FinalSun, Nov 8, 2026Watch on ACCNX

Pittsburgh def. North Carolina 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Pittsburgh 94.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 8, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Pittsburgh beat visiting North Carolina 3-0 (25-20, 25-14, 25-19) on Sun, Nov 8, 2026. Pittsburgh's Olivia Babcock led with 15 kills, and Izzy Starck added 15 digs.

Data through · final Nov 8

Set123Sets
UNC2014190
PITT2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

15 kills in 3 sets for Olivia Babcock. Pittsburgh swept North Carolina.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.2 points, and North Carolina's high was 8% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Pittsburgh at 94%.

North CarolinaPittsburgh
  • Break %+21.8 pts
    24.145.9

    34 of 74 on serve vs 13 of 54, so North Carolina's sideout was 54.1%.

  • Hitting+.215
    .174.389

    46 K / 9 E against 34 K / 15 E.

Pittsburgh above 50North Carolina belowMax swing 1.2%

North CarolinaPittsburgh

Aces
North Carolina 3·Pittsburgh 4
Serve err
North Carolina 9·Pittsburgh 7
Blocks
North Carolina 7.5·Pittsburgh 70 BS · 15 BA vs 0 BS · 14 BA
Digs
North Carolina 29·Pittsburgh 46

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Pittsburgh above 50 · North Carolina below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.2% UNCrally 128 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.2% to North Carolina — set 1, UNC 8-6 PITT. Ace by Julia Bohlinger on Ayanna Watson. PITT win probability 93% → 92%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UNC 5.1%94.9% PITT

North Carolina wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.4%
3-2
3.1%

Pittsburgh wins

3-0
55.1%
3-1
29.8%
3-2
10.0%
UNC break %
33.9% vs this opp
PITT break %
46.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ace by Julia Bohlinger on Ayanna Watson

    Set 1 · UNC 8-6 PITT · UNC 7% → 8%

  2. 02

    Kill by Chelsea Thorpe (set by Zoe Behrendt)

    Set 1 · UNC 16-17 PITT · UNC 4% → 6%

  3. 03
    Safi HamptonKill+1.1%

    Kill by Safi Hampton (set by Laynie Smith)

    Set 1 · UNC 5-3 PITT · UNC 7% → 8%

  4. 04

    Kill by Olivia Babcock (set by Izzy Starck)

    Set 1 · UNC 8-8 PITT · PITT 93% → 94%

  5. 05
    Jackie TaylorAttack error+1.0%

    Attack error by Jackie Taylor

    Set 1 · UNC 10-11 PITT · PITT 93% → 94%

  6. 06
    Laynie SmithAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Laynie Smith

    Set 1 · UNC 6-6 PITT · PITT 93% → 94%

  7. 07
    Chelsea ThorpeAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Chelsea Thorpe

    Set 1 · UNC 16-19 PITT · PITT 95% → 96%

  8. 08

    Olivia Babcock stuffed by Safi Hampton & Laynie Smith & Meghan Clifford

    Set 1 · UNC 4-3 PITT · UNC 6% → 7%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37326.154001410218
38219.316001300008
36116.313002100428
35727-.074100100216
3407.57100000031.55.5
3000–1600500000
34214.143100100426
3000–2301100003
3000–003130000
3000–1302200000
Team totals3415109.17433392940157.553
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315433.3331129004218
313224.45840030010.513.5
38221.2860204202111
3416.50000000052.56.5
3407.571101100215
3204.50032031500002
3000–211600001
3000–300510000
3000–000000000
3000–200300000
2000–000000000
Team totals46995.3894547463014775

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 UNC · PITT 4

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 UNCPITT 4

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 UNCPITT 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 UNCPITT 3

Bars above the line = Pittsburgh leads, below = North Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

North Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%8/19
33%3/9
2
53%8/15
11%1/9
3
64%7/11
0%0/8
4
55%6/11
30%3/10
5
60%6/10
0%0/6
6
63%5/8
50%6/12
All
54%40/74
24%13/54

Pittsburgh

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%8/10
56%9/16
2
100%8/8
47%7/15
3
70%7/10
46%6/13
4
100%6/6
33%3/9
5
60%6/10
45%5/11
6
60%6/10
40%4/10
All
76%41/54
46%34/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#UNC-PITTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1PITTPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Trinity Thompson+0.7
21-1PITTUNCKillBridget Maloneset Zoe Behrendt+0.5
31-2UNCPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+0.4
42-2PITTUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+0.5
52-3UNCPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.5
63-3PITTUNC×3KillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt+0.5
74-3UNCUNC×3BlockedOlivia Babcockblk Safi Hampton, Laynie Smith, Meghan Clifford+0.9
85-3UNCUNC×3KillSafi Hamptonset Laynie Smith+1.1
95-4UNCPITTServe errSienna Cozza+0.6
106-4PITTUNCBlockedOlivia Babcockblk Safi Hampton, Meghan Clifford+0.8
116-5UNCPITTKillJordyn Daileyset Izzy Starck+0.6
126-6PITTPITTAttack errLaynie Smith+0.9
137-6PITTUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Sienna Cozza+0.7
148-6UNCUNCAceJulia Bohlingeraced Ayanna Watson+1.2
158-7UNCPITTKillJordyn Daileyset Izzy Starck+0.7
168-8PITTPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+1.0
179-8PITTUNCServe errPittsburgh+0.8
189-9UNCPITTKillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck+0.7
1910-9PITTUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.8
2010-10UNCPITT×4Serve errNorth Carolina+0.7
2110-11PITTPITT×4Attack errJackie Taylor+1.0
2210-12PITTPITT×4AceAyanna Watsonaced Carly Markham+0.9
2310-13PITTPITT×4KillOlivia Babcockset Blaire Bayless+0.7
2411-13PITTUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.4
2511-14UNCPITTKillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck+0.5
2612-14PITTUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.5
2712-15UNCPITTBlockedSafi Hamptonblk Jordyn Dailey, Olivia Babcock+0.5
2813-15PITTUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Sienna Cozza+0.5
2913-16UNCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.5
3014-16PITTUNCKillMeghan Cliffordset Sienna Cozza+0.5
3114-17UNCPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+0.5
3215-17PITTUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+0.5
3316-17UNCUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+1.1
3416-18UNCPITT×4KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+0.8
3516-19PITTPITT×4Attack errChelsea Thorpe+0.9
3616-20PITTPITT×4Attack errBridget Malone+0.6
3716-21PITTPITT×4Attack errChelsea Thorpe+0.3
3817-21PITTUNCServe errPittsburgh+0.1
3917-22UNCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.2
4018-22PITTUNCKillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt+0.1
4118-23UNCPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Marina Pezelj+0.2
4218-24PITTPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Jordyn Dailey+0.1
4319-24PITTUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt·
4420-24UNCUNCBlockedBlaire Baylessblk Laynie Smith, Meghan Clifford·
4520-25UNCPITTServe errNorth Carolina+0.1
Set 2
11-0UNCUNCKillBridget Maloneset Zoe Behrendt+0.5
21-1UNCPITTAttack errChelsea Thorpe+0.3
32-1PITTUNCServe errPittsburgh+0.4
42-2UNCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Masten+0.3
52-3PITTPITTAcePittsburghaced Carly Markham+0.5
63-3PITTUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt+0.3
73-4UNCPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.3
83-5PITTPITTAcePittsburghaced Carly Markham+0.4
94-5PITTUNCServe errPittsburgh+0.3
104-6UNCPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.3
115-6PITTUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+0.3
125-7UNCPITTKillJordyn Daileyset Izzy Starck+0.3
135-8PITTPITTAttack errLaynie Smith+0.4
146-8PITTUNCKillBridget Maloneset Sienna Cozza+0.3
157-8UNCUNCKillJackie Taylor+0.5
167-9UNCPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Masten+0.3
177-10PITTPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.4
188-10PITTUNCKillBridget Maloneset Sienna Cozza+0.3
198-11UNCPITT×4KillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck+0.3
208-12PITTPITT×4KillAyanna Watsonset Olivia Babcock+0.3
218-13PITTPITT×4BlockedBridget Maloneblk Olivia Babcock, Abbey Emch+0.2
228-14PITTPITT×4KillBlaire Baylessset Trinity Thompson+0.2
239-14PITTUNCAttack errOlivia Babcock+0.1
249-15UNCPITT×3BlockedChelsea Thorpeblk Ayanna Watson, Abbey Emch+0.1
259-16PITTPITT×3BlockedSafi Hamptonblk Olivia Babcock, Abbey Emch+0.1
269-17PITTPITT×3BlockedChelsea Thorpeblk Blaire Bayless, Abbey Emch+0.1
2710-17PITTUNCKillJackie Taylorset Chelsea Thorpe·
2810-18UNCPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck·
2911-18PITTUNCKillMeghan Cliffordset Zoe Behrendt·
3011-19UNCPITT×4KillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck·
3111-20PITTPITT×4KillBlaire Baylessset Marina Pezelj·
3211-21PITTPITT×4AceOlivia Babcockaced Safi Hampton·
3311-22PITTPITT×4KillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck·
3412-22PITTUNCKillSafi Hamptonset Sienna Cozza·
3512-23UNCPITTServe errSafi Hampton·
3612-24PITTPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck·
3713-24PITTUNCKillBridget Maloneset Sienna Cozza·
3814-24UNCUNCBlockedAyanna Watsonblk Jackie Taylor, Laynie Smith·
3914-25UNCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck·
Set 3
11-0PITTUNCKillBridget Maloneset Julia Bohlinger+0.2
21-1UNCPITTServe errCarly Markham+0.1
32-1PITTUNCBlockedBlaire Baylessblk Chelsea Thorpe, Jackie Taylor+0.2
42-2UNCPITTServe errJackie Taylor+0.1
53-2PITTUNCKillMeghan Cliffordset Zoe Behrendt+0.2
63-3UNCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Masten+0.2
73-4PITTPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.2
84-4PITTUNCServe errOlivia Babcock+0.2
94-5UNCPITTKillIzzy Starckset Blaire Bayless+0.1
105-5PITTUNC×4KillBridget Maloneset Sienna Cozza+0.2
116-5UNCUNC×4AceJulia Bohlingeraced Ayanna Watson+0.3
127-5UNCUNC×4AceJulia Bohlingeraced Izzy Masten+0.3
138-5UNCUNC×4KillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+0.4
148-6UNCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.2
158-7PITTPITTKillAyanna Watsonset Blaire Bayless+0.3
169-7PITTUNCBlockedAyanna Watsonblk Jackie Taylor, Laynie Smith+0.2
1710-7UNCUNCKillBridget Maloneset Julia Bohlinger+0.4
1810-8UNCPITT×3KillAbbey Emchset Izzy Starck+0.2
1910-9PITTPITT×3KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+0.3
2010-10PITTPITT×3KillAyanna Watsonset Izzy Starck+0.3
2111-10PITTUNCBlockedAbbey Emchblk Jackie Taylor, Chelsea Thorpe+0.2
2212-10UNCUNCAttack errOlivia Babcock+0.4
2312-11UNCPITTServe errCarly Markham+0.2
2412-12PITTPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.3
2513-12PITTUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt+0.3
2613-13UNCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.2
2713-14PITTPITTAttack errChelsea Thorpe+0.3
2814-14PITTUNCKillMeghan Cliffordset Zoe Behrendt+0.2
2914-15UNCPITTKillJordyn Daileyset Izzy Starck+0.2
3014-16PITTPITTKillBlaire Baylessset Izzy Starck+0.3
3115-16PITTUNCServe errOlivia Babcock+0.2
3215-17UNCPITTKillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.2
3315-18PITTPITTBad setLaynie Smith+0.2
3416-18PITTUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza+0.1
3516-19UNCPITTKillIzzy Starckset Izzy Starck+0.2
3617-19PITTUNCKillJackie Taylorset Sienna Cozza+0.1
3717-20UNCPITT×3KillOlivia Babcockset Izzy Starck+0.2
3817-21PITTPITT×3KillOlivia Babcockset Blaire Bayless+0.2
3917-22PITTPITT×3BlockedChelsea Thorpeblk Ayanna Watson, Abbey Emch+0.1
4018-22PITTUNCServe errIzzy Starck·
4118-23UNCPITTServe errBridget Malone·
4219-23PITTUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt·
4319-24UNCPITTServe errJackie Taylor·
4419-25PITTPITTBlockedSafi Hamptonblk Jordyn Dailey, Olivia Babcock·

Score shown after each rally, North Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).