Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 26, 2026Watch on ESPN+

North Florida def. Jacksonville 3–2

North Florida won at Jacksonville 3-2 (25-16, 14-25, 11-25, 25-18, 15-12) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. North Florida's Kaili Doctor led with 21 kills, and Sofia Dawson added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 26

Set12345Sets
NO FLA25141125153
JVILLE16252518122

Win probability

Jacksonville above 50 · North Florida below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+13.3% NO FLArally 186 · set 5

Biggest swing: 13.3% to North Florida — set 5, NO FLA 10-8 JVILLE. Kill by Kaili Doctor (set by Sofia Dawson). JVILLE win probability 41% → 28%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NO FLA 41.2%58.8% JVILLE

North Florida wins

3-0
9.2%
3-1
15.1%
3-2
17.0%

Jacksonville wins

3-0
16.6%
3-1
22.4%
3-2
19.8%
NO FLA break %
41.5% vs this opp
JVILLE break %
43.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Kaili DoctorKill+13.3%

    Kill by Kaili Doctor (set by Sofia Dawson)

    Set 5 · NO FLA 10-8 JVILLE · NO FLA 59% → 72%

  2. 02
    Kaili DoctorKill+12.3%

    Kill by Kaili Doctor (set by Sofia Dawson)

    Set 5 · NO FLA 12-9 JVILLE · NO FLA 74% → 87%

  3. 03
    Ana NastaseKill+10.7%

    Kill by Ana Nastase (set by Jade Cuya Cobos)

    Set 5 · NO FLA 6-6 JVILLE · JVILLE 41% → 52%

  4. 04
    Kaili DoctorKill+10.7%

    Kill by Kaili Doctor (set by Sofia Dawson)

    Set 5 · NO FLA 11-9 JVILLE · NO FLA 64% → 74%

  5. 05
    Leah McDonaldKill+10.5%

    Kill by Leah McDonald (set by Emma Pohlmann)

    Set 5 · NO FLA 6-4 JVILLE · NO FLA 56% → 66%

  6. 06

    Kill by Dakota Spurrier (set by Sofia Dawson)

    Set 5 · NO FLA 9-8 JVILLE · NO FLA 49% → 59%

  7. 07
    JacksonvilleService error+9.7%

    Jacksonville service error

    Set 5 · NO FLA 14-11 JVILLE · NO FLA 85% → 95%

  8. 08
    JacksonvilleAce+9.7%

    Jacksonville ace

    Set 5 · NO FLA 4-4 JVILLE · JVILLE 42% → 52%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
521542.38101110400022
59527.1481228100011
511322.36400011100011
59014.64300020010.59.5
57112.500100000218
5001.0004610130031.52.5
5000–001000000
5000–6031160000
2123-.333000000001
1000–200000000
1000–000100000
Team totals5816121.3475647561606390
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516337.3510228100018
57016.43802300031.510.5
57624.04212281010.59.5
58119.368000100219
57013.538000000218
1000–100100000
59122.36425756002117
5001.0002032500003
5000–301610000
5000–200800000
2102.500000000001
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5511134.328521615434010596

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

North Florida vs Jacksonville

Season series · North Florida leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 NO FLA · JVILLE 6

Set 1

25-16

Longest run 4 NO FLAJVILLE 4

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 NO FLAJVILLE 6

Set 3

11-25

Longest run 3 NO FLAJVILLE 6

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 6 NO FLAJVILLE 5

Set 5

15-12

Longest run 3 NO FLAJVILLE 2

Bars above the line = Jacksonville leads, below = North Florida leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

North Florida

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%10/16
56%10/18
2
59%10/17
55%12/22
3
43%10/23
41%7/17
4
50%9/18
17%2/12
5
67%8/12
33%4/12
6
50%5/10
33%3/9
All
54%52/96
42%38/90

Jacksonville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%10/21
0%0/7
2
43%10/23
50%10/20
3
83%10/12
41%7/17
4
64%9/14
63%15/24
5
78%7/9
40%6/15
6
55%6/11
46%6/13
All
58%52/90
46%44/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

186 rallies

#NO FLA-JVILLESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0JVILLENO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+1.8
22-0NO FLANO FLAAceNorth Florida+2.5
32-1NO FLAJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+1.8
43-1JVILLENO FLA×4KillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+1.9
54-1NO FLANO FLA×4KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.5
65-1NO FLANO FLA×4Bad setEmersen Strain+2.4
76-1NO FLANO FLA×4Attack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+2.2
86-2NO FLAJVILLEServe errNorth Florida+1.4
97-2JVILLENO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+1.7
107-3NO FLAJVILLE×3Serve errNorth Florida+1.4
117-4JVILLEJVILLE×3AceJacksonvilleaced Kaili Doctor+2.2
127-5JVILLEJVILLE×3KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+2.5
138-5JVILLENO FLA×3Serve errJacksonville+2.0
149-5NO FLANO FLA×3KillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+2.6
1510-5NO FLANO FLA×3KillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+2.3
1610-6NO FLAJVILLE×4KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+1.4
1710-7JVILLEJVILLE×4Bad setSofia Dawson+2.3
1810-8JVILLEJVILLE×4AceJacksonville+2.6
1910-9JVILLEJVILLE×4Attack errDakota Spurrier+2.9
2011-9JVILLENO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+2.3
2111-10NO FLAJVILLEServe errNorth Florida+2.2
2212-10JVILLENO FLAServe errJacksonville+2.4
2313-10NO FLANO FLABlockedAbbie Tuyoblk Yarimar Francis Garay, Sofia Dawson+3.2
2413-11NO FLAJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+2.0
2514-11JVILLENO FLA×4KillKaili Doctorset Yarimar Francis Garay+2.4
2615-11NO FLANO FLA×4KillKaili Doctorset Emma Pohlmann+2.9
2716-11NO FLANO FLA×4KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.5
2817-11NO FLANO FLA×4KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+1.9
2917-12NO FLAJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.9
3018-12JVILLENO FLA×3KillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+1.4
3119-12NO FLANO FLA×3AceNorth Floridaaced Abbie Tuyo+1.2
3220-12NO FLANO FLA×3KillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+0.7
3320-13NO FLAJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.3
3421-13JVILLENO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+0.4
3521-14NO FLAJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Elle Kennedy+0.2
3621-15JVILLEJVILLEAceJacksonvilleaced Kaili Doctor+0.5
3722-15JVILLENO FLAAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+0.6
3823-15NO FLANO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+0.3
3923-16NO FLAJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+0.1
4024-16JVILLENO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+0.1
4125-16NO FLANO FLAAceNorth Floridaaced Jaylyn Tuiasosopo·
Set 2
11-0NO FLANO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+2.7
21-1NO FLAJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+2.0
32-1JVILLENO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+2.1
42-2NO FLAJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Ana Nastase+2.0
53-2JVILLENO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+2.1
64-2NO FLANO FLABlockedAbbie Tuyoblk Haleina Bowers, Sofia Dawson+2.9
74-3NO FLAJVILLE×4KillAddison Kriegerset Ana Nastase+2.0
84-4JVILLEJVILLE×4KillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.9
94-5JVILLEJVILLE×4KillAbbie Tuyoset Selah Simien+2.9
104-6JVILLEJVILLE×4AceJacksonvilleaced Emma Pohlmann+2.8
115-6JVILLENO FLAServe errJacksonville+2.0
125-7NO FLAJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Elle Kennedy+2.1
136-7JVILLENO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+2.1
146-8NO FLAJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.2
157-8JVILLENO FLAServe errJacksonville+2.1
167-9NO FLAJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.2
178-9JVILLENO FLAServe errJacksonville+2.2
188-10NO FLAJVILLEBlockedDakota Spurrierblk Haley Yount, Claire Mrukowski+2.3
198-11JVILLEJVILLEAceJacksonvilleaced Kaili Doctor+2.9
209-11JVILLENO FLAServe errJacksonville+2.0
219-12NO FLAJVILLE×3KillClaire Mrukowskiset Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+2.2
229-13JVILLEJVILLE×3AceJacksonvilleaced Emma Pohlmann+2.7
239-14JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errDakota Spurrier+2.2
2410-14JVILLENO FLAServe errJacksonville+1.3
2510-15NO FLAJVILLE×6Attack errDakota Spurrier+1.6
2610-16JVILLEJVILLE×6AceJacksonvilleaced Kaili Doctor+1.7
2710-17JVILLEJVILLE×6KillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+1.2
2810-18JVILLEJVILLE×6BlockedLily Rodgersblk Ana Nastase, Addison Krieger+0.7
2910-19JVILLEJVILLE×6Attack errKaili Doctor+0.4
3010-20JVILLEJVILLE×6KillAna Nastaseset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.2
3111-20JVILLENO FLAServe errJacksonville+0.1
3212-20NO FLANO FLAAttack errAna Nastase+0.2
3312-21NO FLAJVILLEAttack errKaili Doctor+0.2
3412-22JVILLEJVILLEKillAddison Kriegerset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.1
3513-22JVILLENO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson·
3613-23NO FLAJVILLEServe errNorth Florida·
3713-24JVILLEJVILLEBlockedKaili Doctorblk Ana Nastase, Haley Yount·
3814-24JVILLENO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson·
3914-25NO FLAJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Jade Cuya Cobos·
Set 3
11-0JVILLENO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+2.5
21-1NO FLAJVILLEServe errNorth Florida+2.4
31-2JVILLEJVILLEAttack errKaili Doctor+3.3
42-2JVILLENO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+2.5
52-3NO FLAJVILLE×3KillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+2.5
62-4JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errYarimar Francis Garay+3.3
72-5JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errLeah McDonald+3.1
83-5JVILLENO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Emma Pohlmann+2.2
93-6NO FLAJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.3
104-6JVILLENO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Emma Pohlmann+2.2
114-7NO FLAJVILLEKillAddison Kriegerset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.4
125-7JVILLENO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+2.2
135-8NO FLAJVILLE×6Serve errNorth Florida+2.4
145-9JVILLEJVILLE×6KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+3.0
155-10JVILLEJVILLE×6KillHaley Yount+2.6
165-11JVILLEJVILLE×6KillClaire Mrukowskiset Ana Nastase+2.1
175-12JVILLEJVILLE×6AceJacksonville+1.7
185-13JVILLEJVILLE×6AceJacksonvilleaced Emma Pohlmann+1.2
196-13JVILLENO FLA×3Serve errJacksonville+0.6
207-13NO FLANO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+1.2
218-13NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+1.6
228-14NO FLAJVILLEAttack errLeah McDonald+1.5
239-14JVILLENO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+1.2
249-15NO FLAJVILLE×4KillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+1.5
259-16JVILLEJVILLE×4KillAddison Krieger+1.5
269-17JVILLEJVILLE×4KillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+1.0
279-18JVILLEJVILLE×4AceJacksonvilleaced Dakota Spurrier+0.6
2810-18JVILLENO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Haydin Froehlich+0.2
2910-19NO FLAJVILLE×3KillAddison Kriegerset Ana Nastase+0.4
3010-20JVILLEJVILLE×3KillAna Nastaseset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.2
3110-21JVILLEJVILLE×3AceJacksonville+0.1
3211-21JVILLENO FLAKillLily Rodgersset Haydin Froehlich·
3311-22NO FLAJVILLE×4Attack errLily Rodgers·
3411-23JVILLEJVILLE×4AceJacksonvilleaced Emma Pohlmann·
3511-24JVILLEJVILLE×4KillAddison Kriegerset Jade Cuya Cobos·
3611-25JVILLEJVILLE×4KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos·
Set 4
10-1NO FLAJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+2.2
20-2JVILLEJVILLEAceJacksonvilleaced Leah McDonald+2.9
31-2JVILLENO FLAServe errJacksonville+2.1
41-3NO FLAJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+2.2
52-3JVILLENO FLAServe errJacksonville+2.2
63-3NO FLANO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+3.2
73-4NO FLAJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+2.4
84-4JVILLENO FLAServe errJacksonville+2.4
94-5NO FLAJVILLEKillAddison Kriegerset Ana Nastase+2.4
105-5JVILLENO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+2.4
115-6NO FLAJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Elle Kennedy+2.5
126-6JVILLENO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.5
136-7NO FLAJVILLEAttack errDakota Spurrier+2.5
147-7JVILLENO FLA×6KillHaleina Bowersset Sofia Dawson+2.6
158-7NO FLANO FLA×6KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+3.7
169-7NO FLANO FLA×6KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+3.7
1710-7NO FLANO FLA×6AceNorth Floridaaced Elle Kennedy+3.6
1811-7NO FLANO FLA×6KillHaleina Bowers+3.4
1912-7NO FLANO FLA×6Attack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+3.0
2012-8NO FLAJVILLE×5KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+1.8
2112-9JVILLEJVILLE×5BlockedKaili Doctorblk Haley Yount, Claire Mrukowski+2.9
2212-10JVILLEJVILLE×5KillHaley Yountset Ana Nastase+3.4
2312-11JVILLEJVILLE×5AceJacksonvilleaced Emma Pohlmann+3.8
2412-12JVILLEJVILLE×5AceJacksonvilleaced Emma Pohlmann+4.1
2513-12JVILLENO FLA×6Serve errJacksonville+3.2
2614-12NO FLANO FLA×6KillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+4.4
2715-12NO FLANO FLA×6KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+4.2
2816-12NO FLANO FLA×6KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+3.8
2917-12NO FLANO FLA×6BlockedJaylyn Tuiasosopoblk Yarimar Francis Garay, Sofia Dawson+3.1
3018-12NO FLANO FLA×6Attack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+2.3
3118-13NO FLAJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Ana Nastase+1.1
3218-14JVILLEJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Selah Simien+2.1
3319-14JVILLENO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.2
3419-15NO FLAJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+1.5
3520-15JVILLENO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Emma Pohlmann+2.2
3620-16NO FLAJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+1.3
3720-17JVILLEJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+2.8
3821-17JVILLENO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+3.0
3922-17NO FLANO FLAAttack errAbbie Tuyo+2.7
4022-18NO FLAJVILLEServe errNorth Florida+1.0
4123-18JVILLENO FLA×3Serve errJacksonville+1.7
4224-18NO FLANO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrier+0.9
4325-18NO FLANO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Emma Pohlmann+0.9
Set 5
10-1NO FLAJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+6.2
21-1JVILLENO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Dakota Spurrier+6.3
32-1NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errClaire Mrukowski+9.1
43-1NO FLANO FLA×3KillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+9.2
53-2NO FLAJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Ana Nastase+6.3
64-2JVILLENO FLABad setAddison Krieger+7.1
74-3NO FLAJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Jade Cuya Cobos+6.5
84-4JVILLEJVILLEAceJacksonville+9.7
95-4JVILLENO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+7.6
106-4NO FLANO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Emma Pohlmann+10.5
116-5NO FLAJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Jade Cuya Cobos+7.0
126-6JVILLEJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Jade Cuya Cobos+10.7
137-6JVILLENO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+8.5
147-7NO FLAJVILLEKillAna Nastaseset Jade Cuya Cobos+8.3
158-7JVILLENO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+9.1
168-8NO FLAJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Ana Nastase+8.8
179-8JVILLENO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+9.8
1810-8NO FLANO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+13.3
1910-9NO FLAJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Ana Nastase+8.3
2011-9JVILLENO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+10.7
2112-9NO FLANO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+12.3
2212-10NO FLAJVILLEAttack errKaili Doctor+5.9
2313-10JVILLENO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+9.5
2413-11NO FLAJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+5.3
2514-11JVILLENO FLAServe errJacksonville+9.7
2614-12NO FLAJVILLEBlockedLeah McDonaldblk Addison Krieger, Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+3.7
2715-12JVILLENO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+9.0

Score shown after each rally, North Florida first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).