Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on ACCNX

Pittsburgh def. Wake Forest 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Pittsburgh 99.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 5:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Pittsburgh won at Wake Forest 3-1 (25-21, 23-25, 25-19, 25-19) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Pittsburgh's Blaire Bayless led with 22 kills, and Izzy Starck added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set1234Sets
PITT252325253
WAKE212519191

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Pittsburgh broke it open with a 7–0 run in the fourth set.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.8 points. Wake Forest peaked at 3% in Set 4. These are the numbers behind it. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Pittsburgh at >99%.

PittsburghWake Forest
  • Break %+9.9 pts
    38.128.2

    On serve: 37/97 against 24/85 (Wake Forest sideout 61.9%).

  • Hitting+.133
    .336.203

    55 kills, 16 errors vs 54 kills, 26 errors.

  • Longest run+3
    74

    7 straight Pittsburgh points in the fourth set turned a 14–15 deficit into a 21–15 lead. That set ended 25–19.

Wake Forest above 50Pittsburgh belowMax swing 0.8%

PittsburghWake Forest

Aces
Pittsburgh 3·Wake Forest 4
Serve err
Pittsburgh 10·Wake Forest 12
Blocks
Pittsburgh 14·Wake Forest 90 BS · 28 BA vs 2 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Pittsburgh 49·Wake Forest 37

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Wake Forest above 50 · Pittsburgh below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100rally 182 · set 4

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: Pittsburgh stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PITT 99.5%0.5% WAKE

Pittsburgh wins

3-0
79.7%
3-1
17.4%
3-2
2.4%

Wake Forest wins

3-0
0.0%
3-1
0.1%
3-2
0.3%
PITT break %
49.8% vs this opp
WAKE break %
30.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
422544.38611241010.523.5
419638.342002110010.519.5
45010.500000100849
4224.00020010073.55.5
4214.250000100424
4003.0003502120031.51.5
44211.182000210426
4000–221100002
41011.000100300001
4000–401900000
3001.000101110000
3000–601300000
Team totals5516116.336523104940281498
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412735.1433037102113
411222.40900000010.511.5
46314.21400110174.510.5
4102.5002212400002
4000–010300001
20110-.10000000010.50.5
413728.21400151010.513.5
410525.2000000002111
4000–222910002
4000–2203300000
3000–000500000
2000–000001011
1112.000000000001
1000–000000000
Team totals5426138.20349412373214984

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 PITT · WAKE 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 4 PITTWAKE 3

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 PITTWAKE 4

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 PITTWAKE 3

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 7 PITTWAKE 2

Bars above the line = Wake Forest leads, below = Pittsburgh leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Pittsburgh

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%12/16
47%9/19
2
80%12/15
20%3/15
3
92%11/12
29%5/17
4
60%9/15
40%6/15
5
53%9/17
31%4/13
6
80%8/10
56%10/18
All
72%61/85
38%37/97

Wake Forest

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%12/16
29%4/14
2
63%12/19
20%3/15
3
69%11/16
14%2/14
4
64%9/14
29%4/14
5
73%8/11
44%7/16
6
38%8/21
33%4/12
All
62%60/97
28%24/85

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#PITT-WAKESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1WAKEWAKEAceWake Forestaced Blaire Bayless
21-1WAKEPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck
31-2PITTWAKEKillSadie Poeckset Emma Keeping
42-2WAKEPITTKillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck
53-2PITTPITTKillJordyn Daileyset Blaire Bayless
63-3PITTWAKEAttack errBlaire Bayless
74-3WAKEPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck
84-4PITTWAKE×3KillLyla Stewartset Becca Bellows
94-5WAKEWAKE×3KillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows
104-6WAKEWAKE×3Attack errSophia Gregoire
115-6WAKEPITTAttack errRyleigh Whitekettle
126-6PITTPITTAceBlaire Baylessaced Andrea Roman
136-7PITTWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Lyla Stewart
147-7WAKEPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Haiti Tautua'a
157-8PITTWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows
168-8WAKEPITTServe errWake Forest
178-9PITTWAKEKillEmma Keepingset Lyla Stewart
189-9WAKEPITTBlockedLyla Stewartblk Jordyn Dailey, Abbey Emch
199-10PITTWAKEKillSadie Poeckset Emma Keeping
209-11WAKEWAKEBlockedAyanna Watsonblk Catherine Burke, Sanaa Williams
2110-11WAKEPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck
2210-12PITTWAKEKillSadie Poeckset Emma Keeping
2311-12WAKEPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Jordyn Dailey
2411-13PITTWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Becca Bellows
2512-13WAKEPITTBlockedRyleigh Whitekettleblk Maaike Heilig, Sophia Gregoire
2612-14PITTWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows
2713-14WAKEPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Haiti Tautua'a
2813-15PITTWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows
2914-15WAKEPITT×4Attack errAmina Ndiaye
3015-15PITTPITT×4KillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck
3116-15PITTPITT×4Bad setEmma Keeping
3217-15PITTPITT×4KillAyanna Watsonset Trinity Thompson
3317-16PITTWAKEKillSadie Poeckset Emma Keeping
3418-16WAKEPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck
3518-17PITTWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Emma Keeping
3619-17WAKEPITTKillJordyn Daileyset Izzy Starck
3720-17PITTPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Trinity Thompson
3820-18PITTWAKEServe errPittsburgh
3921-18WAKEPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck
4021-19PITTWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Sophia Gregoire
4122-19WAKEPITTServe errWake Forest
4222-20PITTWAKEServe errPittsburgh
4322-21WAKEWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows
4423-21WAKEPITT×3KillBlaire Baylessset Haiti Tautua'a
4524-21PITTPITT×3KillAbbey Emchset Haiti Tautua'a
4625-21PITTPITT×3KillAyanna Watsonset Haiti Tautua'a
Set 2
10-1PITTWAKEKillSanaa Williamsset Emma Keeping
21-1WAKEPITTServe errWake Forest
31-2PITTWAKEServe errPittsburgh
42-2WAKEPITTAttack errLyla Stewart
53-2PITTPITTAttack errKelis Hawkins
63-3PITTWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Becca Bellows
74-3WAKEPITTAttack errAmina Ndiaye
84-4PITTWAKE×3KillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows
94-5WAKEWAKE×3KillSanaa Williamsset Haiti Tautua'a
104-6WAKEWAKE×3AceWake Forestaced Sophia Gregoire
115-6WAKEPITTKillIzzy Masten
125-7PITTWAKEServe errPittsburgh
135-8WAKEWAKEBlockedSophia Gregoireblk Sanaa Williams, Amina Ndiaye
146-8WAKEPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Haiti Tautua'a
156-9PITTWAKEKillSanaa Williamsset Emma Keeping
166-10WAKEWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Emma Keeping
177-10WAKEPITTBlockedLyla Stewartblk Sophia Gregoire, Abbey Emch
188-10PITTPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Trinity Thompson
198-11PITTWAKEBlockedJordyn Daileyblk Sanaa Williams, Lyla Stewart
209-11WAKEPITT×3KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck
2110-11PITTPITT×3KillBlaire Baylessset Jordyn Dailey
2211-11PITTPITT×3BlockedLyla Stewartblk Jordyn Dailey, Abbey Emch
2311-12PITTWAKEKillSadie Poeckset Emma Keeping
2411-13WAKEWAKEKillKelis Hawkins
2512-13WAKEPITTBlockedLyla Stewartblk Abbey Emch, Jordyn Dailey
2612-14PITTWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows
2713-14WAKEPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck
2813-15PITTWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows
2914-15WAKEPITTAttack errSanaa Williams
3015-15PITTPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck
3115-16PITTWAKE×4KillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows
3215-17WAKEWAKE×4KillSanaa Williams
3315-18WAKEWAKE×4AceEmma Keeping
3415-19WAKEWAKE×4BlockedAyanna Watsonblk Sadie Poeck, Sanaa Williams
3516-19WAKEPITTServe errEmma Keeping
3617-19PITTPITTAttack errAmina Ndiaye
3717-20PITTWAKEKillSanaa Williamsset Emma Keeping
3818-20WAKEPITT×4Attack errSadie Poeck
3919-20PITTPITT×4Attack errLyla Stewart
4020-20PITTPITT×4BlockedLyla Stewartblk Jordyn Dailey, Abbey Emch
4121-20PITTPITT×4Bad setEmma Keeping
4221-21PITTWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Andrea Roman
4321-22WAKEWAKEAttack errAyanna Watson
4422-22WAKEPITTKillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck
4522-23PITTWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Emma Keeping
4622-24WAKEWAKEAttack errBlaire Bayless
4723-24WAKEPITTServe errWake Forest
4823-25PITTWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows
Set 3
10-1WAKEWAKEKillSadie Poeckset Emma Keeping
21-1WAKEPITTKillSophia Gregoireset Izzy Starck
31-2PITTWAKEServe errPittsburgh
42-2WAKEPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck
52-3PITTWAKEKillSadie Poeckset Emma Keeping
63-3WAKEPITT×4Serve errWake Forest
74-3PITTPITT×4BlockedRyleigh Whitekettleblk Maaike Heilig, Blaire Bayless
85-3PITTPITT×4BlockedCatherine Burkeblk Izzy Starck, Maaike Heilig
96-3PITTPITT×4KillMaaike Heiligset Catherine Burke
106-4PITTWAKEServe errPittsburgh
116-5WAKEWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Lyla Stewart
127-5WAKEPITTServe errWake Forest
138-5PITTPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck
148-6PITTWAKEAttack errAyanna Watson
158-7WAKEWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows
169-7WAKEPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck
179-8PITTWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows
1810-8WAKEPITTBlockedAmina Ndiayeblk Abbey Emch, Izzy Starck
1910-9PITTWAKEServe errPittsburgh
2011-9WAKEPITTKillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck
2111-10PITTWAKEKillSanaa Williamsset Emma Keeping
2212-10WAKEPITTKillSophia Gregoireset Izzy Starck
2313-10PITTPITTKillMaaike Heilig
2413-11PITTWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Emma Keeping
2514-11WAKEPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck
2615-11PITTPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Marina Pezelj
2715-12PITTWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Becca Bellows
2816-12WAKEPITTServe errWake Forest
2917-12PITTPITTAttack errRyleigh Whitekettle
3017-13PITTWAKE×3KillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows
3117-14WAKEWAKE×3AceAndrea Romanaced Marina Pezelj
3217-15WAKEWAKE×3BlockedAyanna Watsonblk Ryleigh Whitekettle, Sanaa Williams
3318-15WAKEPITTServe errAndrea Roman
3418-16PITTWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows
3519-16WAKEPITT×3KillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck
3620-16PITTPITT×3BlockedAmina Ndiayeblk Abbey Emch, Jordyn Dailey
3721-16PITTPITT×3Attack errSanaa Williams
3821-17PITTWAKEKillSadie Poeckset Emma Keeping
3922-17WAKEPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck
4022-18PITTWAKEKillSadie Poeckset Emma Keeping
4123-18WAKEPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck
4224-18PITTPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Trinity Thompson
4324-19PITTWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Emma Keeping
4425-19WAKEPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck
Set 4
10-1PITTWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Emma Keeping
20-2WAKEWAKEAttack errAyanna Watson
31-2WAKEPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck
41-3PITTWAKEKillSadie Poeckset Emma Keeping
52-3WAKEPITTKillSophia Gregoireset Izzy Starck
62-4PITTWAKEBlockedBlaire Baylessblk Camille McCoy
72-5WAKEWAKEAttack errBlaire Bayless
83-5WAKEPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck
93-6PITTWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows
104-6WAKEPITTServe errAndrea Roman
114-7PITTWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows
125-7WAKEPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Masten
136-7PITTPITTBlockedSanaa Williamsblk Izzy Starck, Maaike Heilig
146-8PITTWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Andrea Roman
156-9WAKEWAKEBlockedMaaike Heiligblk Lyla Stewart, Sanaa Williams
167-9WAKEPITTServe errAmina Ndiaye
177-10PITTWAKEKillSadie Poeckset Emma Keeping
188-10WAKEPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck
199-10PITTPITTKillSophia Gregoireset Izzy Starck
209-11PITTWAKEServe errIzzy Starck
2110-11WAKEPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck
2210-12PITTWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows
2311-12WAKEPITT×3KillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck
2412-12PITTPITT×3Attack errRyleigh Whitekettle
2513-12PITTPITT×3BlockedAmina Ndiayeblk Jordyn Dailey, Sophia Gregoire
2613-13PITTWAKEKillAmina Ndiayeset Becca Bellows
2713-14WAKEWAKEBlockedJordyn Daileyblk Sanaa Williams
2814-14WAKEPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck
2914-15PITTWAKEBlockedBlaire Baylessblk Ryleigh Whitekettle, Sanaa Williams
3015-15WAKEPITT×7KillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck
3116-15PITTPITT×7AceMallorie Meyeraced Amina Ndiaye
3217-15PITTPITT×7KillAyanna Watsonset Mallorie Meyer
3318-15PITTPITT×7KillAyanna Watsonset Mallorie Meyer
3419-15PITTPITT×7AceMallorie Meyeraced Lyla Stewart
3520-15PITTPITT×7BlockedSadie Poeckblk Jordyn Dailey, Ayanna Watson
3621-15PITTPITT×7KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck
3721-16PITTWAKEServe errMallorie Meyer
3822-16WAKEPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck
3922-17PITTWAKEServe errHaiti Tautua'a
4023-17WAKEPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck
4123-18PITTWAKEKillLyla Stewartset Emma Keeping
4224-18WAKEPITTServe errBecca Bellows
4324-19PITTWAKEKillRyleigh Whitekettleset Becca Bellows
4425-19WAKEPITTBlockedAmina Ndiayeblk Sophia Gregoire, Abbey Emch

Score shown after each rally, Pittsburgh first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).