UT Arlington at Mississippi St.

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

TX ARL 2.9%97.1% MISSST

UT Arlington wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.8%

3-2

1.8%

Mississippi St. wins

3-0

62.7%

3-1

27.1%

3-2

7.3%

TX ARL break %: 36.3% vs this opp
MISSST break %: 50.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.