Iowa St. at Hawaii

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

IOWAST 36.2%63.8% HAWAII

Iowa St. wins

3-0

7.5%

3-1

13.0%

3-2

15.7%

Hawaii wins

3-0

19.3%

3-1

24.4%

3-2

20.0%

IOWAST break %: 37.9% vs this opp
HAWAII break %: 40.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.