FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on MEAC Network

N.C. Central def. South Carolina St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: N.C. Central 91.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

N.C. Central beat visiting South Carolina St. 3-0 (25-17, 25-15, 25-19) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. N.C. Central's Aniah Bass led with 9 kills, and Shalyn Bell added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set123Sets
SC ST1715190
NC CEN2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

South Carolina St. never reached 20 in a set against N.C. Central.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.9 points. South Carolina St. peaked at 8% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had N.C. Central at 91%.

South Carolina St.N.C. Central
  • Break %+19.1 pts
    40.459.5

    Points won on own serve: 44 of 74 vs 21 of 52. South Carolina St. sided out 40.5% of the time.

  • Hitting+.248
    .010.258

    41 kills, 16 errors vs 23 kills, 22 errors.

  • Longest run+4
    59

    9 straight N.C. Central points in the third set broke a 3–3 tie and made it 12–3. The set finished 25–19.

N.C. Central above 50South Carolina St. belowMax swing 0.9%

South Carolina St.N.C. Central

Aces
South Carolina St. 3·N.C. Central 11
Serve err
South Carolina St. 1·N.C. Central 8
Blocks
South Carolina St. 10·N.C. Central 71 BS · 18 BA vs 0 BS · 14 BA
Digs
South Carolina St. 37·N.C. Central 50

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

N.C. Central above 50 · South Carolina St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 126 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: N.C. Central stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SC ST 8.7%91.3% NC CEN

South Carolina St. wins

3-0
1.1%
3-1
2.6%
3-2
5.0%

N.C. Central wins

3-0
46.8%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
13.1%
SC ST break %
39.9% vs this opp
NC CEN break %
50.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
34317.05900010010.54.5
3317.28600010031.54.5
32212.000000001224
31111.000100000634
3002.000800300000
3001.000000450000
39829.03400020010.59.5
34516-.06310060052.56.5
3000–220400002
3025-.400910500001
3001.0001001140000
1000–001000000
Team totals2322101.010223137111181051
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39116.5000004004211
36625.000023160010.58.5
36011.545001000428
3000–2340600004
27418.16700160010.57.5
2528.37501020010.56.5
3529.333000200005
3001.000230420003
3001.0001401200000
3000–100510000
1204.50001230010.53.5
1114.000000000212
Team totals411697.25840118503014775

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

South Carolina St. vs N.C. Central

Season series · N.C. Central leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 SC ST · NC CEN 9

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 5 SC STNC CEN 8

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 4 SC STNC CEN 7

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 SC STNC CEN 9

Bars above the line = N.C. Central leads, below = South Carolina St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

South Carolina St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%7/15
44%4/9
2
83%5/6
30%3/10
3
23%5/22
44%4/9
4
56%5/9
62%8/13
5
33%4/12
17%1/6
6
40%4/10
20%1/5
All
41%30/74
40%21/52

N.C. Central

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
68%13/19
2
56%5/9
29%2/7
3
45%5/11
75%15/20
4
56%5/9
38%3/8
5
83%5/6
64%9/14
6
50%4/8
33%2/6
All
60%31/52
59%44/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#SC ST-NC CENSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1NC CENNC CEN×4KillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley
20-2NC CENNC CEN×4KillTalia Emmenset Hailey Gibbons
30-3NC CENNC CEN×4Attack errJessika Martinez
40-4NC CENNC CEN×4AceN.C. Centralaced Ki'ra Wright
51-4NC CENSC STKillKenna Harrisset Ki'ra Wright
62-4SC STSC STAttack errTalia Emmen
72-5SC STNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley
83-5NC CENSC STServe errN.C. Central
94-5SC STSC STKillJessika Martinezset Macey McCoy
104-6SC STNC CEN×8Attack errHedia Lewis
114-7NC CENNC CEN×8AceN.C. Centralaced Ki'ra Wright
124-8NC CENNC CEN×8Attack errJessika Martinez
134-9NC CENNC CEN×8KillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley
144-10NC CENNC CEN×8KillShalyn Bellset Hailey Gibbons
154-11NC CENNC CEN×8Attack errDe'Oni McPhearson
164-12NC CENNC CEN×8Attack errHedia Lewis
174-13NC CENNC CEN×8KillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley
185-13NC CENSC ST×5BlockedShalyn Bellblk De'Oni McPhearson, Hedia Lewis
196-13SC STSC ST×5KillCarra Pierre-Louisset Macey McCoy
207-13SC STSC ST×5KillHedia Lewis
218-13SC STSC ST×5KillCarra Pierre-Louisset Hedia Lewis
229-13SC STSC ST×5AceSouth Carolina St.aced Jayla Egerton
239-14SC STNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley
249-15NC CENNC CENAttack errHedia Lewis
2510-15NC CENSC STKillDe'Oni McPhearsonset Macey McCoy
2610-16SC STNC CEN×6KillAllyson Rouseset Lusiana Damuni
2710-17NC CENNC CEN×6Attack errCarra Pierre-Louis
2810-18NC CENNC CEN×6Attack errHedia Lewis
2910-19NC CENNC CEN×6AceN.C. Centralaced Ki'ra Wright
3010-20NC CENNC CEN×6Attack errCarra Pierre-Louis
3110-21NC CENNC CEN×6BlockedHedia Lewisblk Allyson Rouse, Talia Emmen
3211-21NC CENSC STServe errN.C. Central
3312-21SC STSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Arianna James
3412-22SC STNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Lusiana Damuni
3513-22NC CENSC ST×4KillCarra Pierre-Louisset Arianna James
3614-22SC STSC ST×4BlockedKayla Rileyblk Jade Robinson, Jessika Martinez
3715-22SC STSC ST×4BlockedTalia Emmenblk Kenna Harris
3816-22SC STSC ST×4Attack errMorgan Wingo
3916-23SC STNC CENKillKayla Rileyset Lusiana Damuni
4016-24NC CENNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley
4117-24NC CENSC STAttack errMorgan Wingo
4217-25SC STNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley
Set 2
10-1SC STNC CENAttack errKenna Harris
20-2NC CENNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley
31-2NC CENSC STBlockedShalyn Bellblk De'Oni McPhearson, Kenna Harris
41-3SC STNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley
52-3NC CENSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Arianna James
63-3SC STSC STBlockedShalyn Bellblk Jade Robinson, Kenna Harris
73-4SC STNC CEN×3Attack errCarra Pierre-Louis
83-5NC CENNC CEN×3KillShalyn Bellset Lusiana Damuni
93-6NC CENNC CEN×3BlockedKenna Harrisblk Shalyn Bell, Allyson Rouse
104-6NC CENSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Arianna James
114-7SC STNC CEN×3KillAllyson Rouseset Lusiana Damuni
124-8NC CENNC CEN×3KillTalia Emmenset Jayla Egerton
134-9NC CENNC CEN×3Attack errJade Robinson
145-9NC CENSC STBlockedTalia Emmenblk Jade Robinson, Hedia Lewis
155-10SC STNC CENKillKayla Rileyset Lusiana Damuni
165-11NC CENNC CENAttack errMacey McCoy
176-11NC CENSC STBad setLusiana Damuni
186-12SC STNC CEN×7KillMorgan Wingoset Lusiana Damuni
196-13NC CENNC CEN×7AceN.C. Centralaced Jayden Mathis
206-14NC CENNC CEN×7AceN.C. Centralaced Jayden Mathis
216-15NC CENNC CEN×7KillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley
226-16NC CENNC CEN×7BlockedJessika Martinezblk Morgan Wingo, Aniah Bass
236-17NC CENNC CEN×7KillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley
246-18NC CENNC CEN×7KillTalia Emmenset Breylan Fairley
257-18NC CENSC STKillDe'Oni McPhearsonset Macey McCoy
267-19SC STNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley
278-19NC CENSC STKillJessika Martinezset Arianna James
289-19SC STSC STAceSouth Carolina St.aced Hailey Gibbons
299-20SC STNC CENKillMorgan Wingoset Breylan Fairley
3010-20NC CENSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Chloe Neal
3110-21SC STNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley
3211-21NC CENSC ST×4KillJade Robinsonset Arianna James
3312-21SC STSC ST×4KillHedia Lewisset Macey McCoy
3413-21SC STSC ST×4BlockedShalyn Bellblk Jade Robinson, Hedia Lewis
3514-21SC STSC ST×4BlockedShalyn Bellblk Jade Robinson, Hedia Lewis
3614-22SC STNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Lusiana Damuni
3714-23NC CENNC CENAttack errCarra Pierre-Louis
3815-23NC CENSC STAttack errTalia Emmen
3915-24SC STNC CENKillKayla Rileyset Lusiana Damuni
4015-25NC CENNC CENKillTalia Emmenset Lusiana Damuni
Set 3
10-1NC CENNC CENBlockedCarra Pierre-Louisblk Peyton Jenkins, Aniah Bass
21-1NC CENSC STKillDe'Oni McPhearsonset Arianna James
32-1SC STSC STAttack errPeyton Jenkins
42-2SC STNC CENKillTabitha Newlinset Breylan Fairley
52-3NC CENNC CENAceN.C. Centralaced Jayden Mathis
63-3NC CENSC STServe errN.C. Central
73-4SC STNC CEN×9KillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley
83-5NC CENNC CEN×9BlockedCarra Pierre-Louisblk Allyson Rouse, Aniah Bass
93-6NC CENNC CEN×9KillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley
103-7NC CENNC CEN×9AceN.C. Centralaced Jayden Mathis
113-8NC CENNC CEN×9BlockedCarra Pierre-Louisblk Allyson Rouse, Aniah Bass
123-9NC CENNC CEN×9AceN.C. Centralaced Jayden Mathis
133-10NC CENNC CEN×9KillAllyson Rouseset Breylan Fairley
143-11NC CENNC CEN×9Attack errMacey McCoy
153-12NC CENNC CEN×9AceN.C. Central
164-12NC CENSC STKillCarra Pierre-Louisset Macey McCoy
174-13SC STNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Breylan Fairley
185-13NC CENSC STServe errN.C. Central
195-14SC STNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Lusiana Damuni
205-15NC CENNC CENAceN.C. Centralaced Ki'ra Wright
216-15NC CENSC STServe errN.C. Central
226-16SC STNC CENKillTabitha Newlinset Lusiana Damuni
237-16NC CENSC STKillJessika Martinezset Chloe Neal
247-17SC STNC CENKillKayla Rileyset Lusiana Damuni
257-18NC CENNC CENAceN.C. Central
268-18NC CENSC STKillKenna Harrisset Arianna James
278-19SC STNC CENKillPeyton Jenkinsset Breylan Fairley
289-19NC CENSC ST×3Serve errN.C. Central
2910-19SC STSC ST×3AceSouth Carolina St.aced Hailey Gibbons
3011-19SC STSC ST×3KillCarra Pierre-Louisset Macey McCoy
3111-20SC STNC CENKillShalyn Bellset Breylan Fairley
3212-20NC CENSC STBlockedShalyn Bellblk Hedia Lewis, Jade Robinson
3313-20SC STSC STKillJessika Martinezset Macey McCoy
3413-21SC STNC CENKillAniah Bassset Breylan Fairley
3514-21NC CENSC STKillHedia Lewisset Macey McCoy
3615-21SC STSC STKillHedia Lewisset Jade Robinson
3715-22SC STNC CENKillAllyson Rouseset Lusiana Damuni
3816-22NC CENSC STServe errN.C. Central
3916-23SC STNC CENKillKayla Rileyset Lusiana Damuni
4017-23NC CENSC STServe errN.C. Central
4118-23SC STSC STAttack errKayla Riley
4218-24SC STNC CENServe errAutumn Culbreath
4319-24NC CENSC STAttack errAniah Bass
4419-25SC STNC CENBlockedCarra Pierre-Louisblk Peyton Jenkins, Tabitha Newlin

Score shown after each rally, South Carolina St. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).