Pittsburgh def. Jacksonville 3–0
(25-11, 25-16, 25-19)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JVILLE | 11 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| PITT | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 0.0% to Jacksonville — set 3, JVILLE 13-10 PITT. Kill by Jaylyn Tuiasosopo (set by Jade Cuya Cobos). PITT win probability 100% → 100%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Jacksonville wins
Pittsburgh wins
- JVILLE break %
- 29.4% vs this opp
- PITT break %
- 55.4% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Jaylyn TuiasosopoKill+0.0%
Kill by Jaylyn Tuiasosopo (set by Jade Cuya Cobos)
Set 3 · JVILLE 13-10 PITT · JVILLE 0% → 0%
- 02Abbie TuyoKill+0.0%
Kill by Abbie Tuyo (set by Emersen Strain)
Set 3 · JVILLE 15-12 PITT · JVILLE 0% → 0%
- 03Blaire BaylessKill+0.0%
Kill by Blaire Bayless (set by Haiti Tautua'a)
Set 3 · JVILLE 15-14 PITT · PITT 100% → 100%
- 04Daiangelie GonzalezKill+0.0%
Kill by Daiangelie Gonzalez (set by Jade Cuya Cobos)
Set 3 · JVILLE 14-11 PITT · JVILLE 0% → 0%
- 05JVILLE serverAce+0.0%
Jacksonville ace on Blaire Bayless
Set 3 · JVILLE 12-10 PITT · JVILLE 0% → 0%
- 06Claire MrukowskiAttack error+0.0%
Claire Mrukowski stuffed by Blaire Bayless & Abbey Emch
Set 3 · JVILLE 15-15 PITT · PITT 100% → 100%
- 07JVILLE serverAce+0.0%
Jacksonville ace on Ayanna Watson
Set 3 · JVILLE 7-3 PITT · JVILLE 0% → 0%
- 08JVILLE serverAce+0.0%
Jacksonville ace on Ayanna Watson
Set 1 · JVILLE 3-3 PITT · JVILLE 0% → 0%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 28 | .179 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 19 | .053 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | .059 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -.125 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -.200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | .182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 28 | 20 | 92 | .087 | 28 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 46 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 17 | 3 | 29 | .483 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 19 | |
| 3 | 8 | 0 | 11 | .727 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | |
| 3 | 6 | 1 | 15 | .333 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4.5 | 7.5 | |
| 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 | .214 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 41 | 8 | 79 | .418 | 39 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
11-25
Set 2
16-25
Set 3
19-25
Bars above the line = Pittsburgh leads, below = Jacksonville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Jacksonville
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60%6/10 | 62%8/13 |
| 2 | 26%6/23 | 25%2/8 |
| 3 | 50%6/12 | 14%1/7 |
| 4 | 36%5/14 | 25%2/8 |
| 5 | 50%3/6 | 29%2/7 |
| 6 | 38%3/8 | 40%2/5 |
| All | 40%29/73 | 35%17/48 |
Pittsburgh
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60%6/10 | 50%4/8 |
| 2 | 75%6/8 | 68%13/19 |
| 3 | 86%6/7 | 57%8/14 |
| 4 | 60%6/10 | 63%10/16 |
| 5 | 100%4/4 | 60%6/10 |
| 6 | 33%3/9 | 50%3/6 |
| All | 65%31/48 | 60%44/73 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
121 rallies
Rally log
| # | JVILLE-PITT | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | JVILLE | PITT | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 2 | 0-2 | PITT | PITT | Kill | Jordyn Dailey | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 3 | 1-2 | PITT | JVILLE | Kill | Abbie Tuyo | set Emersen Strain | +0.0 |
| 4 | 1-3 | JVILLE | PITT | Kill | Jordyn Dailey | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 5 | 2-3 | PITT | JVILLE | Kill | Claire Mrukowski | set Emersen Strain | +0.0 |
| 6 | 3-3 | JVILLE | JVILLE | Ace | JVILLE server | aced Ayanna Watson | +0.0 |
| 7 | 3-4 | JVILLE | PITT×4 | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 8 | 3-5 | PITT | PITT×4 | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 9 | 3-6 | PITT | PITT×4 | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 10 | 3-7 | PITT | PITT×4 | Attack err | Claire Mrukowski | blk Blaire Bayless, Abbey Emch | +0.0 |
| 11 | 4-7 | PITT | JVILLE | Attack err | Blaire Bayless | blk Addison Krieger, Claire Mrukowski | +0.0 |
| 12 | 5-7 | JVILLE | JVILLE | Attack err | Olivia Babcock | +0.0 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | JVILLE | PITT×3 | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 14 | 5-9 | PITT | PITT×3 | Ace | PITT server | aced Elle Kennedy | +0.0 |
| 15 | 5-10 | PITT | PITT×3 | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 16 | 6-10 | PITT | JVILLE | Serve err | PITT server | +0.0 | |
| 17 | 6-11 | JVILLE | PITT | Kill | Abbey Emch | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 18 | 7-11 | PITT | JVILLE | Kill | Abbie Tuyo | set Ana Nastase | +0.0 |
| 19 | 7-12 | JVILLE | PITT×5 | Kill | Jordyn Dailey | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 20 | 7-13 | PITT | PITT×5 | Attack err | Abbie Tuyo | +0.0 | |
| 21 | 7-14 | PITT | PITT×5 | Ace | PITT server | aced Elle Kennedy | +0.0 |
| 22 | 7-15 | PITT | PITT×5 | Attack err | Kathryn Adler | +0.0 | |
| 23 | 7-16 | PITT | PITT×5 | Kill | Jordyn Dailey | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 24 | 8-16 | PITT | JVILLE | Kill | Kathryn Adler | set Ana Nastase | +0.0 |
| 25 | 8-17 | JVILLE | PITT | Attack err | Abbie Tuyo | +0.0 | |
| 26 | 8-18 | PITT | PITT | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 27 | 9-18 | PITT | JVILLE | Kill | Abbie Tuyo | set Emersen Strain | +0.0 |
| 28 | 9-19 | JVILLE | PITT | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 29 | 9-20 | PITT | PITT | Attack err | Alija Heins | blk Abbey Emch | +0.0 |
| 30 | 10-20 | PITT | JVILLE | Serve err | PITT server | +0.0 | |
| 31 | 10-21 | JVILLE | PITT | Attack err | Abbie Tuyo | +0.0 | |
| 32 | 10-22 | PITT | PITT | Ace | PITT server | aced Abbie Tuyo | +0.0 |
| 33 | 11-22 | PITT | JVILLE | Kill | Claire Mrukowski | set Emersen Strain | +0.0 |
| 34 | 11-23 | JVILLE | PITT×3 | Serve err | JVILLE server | +0.0 | |
| 35 | 11-24 | PITT | PITT×3 | Bad set | Ana Nastase | +0.0 | |
| 36 | 11-25 | PITT | PITT×3 | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Haiti Tautua'a | +0.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | PITT | JVILLE | Serve err | PITT server | +0.0 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | JVILLE | PITT×7 | Kill | Jordyn Dailey | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 3 | 1-2 | PITT | PITT×7 | Attack err | Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | blk Jordyn Dailey, Olivia Babcock | +0.0 |
| 4 | 1-3 | PITT | PITT×7 | Ace | PITT server | aced Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | +0.0 |
| 5 | 1-4 | PITT | PITT×7 | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 6 | 1-5 | PITT | PITT×7 | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Emersen Strain | +0.0 |
| 7 | 1-6 | PITT | PITT×7 | Attack err | Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | +0.0 | |
| 8 | 1-7 | PITT | PITT×7 | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 9 | 2-7 | PITT | JVILLE | Kill | Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | set Emersen Strain | +0.0 |
| 10 | 2-8 | JVILLE | PITT | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 11 | 3-8 | PITT | JVILLE | Kill | Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | set Emersen Strain | +0.0 |
| 12 | 3-9 | JVILLE | PITT×4 | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 13 | 3-10 | PITT | PITT×4 | Attack err | Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | blk Abbey Emch, Blaire Bayless | +0.0 |
| 14 | 3-11 | PITT | PITT×4 | Kill | Abbey Emch | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 15 | 3-12 | PITT | PITT×4 | Attack err | Daiangelie Gonzalez | +0.0 | |
| 16 | 4-12 | PITT | JVILLE | Kill | Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | set Jade Cuya Cobos | +0.0 |
| 17 | 4-13 | JVILLE | PITT | Kill | Izzy Starck | set Ayanna Watson | +0.0 |
| 18 | 4-14 | PITT | PITT | Ace | PITT server | aced Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | +0.0 |
| 19 | 5-14 | PITT | JVILLE | Kill | Jade Cuya Cobos | set Elle Kennedy | +0.0 |
| 20 | 5-15 | JVILLE | PITT | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 21 | 5-16 | PITT | PITT | Attack err | Abbie Tuyo | blk Izzy Starck, Jordyn Dailey | +0.0 |
| 22 | 6-16 | PITT | JVILLE×5 | Kill | Daiangelie Gonzalez | set Jade Cuya Cobos | +0.0 |
| 23 | 7-16 | JVILLE | JVILLE×5 | Attack err | Ayanna Watson | +0.0 | |
| 24 | 8-16 | JVILLE | JVILLE×5 | Ace | JVILLE server | aced Ayanna Watson | +0.0 |
| 25 | 9-16 | JVILLE | JVILLE×5 | Attack err | Olivia Babcock | blk Abbie Tuyo, Alija Heins | +0.0 |
| 26 | 10-16 | JVILLE | JVILLE×5 | Kill | Claire Mrukowski | set Elle Kennedy | +0.0 |
| 27 | 10-17 | JVILLE | PITT | Kill | Jordyn Dailey | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 28 | 11-17 | PITT | JVILLE | Kill | Abbie Tuyo | set Emersen Strain | +0.0 |
| 29 | 11-18 | JVILLE | PITT×4 | Kill | Olivia Babcock | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 30 | 11-19 | PITT | PITT×4 | Attack err | Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | blk Jordyn Dailey, Olivia Babcock | +0.0 |
| 31 | 11-20 | PITT | PITT×4 | Attack err | Claire Mrukowski | +0.0 | |
| 32 | 11-21 | PITT | PITT×4 | Ace | PITT server | aced Elle Kennedy | +0.0 |
| 33 | 12-21 | PITT | JVILLE | Serve err | PITT server | +0.0 | |
| 34 | 12-22 | JVILLE | PITT | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Izzy Masten | +0.0 |
| 35 | 13-22 | PITT | JVILLE | Kill | Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | set Emersen Strain | +0.0 |
| 36 | 13-23 | JVILLE | PITT | Attack err | Abbie Tuyo | +0.0 | |
| 37 | 13-24 | PITT | PITT | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| 38 | 14-24 | PITT | JVILLE×3 | Kill | Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | set Jade Cuya Cobos | +0.0 |
| 39 | 15-24 | JVILLE | JVILLE×3 | Ace | JVILLE server | aced Blaire Bayless | +0.0 |
| 40 | 16-24 | JVILLE | JVILLE×3 | Attack err | Blaire Bayless | blk Addison Krieger, Daiangelie Gonzalez | +0.0 |
| 41 | 16-25 | JVILLE | PITT | Kill | Abbey Emch | set Izzy Starck | +0.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | JVILLE | JVILLE×4 | Kill | Alija Heins | set Emersen Strain | +0.0 |
| 2 | 2-0 | JVILLE | JVILLE×4 | Kill | Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | set Emersen Strain | +0.0 |
| 3 | 3-0 | JVILLE | JVILLE×4 | Kill | Abbie Tuyo | set Emersen Strain | +0.0 |
| 4 | 4-0 | JVILLE | JVILLE×4 | Attack err | Sophia Gregoire | +0.0 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | JVILLE | PITT×3 | Kill | Jordyn Dailey | set Haiti Tautua'a | +0.0 |
| 6 | 4-2 | PITT | PITT×3 | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Ayanna Watson | +0.0 |
| 7 | 4-3 | PITT | PITT×3 | Attack err | Alija Heins | blk Jordyn Dailey, Sophia Gregoire | +0.0 |
| 8 | 5-3 | PITT | JVILLE×3 | Kill | Abbie Tuyo | set Emersen Strain | +0.0 |
| 9 | 6-3 | JVILLE | JVILLE×3 | Kill | Claire Mrukowski | set Emersen Strain | +0.0 |
| 10 | 7-3 | JVILLE | JVILLE×3 | Ace | JVILLE server | aced Ayanna Watson | +0.0 |
| 11 | 7-4 | JVILLE | PITT | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Haiti Tautua'a | +0.0 |
| 12 | 7-5 | PITT | PITT | Ace | PITT server | aced Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | +0.0 |
| 13 | 8-5 | PITT | JVILLE | Kill | Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | set Elle Kennedy | +0.0 |
| 14 | 8-6 | JVILLE | PITT | Attack err | Abbie Tuyo | +0.0 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | PITT | JVILLE | Attack err | Abbey Emch | blk Jaylyn Tuiasosopo, Addison Krieger | +0.0 |
| 16 | 9-7 | JVILLE | PITT | Attack err | Addison Krieger | blk Abbey Emch | +0.0 |
| 17 | 10-7 | PITT | JVILLE | Kill | Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | set Jade Cuya Cobos | +0.0 |
| 18 | 10-8 | JVILLE | PITT×3 | Serve err | JVILLE server | +0.0 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | PITT | PITT×3 | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Haiti Tautua'a | +0.0 |
| 20 | 10-10 | PITT | PITT×3 | Kill | Jordyn Dailey | set Haiti Tautua'a | +0.0 |
| 21 | 11-10 | PITT | JVILLE×3 | Serve err | PITT server | +0.0 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | JVILLE | JVILLE×3 | Ace | JVILLE server | aced Blaire Bayless | +0.0 |
| 23 | 13-10 | JVILLE | JVILLE×3 | Kill | Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | set Jade Cuya Cobos | +0.0 |
| 24 | 13-11 | JVILLE | PITT | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Haiti Tautua'a | +0.0 |
| 25 | 14-11 | PITT | JVILLE | Kill | Daiangelie Gonzalez | set Jade Cuya Cobos | +0.0 |
| 26 | 14-12 | JVILLE | PITT | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Haiti Tautua'a | +0.0 |
| 27 | 15-12 | PITT | JVILLE | Kill | Abbie Tuyo | set Emersen Strain | +0.0 |
| 28 | 15-13 | JVILLE | PITT×7 | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Haiti Tautua'a | +0.0 |
| 29 | 15-14 | PITT | PITT×7 | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Haiti Tautua'a | +0.0 |
| 30 | 15-15 | PITT | PITT×7 | Attack err | Claire Mrukowski | blk Blaire Bayless, Abbey Emch | +0.0 |
| 31 | 15-16 | PITT | PITT×7 | Ace | PITT server | aced Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | +0.0 |
| 32 | 15-17 | PITT | PITT×7 | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Haiti Tautua'a | +0.0 |
| 33 | 15-18 | PITT | PITT×7 | Attack err | Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | blk Abbey Emch, Sophia Gregoire | +0.0 |
| 34 | 15-19 | PITT | PITT×7 | Attack err | Claire Mrukowski | blk Abbey Emch, Blaire Bayless | +0.0 |
| 35 | 16-19 | PITT | JVILLE | Attack err | Blaire Bayless | +0.0 | |
| 36 | 16-20 | JVILLE | PITT×3 | Serve err | JVILLE server | +0.0 | |
| 37 | 16-21 | PITT | PITT×3 | Kill | Blaire Bayless | set Izzy Masten | +0.0 |
| 38 | 16-22 | PITT | PITT×3 | Ace | PITT server | aced Abbie Tuyo | +0.0 |
| 39 | 17-22 | PITT | JVILLE | Kill | Claire Mrukowski | set Emersen Strain | +0.0 |
| 40 | 18-22 | JVILLE | JVILLE | Kill | Jaylyn Tuiasosopo | set Elle Kennedy | +0.0 |
| 41 | 18-23 | JVILLE | PITT | Kill | Sophia Gregoire | set Izzy Masten | +0.0 |
| 42 | 18-24 | PITT | PITT | Kill | Ayanna Watson | set Izzy Masten | +0.0 |
| 43 | 19-24 | PITT | JVILLE | Kill | Daiangelie Gonzalez | set Jade Cuya Cobos | +0.0 |
| 44 | 19-25 | JVILLE | PITT | Serve err | JVILLE server | +0.0 | |
Score shown after each rally, Jacksonville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.