FinalSun, Aug 30, 2026

Pittsburgh def. Wisconsin 3–0

Pittsburgh beat visiting Wisconsin 3-0 (25-13, 25-21, 25-16) on Sun, Aug 30, 2026. Pittsburgh's Olivia Babcock led with 17 kills, and Blaire Bayless added 14 digs.

Data through · final Aug 30

Set123Sets
WISC1321160
PITT2525253

Win probability

Pittsburgh above 50 · Wisconsin below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.6% PITTrally 125 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.6% to Pittsburgh — set 1, WISC 1-2 PITT. Bad set by Charlie Fuerbringer. PITT win probability 84% → 86%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

WISC 16.0%84.0% PITT

Wisconsin wins

3-0
2.4%
3-1
5.2%
3-2
8.4%

Pittsburgh wins

3-0
35.9%
3-1
31.2%
3-2
17.0%
WISC break %
33.5% vs this opp
PITT break %
40.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Bad set by Charlie Fuerbringer

    Set 1 · WISC 1-2 PITT · PITT 84% → 86%

  2. 02
    Ayanna WatsonAttack error+1.5%

    Attack error by Ayanna Watson

    Set 2 · WISC 6-5 PITT · WISC 8% → 10%

  3. 03
    Ayanna WatsonKill+1.5%

    Kill by Ayanna Watson (set by Izzy Starck)

    Set 1 · WISC 1-3 PITT · PITT 86% → 87%

  4. 04

    Kill by Blaire Bayless (set by Izzy Starck)

    Set 2 · WISC 6-7 PITT · PITT 91% → 92%

  5. 05
    Maaike HeiligKill+1.3%

    Kill by Maaike Heilig (set by Izzy Starck)

    Set 1 · WISC 2-5 PITT · PITT 87% → 88%

  6. 06
    Olivia BabcockAttack error+1.3%

    Attack error by Olivia Babcock

    Set 2 · WISC 4-4 PITT · WISC 7% → 8%

  7. 07
    Abbey EmchAttack error+1.2%

    Attack error by Abbey Emch

    Set 2 · WISC 6-8 PITT · PITT 92% → 94%

  8. 08
    Grace LopezKill+1.1%

    Kill by Grace Lopez (set by Charlie Fuerbringer)

    Set 1 · WISC 1-0 PITT · WISC 16% → 17%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37113.46200000031.58.5
37522.09100110010.57.5
35526.00010040010.55.5
34722-.136000420215
3011-1.000230080010.50.5
2117.00000030010.51.5
3237-.143000000002
3000–1011010000
3000–601400000
3000–1011210000
2307.42900000010.53.5
1419.333000100004
Team totals3324114.0793204474010550
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
317436.36112450031.520.5
39427.185000140031.510.5
34211.182101101648
35120.200110100217
3208.250000200424
3204.50028101000214
3000–000000000
3000–000400000
3000–300700000
3000–100400000
Team totals3911106.26435454801201175

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 WISC · PITT 7

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 2 WISCPITT 6

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 2 WISCPITT 5

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 4 WISCPITT 7

Bars above the line = Pittsburgh leads, below = Wisconsin leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Wisconsin

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
0%0/4
2
42%5/12
17%1/6
3
50%5/10
17%1/6
4
57%4/7
38%3/8
5
44%4/9
33%2/6
6
100%3/3
20%1/5
All
53%26/49
23%8/35

Pittsburgh

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%5/5
20%1/5
2
83%5/6
58%7/12
3
71%5/7
58%7/12
4
63%5/8
38%3/8
5
80%4/5
0%0/4
6
75%3/4
63%5/8
All
77%27/35
47%23/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#WISC-PITTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0PITTWISCKillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+1.1
21-1WISCPITT×3Serve errWisconsin+1.0
31-2PITTPITT×3Bad setCharlie Fuerbringer+1.6
41-3PITTPITT×3KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+1.5
52-3PITTWISCKillNatalie Wardlowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.9
62-4WISCPITT×6KillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.8
72-5PITTPITT×6KillMaaike Heiligset Izzy Starck+1.3
82-6PITTPITT×6Attack errNatalie Wardlow+1.1
92-7PITTPITT×6Attack errCharlie Fuerbringer+0.8
102-8PITTPITT×6Attack errAudrey Flanagan+0.6
112-9PITTPITT×6Attack errHalle Thompson+0.4
123-9PITTWISCKillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.2
133-10WISCPITT×3KillOlivia Babcockset Mallorie Meyer+0.2
143-11PITTPITT×3Attack errHalle Thompson+0.3
153-12PITTPITT×3KillBlaire Bayless+0.2
164-12PITTWISCBlockedMaaike Heiligblk Natalie Wardlow, Halle Thompson+0.1
174-13WISCPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.1
185-13PITTWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
195-14WISCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.1
206-14PITTWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
216-15WISCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.1
226-16PITTPITTKillAbbey Emch+0.1
237-16PITTWISCKillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer·
247-17WISCPITT×4KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck·
257-18PITTPITT×4KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck·
267-19PITTPITT×4BlockedGrace Lopezblk Blaire Bayless, Abbey Emch·
277-20PITTPITT×4KillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck·
288-20PITTWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer·
298-21WISCPITTKillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck·
309-21PITTWISCKillMadison Questset Isabelle Hoppe·
3110-21WISCWISCAttack errBlaire Bayless·
3210-22WISCPITTBlockedMadison Questblk Maaike Heilig, Blaire Bayless·
3310-23PITTPITTAcePittsburghaced Anna Bardaro·
3411-23PITTWISCServe errPittsburgh·
3512-23WISCWISCKillHalle Thompsonset Isabelle Hoppe·
3612-24WISCPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck·
3713-24PITTWISCKillMadison Questset Isabelle Hoppe·
3813-25WISCPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck·
Set 2
10-1WISCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.7
21-1PITTWISCBlockedBlaire Baylessblk Lynney Tarnow, Halle Thompson+0.7
31-2WISCPITTBlockedAudrey Flanaganblk Olivia Babcock, Abbey Emch+0.7
41-3PITTPITTKillMaaike Heilig+1.1
52-3PITTWISCKillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.6
62-4WISCPITTKillMaaike Heiligset Izzy Starck+0.6
73-4PITTWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Kristen Simon+0.7
84-4WISCWISCAttack errOlivia Babcock+1.3
94-5WISCPITTServe errWisconsin+0.7
105-5PITTWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Isabelle Hoppe+0.8
116-5WISCWISCAttack errAyanna Watson+1.5
126-6WISCPITT×5BlockedMadison Questblk Maaike Heilig, Ayanna Watson+0.8
136-7PITTPITT×5KillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+1.4
146-8PITTPITT×5Attack errAbbey Emch+1.2
156-9PITTPITT×5KillIzzy Starckset Ayanna Watson+1.1
166-10PITTPITT×5BlockedMadison Questblk Ayanna Watson, Abbey Emch+0.8
177-10PITTWISCKillHalle Thompsonset Isabelle Hoppe+0.4
187-11WISCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.5
198-11PITTWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Isabelle Hoppe+0.4
208-12WISCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.5
218-13PITTPITTAttack errGrace Lopez+0.7
229-13PITTWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.3
239-14WISCPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Mallorie Meyer+0.4
249-15PITTPITTBlockedGrace Lopezblk Maaike Heilig, Blaire Bayless+0.4
2510-15PITTWISCBlockedOlivia Babcockblk Lynney Tarnow, Audrey Flanagan+0.2
2610-16WISCPITTBlockedAudrey Flanaganblk Maaike Heilig, Olivia Babcock+0.2
2711-16PITTWISCKillGrace Lopezset Anna Bardaro+0.2
2812-16WISCWISCKillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.5
2912-17WISCPITTBlockedAudrey Flanaganblk Maaike Heilig, Izzy Starck+0.4
3013-17PITTWISCKillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.3
3113-18WISCPITTKillMaaike Heiligset Izzy Starck+0.4
3213-19PITTPITTAttack errHalle Thompson+0.4
3314-19PITTWISCServe errPittsburgh+0.1
3415-19WISCWISCBad setAyanna Watson+0.4
3515-20WISCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.3
3616-20PITTWISCKillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.2
3716-21WISCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Mallorie Meyer+0.3
3816-22PITTPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Trinity Thompson+0.3
3917-22PITTWISCKillHalle Thompsonset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
4018-22WISCWISCAttack errOlivia Babcock+0.2
4118-23WISCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.2
4219-23PITTWISCBlockedBlaire Baylessblk Lynney Tarnow, Grace Lopez+0.1
4320-23WISCWISCKillGrace Lopezset Audrey Flanagan+0.3
4420-24WISCPITTAttack errAudrey Flanagan+0.4
4521-24PITTWISCServe errPittsburgh+0.1
4621-25WISCPITTServe errWisconsin+0.3
Set 3
10-1PITTPITTAttack errHalle Thompson+0.6
20-2PITTPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.5
31-2PITTWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.3
41-3WISCPITTAttack errHalle Thompson+0.3
52-3PITTWISCKillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.3
63-3WISCWISCBlockedBlaire Baylessblk Kymora Scott, Charlie Fuerbringer+0.6
73-4WISCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.3
84-4PITTWISCAttack errMaaike Heilig+0.4
94-5PITT
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.3
104-6PITTPITTAcePittsburghaced Kristen Simon+0.6
115-6PITTWISCServe errPittsburgh+0.3
125-7WISCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Mallorie Meyer+0.3
136-7PITTWISC×4KillAudrey Flanaganset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.3
147-7WISCWISC×4KillGrace Lopezset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.7
158-7WISCWISC×4Attack errOlivia Babcock+0.8
169-7WISCWISC×4KillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.8
179-8WISCPITT×7BlockedLynney Tarnowblk Maaike Heilig+0.4
189-9PITTPITT×7Attack errHalle Thompson+0.8
199-10PITTPITT×7KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+0.7
209-11PITTPITT×7KillIzzy Starckset Olivia Babcock+0.7
219-12PITTPITT×7BlockedGrace Lopezblk Abbey Emch, Izzy Starck+0.5
229-13PITTPITT×7Attack errGrace Lopez+0.4
239-14PITTPITT×7Attack errAudrey Flanagan+0.3
2410-14PITTWISCKillLynney Tarnowset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
2510-15WISCPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+0.2
2610-16PITTPITTAcePittsburghaced Halle Thompson+0.2
2711-16PITTWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
2811-17WISCPITT×3Serve errWisconsin+0.1
2911-18PITTPITT×3AcePittsburghaced Halle Thompson+0.1
3011-19PITTPITT×3Attack errEva Travis+0.1
3112-19PITTWISCKillKymora Scottset Charlie Fuerbringer·
3213-19WISCWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer+0.1
3313-20WISCPITT×3KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck·
3413-21PITTPITT×3Attack errKymora Scott·
3513-22PITTPITT×3KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck·
3614-22PITTWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer·
3714-23WISCPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Maaike Heilig·
3815-23PITTWISCServe errPittsburgh·
3915-24WISCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck·
4016-24PITTWISCKillEva Travisset Charlie Fuerbringer·
4116-25WISCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck·

Score shown after each rally, Wisconsin first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).