FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayHORIZON

0:3

HomeASUN

Jacksonville def. Wright St. 3–0

(26-24, 28-26, 25-22)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
WRIGHT	24	26	22	0
JVILLE	26	28	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

JVILLE above 50 · WRIGHT below

Biggest swing: 10.0% to Jacksonville — set 2, WRIGHT 26-28 JVILLE. Attack error by Ella Seeger. JVILLE win probability 77% → 87%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

WRIGHT 50.4%49.6% JVILLE

Wright St. wins

3-0

12.7%

3-1

18.9%

3-2

18.8%

Jacksonville wins

3-0

12.3%

3-1

18.6%

3-2

18.7%

WRIGHT break %: 43.6% vs this opp
JVILLE break %: 43.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ella SeegerAttack error+10.0%
Attack error by Ella Seeger
Set 2 · WRIGHT 26-28 JVILLE · JVILLE 77% → 87%
02
Reilly ZegunisAttack error+10.0%
Attack error by Reilly Zegunis
Set 2 · WRIGHT 26-27 JVILLE · JVILLE 67% → 77%
03
Reilly ZegunisKill+10.0%
Kill by Reilly Zegunis (set by Lauren Yacobucci)
Set 2 · WRIGHT 24-23 JVILLE · WRIGHT 30% → 40%
04
Mya AyroAttack error+10.0%
Mya Ayro stuffed by Addison Krieger & Claire Mrukowski
Set 1 · WRIGHT 24-26 JVILLE · JVILLE 58% → 68%
05
Claire MrukowskiKill+7.7%
Kill by Claire Mrukowski (set by Elle Kennedy)
Set 2 · WRIGHT 24-24 JVILLE · JVILLE 60% → 67%
06
Abigail KnightKill+7.7%
Kill by Abigail Knight (set by Lauren Yacobucci)
Set 2 · WRIGHT 25-24 JVILLE · WRIGHT 33% → 40%
07
Claire MrukowskiKill+7.7%
Kill by Claire Mrukowski (set by Emersen Strain)
Set 2 · WRIGHT 25-25 JVILLE · JVILLE 60% → 67%
08
Katie SowkoKill+7.7%
Kill by Katie Sowko (set by Lauren Yacobucci)
Set 2 · WRIGHT 26-25 JVILLE · WRIGHT 33% → 40%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Wright St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Reilly ZegunisMB	3	11	4	29	.241	0	2	1	4	0	1	2	2	15
14Katie SowkoOH	3	8	3	21	.238	0	3	0	10	1	0	2	1	12
17Haley RobinsonMB	3	10	0	14	.714	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
9Greta McKeeDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	3	3	0	0	0	0	2
7Lauren YacobucciS	3	1	0	4	.250	35	0	0	8	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
10Mya AyroOH	1	1	5	10	-.400	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
4Abigail KnightOH	3	4	3	12	.083	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
1Alisandra HayesOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1
3Taygan CorstangeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	2	13	0	0	0	0	1
16Ella SeegerOH	2	8	5	21	.143	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	8
35Ella GaonaDS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	20	111	.207	41	9	9	45	2	1	6	4	72

Jacksonvillehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
3Abbie TuyoOH	3	14	1	31	.419	1	0	3	11	2	0	0	14
5Jaylyn TuiasosopoOH	3	12	5	25	.280	1	0	1	5	4	4	2	14
8Claire MrukowskiOH	3	12	3	25	.360	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	13
6Addison KriegerMB	3	6	1	10	.500	0	0	0	1	0	7	3.5	9.5
7Alija HeinsMB	3	0	1	4	-.250	1	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
4Emersen StrainS	3	0	0	0	–	15	0	0	13	0	0	0	0
2Daiangelie GonzalezOH	3	3	1	10	.200	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	3.5
1Elle KennedyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	7	2	0	7	3	0	0	2
11Haley YountMB	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
22Ana NastaseS	3	0	0	0	–	17	0	1	4	0	0	0	0
15Ana TobarL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
13Kathryn AdlerOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
Team totals		48	12	106	.340	43	2	7	44	9	16	8	79

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 WRIGHT · JVILLE 5

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 4 WRIGHTJVILLE 5

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 4 WRIGHTJVILLE 5

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 WRIGHTJVILLE 5

Bars above the line = Jacksonville leads, below = Wright St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Wright St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%9/16	50%8/16
2	57%8/14	40%6/15
3	57%8/14	56%10/18
4	38%6/16	11%1/9
5	60%6/10	40%4/10
6	86%6/7	0%0/6
All	56%43/77	39%29/74

Jacksonville

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%9/18	22%2/9
2	56%9/16	36%5/14
3	57%8/14	47%7/15
4	70%7/10	67%14/21
5	75%6/8	14%1/7
6	75%6/8	45%5/11
All	61%45/74	44%34/77

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

151 rallies

Rally log

#	WRIGHT-JVILLE	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.4
2	2-0	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Attack err	Jaylyn Tuiasosopo		+2.4
3	3-0	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Elle Kennedy	+2.4
4	4-0	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Abbie Tuyo	+2.2
5	4-1	WRIGHT	JVILLE×3	Kill	Claire Mrukowski	set Emersen Strain	+1.6
6	4-2	JVILLE	JVILLE×3	Kill	Claire Mrukowski	set Elle Kennedy	+2.3
7	4-3	JVILLE	JVILLE×3	Attack err	Mya Ayro		+2.5
8	5-3	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Attack err	Jaylyn Tuiasosopo	blk Reilly Zegunis, Lauren Yacobucci	+2.0
9	6-3	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Jaylyn Tuiasosopo	+2.5
10	6-4	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Attack err	Mya Ayro		+1.8
11	6-5	JVILLE	JVILLE	Kill	Jaylyn Tuiasosopo	set Emersen Strain	+2.6
12	7-5	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Serve err	JVILLE server		+2.1
13	8-5	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Haley Robinson	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.6
14	8-6	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Addison Krieger	set Emersen Strain	+1.9
15	8-7	JVILLE	JVILLE	Kill	Jaylyn Tuiasosopo		+2.7
16	9-7	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Haley Robinson	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.2
17	9-8	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Jaylyn Tuiasosopo	set Ana Nastase	+2.1
18	10-8	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Ella Gaona	+2.3
19	10-9	WRIGHT	JVILLE×5	Kill	Abbie Tuyo	set Elle Kennedy	+2.2
20	10-10	JVILLE	JVILLE×5	Kill	Daiangelie Gonzalez		+3.1
21	10-11	JVILLE	JVILLE×5	Kill	Abbie Tuyo	set Ana Nastase	+3.2
22	10-12	JVILLE	JVILLE×5	Ace	JVILLE server	aced Katie Sowko	+3.2
23	10-13	JVILLE	JVILLE×5	Ace	JVILLE server	aced Ella Gaona	+3.0
24	11-13	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.1
25	11-14	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Abbie Tuyo	set Ana Nastase	+2.4
26	12-14	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.1
27	13-14	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+3.2
28	13-15	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Attack err	Mya Ayro	blk Alija Heins, Claire Mrukowski	+2.7
29	14-15	JVILLE	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Mya Ayro	set Taygan Corstange	+2.6
30	15-15	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Attack err	Alija Heins		+3.7
31	16-15	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Jaylyn Tuiasosopo	+3.9
32	16-16	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+3.0
33	17-16	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Haley Robinson	set Lauren Yacobucci	+3.2
34	18-16	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Haley Robinson	set Lauren Yacobucci	+4.1
35	18-17	WRIGHT	JVILLE×4	Kill	Claire Mrukowski	set Emersen Strain	+2.9
36	18-18	JVILLE	JVILLE×4	Kill	Jaylyn Tuiasosopo	set Ana Nastase	+4.4
37	18-19	JVILLE	JVILLE×4	Attack err	Abigail Knight	blk Jaylyn Tuiasosopo, Addison Krieger	+4.8
38	18-20	JVILLE	JVILLE×4	Attack err	Mya Ayro		+4.7
39	19-20	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Haley Robinson	set Lauren Yacobucci	+3.2
40	19-21	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+4.0
41	20-21	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Serve err	JVILLE server		+3.3
42	21-21	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+5.7
43	21-22	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Addison Krieger	set Ana Nastase	+5.1
44	22-22	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+4.9
45	22-23	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Abbie Tuyo	set Ana Nastase	+6.0
46	23-23	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Lauren Yacobucci	set Taygan Corstange	+5.8
47	23-24	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Abbie Tuyo	set Elle Kennedy	+7.7
48	24-24	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Serve err	JVILLE server		+7.7
49	24-25	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Jaylyn Tuiasosopo	set Emersen Strain	+7.7
50	24-26	JVILLE	JVILLE	Attack err	Mya Ayro	blk Addison Krieger, Claire Mrukowski	+10.0
Set 2
1	0-1	JVILLE	JVILLE	Attack err	Abigail Knight		+2.5
2	0-2	JVILLE	JVILLE	Kill	Claire Mrukowski	set Emersen Strain	+2.4
3	1-2	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Haley Robinson	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.8
4	2-2	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Abigail Knight	+2.5
5	2-3	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+2.0
6	3-3	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.0
7	4-3	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Abbie Tuyo	+2.6
8	4-4	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Claire Mrukowski	set Emersen Strain	+2.0
9	4-5	JVILLE	JVILLE	Attack err	Katie Sowko		+2.7
10	5-5	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.1
11	5-6	WRIGHT	JVILLE×4	Kill	Claire Mrukowski	set Emersen Strain	+2.1
12	5-7	JVILLE	JVILLE×4	Kill	Jaylyn Tuiasosopo	set Ana Nastase	+2.7
13	5-8	JVILLE	JVILLE×4	Attack err	Ella Seeger		+2.6
14	5-9	JVILLE	JVILLE×4	Attack err	Reilly Zegunis	blk Jaylyn Tuiasosopo, Addison Krieger	+2.4
15	6-9	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.7
16	6-10	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Addison Krieger	set Ana Nastase	+1.9
17	7-10	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Ella Seeger	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.7
18	7-11	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Abbie Tuyo	set Ana Nastase	+2.0
19	7-12	JVILLE	JVILLE	Kill	Abbie Tuyo	set Ana Nastase	+2.2
20	8-12	JVILLE	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Ella Seeger	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.4
21	9-12	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Haley Robinson	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.2
22	10-12	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Jaylyn Tuiasosopo	+2.6
23	10-13	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+2.3
24	11-13	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Attack err	Claire Mrukowski	blk Katie Sowko, Haley Robinson	+2.1
25	12-13	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+3.1
26	12-14	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Abbie Tuyo	set Emersen Strain	+2.6
27	13-14	JVILLE	WRIGHT×4	Serve err	JVILLE server		+2.5
28	14-14	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Attack err	Claire Mrukowski	blk Reilly Zegunis, Katie Sowko	+3.6
29	15-14	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Elle Kennedy	+3.8
30	16-14	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×4	Attack err	Jaylyn Tuiasosopo		+3.7
31	16-15	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+2.7
32	17-15	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+3.0
33	17-16	WRIGHT	JVILLE×5	Kill	Jaylyn Tuiasosopo	set Abbie Tuyo	+2.8
34	17-17	JVILLE	JVILLE×5	Kill	Addison Krieger	set Abbie Tuyo	+4.1
35	17-18	JVILLE	JVILLE×5	Attack err	Ella Seeger	blk Daiangelie Gonzalez, Addison Krieger	+4.5
36	17-19	JVILLE	JVILLE×5	Kill	Jaylyn Tuiasosopo	set Elle Kennedy	+4.4
37	17-20	JVILLE	JVILLE×5	Attack err	Reilly Zegunis		+3.9
38	18-20	JVILLE	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.4
39	19-20	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Ella Seeger	set Lauren Yacobucci	+4.1
40	20-20	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Attack err	Jaylyn Tuiasosopo		+5.2
41	20-21	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Attack err	Ella Seeger	blk Jaylyn Tuiasosopo, Addison Krieger	+4.5
42	21-21	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+4.4
43	21-22	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Abbie Tuyo	set Ana Nastase	+5.1
44	22-22	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Ella Seeger	set Lauren Yacobucci	+5.0
45	22-23	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Daiangelie Gonzalez	set Ana Nastase	+6.1
46	23-23	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Attack err	Abbie Tuyo		+5.8
47	24-23	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+10.0
48	24-24	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Claire Mrukowski	set Elle Kennedy	+7.7
49	25-24	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+7.7
50	25-25	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Claire Mrukowski	set Emersen Strain	+7.7
51	26-25	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+7.7
52	26-26	WRIGHT	JVILLE×3	Kill	Claire Mrukowski	set Elle Kennedy	+7.7
53	26-27	JVILLE	JVILLE×3	Attack err	Reilly Zegunis		+10.0
54	26-28	JVILLE	JVILLE×3	Attack err	Ella Seeger		+10.0
Set 3
1	1-0	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Jaylyn Tuiasosopo	+1.7
2	1-1	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Abbie Tuyo	set Elle Kennedy	+1.3
3	2-1	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Abigail Knight	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.3
4	2-2	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+1.3
5	3-2	JVILLE	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.3
6	4-2	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Attack err	Addison Krieger	blk Reilly Zegunis	+1.7
7	5-2	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Bad set	Emersen Strain		+1.7
8	5-3	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Claire Mrukowski	set Emersen Strain	+1.2
9	6-3	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Ella Seeger	set Taygan Corstange	+1.3
10	6-4	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Daiangelie Gonzalez	set Ana Nastase	+1.2
11	6-5	JVILLE	JVILLE	Kill	Addison Krieger	set Ana Nastase	+1.7
12	7-5	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Ella Seeger	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.4
13	7-6	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Abbie Tuyo	set Elle Kennedy	+1.4
14	8-6	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Haley Robinson	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.5
15	8-7	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Abbie Tuyo	set Alija Heins	+1.4
16	9-7	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Haley Robinson	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.5
17	9-8	WRIGHT	JVILLE×3	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+1.4
18	9-9	JVILLE	JVILLE×3	Kill	Claire Mrukowski	set Emersen Strain	+2.0
19	9-10	JVILLE	JVILLE×3	Attack err	Abigail Knight		+2.1
20	10-10	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Attack err	Jaylyn Tuiasosopo		+1.6
21	10-11	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+1.7
22	11-11	JVILLE	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.7
23	12-11	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Ace	WRIGHT server	aced Elle Kennedy	+2.2
24	13-11	WRIGHT	WRIGHT×3	Kill	Ella Seeger	set Lauren Yacobucci	+2.2
25	13-12	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Claire Mrukowski	set Emersen Strain	+1.6
26	14-12	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Reilly Zegunis	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.8
27	15-12	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Attack err	Daiangelie Gonzalez		+2.2
28	15-13	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Addison Krieger	set Ana Nastase	+1.5
29	16-13	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Katie Sowko	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.7
30	17-13	WRIGHT	WRIGHT	Kill	Ella Seeger	set Taygan Corstange	+1.9
31	17-14	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Abbie Tuyo	set Ana Nastase	+1.2
32	18-14	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Kill	Haley Robinson	set Lauren Yacobucci	+1.5
33	18-15	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Serve err	WRIGHT server		+1.2
34	19-15	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Attack err	Claire Mrukowski		+1.6
35	19-16	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Abbie Tuyo	set Jaylyn Tuiasosopo	+1.2
36	19-17	JVILLE	JVILLE	Kill	Haley Yount		+2.1
37	20-17	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Serve err	JVILLE server		+2.1
38	20-18	WRIGHT	JVILLE×5	Kill	Jaylyn Tuiasosopo	set Emersen Strain	+1.6
39	20-19	JVILLE	JVILLE×5	Attack err	Katie Sowko		+2.8
40	20-20	JVILLE	JVILLE×5	Attack err	Reilly Zegunis	blk Jaylyn Tuiasosopo, Addison Krieger	+3.5
41	20-21	JVILLE	JVILLE×5	Attack err	Katie Sowko		+3.9
42	20-22	JVILLE	JVILLE×5	Kill	Jaylyn Tuiasosopo	set Ana Tobar	+3.9
43	21-22	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Serve err	JVILLE server		+2.4
44	21-23	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Jaylyn Tuiasosopo	set Emersen Strain	+3.4
45	21-24	JVILLE	JVILLE	Attack err	Ella Seeger	blk Addison Krieger, Kathryn Adler	+3.2
46	22-24	JVILLE	WRIGHT	Serve err	JVILLE server		+1.0
47	22-25	WRIGHT	JVILLE	Kill	Jaylyn Tuiasosopo	set Ana Nastase	+2.3

Score shown after each rally, Wright St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.