulia Blyashovset Spencer Etzler+0.2
2712-15STANWAKEKillCatherine Burkeset Becca Bellows+0.2
2812-16WAKESTAN×3KillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+0.2
2912-17STANSTAN×3KillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.2
3012-18STANSTAN×3BlockedAmina Ndiayeblk Jordyn Harvey, Ella Andrews+0.1
3113-18STANWAKEServe errLogan Parks+0.1
3213-19WAKESTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.1
3314-19STANWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows·
3414-20WAKESTAN×5KillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.1
3514-21STANSTAN×5KillKaci Demariaset Spencer Etzler·
3614-22STANSTAN×5Attack errAmina Ndiaye·
3714-23STANSTAN×5Attack errLyla Stewart·
3814-24STANSTAN×5KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks·
3915-24STANWAKEKillSanaa Williamsset Ava Roddey·
4015-25WAKESTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks·
Set 3
10-1STANSTANKillJulia Blyashovset Lizzy Andrew+0.1
21-1STANWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Becca Bellows+0.1
31-2WAKESTANServe errMattea Saunders+0.1
42-2STANWAKEKillCatherine Burkeset Becca Bellows+0.1
52-3WAKESTANServe errAndrea Roman+0.1
63-3STANWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Becca Bellows+0.1
74-3WAKEWAKEBad setLogan Parks+0.2
84-4WAKESTANKillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks+0.1
95-4STANWAKEKillSanaa Williamsset Andrea Roman+0.1
105-5WAKESTAN×3Serve errLyla Stewart+0.1
115-6STANSTAN×3Attack errAmina Ndiaye+0.2
125-7STANSTAN×3KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks+0.1
136-7STANWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Emma Keeping+0.1
146-8WAKESTAN×5KillKaci Demariaset Logan Parks+0.1
156-9STANSTAN×5BlockedLaiya Eboblk Kaci Demaria, Lizzy Andrew+0.1
166-10STANSTAN×5BlockedCatherine Burkeblk Lizzy Andrew, Logan Parks+0.1
176-11STANSTAN×5AceJordyn Harveyaced Lyla Stewart+0.1
186-12STANSTAN×5Attack errSadie Poeck·
197-12STANWAKEKillCatherine Burkeset Emma Keeping·
208-12WAKEWAKEBlockedLizzy Andrewblk Ryleigh Whitekettle+0.1
218-13WAKESTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks·
228-14STANSTANAceMalyssa Cawaaced Amina Ndiaye·
239-14STANWAKEKillCatherine Burkeset Becca Bellows·
2410-14WAKEWAKEBlockedLogan Parksblk Catherine Burke+0.1
2510-15WAKESTANKillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks·
2611-15STANWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Andrea Roman·
2712-15WAKEWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows+0.1
2812-16WAKESTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks+0.1
2912-17STANSTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks+0.1
3013-17STANWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Becca Bellows·
3113-18WAKESTANKillJulia Blyashovset Logan Parks·
3213-19STANSTANKillElla Andrewsset Logan Parks·
3314-19STANWAKEKillSanaa Williamsset Emma Keeping·
3415-19WAKEWAKEAttack errKaci Demaria·
3515-20WAKESTANServe errLyla Stewart·
3616-20STANWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Emma Keeping·
3716-21WAKESTANKillJordyn Harveyset Logan Parks·
3817-21STANWAKEBlockedKaci Demariablk Catherine Burke, Sadie Poeck·
3917-22WAKESTAN×4KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks·
4017-23STANSTAN×4Attack errAmina Ndiaye·
4117-24STANSTAN×4KillLizzy Andrewset Logan Parks·
4217-25STANSTAN×4BlockedCatherine Burkeblk Lizzy Andrew, Logan Parks·

Score shown after each rally, Wake Forest first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).