N.C. Central at Winthrop

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

NC CEN 3.5%96.5% WINTHR

N.C. Central wins

3-0

0.4%

3-1

0.9%

3-2

2.2%

Winthrop wins

3-0

60.3%

3-1

28.1%

3-2

8.1%

NC CEN break %: 36.4% vs this opp
WINTHR break %: 50.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.