FinalSun, Aug 30, 2026

AwayMOUNTAIN-WEST

0:3

HomeBIG-12

TCU def. UNLV 3–0

(25-17, 25-16, 33-31)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UNLV	17	16	31	0
TCU	25	25	33	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TCU above 50 · UNLV below

Biggest swing: 0.4% to UNLV — set 3, UNLV 24-23 TCU. Kill by Arrie Brown (set by Caleigh King). TCU win probability 100% → 99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UNLV 0.9%99.1% TCU

UNLV wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.2%

3-2

0.6%

TCU wins

3-0

75.3%

3-1

20.4%

3-2

3.4%

UNLV break %: 33.5% vs this opp
TCU break %: 51.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Arrie BrownKill+0.4%
Kill by Arrie Brown (set by Caleigh King)
Set 3 · UNLV 24-23 TCU · UNLV 0% → 1%
02
Evan HendrixAttack error+0.4%
Attack error by Evan Hendrix
Set 3 · UNLV 27-26 TCU · UNLV 0% → 1%
03
Kamiera WatkinsKill+0.4%
Kill by Kamiera Watkins
Set 3 · UNLV 31-30 TCU · UNLV 0% → 1%
04
Jalyn GibsonKill+0.3%
Kill by Jalyn Gibson (set by Rosemary Archer)
Set 3 · UNLV 24-24 TCU · TCU 99% → 100%
05
Evan HendrixKill+0.3%
Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Alice Volpe)
Set 3 · UNLV 27-27 TCU · TCU 99% → 100%
06
Becca KelleyKill+0.3%
Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Reese Wilburn)
Set 3 · UNLV 31-31 TCU · TCU 99% → 100%
07
Evan HendrixKill+0.3%
Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Alice Volpe)
Set 3 · UNLV 24-25 TCU · TCU 100% → 100%
08
Evan HendrixKill+0.3%
Kill by Evan Hendrix (set by Alice Volpe)
Set 3 · UNLV 27-28 TCU · TCU 100% → 100%

Official NCAA box

Box score

UNLVaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
21Basia LatosOH	3	14	5	34	.265	0	0	2	6	4	1	0.5	14.5
1Jada IngramMB	3	6	1	15	.333	0	0	1	2	0	2	1	7
15Jaida HarrisOH	3	1	1	7	.000	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	2
0Alexa AnkerstarS	3	0	0	1	.000	21	1	4	5	0	0	0	1
9Rheanna Deen-JacksonMB	2	3	0	9	.333	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
11Logan LindsayOPP	2	2	1	11	.091	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
7Julie BeckhamOH	3	2	3	10	-.100	0	0	0	1	1	1	0.5	2.5
3Tia TraudtOH	3	1	3	10	-.200	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
8Caleigh KingL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	7	1	0	0	0
5Arrie BrownOH	2	3	3	7	.000	1	0	0	4	0	2	1	4
19Kamryn ScrogginsS	2	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
6Kamiera WatkinsOPP	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
4Cami ChristiansenOPP	1	0	1	3	-.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Sloan ClevelandL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		33	18	108	.139	30	2	11	35	6	10	5	64

TCUhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Evan HendrixOH	3	13	8	39	.128	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	0	13
5Jalyn GibsonOH	3	8	0	18	.444	1	1	1	5	0	0	4	2	11
10Kinsley YoungMB	3	6	1	11	.455	0	1	1	0	0	0	5	2.5	9.5
17Rosemary ArcherS	3	1	0	2	.500	23	1	1	5	0	0	0	0	2
13Molly McCarthyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	0
4De'Andrea McMillianMB	2	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
11Becca KelleyOH	3	8	4	18	.222	0	2	1	0	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
7Reese RobinsMB	3	7	2	11	.455	0	0	1	2	0	1	2	2	9
0Alice VolpeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	1	1	14	1	0	0	0	1
6Reese WilburnS	3	0	0	0	–	13	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
20Blaykli BobikOH	2	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
8Mia LeeMB	1	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
21Morgan HollomanMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
9Lauren MurphyOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	18	110	.264	42	6	8	44	2	1	13	7.5	83

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 UNLV · TCU 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 UNLVTCU 4

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 UNLVTCU 4

Set 3

31-33

Longest run 4 UNLVTCU 5

Bars above the line = TCU leads, below = UNLV leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

UNLV

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%7/16	59%10/17
2	64%7/11	46%6/13
3	44%7/16	13%1/8
4	47%7/15	22%2/9
5	64%7/11	13%1/8
6	42%5/12	36%4/11
All	49%40/81	36%24/66

TCU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	39%7/18	62%8/13
2	64%7/11	50%7/14
3	78%7/9	42%5/12
4	88%7/8	46%6/13
5	88%7/8	56%9/16
6	58%7/12	46%6/13
All	64%42/66	51%41/81

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

147 rallies

Rally log

#	UNLV-TCU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	UNLV	UNLV	Ace	UNLV server	aced Molly McCarthy	+0.2
2	1-1	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
3	1-2	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Basia Latos	blk Kinsley Young, Jalyn Gibson	+0.1
4	2-2	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Basia Latos	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.1
5	2-3	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
6	2-4	TCU	TCU	Ace	TCU server	aced Basia Latos	+0.1
7	3-4	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Basia Latos	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.1
8	3-5	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
9	3-6	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Cami Christiansen	blk Kinsley Young, Becca Kelley, Reese Robins	+0.1
10	4-6	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Basia Latos	set Kamryn Scroggins	+0.1
11	4-7	UNLV	TCU×4	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.1
12	4-8	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Reese Robins	set Caleigh King	+0.1
13	4-9	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Becca Kelley		+0.1
14	4-10	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Tia Traudt		+0.0
15	5-10	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Tia Traudt	set Kamryn Scroggins	+0.0
16	5-11	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.0
17	5-12	TCU	TCU	Ace	TCU server	aced Basia Latos	+0.0
18	6-12	TCU	UNLV	Serve err	TCU server		+0.0
19	6-13	UNLV	TCU×3	Serve err	UNLV server		+0.0
20	6-14	TCU	TCU×3	Attack err	Logan Lindsay		+0.0
21	6-15	TCU	TCU×3	Attack err	Jada Ingram		+0.0
22	7-15	TCU	UNLV×3	Serve err	TCU server		+0.0
23	8-15	UNLV	UNLV×3	Kill	Logan Lindsay	set Caleigh King	+0.0
24	9-15	UNLV	UNLV×3	Attack err	Evan Hendrix	blk Jada Ingram, Logan Lindsay	+0.0
25	9-16	UNLV	TCU	Serve err	UNLV server		+0.0
26	9-17	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Jaida Harris		+0.0
27	10-17	TCU	UNLV×3	Kill	Basia Latos	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.0
28	11-17	UNLV	UNLV×3	Kill	Logan Lindsay	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.0
29	12-17	UNLV	UNLV×3	Kill	Basia Latos	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.0
30	12-18	UNLV	TCU	Attack err	Basia Latos	blk Jalyn Gibson, Kinsley Young	+0.0
31	13-18	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Rheanna Deen-Jackson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
32	13-19	UNLV	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
33	13-20	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Reese Wilburn	+0.0
34	13-21	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Kinsley Young		+0.0
35	14-21	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Julie Beckham	set Kamryn Scroggins	+0.0
36	14-22	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.0
37	15-22	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Basia Latos	set Kamryn Scroggins	+0.0
38	15-23	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Reese Wilburn	+0.0
39	15-24	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Tia Traudt		+0.0
40	16-24	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Jada Ingram	set Kamryn Scroggins	+0.0
41	17-24	UNLV	UNLV	Attack err	Blaykli Bobik		+0.0
42	17-25	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
2	0-2	TCU	TCU×3	Attack err	Basia Latos		+0.1
3	0-3	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
4	1-3	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Jaida Harris	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.0
5	1-4	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
6	2-4	TCU	UNLV	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+0.0
7	2-5	UNLV	TCU×3	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
8	2-6	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
9	2-7	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
10	3-7	TCU	UNLV	Serve err	TCU server		+0.0
11	4-7	UNLV	UNLV	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+0.0
12	4-8	UNLV	TCU	Serve err	UNLV server		+0.0
13	5-8	TCU	UNLV	Serve err	TCU server		+0.0
14	5-9	UNLV	TCU	Serve err	UNLV server		+0.0
15	5-10	TCU	TCU	Ace	TCU server	aced Basia Latos	+0.0
16	6-10	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Jada Ingram	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.0
17	6-11	UNLV	TCU×4	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
18	6-12	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
19	6-13	TCU	TCU×4	Kill	Rosemary Archer	set Alice Volpe	+0.0
20	6-14	TCU	TCU×4	Attack err	Tia Traudt	blk Kinsley Young, Jalyn Gibson	+0.0
21	7-14	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Jada Ingram	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.0
22	8-14	UNLV	UNLV	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+0.0
23	8-15	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
24	9-15	TCU	UNLV×3	Kill	Basia Latos	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.0
25	10-15	UNLV	UNLV×3	Kill	Rheanna Deen-Jackson	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.0
26	11-15	UNLV	UNLV×3	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+0.0
27	11-16	UNLV	TCU×3	Serve err	UNLV server		+0.0
28	11-17	TCU	TCU×3	Bad set	Alexa Ankerstar		+0.0
29	11-18	TCU	TCU×3	Ace	TCU server	aced Basia Latos	+0.0
30	12-18	TCU	UNLV	Serve err	TCU server		+0.0
31	12-19	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Mia Lee	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
32	12-20	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Julie Beckham		+0.0
33	13-20	TCU	UNLV	Attack err	Lauren Murphy	blk Rheanna Deen-Jackson, Julie Beckham	+0.0
34	13-21	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Mia Lee	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
35	14-21	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Rheanna Deen-Jackson	set Kamryn Scroggins	+0.0
36	14-22	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.0
37	15-22	TCU	UNLV	Serve err	TCU server		+0.0
38	15-23	UNLV	TCU	Serve err	UNLV server		+0.0
39	16-23	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Jada Ingram	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.0
40	16-24	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Morgan Holloman	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
41	16-25	TCU	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	UNLV	UNLV	Attack err	Kinsley Young		+0.0
2	1-1	UNLV	TCU×3	Serve err	UNLV server		+0.0
3	1-2	TCU	TCU×3	Ace	TCU server	aced Caleigh King	+0.0
4	1-3	TCU	TCU×3	Ace	TCU server	aced Julie Beckham	+0.0
5	2-3	TCU	UNLV×3	Kill	Arrie Brown	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.0
6	3-3	UNLV	UNLV×3	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+0.0
7	4-3	UNLV	UNLV×3	Attack err	Becca Kelley	blk Basia Latos, Kamiera Watkins	+0.1
8	4-4	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
9	5-4	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Basia Latos	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.0
10	5-5	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Kinsley Young	set Rosemary Archer	+0.0
11	6-5	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Julie Beckham	set Arrie Brown	+0.0
12	6-6	UNLV	TCU	Attack err	Basia Latos	blk Reese Robins, De'Andrea McMillian	+0.0
13	6-7	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Julie Beckham		+0.0
14	7-7	TCU	UNLV	Attack err	Becca Kelley		+0.0
15	7-8	UNLV	TCU	Attack err	Arrie Brown	blk Reese Robins	+0.0
16	8-8	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Jada Ingram	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.0
17	8-9	UNLV	TCU	Serve err	UNLV server		+0.0
18	9-9	TCU	UNLV×3	Kill	Arrie Brown	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.0
19	10-9	UNLV	UNLV×3	Attack err	Becca Kelley	blk Arrie Brown, Kamiera Watkins	+0.1
20	11-9	UNLV	UNLV×3	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+0.1
21	11-10	UNLV	TCU	Serve err	UNLV server		+0.1
22	12-10	TCU	UNLV	Serve err	TCU server		+0.1
23	12-11	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
24	12-12	TCU	TCU	Attack err	Basia Latos		+0.1
25	13-12	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Basia Latos	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.1
26	13-13	UNLV	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Rosemary Archer	+0.1
27	13-14	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.1
28	13-15	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Alice Volpe	+0.1
29	14-15	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Basia Latos	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.0
30	15-15	UNLV	UNLV	Attack err	Reese Robins		+0.1
31	15-16	UNLV	TCU×5	Serve err	UNLV server		+0.1
32	15-17	TCU	TCU×5	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Reese Wilburn	+0.1
33	15-18	TCU	TCU×5	Kill	De'Andrea McMillian		+0.1
34	15-19	TCU	TCU×5	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+0.0
35	15-20	TCU	TCU×5	Kill	Reese Robins	set Reese Wilburn	+0.0
36	16-20	TCU	UNLV	Bad set	De'Andrea McMillian		+0.0
37	17-20	UNLV	UNLV	Attack err	Reese Robins	blk Arrie Brown, Jada Ingram	+0.0
38	17-21	UNLV	TCU	Serve err	UNLV server		+0.0
39	17-22	TCU	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+0.0
40	18-22	TCU	UNLV×3	Serve err	TCU server		+0.0
41	19-22	UNLV	UNLV×3	Attack err	De'Andrea McMillian		+0.0
42	20-22	UNLV	UNLV×3	Bad set	Reese Wilburn		+0.0
43	20-23	UNLV	TCU	Attack err	Arrie Brown		+0.0
44	21-23	TCU	UNLV×4	Kill	Basia Latos	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.0
45	22-23	UNLV	UNLV×4	Ace	UNLV server	aced Alice Volpe	+0.1
46	23-23	UNLV	UNLV×4	Kill	Basia Latos	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.2
47	24-23	UNLV	UNLV×4	Kill	Arrie Brown	set Caleigh King	+0.4
48	24-24	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Jalyn Gibson	set Rosemary Archer	+0.3
49	24-25	TCU	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Alice Volpe	+0.3
50	25-25	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Basia Latos	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.2
51	25-26	UNLV	TCU	Attack err	Julie Beckham		+0.2
52	26-26	TCU	UNLV	Bad set	Jalyn Gibson		+0.2
53	27-26	UNLV	UNLV	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+0.4
54	27-27	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Alice Volpe	+0.3
55	27-28	TCU	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Alice Volpe	+0.3
56	28-28	TCU	UNLV	Attack err	Evan Hendrix		+0.2
57	28-29	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Evan Hendrix	set Reese Wilburn	+0.2
58	29-29	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Jada Ingram	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.2
59	29-30	UNLV	TCU	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+0.2
60	30-30	TCU	UNLV	Kill	Basia Latos	set Alexa Ankerstar	+0.2
61	31-30	UNLV	UNLV	Kill	Kamiera Watkins		+0.4
62	31-31	UNLV	TCU×3	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Reese Wilburn	+0.3
63	31-32	TCU	TCU×3	Kill	Becca Kelley	set Jalyn Gibson	+0.3
64	31-33	TCU	TCU×3	Attack err	Arrie Brown	blk Kinsley Young, Jalyn Gibson	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, UNLV first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.