FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026

Winthrop def. N.C. Central 3–0

Winthrop beat visiting N.C. Central 3-0 (25-6, 25-15, 25-23) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. Winthrop's Keara Bowen led with 14 kills, and Addison Torain added 11 digs.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set123Sets
NC CEN615230
WINTHR2525253

Win probability

Winthrop above 50 · N.C. Central below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 119 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Winthrop stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NC CEN 3.0%97.0% WINTHR

N.C. Central wins

3-0
0.3%
3-1
0.8%
3-2
1.9%

Winthrop wins

3-0
62.3%
3-1
27.3%
3-2
7.4%
NC CEN break %
36.3% vs this opp
WINTHR break %
50.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36121.238000300006
35214.214001800216
351034-.147001400005
3216.167001101224
3000–172070010.52.5
31311-.18200010010.51.5
3000–101300000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–100620000
3000–000230000
3000–001100000
Team totals191786.023192536616444
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312229.34513370010.515.5
314324.45800040031.515.5
39216.43800020132.511.5
3316.3333021800216
3228.00010430031.53.5
3011-1.000111500001
33010.300000200003
3001.0005011110000
3001.000001300000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
Team totals431196.33338611452112775

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 NC CEN · WINTHR 15

Set 1

6-25

Longest run 2 NC CENWINTHR 15

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 3 NC CENWINTHR 4

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 NC CENWINTHR 4

Bars above the line = Winthrop leads, below = N.C. Central leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

N.C. Central

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%1/1
0%0/1
2
100%1/1
0%0/1
3
33%1/3
50%1/2
4
100%1/1
0%0/1
5
25%1/4
0%0/1
6
0%0/14
0%0/1
All
21%5/24
14%1/7

Winthrop

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%1/1
100%14/14
2
100%1/1
0%0/1
3
50%1/2
0%0/1
4
100%1/1
67%2/3
5
100%1/1
0%0/1
6
100%1/1
75%3/4
All
86%6/7
79%19/24

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

119 rallies

#NC CEN-WINTHRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1NC CENWINTHRKillKeara Bowenset Lexi Thatcher
21-1WINTHRNC CENServe errWinthrop
31-2NC CENWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher
42-2WINTHRNC CENKillMya Smithset Lusiana Damuni
53-2NC CENNC CENKillAniah Bassset Alex Fuller
63-3NC CENWINTHR×3Serve errN.C. Central
73-4WINTHRWINTHR×3AceWinthropaced Hailey Gibbons
83-5WINTHRWINTHR×3KillLexi Thatcher
94-5WINTHRNC CENKillAniah Bassset Hailey Gibbons
104-6NC CENWINTHRServe errN.C. Central
115-6WINTHRNC CENBlockedTeagan Sychterzblk Morgan Wingo
125-7NC CENWINTHR×4KillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher
135-8WINTHRWINTHR×4KillKeara Bowen
145-9WINTHRWINTHR×4KillKeara Bowenset Lexi Thatcher
155-10WINTHRWINTHR×4AceWinthropaced Isabella Rodriguez
166-10WINTHRNC CENServe errWinthrop
176-11NC CENWINTHR×15Attack errKayla Rileyset Lusiana Damuni
186-12WINTHRWINTHR×15Ball handlingLusiana Damuni
196-13WINTHRWINTHR×15BlockedKayla Rileyblk Keara Bowen, Teagan Sychterz
206-14WINTHRWINTHR×15KillKeara Bowenset Addison Torain
216-15WINTHRWINTHR×15Ball handlingPeyton Jenkins
226-16WINTHRWINTHR×15AceWinthropaced Isabella Rodriguez
236-17WINTHRWINTHR×15BlockedKayla Rileyblk Teagan Sychterz, Keara Bowen
246-18WINTHRWINTHR×15KillTeagan Sychterzset Lexi Thatcher
256-19WINTHRWINTHR×15KillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher
266-20WINTHRWINTHR×15KillKeara Bowenset Lexi Thatcher
276-21WINTHRWINTHR×15KillKeara Bowenset Lexi Thatcher
286-22WINTHRWINTHR×15BlockedKayla Rileyblk Teagan Sychterz, Keara Bowen
296-23WINTHRWINTHR×15KillPaige Bennettset Teagan Sychterz
306-24WINTHRWINTHR×15Attack errPeyton Jenkins
316-25WINTHRWINTHR×15Attack errPeyton Jenkins
Set 2
10-1WINTHRWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher
21-1WINTHRNC CENServe errWinthrop
31-2NC CENWINTHR×4Serve errN.C. Central
41-3WINTHRWINTHR×4KillPaige Bennettset Alyah Cadavid
51-4WINTHRWINTHR×4Attack errAniah Bass
61-5WINTHRWINTHR×4KillKeara Bowenset Lexi Thatcher
72-5WINTHRNC CENServe errWinthrop
82-6NC CENWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher
93-6WINTHRNC CENKillMya Smithset Lusiana Damuni
104-6NC CENNC CENBlockedGiselle Littleblk Morgan Wingo, Lusiana Damuni
114-7NC CENWINTHR×3KillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher
124-8WINTHRWINTHR×3AceWinthropaced Hailey Gibbons
134-9WINTHRWINTHR×3KillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher
145-9WINTHRNC CENServe errWinthrop
155-10NC CENWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher
166-10WINTHRNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Lusiana Damuni
176-11NC CENWINTHRKillTeagan Sychterzset Lexi Thatcher
186-12WINTHRWINTHRKillKeara Bowenset Addison Torain
197-12WINTHRNC CENKillKayla Rileyset Lusiana Damuni
207-13NC CENWINTHRKillKeara Bowenset Lexi Thatcher
218-13WINTHRNC CEN×3Attack errTeagan Sychterzset Lexi Thatcher
229-13NC CENNC CEN×3Attack errKeara Bowen
2310-13NC CENNC CEN×3BlockedPaige Bennettblk Mya Smith, Peyton Jenkins
2410-14NC CENWINTHRKillKeara Bowenset Lexi Thatcher
2511-14WINTHRNC CENKillPeyton Jenkinsset Lusiana Damuni
2611-15NC CENWINTHR×4KillKeara Bowenset Lexi Thatcher
2711-16WINTHRWINTHR×4KillPaige Bennett
2811-17WINTHR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

2911-18WINTHRWINTHR×4KillPaige Bennettset Addison Torain
3012-18WINTHRNC CENKillMya Smithset Lusiana Damuni
3112-19NC CENWINTHRBad setLusiana Damuni
3213-19WINTHRNC CENServe errWinthrop
3313-20NC CENWINTHRBlockedMorgan Wingoblk Giselle Little
3414-20WINTHRNC CENServe errWinthrop
3514-21NC CENWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher
3614-22WINTHRWINTHRAceWinthropaced Isabella Rodriguez
3715-22WINTHRNC CENKillKayla Rileyset Lusiana Damuni
3815-23NC CENWINTHR×3Attack errPeyton Jenkinsset Lusiana Damuni
3915-24WINTHRWINTHR×3Attack errMya Smith
4015-25WINTHRWINTHR×3Attack errKayla Riley
Set 3
11-0NC CENNC CENAceLusiana Damuniaced Addison Torain
22-0NC CENNC CENAttack errPaige Bennett
32-1NC CENWINTHRKillPaige Bennett
43-1WINTHRNC CENServe errWinthrop
53-2NC CENWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher
64-2WINTHRNC CEN×3Serve errWinthrop
75-2NC CENNC CEN×3KillMya Smithset Lusiana Damuni
86-2NC CENNC CEN×3Attack errLexi Thatcher
96-3NC CENWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher
106-4WINTHRWINTHRBlockedKayla Rileyblk Giselle Little, Lexi Thatcher
117-4WINTHRNC CENServe errWinthrop
127-5NC CENWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher
138-5WINTHRNC CENKillKayla Rileyset Lusiana Damuni
148-6NC CENWINTHRKillLexi Thatcher
159-6WINTHRNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Lusiana Damuni
169-7NC CENWINTHRServe errN.C. Central
1710-7WINTHRNC CEN×3KillKayla Rileyset Lusiana Damuni
1811-7NC CENNC CEN×3AceLusiana Damuni
1912-7NC CENNC CEN×3KillMya Smithset Lusiana Damuni
2012-8NC CENWINTHR×3KillKeara Bowenset Addison Torain
2112-9WINTHRWINTHR×3KillKeara Bowenset Lexi Thatcher
2212-10WINTHRWINTHR×3Attack errKayla Riley
2313-10WINTHRNC CENKillAniah Bassset Lusiana Damuni
2413-11NC CENWINTHR×4KillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher
2513-12WINTHRWINTHR×4KillLexi Thatcherset Lexi Thatcher
2613-13WINTHRWINTHR×4BlockedMya Smithblk Paige Bennett, Giselle Little
2713-14WINTHRWINTHR×4Attack errKayla Riley
2814-14WINTHRNC CENAttack errGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher
2915-14NC CEN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

3015-15NC CENWINTHR×3KillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher
3115-16WINTHRWINTHR×3KillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher
3215-17WINTHRWINTHR×3AceWinthrop
3316-17WINTHRNC CENBall handlingGiselle Little
3416-18NC CENWINTHRKillReece Rhoadsset Lexi Thatcher
3516-19WINTHRWINTHRAttack errKayla Riley
3617-19WINTHRNC CENKillKayla Rileyset Lusiana Damuni
3717-20NC CENWINTHRServe errN.C. Central
3818-20WINTHRNC CEN×3KillAniah Bassset Lusiana Damuni
3919-20NC CENNC CEN×3Attack errKeara Bowen
4020-20NC CENNC CEN×3Attack errKeara Bowen
4120-21NC CENWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Lexi Thatcher
4220-22WINTHRWINTHRKillKeara Bowenset Lexi Thatcher
4321-22WINTHRNC CENKillAniah Bassset Lusiana Damuni
4422-22NC CENNC CENKillAniah Bassset Lusiana Damuni
4522-23NC CENWINTHRKillPaige Bennettset Addison Torain
4623-23WINTHRNC CENServe errWinthrop
4723-24NC CENWINTHRKillGiselle Littleset Lexi Thatcher
4823-25WINTHRWINTHRBlockedKayla Rileyblk Giselle Little, Lexi Thatcher

Score shown after each rally, N.C. Central first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).