FinalMon, Oct 19, 2026

Texas Southern def. Ark.-Pine Bluff 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Texas Southern 86.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 19, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Texas Southern won at Ark.-Pine Bluff 3-0 (25-22, 26-24, 25-17) on Mon, Oct 19, 2026. Texas Southern's Lauren Battle led with 12 kills, and Keagan St. Junious added 11 digs.

Data through · final Oct 19

Set123Sets
TX SOU2526253
ARK PB2224170

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Texas Southern swept Ark.-Pine Bluff without a set decided by more than eight.

No single rally moved win probability more than 4.8 points. Ark.-Pine Bluff peaked at 17% in Set 2. These are the numbers behind it. Texas Southern went in as RallyIQ's 87% pick.

Texas SouthernArk.-Pine Bluff
  • Break %+10.9 pts
    45.334.4

    34 of 75 on serve vs 22 of 64, so Ark.-Pine Bluff's sideout was 54.7%.

Ark.-Pine Bluff above 50Texas Southern belowMax swing 4.8%

Texas SouthernArk.-Pine Bluff

Hitting
Texas Southern .226·Ark.-Pine Bluff .171
Aces
Texas Southern 4·Ark.-Pine Bluff 3
Serve err
Texas Southern 5·Ark.-Pine Bluff 6
Blocks
Texas Southern 3·Ark.-Pine Bluff 81 BS · 4 BA vs 8 BS · 0 BA
Digs
Texas Southern 49·Ark.-Pine Bluff 49

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Ark.-Pine Bluff above 50 · Texas Southern below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+4.8% TX SOUrally 139 · set 3

Biggest swing: 4.8% to Texas Southern — set 2, TX SOU 24-24 ARK PB. Attack error by Marlina Anderson. ARK PB win probability 14% → 10%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TX SOU 86.4%13.6% ARK PB

Texas Southern wins

3-0
38.9%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
15.9%

Ark.-Pine Bluff wins

3-0
2.0%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
7.3%
TX SOU break %
51.2% vs this opp
ARK PB break %
42.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Marlina AndersonAttack error+4.8%

    Attack error by Marlina Anderson

    Set 2 · TX SOU 24-24 ARK PB · TX SOU 86% → 90%

  2. 02
    Ngozi NwosuAttack error+4.0%

    Attack error by Ngozi Nwosu

    Set 2 · TX SOU 25-24 ARK PB · TX SOU 90% → 94%

  3. 03
    Lacey KusnierAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Lacey Kusnier

    Set 2 · TX SOU 22-24 ARK PB · ARK PB 13% → 17%

  4. 04

    Kill by Aliyah Spencer (set by London King)

    Set 2 · TX SOU 26-24 ARK PB · TX SOU 94% → 98%

  5. 05

    Kill by Zuzanna Zietek (set by Kinsley Hooper)

    Set 2 · TX SOU 21-23 ARK PB · ARK PB 12% → 15%

  6. 06
    Haley ReevesKill+2.9%

    Kill by Haley Reeves (set by London King)

    Set 1 · TX SOU 20-20 ARK PB · ARK PB 13% → 16%

  7. 07
    Ngozi NwosuBlock+2.8%

    Emory Harper stuffed by Ngozi Nwosu

    Set 2 · TX SOU 20-22 ARK PB · ARK PB 11% → 14%

  8. 08
    Emory HarperKill+2.8%

    Kill by Emory Harper (set by Kadence Davison)

    Set 1 · TX SOU 23-21 ARK PB · TX SOU 87% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312430.26720010000012
38225.24002150010.510.5
39525.160000400009
3418.37501140111.56.5
3002.0001612400001
2205.400000000002
3203.6671400100002
3004.0006011100000
2517.57100000010.55.5
22210.000200300002
2000–100700000
1125-.20000000010.51.5
Team totals4517124.226414549314376
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39224.2921108110111
34212.167100304048
35520.000013401017
37215.333100200007
32310-.100000102024
3207.2861512600003
36220.200100100006
3103.3331001700001
3003.000400900000
3012-.500000710000
11011.000000100001
1000–300000000
Team totals3717117.171363649480863

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Texas Southern vs Ark.-Pine Bluff

Season series · Texas Southern leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 TX SOU · ARK PB 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 3 TX SOUARK PB 3

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 4 TX SOUARK PB 5

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 4 TX SOUARK PB 3

Bars above the line = Ark.-Pine Bluff leads, below = Texas Southern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Texas Southern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
53%8/15
2
50%8/16
38%5/13
3
100%7/7
13%1/8
4
88%7/8
56%9/16
5
55%6/11
57%8/14
6
86%6/7
33%3/9
All
66%42/64
45%34/75

Ark.-Pine Bluff

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
42%5/12
2
62%8/13
50%8/16
3
64%7/11
27%3/11
4
35%6/17
0%0/7
5
60%6/10
14%1/7
6
67%6/9
45%5/11
All
55%41/75
34%22/64

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#TX SOU-ARK PBSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TX SOUTX SOUKillLacey Kusnierset Lauren Battle+1.1
21-1TX SOUARK PBKillMartyna Lubowiczset Zuzanna Zietek+1.1
31-2ARK PBARK PBKillZuzanna Zietekset Martyna Lubowicz+1.3
42-2ARK PBTX SOUKillLacey Kusnierset Lauren Battle+1.1
53-2TX SOUTX SOUKillLacey Kusnierset Keagan St. Junious+1.2
63-3TX SOUARK PBServe errTexas Southern+1.2
73-4ARK PBARK PBKillZuzanna Zietekset Martyna Lubowicz+1.4
84-4ARK PBTX SOUKillEmory Harperset Keldri Young+1.2
94-5TX SOUARK PBKillMartyna Lubowiczset Kinsley Hooper+1.3
105-5ARK PBTX SOU×3KillEmory Harperset Kadence Davison+1.2
116-5TX SOUTX SOU×3BlockedKennedy Adamsblk Gracie Lee, Aaliyah Brown+1.3
127-5TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errKennedy Adams+1.2
137-6TX SOUARK PBKillHaley Reevesset Martyna Lubowicz+1.1
147-7ARK PBARK PBAttack errGracie Lee+1.4
158-7ARK PBTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kennedi Walker+1.2
169-7TX SOUTX SOUAttack errMarlina Anderson+1.3
179-8TX SOUARK PBAttack errGracie Lee+1.2
1810-8ARK PBTX SOUServe errNgozi Nwosu+1.2
1911-8TX SOUTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Kennedi Walker+1.2
2011-9TX SOUARK PBKillKennedy Adamsset London King+1.0
2112-9ARK PBTX SOU×3Bad setLondon King+1.1
2213-9TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errAshanti Butler+1.0
2314-9TX SOUTX SOU×3KillEmory Harperset Kadence Davison+0.8
2414-10TX SOUARK PB×3Serve errTexas Southern+0.7
2514-11ARK PBARK PB×3KillZuzanna Zietekset Martyna Lubowicz+1.0
2614-12ARK PBARK PB×3KillHaley Reevesset Martyna Lubowicz+1.3
2715-12ARK PBTX SOUKillEmory Harperset Kadence Davison+1.2
2815-13TX SOUARK PBKillZuzanna Zietekset Martyna Lubowicz+1.2
2916-13ARK PBTX SOUKillEmory Harperset Kadence Davison+1.3
3016-14TX SOUARK PBKillNgozi Nwosuset Martyna Lubowicz+1.2
3117-14ARK PBTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kadence Davison+1.3
3218-14TX SOUTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kadence Davison+1.2
3318-15TX SOUARK PBKillNgozi Nwosuset Martyna Lubowicz+0.9
3419-15ARK PBTX SOUKillGracie Leeset Kennedi Walker+1.1
3519-16TX SOUARK PB×3KillMarlina Andersonset London King+0.9
3619-17ARK PBARK PB×3KillLondon Kingset Marlina Anderson+1.5
3719-18ARK PBARK PB×3AceNgozi Nwosu+2.0
3820-18ARK PBTX SOUServe errNgozi Nwosu+2.0
3920-19TX SOUARK PBKillHaley Reevesset London King+2.0
4020-20ARK PBARK PBKillHaley Reevesset London King+2.9
4121-20ARK PBTX SOUKillMorgynne McQueenset Kennedi Walker+2.7
4222-20TX SOUTX SOUKillEmory Harperset Kadence Davison+2.8
4322-21TX SOUARK PBKillHaley Reevesset London King+2.2
4423-21ARK PBTX SOUKillEmory Harperset Kadence Davison+2.8
4524-21TX SOUTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Keagan St. Junious+2.2
4624-22TX SOUARK PBKillAshanti Butlerset Martyna Lubowicz+0.9
4725-22ARK PBTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kadence Davison+1.8
Set 2
11-0ARK PBTX SOUKillAliyah Spencerset Kadence Davison+0.7
21-1TX SOUARK PB×3KillAshanti Butlerset Martyna Lubowicz+0.8
31-2ARK PBARK PB×3AceHaley Reeves+1.0
41-3ARK PBARK PB×3Attack errEmory Harper+1.1
52-3ARK PBTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kadence Davison+0.9
62-4TX SOUARK PBBlockedAaliyah Brownblk Ashanti Butler+1.0
73-4ARK PBTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kennedi Walker+0.9
83-5TX SOUARK PBBlockedAva Houstonblk Kennedy Adams+1.0
94-5ARK PBTX SOU×3KillLacey Kusnierset Kennedi Walker+0.9
105-5TX SOUTX SOU×3Bad setKinsley Hooper+1.0
116-5TX SOUTX SOU×3Attack errNgozi Nwosu+0.9
126-6TX SOUARK PBKillMarlina Andersonset London King+0.9
137-6ARK PBTX SOUKillKennedi Walkerset Keagan St. Junious+0.9
147-7TX SOUARK PBAttack errLacey Kusnier+0.9
158-7ARK PBTX SOUAttack errJnireah Henry+0.9
169-7TX SOUTX SOUAceLacey Kusnieraced Jnireah Henry+0.9
179-8TX SOUARK PB×5BlockedAliyah Spencerblk Ashanti Butler+0.9
189-9ARK PBARK PB×5AceMartyna Lubowicz+1.1
199-10ARK PBARK PB×5BlockedEmory Harperblk Haley Reeves+1.3
209-11ARK PBARK PB×5Attack errEmory Harper+1.4
219-12ARK PBARK PB×5KillHaley Reevesset Ashanti Butler+1.5
2210-12ARK PBTX SOUKillAliyah Spencerset Kadence Davison+1.1
2310-13TX SOUARK PBServe errTexas Southern+1.4
2410-14ARK PBARK PBKillNgozi Nwosuset Martyna Lubowicz+1.5
2511-14ARK PBTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kadence Davison+1.1
2611-15TX SOUARK PBAttack errLauren Battle+1.4
2712-15ARK PBTX SOU×4KillAva Houstonset Kennedi Walker+1.1
2813-15TX SOUTX SOU×4KillLacey Kusnierset Keagan St. Junious+1.4
2914-15TX SOUTX SOU×4KillAaliyah Brownset Keagan St. Junious+1.5
3015-15TX SOUTX SOU×4Attack errZuzanna Zietek+1.5
3115-16TX SOUARK PBKillNgozi Nwosuset Martyna Lubowicz+1.5
3216-16ARK PBTX SOUKillLacey Kusnierset Ava Houston+1.4
3316-17TX SOUARK PBKillMarlina Andersonset Kinsley Hooper+1.6
3417-17ARK PBTX SOUAttack errHaley Reeves+1.5
3518-17TX SOUTX SOUKillAliyah Spencerset Kadence Davison+1.6
3618-18TX SOUARK PBKillMarlina Andersonset Haley Reeves+1.6
3719-18ARK PBTX SOUKillEmory Harperset Kadence Davison+1.6
3819-19TX SOUARK PBKillHaley Reevesset London King+1.7
3920-19ARK PBTX SOUKillEmory Harperset Kadence Davison+1.7
4020-20TX SOUARK PB×3Attack errLauren Battle+1.9
4120-21ARK PBARK PB×3KillZuzanna Zietekset Kinsley Hooper+2.6
4220-22ARK PBARK PB×3BlockedEmory Harperblk Ngozi Nwosu+2.8
4321-22ARK PBTX SOUBlockedNgozi Nwosublk Aaliyah Brown+2.0
4421-23TX SOUARK PBKillZuzanna Zietekset Kinsley Hooper+3.0
4522-23ARK PBTX SOUKillKennedi Walkerset Ava Houston+2.2
4622-24TX SOUARK PBAttack errLacey Kusnier+3.6
4723-24ARK PBTX SOU×4Serve errMartyna Lubowicz+2.2
4824-24TX SOUTX SOU×4Attack errMarlina Anderson+4.8
4925-24TX SOUTX SOU×4Attack errNgozi Nwosu+4.0
5026-24TX SOUTX SOU×4KillAliyah Spencerset London King+3.3
Set 3
10-1TX SOUARK PBServe errTexas Southern+0.4
21-1ARK PBTX SOUServe errMartyna Lubowicz+0.4
31-2TX SOUARK PBKillAshanti Butlerset Martyna Lubowicz+0.4
42-2ARK PBTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kadence Davison+0.4
53-2TX SOUTX SOUAceAaliyah Brownaced Haley Reeves+0.4
63-3TX SOUARK PBServe errTexas Southern+0.4
74-3ARK PBTX SOUAttack errNgozi Nwosu+0.4
85-3TX SOUTX SOUAttack errNgozi Nwosu+0.4
95-4TX SOUARK PBBad setAva Houston+0.4
106-4ARK PBTX SOUKillLauren Battleset Kennedi Walker+0.4
116-5TX SOUARK PBKillNgozi Nwosuset London King+0.4
126-6ARK PBARK PBBlockedAva Houstonblk Kennedy Adams+0.5
137-6ARK PBTX SOUServe errNgozi Nwosu+0.4
147-7TX SOUARK PBKillMarlina Andersonset London King+0.5
158-7ARK PBTX SOUKillLacey Kusnierset Kennedi Walker+0.4
168-8TX SOUARK PBKillHaley Reevesset London King+0.5
179-8ARK PBTX SOU×4Bad setMartyna Lubowicz+0.4
1810-8TX SOUTX SOU×4Attack errHaley Reeves+0.5
1911-8TX SOUTX SOU×4Attack errAshanti Butler+0.4
2012-8TX SOUTX SOU×4AceLacey Kusnier+0.3
2112-9TX SOUARK PB×3KillAshanti Butlerset Martyna Lubowicz+0.3
2212-10ARK PBARK PB×3BlockedEmory Harperblk Ashanti Butler+0.4
2312-11ARK PBARK PB×3Attack errLauren Battle+0.5
2413-11ARK PBTX SOUBad setHaley Reeves+0.5
2513-12TX SOUARK PBBlockedLauren Battleblk Ashanti Butler+0.5
2614-12ARK PBTX SOU×3Attack errZuzanna Zietek+0.5
2715-12TX SOUTX SOU×3KillLauren Battleset Kennedi Walker+0.5
2816-12TX SOUTX SOU×3KillAliyah Spencerset Kennedi Walker+0.4
2916-13TX SOUARK PBKillZuzanna Zietekset Martyna Lubowicz+0.3
3017-13ARK PBTX SOU×3Serve errLondon King+0.3
3118-13TX SOUTX SOU×3BlockedKennedy Adamsblk Lacey Kusnier, Aliyah Spencer+0.3
3219-13TX SOUTX SOU×3KillLauren Battleset Kennedi Walker+0.2
3319-14TX SOUARK PB×3KillKarli Gloverset Ava Miller+0.1
3419-15ARK PBARK PB×3KillKennedy Adams+0.2
3519-16ARK PBARK PB×3KillHaley Reevesset Ava Miller+0.3
3620-16ARK PBTX SOUKillAva Houstonset Kennedi Walker+0.4
3721-16TX SOUTX SOUKillAaliyah Brown+0.3
3821-17TX SOUARK PBKillMarlina Andersonset Ava Miller+0.2
3922-17ARK PBTX SOU×4KillAaliyah Brownset Kennedi Walker+0.2
4023-17TX SOUTX SOU×4KillAaliyah Brownset Kadence Davison+0.1
4124-17TX SOUTX SOU×4KillLacey Kusnierset Keagan St. Junious+0.1
4225-17TX SOUTX SOU×4AceKadence Davison·

Score shown after each rally, Texas Southern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).