FinalSun, Aug 30, 2026

AwayBIG-TEN

0:3

HomeACC

Pittsburgh def. Wisconsin 3–0

(25-13, 25-21, 25-16)

Set	1	2	3*	Sets
WISC	13	21	16	0
PITT	25	25	25	3

* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

PITT above 50 · WISC below

Biggest swing: 0.9% to Pittsburgh — set 1, WISC 1-2 PITT. Bad set by Charlie Fuerbringer. PITT win probability 92% → 93%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

WISC 7.5%92.5% PITT

Wisconsin wins

3-0

0.9%

3-1

2.2%

3-2

4.4%

Pittsburgh wins

3-0

49.2%

3-1

31.1%

3-2

12.2%

WISC break %: 32.9% vs this opp
PITT break %: 43.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Charlie FuerbringerBad set+0.9%
Bad set by Charlie Fuerbringer
Set 1 · WISC 1-2 PITT · PITT 92% → 93%
02
Ayanna WatsonAttack error+0.8%
Attack error by Ayanna Watson
Set 2 · WISC 6-5 PITT · WISC 4% → 5%
03
Ayanna WatsonKill+0.8%
Kill by Ayanna Watson (set by Izzy Starck)
Set 1 · WISC 1-3 PITT · PITT 93% → 94%
04
Blaire BaylessKill+0.7%
Kill by Blaire Bayless (set by Izzy Starck)
Set 2 · WISC 6-7 PITT · PITT 96% → 97%
05
Grace LopezKill+0.7%
Kill by Grace Lopez (set by Charlie Fuerbringer)
Set 1 · WISC 1-0 PITT · WISC 7% → 8%
06
Olivia BabcockAttack error+0.7%
Attack error by Olivia Babcock
Set 2 · WISC 4-4 PITT · WISC 3% → 4%
07
Maaike HeiligKill+0.7%
Kill by Maaike Heilig (set by Izzy Starck)
Set 1 · WISC 2-5 PITT · PITT 94% → 95%
08
Abbey EmchAttack error+0.6%
Attack error by Abbey Emch
Set 2 · WISC 6-8 PITT · PITT 97% → 97%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Wisconsinaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
20Lynney TarnowMB	3	7	1	13	.462	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
23Grace LopezOH	3	7	5	22	.091	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	7.5
22Audrey FlanaganOH	3	5	5	26	.000	1	0	4	0	1	0.5	5.5
67Halle ThompsonOH	3	4	7	22	-.136	0	0	4	2	2	1	5
24Charlie FuerbringerS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	23	0	8	0	1	0.5	0.5
12Natalie WardlowMB	2	1	1	7	.000	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	1.5
10Madison QuestOH	3	2	3	7	-.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
2Anna BardaroL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	10	1	0	0	0
6Isabelle HoppeS	3	0	0	0	–	6	1	4	0	0	0	0
7Kristen SimonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	12	1	0	0	0
88Kymora ScottMB	2	3	0	7	.429	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
5Eva TravisOH	1	4	1	9	.333	0	0	1	0	0	0	4
Team totals		33	24	114	.079	32	4	47	4	10	5	50

Pittsburghhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Olivia BabcockOH	3	17	4	36	.361	1	2	4	5	0	3	1.5	20.5
8Blaire BaylessOH	3	9	4	27	.185	0	0	0	14	0	3	1.5	10.5
2Maaike HeiligMB	3	4	2	11	.182	1	0	1	1	1	6	4	8
12Ayanna WatsonOH	3	5	1	20	.200	1	1	0	1	0	2	1	7
20Abbey EmchMB	3	2	0	8	.250	0	0	0	2	0	4	2	4
21Izzy StarckS	3	2	0	4	.500	28	1	0	10	0	2	1	4
25Haiti Tautua'aS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7Izzy MastenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
13Mallorie MeyerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	7	0	0	0	0
9Trinity ThompsonS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	11	106	.264	35	4	5	48	1	20	11	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 WISC · PITT 7

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 2 WISCPITT 6

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 2 WISCPITT 5

Set 3*

16-25

Longest run 4 WISCPITT 7

Bars above the line = Pittsburgh leads, below = Wisconsin leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Wisconsin

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	0%0/4
2	42%5/12	17%1/6
3	50%5/10	17%1/6
4	57%4/7	38%3/8
5	44%4/9	33%2/6
6	100%3/3	20%1/5
All	53%26/49	23%8/35

Pittsburgh

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%5/5	20%1/5
2	83%5/6	58%7/12
3	71%5/7	58%7/12
4	63%5/8	38%3/8
5	80%4/5	0%0/4
6	75%3/4	63%5/8
All	77%27/35	47%23/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

125 rallies

Rally log

#	WISC-PITT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	PITT	WISC	Kill	Grace Lopez	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.7
2	1-1	WISC	PITT×3	Serve err	WISC server		+0.6
3	1-2	PITT	PITT×3	Bad set	Charlie Fuerbringer		+0.9
4	1-3	PITT	PITT×3	Kill	Ayanna Watson	set Izzy Starck	+0.8
5	2-3	PITT	WISC	Kill	Natalie Wardlow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.5
6	2-4	WISC	PITT×6	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Izzy Starck	+0.5
7	2-5	PITT	PITT×6	Kill	Maaike Heilig	set Izzy Starck	+0.7
8	2-6	PITT	PITT×6	Attack err	Natalie Wardlow		+0.5
9	2-7	PITT	PITT×6	Attack err	Charlie Fuerbringer		+0.4
10	2-8	PITT	PITT×6	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan		+0.3
11	2-9	PITT	PITT×6	Attack err	Halle Thompson		+0.2
12	3-9	PITT	WISC	Kill	Halle Thompson	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.1
13	3-10	WISC	PITT×3	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Mallorie Meyer	+0.1
14	3-11	PITT	PITT×3	Attack err	Halle Thompson		+0.1
15	3-12	PITT	PITT×3	Kill	Blaire Bayless		+0.1
16	4-12	PITT	WISC	Attack err	Maaike Heilig	blk Natalie Wardlow, Halle Thompson	+0.0
17	4-13	WISC	PITT	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
18	5-13	PITT	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.0
19	5-14	WISC	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
20	6-14	PITT	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.0
21	6-15	WISC	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
22	6-16	PITT	PITT	Kill	Abbey Emch		+0.0
23	7-16	PITT	WISC	Kill	Grace Lopez	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.0
24	7-17	WISC	PITT×4	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
25	7-18	PITT	PITT×4	Kill	Ayanna Watson	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
26	7-19	PITT	PITT×4	Attack err	Grace Lopez	blk Blaire Bayless, Abbey Emch	+0.0
27	7-20	PITT	PITT×4	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
28	8-20	PITT	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.0
29	8-21	WISC	PITT	Kill	Abbey Emch	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
30	9-21	PITT	WISC	Kill	Madison Quest	set Isabelle Hoppe	+0.0
31	10-21	WISC	WISC	Attack err	Blaire Bayless		+0.0
32	10-22	WISC	PITT	Attack err	Madison Quest	blk Maaike Heilig, Blaire Bayless	+0.0
33	10-23	PITT	PITT	Ace	PITT server	aced Anna Bardaro	+0.0
34	11-23	PITT	WISC	Serve err	PITT server		+0.0
35	12-23	WISC	WISC	Kill	Halle Thompson	set Isabelle Hoppe	+0.0
36	12-24	WISC	PITT	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
37	13-24	PITT	WISC	Kill	Madison Quest	set Isabelle Hoppe	+0.0
38	13-25	WISC	PITT	Kill	Ayanna Watson	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	WISC	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.3
2	1-1	PITT	WISC	Attack err	Blaire Bayless	blk Lynney Tarnow, Halle Thompson	+0.4
3	1-2	WISC	PITT	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan	blk Olivia Babcock, Abbey Emch	+0.4
4	1-3	PITT	PITT	Kill	Maaike Heilig		+0.5
5	2-3	PITT	WISC	Kill	Grace Lopez	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.3
6	2-4	WISC	PITT	Kill	Maaike Heilig	set Izzy Starck	+0.3
7	3-4	PITT	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Kristen Simon	+0.3
8	4-4	WISC	WISC	Attack err	Olivia Babcock		+0.7
9	4-5	WISC	PITT	Serve err	WISC server		+0.4
10	5-5	PITT	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Isabelle Hoppe	+0.4
11	6-5	WISC	WISC	Attack err	Ayanna Watson		+0.8
12	6-6	WISC	PITT×5	Attack err	Madison Quest	blk Maaike Heilig, Ayanna Watson	+0.5
13	6-7	PITT	PITT×5	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Izzy Starck	+0.7
14	6-8	PITT	PITT×5	Attack err	Abbey Emch		+0.6
15	6-9	PITT	PITT×5	Kill	Izzy Starck	set Ayanna Watson	+0.5
16	6-10	PITT	PITT×5	Attack err	Madison Quest	blk Ayanna Watson, Abbey Emch	+0.4
17	7-10	PITT	WISC	Kill	Halle Thompson	set Isabelle Hoppe	+0.2
18	7-11	WISC	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.2
19	8-11	PITT	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Isabelle Hoppe	+0.2
20	8-12	WISC	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.2
21	8-13	PITT	PITT	Attack err	Grace Lopez		+0.3
22	9-13	PITT	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.2
23	9-14	WISC	PITT	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Mallorie Meyer	+0.2
24	9-15	PITT	PITT	Attack err	Grace Lopez	blk Maaike Heilig, Blaire Bayless	+0.2
25	10-15	PITT	WISC	Attack err	Olivia Babcock	blk Lynney Tarnow, Audrey Flanagan	+0.1
26	10-16	WISC	PITT	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan	blk Maaike Heilig, Olivia Babcock	+0.1
27	11-16	PITT	WISC	Kill	Grace Lopez	set Anna Bardaro	+0.1
28	12-16	WISC	WISC	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.2
29	12-17	WISC	PITT	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan	blk Maaike Heilig, Izzy Starck	+0.2
30	13-17	PITT	WISC	Kill	Kymora Scott	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.1
31	13-18	WISC	PITT	Kill	Maaike Heilig	set Izzy Starck	+0.2
32	13-19	PITT	PITT	Attack err	Halle Thompson		+0.2
33	14-19	PITT	WISC	Serve err	PITT server		+0.1
34	15-19	WISC	WISC	Bad set	Ayanna Watson		+0.2
35	15-20	WISC	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.2
36	16-20	PITT	WISC	Kill	Grace Lopez	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.1
37	16-21	WISC	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Mallorie Meyer	+0.2
38	16-22	PITT	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Trinity Thompson	+0.1
39	17-22	PITT	WISC	Kill	Halle Thompson	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.0
40	18-22	WISC	WISC	Attack err	Olivia Babcock		+0.1
41	18-23	WISC	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.1
42	19-23	PITT	WISC	Attack err	Blaire Bayless	blk Lynney Tarnow, Grace Lopez	+0.0
43	20-23	WISC	WISC	Kill	Grace Lopez	set Audrey Flanagan	+0.2
44	20-24	WISC	PITT	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan		+0.2
45	21-24	PITT	WISC	Serve err	PITT server		+0.1
46	21-25	WISC	PITT	Serve err	WISC server		+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	PITT	PITT	Attack err	Halle Thompson		+0.3
2	0-2	PITT	PITT	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Izzy Starck	+0.2
3	1-2	PITT	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.1
4	1-3	WISC	PITT	Attack err	Halle Thompson		+0.1
5	2-3	PITT	WISC	Kill	Kymora Scott	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.1
6	3-3	WISC	WISC	Attack err	Blaire Bayless	blk Kymora Scott, Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.3
7	3-4	WISC	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.2
8	4-4	PITT	WISC	Attack err	Maaike Heilig		+0.2
9	4-5	WISC	PITT	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.2
10	4-6	PITT	PITT	Ace	PITT server	aced Kristen Simon	+0.3
11	5-6	PITT	WISC	Serve err	PITT server		+0.2
12	5-7	WISC	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Mallorie Meyer	+0.2
13	6-7	PITT	WISC×4	Kill	Audrey Flanagan	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.2
14	7-7	WISC	WISC×4	Kill	Grace Lopez	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.3
15	8-7	WISC	WISC×4	Attack err	Olivia Babcock		+0.4
16	9-7	WISC	WISC×4	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.5
17	9-8	WISC	PITT×7	Attack err	Lynney Tarnow	blk Maaike Heilig	+0.2
18	9-9	PITT	PITT×7	Attack err	Halle Thompson		+0.4
19	9-10	PITT	PITT×7	Kill	Ayanna Watson	set Izzy Starck	+0.4
20	9-11	PITT	PITT×7	Kill	Izzy Starck	set Olivia Babcock	+0.3
21	9-12	PITT	PITT×7	Attack err	Grace Lopez	blk Abbey Emch, Izzy Starck	+0.2
22	9-13	PITT	PITT×7	Attack err	Grace Lopez		+0.2
23	9-14	PITT	PITT×7	Attack err	Audrey Flanagan		+0.1
24	10-14	PITT	WISC	Kill	Lynney Tarnow	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.1
25	10-15	WISC	PITT	Kill	Ayanna Watson	set Izzy Starck	+0.1
26	10-16	PITT	PITT	Ace	PITT server	aced Halle Thompson	+0.1
27	11-16	PITT	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.0
28	11-17	WISC	PITT×3	Serve err	WISC server		+0.0
29	11-18	PITT	PITT×3	Ace	PITT server	aced Halle Thompson	+0.0
30	11-19	PITT	PITT×3	Attack err	Eva Travis		+0.0
31	12-19	PITT	WISC	Kill	Kymora Scott	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.0
32	13-19	WISC	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.0
33	13-20	WISC	PITT×3	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
34	13-21	PITT	PITT×3	Attack err	Kymora Scott		+0.0
35	13-22	PITT	PITT×3	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
36	14-22	PITT	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.0
37	14-23	WISC	PITT	Kill	Blaire Bayless	set Maaike Heilig	+0.0
38	15-23	PITT	WISC	Serve err	PITT server		+0.0
39	15-24	WISC	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.0
40	16-24	PITT	WISC	Kill	Eva Travis	set Charlie Fuerbringer	+0.0
41	16-25	WISC	PITT	Kill	Olivia Babcock	set Izzy Starck	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Wisconsin first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.