Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 23, 2026

Alabama St. def. Ark.-Pine Bluff 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Alabama St. 89.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Alabama St. won at Ark.-Pine Bluff 3-1 (25-21, 25-18, 23-25, 25-19) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Kaylen Hines led Alabama St. with 13 kills; Ark.-Pine Bluff's Karli Glover had a match-high 17.

Data through · final Oct 23

Set1234Sets
ALA ST252523253
ARK PB211825191

Match story · written from the play-by-play

On its own serve, Alabama St. won 53 of 97 points.

Win probability never moved more than 2.2 points on one rally; Ark.-Pine Bluff topped out at 13% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Alabama St. 89% before first serve.

Alabama St.Ark.-Pine Bluff
  • Break %+8.2 pts
    54.646.4

    Points won on own serve: 53 of 97 vs 39 of 84. Ark.-Pine Bluff sided out 45.4% of the time.

Ark.-Pine Bluff above 50Alabama St. belowMax swing 2.2%

Alabama St.Ark.-Pine Bluff

Hitting
Alabama St. .212·Ark.-Pine Bluff .143
Aces
Alabama St. 10·Ark.-Pine Bluff 6
Serve err
Alabama St. 6·Ark.-Pine Bluff 7
Blocks
Alabama St. 5·Ark.-Pine Bluff 104 BS · 2 BA vs 9 BS · 2 BA
Digs
Alabama St. 74·Ark.-Pine Bluff 71

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Ark.-Pine Bluff above 50 · Alabama St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.2% ARK PBrally 181 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.2% to Ark.-Pine Bluff — set 3, ALA ST 23-25 ARK PB. Kill by Ngozi Nwosu (set by London King). ARK PB win probability 5% → 7%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ALA ST 85.0%15.0% ARK PB

Alabama St. wins

3-0
37.2%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
16.5%

Ark.-Pine Bluff wins

3-0
2.2%
3-1
4.8%
3-2
8.0%
ALA ST break %
51.0% vs this opp
ARK PB break %
42.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ngozi NwosuKill+2.2%

    Kill by Ngozi Nwosu (set by London King)

    Set 3 · ALA ST 23-25 ARK PB · ARK PB 5% → 7%

  2. 02

    Kill by Ashanti Butler (set by London King)

    Set 4 · ALA ST 8-9 ARK PB · ARK PB 8% → 10%

  3. 03
    Alabama St.Service error+1.8%

    Alabama St. service error

    Set 4 · ALA ST 10-9 ARK PB · ALA ST 91% → 93%

  4. 04
    Ark.-Pine BluffAce+1.8%

    Ark.-Pine Bluff ace on Mikalah Davis

    Set 4 · ALA ST 8-8 ARK PB · ARK PB 6% → 8%

  5. 05
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+1.7%

    Point Ark.-Pine Bluff (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 4 · ALA ST 10-10 ARK PB · ARK PB 7% → 9%

  6. 06
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+1.7%

    Point Alabama St. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 4 · ALA ST 12-10 ARK PB · ALA ST 93% → 95%

  7. 07
    Ark.-Pine BluffService error+1.7%

    Ark.-Pine Bluff service error

    Set 4 · ALA ST 9-9 ARK PB · ALA ST 90% → 91%

  8. 08
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+1.6%

    Point Alabama St. (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 4 · ALA ST 11-10 ARK PB · ALA ST 91% → 93%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413530.26702160111.516.5
410625.16041219000011
48117.41200010212.510.5
48222.273000500008
46322.136101310006
42012.1674531800005
47420.150000001018
4006.0002401800004
4000–1001200000
3002.000001200000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5421156.2125310674642598
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411421.33301070515.517.5
46214.28601110313.510.5
45516.000000300005
4206.3332010100003
32311-.091100000002
3003.0001001300000
417542.2861006000017
44318.056000001015
41316-.125114600002
4005.0002111800001
4012-.5002111900001
3000–000730000
Team totals4826154.14347677110921083

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 ALA ST · ARK PB 7

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 6 ALA STARK PB 4

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 7 ALA STARK PB 4

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 ALA STARK PB 7

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 9 ALA STARK PB 5

Bars above the line = Ark.-Pine Bluff leads, below = Alabama St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Alabama St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%3/4
33%1/3
2
33%3/9
40%2/5
3
100%2/2
75%6/8
4
67%2/3
0%0/2
5
100%2/2
50%2/4
6
100%2/2
0%0/2
All
64%14/22
46%11/24

Ark.-Pine Bluff

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%3/5
25%1/4
2
25%2/8
67%6/9
3
100%2/2
0%0/2
4
50%2/4
33%1/3
5
100%2/2
0%0/2
6
67%2/3
0%0/2
All
54%13/24
36%8/22

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (1 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

181 rallies

#ALA ST-ARK PBSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ARK PBALA ST×3Attack errHaley Reeves+0.8
22-0ALA STALA ST×3KillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.9
33-0ALA STALA ST×3KillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+0.8
43-1ALA STARK PB×4KillAshanti Butlerset Martyna Lubowicz+0.7
53-2ARK PBARK PB×4KillAshanti Butlerset Martyna Lubowicz+1.0
63-3ARK PBARK PB×4AceArk.-Pine Bluff+1.1
73-4ARK PBARK PB×4Attack errKaylen Hines+1.3
84-4ARK PBALA ST×6KillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+1.0
95-4ALA STALA ST×6KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+1.1
106-4ALA STALA ST×6Attack errAshanti Butler+1.0
117-4ALA STALA ST×6Attack errHaley Reeves+0.9
128-4ALA STALA ST×6Attack errZuzanna Zietek+0.7
139-4ALA STALA ST×6KillTaylor Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+0.6
149-5ALA STARK PBServe errAlabama St.+0.5
1510-5ARK PBALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.5
1610-6ALA STARK PBKillHaley Reevesset Martyna Lubowicz+0.5
1711-6ARK PBALA STKillTaylor Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+0.6
1812-6ALA STALA STAttack errNgozi Nwosu+0.5
1912-7ALA STARK PBKillMartyna Lubowiczset Haley Reeves+0.4
2013-7ARK PBALA STServe errArk.-Pine Bluff+0.4
2113-8ALA STARK PBAttack errMikalah Davis+0.4
2214-8ARK PBALA STServe errArk.-Pine Bluff+0.4
2315-8ALA STALA STKillKamrynn Clayset Emani Green+0.4
2415-9ALA STARK PBAttack errLyric Edwards+0.3
2515-10ARK PBARK PBKillAshanti Butlerset London King+0.4
2616-10ARK PBALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.4
2716-11ALA STARK PBKillKennedy Adamsset London King+0.4
2817-11ARK PBALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Taylor Williams+0.4
2918-11ALA STALA STAceKaylen Hines+0.3
3018-12ALA STARK PBServe errKaylen Hines+0.2
3119-12ARK PBALA STKillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+0.3
3219-13ALA STARK PBKillAshanti Butlerset Martyna Lubowicz+0.2
3319-14ARK PBARK PBAceArk.-Pine Bluff+0.3
3420-14ARK PBALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.4
3521-14ALA STALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.3
3621-15ALA STARK PBKillAshanti Butlerset Martyna Lubowicz+0.1
3722-15ARK PBALA STKillTaylor Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+0.2
3822-16ALA STARK PBKillZuzanna Zietekset Martyna Lubowicz+0.1
3923-16ARK PBALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+0.2
4023-17ALA STARK PBKillMarlina Andersonset Karli Glover+0.1
4124-17ARK PBALA STServe errArk.-Pine Bluff+0.1
4224-18ALA STARK PB×4KillKarli Gloverset London King·
4324-19ARK PBARK PB×4Attack errMikalah Davis+0.1
4424-20ARK PBARK PB×4KillKarli Gloverset London King+0.2
4524-21ARK PBARK PB×4KillMarlina Andersonset London King+0.4
4625-21ARK PBALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay+0.6
Set 2
11-0ALA STALA ST×3KillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay+0.7
22-0ALA STALA ST×3Attack errKinsley Hooper+0.6
33-0ALA STALA ST×3Attack errAshanti Butler+0.5
43-1ALA STARK PBKillKarli Gloverset Martyna Lubowicz+0.5
54-1ARK PBALA STKillTaylor Williamsset Mirra Riddle+0.5
64-2ALA STARK PBBlockedKaylen Hinesblk Ashanti Butler+0.5
75-2ARK PBALA STServe errArk.-Pine Bluff+0.5
86-2ALA STALA STBlockedKennedy Adamsblk Alexis Williams+0.5
96-3ALA STARK PBKillZuzanna Zietekset Martyna Lubowicz+0.4
106-4ARK PBARK PBAttack errAlexis Williams+0.6
117-4ARK PBALA STKillTaylor Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+0.5
128-4ALA STALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+0.5
138-5ALA STARK PBKillMarlina Andersonset London King+0.4
149-5ARK PBALA ST×7Serve errArk.-Pine Bluff+0.5
1510-5ALA STALA ST×7KillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.4
1611-5ALA STALA ST×7KillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.3
1712-5ALA STALA ST×7Attack errMarlina Anderson+0.3
1813-5ALA STALA ST×7AceMirra Riddle+0.2
1914-5ALA STALA ST×7Attack errKarli Glover+0.1
2015-5ALA STALA ST×7AceMirra Riddle+0.1
2115-6ALA STARK PB×3KillKarli Gloverset London King·
2215-7ARK PBARK PB×3KillAshanti Butlerset London King+0.1
2315-8ARK PBARK PB×3Attack errAmaya Robinson+0.1
2416-8ARK PBALA ST×3KillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
2517-8ALA STALA ST×3AceKamrynn Clayaced Desiree Kepler+0.1
2618-8ALA STALA ST×3AceKamrynn Clay+0.1
2718-9ALA STARK PBBlockedKaylen Hinesblk Ashanti Butler·
2819-9ARK PBALA STKillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay·
2920-9ALA STALA STKillTaylor Williamsset Kamrynn Clay·
3020-10ALA STARK PBServe errAlabama St.·
3120-11ARK PBARK PBKillKarli Gloverset Martyna Lubowicz·
3221-11ARK PBALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay·
3321-12ALA STARK PBKillZuzanna Zietekset Ngozi Nwosu·
3421-13ARK PBARK PBBlockedKaylen Hinesblk Ashanti Butler·
3522-13ARK PBALA STKillAmaya Robinson·
3623-13ALA STALA STAttack errHaley Reeves·
3723-14ALA STARK PB×4KillAshanti Butlerset Martyna Lubowicz·
3823-15ARK PBARK PB×4Attack errKaylen Hines·
3923-16ARK PBARK PB×4AceArk.-Pine Bluff·
4023-17ARK PB
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
4124-17ARK PBALA STKillKaylen Hines+0.1
42–4325-18ALA ST · ARK PB
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
Set 3
10-1ARK PB
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
21-1ARK PBALA ST×3KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.3
32-1ALA STALA ST×3KillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+0.3
43-1ALA STALA ST×3AceAlabama St.+0.3
5–64-2ALA ST · ARK PB
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
75-2ALA STALA ST×3Attack errKennedy Adams+0.3
86-2ALA STALA ST×3KillTaylor Williams+0.2
96-3ALA STARK PBKillAshanti Butlerset Martyna Lubowicz+0.2
10–117-4ALA ST · ARK PB
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
128-4ALA STALA STKillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+0.2
138-5ALA STARK PBServe errAlabama St.+0.2
149-5ALA ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.2
1510-5ALA STALA ST×3Attack errKarli Glover+0.2
1611-5ALA STALA ST×3AceAlabama St.+0.2
1711-6ALA STARK PBKillAshanti Butlerset London King+0.1
1812-6ARK PBALA STKillTaylor Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
1912-7ALA STARK PBAttack errTaylor Williams+0.1
2013-7ARK PBALA STServe errArk.-Pine Bluff+0.1
2114-7ALA STALA STKillAmaya Robinson+0.1
2214-8ARK PB
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
2315-8ARK PBALA ST×3KillKamrynn Clayset Taylor Williams+0.1
2416-8ALA ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
2517-8ALA STALA ST×3KillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay·
2617-9ALA STARK PBKillKarli Gloverset London King·
2718-9ARK PBALA STAttack errZuzanna Zietek·
2818-10ALA STARK PB×7KillAshanti Butlerset Martyna Lubowicz·
29–3118-13ARK PB 3
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
3218-14ARK PBARK PB×7KillKarli Gloverset Kinsley Hooper+0.2
3318-15ARK PBARK PB×7Attack errTaylor Williams+0.3
3418-16ARK PB
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
3519-16ARK PBALA STAttack errKarli Glover+0.4
3620-16ALA STALA STBlockedAshanti Butlerblk Alexis Williams, Kaylen Hines+0.4
3720-17ALA STARK PBKillKarli Gloverset Martyna Lubowicz+0.2
3821-17ARK PBALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+0.3
3921-18ALA STARK PB×6KillKarli Gloverset Martyna Lubowicz+0.2
4021-19ARK PB
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
4121-20ARK PBARK PB×6KillKennedy Adamsset London King+0.7
4221-21ARK PBARK PB×6BlockedTaylor Williamsblk Marlina Anderson+1.0
4321-22ARK PBARK PB×6KillKarli Gloverset Kinsley Hooper+1.3
4421-23ARK PBARK PB×6Attack errTaylor Williams+1.4
4522-23ARK PBALA STAttack errMarlina Anderson+0.9
46–4723-24ALA ST · ARK PB
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.6
4823-25ALA STARK PBKillNgozi Nwosuset London King+2.2
Set 4
11-0ALA ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.3
22-0ALA STALA ST×3Attack errZuzanna Zietek+1.2
33-0ALA STALA ST×3Attack errZuzanna Zietek+1.0
43-1ALA STARK PBBlockedTaylor Williamsblk Kennedy Adams+0.9
54-1ARK PBALA STServe errArk.-Pine Bluff+0.9
65-1ALA STALA STKillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay+0.9
75-2ALA STARK PBServe errAlabama St.+0.8
86-2ARK PBALA STKillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+0.8
96-3ALA STARK PBKillKennedy Adamsset Martyna Lubowicz+0.8
106-4ARK PBARK PBKillKennedy Adamsset London King+1.2
117-4ARK PBALA STKillLyric Edwards+1.0
127-5ARK PB
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.1
138-5ARK PBALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+1.0
148-6ALA STARK PB×4KillKennedy Adamsset London King+1.1
158-7ARK PBARK PB×4BlockedTaylor Williamsblk Kennedy Adams+1.5
168-8ARK PBARK PB×4AceArk.-Pine Bluffaced Mikalah Davis+1.8
178-9ARK PBARK PB×4KillAshanti Butlerset London King+2.1
189-9ARK PBALA STServe errArk.-Pine Bluff+1.7
1910-9ALA STALA STServe errAlabama St.+1.8
20–2212-10ALA ST 2 · ARK PB
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.6
2313-10ALA STALA ST×9KillAlexis Williamsset Kamrynn Clay+1.5
2414-10ALA STALA ST×9KillTaylor Williamsset Mikalah Davis+1.2
2515-10ALA STALA ST×9AceAlabama St.aced Desiree Kepler+0.9
2616-10ALA STALA ST×9KillKaylen Hines+0.7
2717-10ALA STALA ST×9Serve errAlabama St.+0.5
2818-10ALA STALA ST×9KillLyric Edwardsset Kamrynn Clay+0.3
2919-10ALA STALA ST×9KillMikalah Davisset Kamrynn Clay+0.2
3019-11ALA STARK PB×3Serve errAlabama St.+0.1
3119-12ARK PBARK PB×3AceArk.-Pine Bluff+0.2
3219-13ARK PBARK PB×3Attack errAmaya Robinson+0.3
3320-13ALA ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
3421-13ALA STALA ST×4AceAlabama St.+0.2
3522-13ALA STALA ST×4KillAmaya Robinsonset Kamrynn Clay+0.1
3623-13ALA STALA ST×4AceAlabama St.aced Desiree Kepler·
3723-14ALA STARK PB×5KillKarli Gloverset Martyna Lubowicz·
3823-15ARK PBARK PB×5BlockedAmaya Robinsonblk Kennedy Adams·
3923-16ARK PB
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
4023-17ARK PBARK PB×5KillKarli Gloverset Martyna Lubowicz+0.1
4123-18ARK PBARK PB×5Attack errAmaya Robinson+0.2
4224-18ARK PBALA STAttack errKarli Glover+0.3
4324-19ALA STARK PBServe errAlabama St.+0.1
4425-19ARK PBALA STKillKaylen Hinesset Kamrynn Clay+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Alabama St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).