Iowa State vs Cincinnati Volleyball: Iowa State Wins 3-1

Final · 4 setsSun, Oct 11, 2026ESPN+

3:1

RallyIQ pre-match: Cincinnati 61.1% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 11, 11:51 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Iowa St. won at Cincinnati 3-1 (25-17, 25-18, 17-25, 25-20) on Sun, Oct 11, 2026. Iowa St.'s Mesaiya Bettis led with 14 kills, and Rachel Van Gorp added 21 digs.

Data through Nov 4, 2:50 PM CT · final Oct 11

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
IOWAST	25	25	17	25	3
CINCY	17	18	25	20	1

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Iowa St. trailed 4–8 in the second and took that set, dropped the third, and won the match 3–1.

The match turned twice; each line shows Iowa St.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, Cincinnati was RallyIQ's 61% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · Iowa St. 9–12 Cincinnati
6 straight Iowa St. points turned a 9–12 deficit into a 15–12 lead.
Iowa St. 51% → 72%
Turning point 2: Set 4 · Iowa St. 4–3 Cincinnati
5 straight Iowa St. points stretched a 4–3 lead to 9–3.
Iowa St. 74% → 92%

Cincinnati above 50Iowa St. belowMax swing 6.6%

Iowa St.Cincinnati

Sideout %: Iowa St. 58.0·Cincinnati 50.5
Break %: Iowa St. 49.5·Cincinnati 42.0
Hitting: Iowa St. .184·Cincinnati .175
Longest run: Iowa St. 6·Cincinnati 4

Macie Lupkes
2 kills on .000, 2.5 points; 2 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Cincinnati above 50 · Iowa St. below

Biggest swing: 6.6% to Iowa St. — set 4, IOWAST 21-18 CINCY. Kill by Daaliyah Kemp (set by Ella Florez). CINCY win probability 15% → 9%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IOWAST 39.9%60.1% CINCY

Iowa St. wins

3-0

8.7%

3-1

14.5%

3-2

16.6%

Cincinnati wins

3-0

17.3%

3-1

23.0%

3-2

19.9%

IOWAST break %: 40.1% vs this opp
CINCY break %: 42.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Daaliyah KempKill+6.6%
Kill by Daaliyah Kemp (set by Ella Florez)
Set 4 · IOWAST 21-18 CINCY · IOWAST 85% → 91%
02
Lilian EntenmannKill+6.1%
Kill by Lilian Entenmann (set by Kate Lijic)
Set 4 · IOWAST 19-18 CINCY · CINCY 15% → 21%
03
Nayeli Ti'aKill+5.3%
Kill by Nayeli Ti'a (set by Ava Martin)
Set 4 · IOWAST 20-18 CINCY · IOWAST 79% → 85%
04
Iowa St.Ace+4.8%
Iowa St. ace
Set 4 · IOWAST 22-18 CINCY · IOWAST 91% → 96%
05
Nina ScruccaKill+4.5%
Kill by Nina Scrucca (set by Viktoria Ninova)
Set 4 · IOWAST 15-13 CINCY · CINCY 13% → 18%
06
Nayeli GonzalezKill+4.2%
Kill by Nayeli Gonzalez (set by Ava Martin)
Set 4 · IOWAST 19-16 CINCY · IOWAST 84% → 89%
07
Nayeli Ti'aKill+4.2%
Kill by Nayeli Ti'a (set by Rachel Van Gorp)
Set 4 · IOWAST 11-7 CINCY · IOWAST 83% → 87%
08
Nayeli GonzalezKill+4.1%
Kill by Nayeli Gonzalez (set by Rachel Van Gorp)
Set 2 · IOWAST 14-12 CINCY · IOWAST 64% → 68%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Iowa St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Mesaiya BettisOH	4	14	6	42	.190	3	1	1	9	1	1	1	1.5	16.5
20Nayeli Ti'aOH	4	13	4	32	.281	1	1	2	9	0	1	1	1.5	15.5
14Nayeli GonzalezOH	4	9	4	26	.192	1	3	3	6	0	0	0	0	12
1Pam McCuneMB	4	2	4	10	-.200	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2.5	4.5
11Ella FlorezS	4	1	2	8	-.125	24	2	1	10	0	1	0	1	4
8Macie LupkesMB	4	2	2	11	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
4Reagan HanfeltMB	4	3	0	6	.500	0	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	5
10Rachel Van GorpL/DS	4	0	0	3	.000	7	0	1	21	0	0	0	0	0
5Daaliyah KempMB	3	7	0	13	.538	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7
17Ava MartinS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	7	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		51	23	152	.184	43	10	10	59	6	5	4	7	92

Cincinnatihome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Sydney NolanOH	4	10	4	38	.158	0	1	1	3	0	1	0	1	12
8Ligia WilliamsOH	4	5	1	12	.333	0	0	0	0	0	3	1	3.5	8.5
5Lilian EntenmannMB	4	4	1	9	.333	0	1	2	4	0	1	3	2.5	7.5
7Andrea SimovskiOH	4	7	3	26	.154	0	0	2	11	3	0	0	0	7
1Ava LedebuhrL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
0Andi SpiesS	2	1	1	4	.000	11	0	2	3	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
11Nina ScruccaOPP	4	9	7	30	.067	0	0	2	5	0	0	3	1.5	10.5
21Viktoria NinovaL/DS	4	0	0	2	.000	1	3	2	15	0	0	0	0	3
9Kayla HostetlerL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	6	2	0	0	0	0
6Kate LijicS	3	3	0	5	.600	22	1	1	8	0	0	0	0	4
18Tatjana SimeunovicMB	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	17	126	.175	35	6	12	60	10	5	8	9	80

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Iowa St. vs Cincinnati

Season series · Iowa St. leads 1-0

Sun, Oct 11, 2026Iowa St. at Cincinnati · Iowa St. won 3-1This match
Mon, Nov 16, 2026Cincinnati at Iowa St.Preview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 IOWAST · CINCY 4

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 6 IOWASTCINCY 4

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 6 IOWASTCINCY 3

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 3 IOWASTCINCY 3

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 5 IOWASTCINCY 4

Bars above the line = Cincinnati leads, below = Iowa St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Iowa St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%10/15	60%12/20
2	56%9/16	40%6/15
3	57%8/14	40%6/15
4	62%8/13	58%11/19
5	55%6/11	33%3/9
6	50%6/12	54%7/13
All	58%47/81	49%45/91

Cincinnati

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%10/20	38%5/13
2	69%9/13	50%10/20
3	38%8/21	11%1/9
4	70%7/10	47%7/15
5	60%6/10	50%7/14
6	35%6/17	40%4/10
All	51%46/91	42%34/81

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

172 rallies

#	IOWAST-CINCY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ella Florez	+1.7
2	2-0	IOWAST	IOWAST	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		+2.6
3	2-1	IOWAST	CINCY×3	Attack err	Mesaiya Bettis		+1.7
4	2-2	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+2.5
5	2-3	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Macie Lupkes		+2.5
6	3-3	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+1.8
7	4-3	IOWAST	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Andi Spies	+2.7
8	4-4	IOWAST	CINCY	Serve err	Iowa St.		+1.8
9	5-4	CINCY	IOWAST×5	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+1.9
10	6-4	IOWAST	IOWAST×5	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Andi Spies	+2.8
11	7-4	IOWAST	IOWAST×5	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Ella Florez	+2.8
12	8-4	IOWAST	IOWAST×5	Blocked	Lilian Entenmann	blk Pam McCune	+2.6
13	9-4	IOWAST	IOWAST×5	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Ella Florez	+2.4
14	9-5	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Andi Spies	+1.3
15	10-5	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+1.7
16	10-6	IOWAST	CINCY×4	Serve err	Iowa St.		+1.3
17	10-7	CINCY	CINCY×4	Attack err	Ella Florez		+2.3
18	10-8	CINCY	CINCY×4	Blocked	Nayeli Ti'a	blk Ligia Williams	+2.7
19	10-9	CINCY	CINCY×4	Blocked	Pam McCune	blk Ligia Williams	+3.0
20	11-9	CINCY	IOWAST	Serve err	Cincinnati		+2.3
21	12-9	IOWAST	IOWAST	Attack err	Nina Scrucca		+3.2
22	12-10	IOWAST	CINCY	Bad set	Nayeli Ti'a		+1.9
23	12-11	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Andi Spies	+3.1
24	13-11	CINCY	IOWAST×6	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ella Florez	+2.4
25	14-11	IOWAST	IOWAST×6	Attack err	Andrea Simovski		+3.3
26	15-11	IOWAST	IOWAST×6	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Ella Florez	+3.0
27	16-11	IOWAST	IOWAST×6	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Ella Florez	+2.5
28	17-11	IOWAST	IOWAST×6	Bad set	Andrea Simovski		+1.9
29	18-11	IOWAST	IOWAST×6	Blocked	Ligia Williams	blk Nayeli Ti'a, Macie Lupkes	+1.3
30	18-12	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Andi Spies	+0.5
31	19-12	CINCY	IOWAST	Attack err	Andi Spies		+0.8
32	19-13	IOWAST	CINCY×3	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Andi Spies	+0.5
33	19-14	CINCY	CINCY×3	Ace	Cincinnati		+1.0
34	19-15	CINCY	CINCY×3	Ace	Cincinnati		+1.6
35	20-15	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Nayeli Gonzalez	+1.6
36	20-16	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Lilian Entenmann	set Andi Spies	+1.0
37	21-16	CINCY	IOWAST×4	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+1.6
38	22-16	IOWAST	IOWAST×4	Ace	Iowa St.		+1.3
39	23-16	IOWAST	IOWAST×4	Ace	Iowa St.		+0.6
40	24-16	IOWAST	IOWAST×4	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Rachel Van Gorp	+0.2
41	24-17	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Nayeli Gonzalez	·
42	25-17	CINCY	IOWAST	Blocked	Sydney Nolan	blk Pam McCune	·
Set 2
1	1-0	IOWAST	IOWAST	Ace	Iowa St.		+2.9
2	1-1	IOWAST	CINCY	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		+1.9
3	1-2	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Nayeli Ti'a		+2.8
4	2-2	CINCY	IOWAST	Serve err	Cincinnati		+2.0
5	2-3	IOWAST	CINCY	Serve err	Iowa St.		+2.0
6	3-3	CINCY	IOWAST	Serve err	Cincinnati		+2.0
7	3-4	IOWAST	CINCY×3	Blocked	Ella Florez	blk Sydney Nolan	+2.0
8	3-5	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Andi Spies	+2.9
9	3-6	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Nayeli Gonzalez		+2.7
10	4-6	CINCY	IOWAST	Serve err	Cincinnati		+1.7
11	4-7	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Andi Spies	+1.9
12	4-8	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Mesaiya Bettis		+2.4
13	5-8	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+1.5
14	5-9	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Andi Spies	+1.7
15	6-9	CINCY	IOWAST×4	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Rachel Van Gorp	+1.5
16	7-9	IOWAST	IOWAST×4	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Ella Florez	+2.6
17	8-9	IOWAST	IOWAST×4	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Ella Florez	+3.0
18	9-9	IOWAST	IOWAST×4	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Rachel Van Gorp	+3.4
19	9-10	IOWAST	CINCY×3	Kill	Andi Spies		+2.4
20	9-11	CINCY	CINCY×3	Blocked	Nayeli Ti'a	blk Ligia Williams, Andi Spies	+3.4
21	9-12	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Nayeli Gonzalez		+3.1
22	10-12	CINCY	IOWAST×6	Serve err	Cincinnati		+1.9
23	11-12	IOWAST	IOWAST×6	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Ella Florez	+3.3
24	12-12	IOWAST	IOWAST×6	Kill	Macie Lupkes	set Ella Florez	+3.7
25	13-12	IOWAST	IOWAST×6	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		+4.0
26	14-12	IOWAST	IOWAST×6	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Rachel Van Gorp	+4.1
27	15-12	IOWAST	IOWAST×6	Kill	Macie Lupkes		+3.9
28	15-13	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+2.3
29	16-13	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ella Florez	+2.8
30	16-14	IOWAST	CINCY	Blocked	Mesaiya Bettis	blk Lilian Entenmann	+2.3
31	17-14	CINCY	IOWAST	Serve err	Cincinnati		+2.9
32	18-14	IOWAST	IOWAST	Ace	Iowa St.	aced Andrea Simovski	+3.6
33	18-15	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Andi Spies	+1.8
34	19-15	CINCY	IOWAST×3	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+2.5
35	20-15	IOWAST	IOWAST×3	Attack err	Andrea Simovski		+2.7
36	21-15	IOWAST	IOWAST×3	Attack err	Nina Scrucca		+1.7
37	21-16	IOWAST	CINCY×3	Serve err	Iowa St.		+0.6
38	21-17	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+1.4
39	21-18	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+2.3
40	22-18	CINCY	IOWAST×4	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Nayeli Ti'a	+2.5
41	23-18	IOWAST	IOWAST×4	Kill	Daaliyah Kemp	set Ava Martin	+2.1
42	24-18	IOWAST	IOWAST×4	Kill	Daaliyah Kemp	set Ava Martin	+0.8
43	25-18	IOWAST	IOWAST×4	Ace	Iowa St.	aced Kayla Hostetler	+0.2
Set 3
1	0-1	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+2.1
2	1-1	CINCY	IOWAST×3	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Ella Florez	+1.5
3	2-1	IOWAST	IOWAST×3	Attack err	Nina Scrucca		+2.2
4	3-1	IOWAST	IOWAST×3	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez		+2.3
5	3-2	IOWAST	CINCY	Blocked	Mesaiya Bettis	blk Nina Scrucca, Lilian Entenmann	+1.5
6	3-3	CINCY	CINCY	Blocked	Mesaiya Bettis	blk Nina Scrucca, Lilian Entenmann	+2.2
7	4-3	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+1.6
8	4-4	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+1.6
9	4-5	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Cincinnati		+2.3
10	5-5	CINCY	IOWAST	Serve err	Cincinnati		+1.6
11	6-5	IOWAST	IOWAST	Ace	Iowa St.	aced Kayla Hostetler	+2.5
12	6-6	IOWAST	CINCY	Serve err	Iowa St.		+1.6
13	7-6	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Mesaiya Bettis	+1.7
14	7-7	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+1.7
15	7-8	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Nayeli Gonzalez		+2.5
16	8-8	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Ella Florez	+1.7
17	8-9	IOWAST	CINCY	Serve err	Iowa St.		+1.8
18	8-10	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Kate Lijic	set Nayeli Gonzalez	+2.5
19	9-10	CINCY	IOWAST	Serve err	Cincinnati		+1.6
20	9-11	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.8
21	10-11	CINCY	IOWAST	Attack err	Nina Scrucca		+1.7
22	10-12	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+1.8
23	10-13	CINCY	CINCY	Attack err	Nayeli Gonzalez		+2.4
24	11-13	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Rachel Van Gorp	+1.5
25	11-14	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	+1.7
26	12-14	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Pam McCune	set Ella Florez	+1.5
27	12-15	IOWAST	CINCY×3	Serve err	Iowa St.		+1.8
28	12-16	CINCY	CINCY×3	Attack err	Pam McCune		+2.2
29	12-17	CINCY	CINCY×3	Kill	Kate Lijic	set Kayla Hostetler	+1.7
30	13-17	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Daaliyah Kemp	set Ava Martin	+0.8
31	13-18	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+1.1
32	14-18	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Daaliyah Kemp	set Ava Martin	+0.8
33	14-19	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+1.1
34	14-20	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Cincinnati		+1.0
35	15-20	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Reagan Hanfelt	set Rachel Van Gorp	+0.4
36	15-21	IOWAST	CINCY	Attack err	Nayeli Ti'a		+0.6
37	15-22	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Lilian Entenmann	set Kate Lijic	+0.4
38	16-22	CINCY	IOWAST	Serve err	Cincinnati		+0.1
39	16-23	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+0.2
40	16-24	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Cincinnati		+0.1
41	17-24	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Reagan Hanfelt	set Ella Florez	·
42	17-25	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Kate Lijic	·
Set 4
1	0-1	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Lilian Entenmann	set Kate Lijic	+2.5
2	0-2	CINCY	CINCY	Blocked	Mesaiya Bettis	blk Nina Scrucca, Lilian Entenmann	+3.6
3	1-2	CINCY	IOWAST×4	Kill	Reagan Hanfelt	set Rachel Van Gorp	+2.4
4	2-2	IOWAST	IOWAST×4	Blocked	Nina Scrucca	blk Mesaiya Bettis, Pam McCune	+3.8
5	3-2	IOWAST	IOWAST×4	Attack err	Andrea Simovski		+4.0
6	4-2	IOWAST	IOWAST×4	Ace	Iowa St.	aced Andrea Simovski	+4.1
7	4-3	IOWAST	CINCY	Serve err	Iowa St.		+2.6
8	5-3	CINCY	IOWAST×5	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Ella Florez	+2.9
9	6-3	IOWAST	IOWAST×5	Kill	Ella Florez	set Tatjana Simeunovic	+4.1
10	7-3	IOWAST	IOWAST×5	Ace	Iowa St.		+3.9
11	8-3	IOWAST	IOWAST×5	Blocked	Nina Scrucca	blk Mesaiya Bettis	+3.5
12	9-3	IOWAST	IOWAST×5	Kill	Pam McCune	set Mesaiya Bettis	+3.1
13	9-4	IOWAST	CINCY×4	Attack err	Pam McCune		+1.7
14	9-5	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Kate Lijic	set Nayeli Ti'a	+3.0
15	9-6	CINCY	CINCY×4	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+3.5
16	9-7	CINCY	CINCY×4	Blocked	Pam McCune	blk Ligia Williams	+4.0
17	10-7	CINCY	IOWAST	Serve err	Cincinnati		+3.1
18	11-7	IOWAST	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Rachel Van Gorp	+4.2
19	11-8	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+2.4
20	12-8	CINCY	IOWAST	Serve err	Cincinnati		+3.0
21	12-9	IOWAST	CINCY	Attack err	Nayeli Ti'a		+2.4
22	13-9	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ava Martin	+3.0
23	14-9	IOWAST	IOWAST	Attack err	Sydney Nolan		+3.7
24	14-10	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+2.0
25	14-11	CINCY	CINCY	Ace	Cincinnati	aced Mesaiya Bettis	+3.6
26	15-11	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Ella Florez	+3.1
27	15-12	IOWAST	CINCY	Serve err	Iowa St.		+2.5
28	15-13	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Nina Scrucca	set Viktoria Ninova	+4.5
29	16-13	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Daaliyah Kemp	set Mesaiya Bettis	+3.7
30	16-14	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Andrea Simovski	set Kate Lijic	+3.1
31	17-14	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Daaliyah Kemp	set Ella Florez	+3.9
32	17-15	IOWAST	CINCY	Attack err	Ava Martin		+3.2
33	18-15	CINCY	IOWAST	Serve err	Cincinnati		+4.0
34	18-16	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Ligia Williams	set Kate Lijic	+3.2
35	19-16	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Nayeli Gonzalez	set Ava Martin	+4.2
36	19-17	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+3.2
37	19-18	CINCY	CINCY	Kill	Lilian Entenmann	set Kate Lijic	+6.1
38	20-18	CINCY	IOWAST×3	Kill	Nayeli Ti'a	set Ava Martin	+5.3
39	21-18	IOWAST	IOWAST×3	Kill	Daaliyah Kemp	set Ella Florez	+6.6
40	22-18	IOWAST	IOWAST×3	Ace	Iowa St.		+4.8
41	22-19	IOWAST	CINCY	Serve err	Iowa St.		+1.8
42	23-19	CINCY	IOWAST	Blocked	Nina Scrucca	blk Nayeli Ti'a	+3.2
43	24-19	IOWAST	IOWAST	Ace	Iowa St.	aced Andrea Simovski	+2.1
44	24-20	IOWAST	CINCY	Kill	Sydney Nolan	set Kate Lijic	+0.3
45	25-20	CINCY	IOWAST	Kill	Mesaiya Bettis	set Rachel Van Gorp	+0.8

Score shown after each rally, Iowa St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Iowa St. def. Cincinnati 3–1

Iowa St. trailed 4–8 in the second and took that set, dropped the third, and won the match 3–1.