Final · 4 setsWed, Oct 7, 2026Watch on ACCNX

Florida St. def. Jacksonville 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Florida St. 89.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 7, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Florida St. beat visiting Jacksonville 3-1 (25-17, 25-22, 24-26, 25-23) on Wed, Oct 7, 2026. Florida St.'s Kyleene Filimaua led with 16 kills, and Bailey Higgins added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 7

Set1234Sets
JVILLE172226231
FSU252524253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Florida St. took it, mostly on runs.

No single rally moved win probability more than 5.5 points. Jacksonville peaked at 20% in Set 4. These are the numbers behind it. RallyIQ gave Florida St. 90% before first serve.

JacksonvilleFlorida St.
  • Longest run+0
    55

    Florida St. scored 5 straight in the first set to stretch a 20–17 lead to 25–17. That set ended 25–17.

Florida St. above 50Jacksonville belowMax swing 5.5%

JacksonvilleFlorida St.

Hitting
Jacksonville .194·Florida St. .230
Aces
Jacksonville 3·Florida St. 4
Serve err
Jacksonville 13·Florida St. 10
Blocks
Jacksonville 9·Florida St. 82 BS · 14 BA vs 1 BS · 14 BA
Digs
Jacksonville 59·Florida St. 69

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Florida St. above 50 · Jacksonville below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.5% FSUrally 187 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.5% to Florida St. — set 4, JVILLE 23-25 FSU. Haley Yount stuffed by Delaney Ewing & Sofia Moss. FSU win probability 94% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

JVILLE 9.3%90.7% FSU

Jacksonville wins

3-0
1.2%
3-1
2.8%
3-2
5.3%

Florida St. wins

3-0
45.8%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
13.5%
JVILLE break %
36.7% vs this opp
FSU break %
46.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Haley Yount stuffed by Delaney Ewing & Sofia Moss

    Set 4 · JVILLE 23-25 FSU · FSU 94% → 100%

  2. 02
    Kyleene FilimauaAttack error+5.4%

    Attack error by Kyleene Filimaua

    Set 4 · JVILLE 22-23 FSU · FSU 88% → 94%

  3. 03
    Abbie TuyoKill+5.2%

    Kill by Abbie Tuyo (set by Emersen Strain)

    Set 4 · JVILLE 22-20 FSU · JVILLE 15% → 20%

  4. 04

    Kill by Kyleene Filimaua (set by Emma Lilo)

    Set 4 · JVILLE 22-22 FSU · FSU 83% → 88%

  5. 05
    JacksonvilleService error+5.0%

    Jacksonville service error

    Set 4 · JVILLE 23-24 FSU · FSU 90% → 94%

  6. 06
    JacksonvilleAce+4.7%

    Jacksonville ace on Sofia Moss

    Set 4 · JVILLE 21-20 FSU · JVILLE 10% → 15%

  7. 07
    Abbie TuyoKill+4.0%

    Kill by Abbie Tuyo (set by Emersen Strain)

    Set 4 · JVILLE 23-23 FSU · JVILLE 6% → 10%

  8. 08

    Kyleene Filimaua stuffed by Haley Yount & Claire Mrukowski

    Set 4 · JVILLE 20-20 FSU · JVILLE 6% → 10%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414232.37511212000015
412233.3031013002113
411937.054002100031.512.5
44312.083113102449
45313.15400010031.56.5
4003.0002612900001
43210.100000600214
4003.0001501800000
4001.000201910000
15Ana TobarL/DS
3000–001000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4921144.19446313594214988
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416846.174233140010.519.5
413019.6840011002114
411533.182010150031.513.5
49433.15200310302110
45211.27300020052.57.5
4113.00043021301012
4001.000100500000
4001.000200700000
4000–001100000
2011-1.00000000010.50.5
2000–400100000
Team totals5521148.23052410693114899

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 JVILLE · FSU 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 2 JVILLEFSU 5

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 JVILLEFSU 5

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 4 JVILLEFSU 3

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 5 JVILLEFSU 4

Bars above the line = Florida St. leads, below = Jacksonville leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Jacksonville

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
41%7/17
2
45%9/20
44%8/18
3
53%9/17
40%6/15
4
47%9/19
31%4/13
5
75%9/12
25%3/12
6
82%9/11
36%5/14
All
56%55/98
37%33/89

Florida St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
44%7/16
2
53%10/19
55%12/22
3
64%9/14
44%7/16
4
90%9/10
40%6/15
5
75%9/12
50%9/18
6
50%8/16
18%2/11
All
63%56/89
44%43/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

187 rallies

#JVILLE-FSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0FSUJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+0.9
22-0JVILLEJVILLEBlockedBailey Higginsblk Haley Yount, Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+1.3
32-1JVILLEFSU×3KillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.9
42-2FSUFSU×3KillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+1.2
52-3FSUFSU×3KillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+1.1
63-3FSUJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Emersen Strain+0.9
73-4JVILLEFSU×3Serve errJacksonville+0.8
83-5FSUFSU×3KillSofia Mossset Victoria David+1.0
93-6FSUFSU×3Attack errKathryn Adler+0.8
104-6FSUJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.6
114-7JVILLEFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.6
125-7FSUJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.7
135-8JVILLEFSUServe errJacksonville+0.6
146-8FSUJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.7
156-9JVILLEFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.7
167-9FSUJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+0.7
178-9JVILLEJVILLEBlockedKyleene Filimauablk Claire Mrukowski, Addison Krieger+1.1
188-10JVILLEFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.8
199-10FSUJVILLEKillAddison Kriegerset Emersen Strain+0.9
2010-10JVILLEJVILLEAttack errDelaney Ewing+1.5
2110-11JVILLEFSU×4KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+1.0
2210-12FSUFSU×4Attack errSofia Moss+1.3
2310-13FSUFSU×4Attack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+1.1
2410-14FSUFSU×4AceFlorida St.+0.9
2511-14FSUJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+0.6
2612-14JVILLEJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+1.0
2712-15JVILLEFSU×3BlockedJaylyn Tuiasosopoblk Bailey Higgins, Delaney Ewing+0.8
2812-16FSUFSU×3KillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+0.9
2912-17FSUFSU×3Attack errHaley Yount+0.6
3013-17FSUJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+0.4
3114-17JVILLEJVILLEBlockedSofia Mossblk Kathryn Adler, Haley Yount+0.8
3214-18JVILLEFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.7
3315-18FSUJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.6
3415-19JVILLEFSUServe errJacksonville+0.7
3516-19FSUJVILLEServe errFlorida St.+0.6
3616-20JVILLEFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.7
3717-20FSUJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+0.5
3817-21JVILLEFSU×5Serve errJacksonville+0.7
3917-22FSUFSU×5KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.6
4017-23FSUFSU×5Attack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+0.2
4117-24FSUFSU×5KillBailey Higginsset Maile Chan+0.1
4217-25FSUFSU×5KillBailey Higgins·
Set 2
11-0JVILLEJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+0.8
21-1JVILLEFSUKillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+0.6
32-1FSUJVILLEKillAddison Kriegerset Emersen Strain+0.6
42-2JVILLEFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Victoria David+0.6
52-3FSUFSUAceFlorida St.+0.7
63-3FSUJVILLE×3KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+0.6
74-3JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errSofia Moss+0.9
85-3JVILLEJVILLE×3BlockedBailey Higginsblk Haley Yount, Jaylyn Tuiasosopo+1.0
95-4JVILLEFSUServe errJacksonville+0.7
106-4FSUJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+0.8
116-5JVILLEFSU×5KillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.7
126-6FSUFSU×5BlockedHaley Yountblk Nenu Kpea, Sofia Moss+0.9
136-7FSUFSU×5Attack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+0.9
146-8FSUFSU×5KillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.8
156-9FSUFSU×5KillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.6
167-9FSUJVILLE×4KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+0.5
178-9JVILLEJVILLE×4BlockedKyleene Filimauablk Haley Yount+0.8
189-9JVILLEJVILLE×4Attack errSofia Moss+1.0
1910-9JVILLEJVILLE×4Attack errEmma Lilo+1.1
2010-10JVILLEFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+0.8
2110-11FSUFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+1.0
2211-11FSUJVILLEServe errFlorida St.+0.8
2311-12JVILLEFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.8
2412-12FSUJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.8
2513-12JVILLEJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Abbie Tuyo+1.3
2613-13JVILLEFSUServe errJacksonville+0.9
2714-13FSUJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+1.0
2814-14JVILLEFSU×3KillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+0.9
2914-15FSUFSU×3KillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+1.2
3014-16FSUFSU×3Attack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+1.1
3115-16FSUJVILLEAttack errClaire Mrukowski+0.8
3215-17JVILLEFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.8
3315-18FSUFSUAttack errClaire Mrukowski+0.9
3416-18FSUJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+0.6
3516-19JVILLEFSU×3KillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.7
3616-20FSUFSU×3KillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+0.7
3716-21FSUFSU×3KillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.4
3817-21FSUJVILLEAttack errBailey Higgins+0.2
3917-22JVILLEFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.3
4018-22FSUJVILLEAttack errKyleene Filimaua+0.2
4118-23JVILLEFSUBlockedAddison Kriegerblk Emma Lilo+0.2
4219-23FSUJVILLEKillAddison Kriegerset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.1
4319-24JVILLEFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.2
4420-24FSUJVILLE×3KillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+0.1
4521-24JVILLEJVILLE×3KillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+0.2
4622-24JVILLEJVILLE×3KillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+0.5
4722-25JVILLEFSUKillDelaney Ewingset Emma Lilo+0.8
Set 3
11-0FSUJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Selah Simien+0.3
21-1JVILLEFSUServe errJacksonville+0.3
32-1FSUJVILLEKillAddison Kriegerset Emersen Strain+0.3
42-2JVILLEFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+0.3
53-2FSUJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.3
63-3JVILLEFSUServe errJacksonville+0.3
73-4FSUFSUKillEmma Liloset Abbie Tuyo+0.4
84-4FSUJVILLEKillKathryn Adlerset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.3
94-5JVILLEFSUServe errJacksonville+0.3
105-5FSUJVILLEServe errFlorida St.+0.3
115-6JVILLEFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.3
126-6FSUJVILLEServe errFlorida St.+0.3
137-6JVILLEJVILLEAceJacksonvilleaced Sofia Moss+0.5
147-7JVILLEFSUKillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+0.3
158-7FSUJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+0.4
169-7JVILLEJVILLEBlockedBailey Higginsblk Jaylyn Tuiasosopo, Addison Krieger+0.5
179-8JVILLEFSUAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+0.4
189-9FSUFSUAceFlorida St.+0.5
1910-9FSUJVILLE×4KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Selah Simien+0.4
2011-9JVILLEJVILLE×4BlockedSofia Mossblk Addison Krieger, Kathryn Adler+0.6
2112-9JVILLEJVILLE×4Attack errSofia Moss+0.6
2213-9JVILLEJVILLE×4KillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.6
2313-10JVILLEFSUBad setJade Cuya Cobos+0.4
2414-10FSUJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+0.5
2514-11JVILLEFSUAttack errJaylyn Tuiasosopo+0.4
2615-11FSUJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.5
2715-12JVILLEFSUBlockedKathryn Adlerblk Kyleene Filimaua, Delaney Ewing+0.4
2815-13FSUFSUBlockedAbbie Tuyoblk Bailey Higgins, Delaney Ewing+0.6
2916-13FSUJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Jade Cuya Cobos+0.6
3016-14JVILLEFSUServe errJacksonville+0.4
3117-14FSUJVILLEAttack errAbbie Tuyo+0.6
3217-15JVILLEFSUKillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+0.5
3317-16FSUFSUKillBailey Higginsset Kyleene Filimaua+0.7
3418-16FSUJVILLEKillHaley Yountset Emersen Strain+0.6
3518-17JVILLEFSU×3KillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+0.5
3618-18FSUFSU×3Attack errAddison Krieger+0.8
3718-19FSUFSU×3BlockedJaylyn Tuiasosopoblk Johanna Sova+0.7
3819-19FSUJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+0.6
3919-20JVILLEFSUKillSofia Mossset Callie Kieffer+0.6
4020-20FSUJVILLE×3KillJaylyn Tuiasosopo+0.6
4121-20JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errKyleene Filimaua+1.1
4222-20JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errKyleene Filimaua+1.2
4322-21JVILLEFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.7
4422-22FSUFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Callie Kieffer+1.2
4523-22FSUJVILLEServe errFlorida St.+1.1
4623-23JVILLEFSUAttack errKyleene Filimaua+1.0
4724-23FSUJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+1.4
4824-24JVILLEFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+1.4
4925-24FSUJVILLEServe errFlorida St.+1.4
5026-24JVILLEJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+2.4
Set 4
10-1JVILLEFSU×4KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+1.0
20-2FSUFSU×4AceFlorida St.aced Selah Simien+1.2
30-3FSUFSU×4KillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+1.1
40-4FSUFSU×4BlockedJaylyn Tuiasosopoblk Bailey Higgins, Delaney Ewing+0.9
51-4FSUJVILLEServe errFlorida St.+0.6
62-4JVILLEJVILLEAttack errBailey Higgins+1.1
72-5JVILLEFSUKillBailey Higginsset Kyleene Filimaua+0.8
83-5FSUJVILLEKillAddison Kriegerset Emersen Strain+0.8
93-6JVILLEFSU×3Serve errJacksonville+0.8
103-7FSUFSU×3KillSofia Mossset Emma Lilo+1.0
113-8FSUFSU×3KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.8
124-8FSUJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Jade Cuya Cobos+0.5
134-9JVILLEFSUServe errJacksonville+0.6
144-10FSUFSUAttack errAbbie Tuyo+0.6
155-10FSUJVILLEServe errFlorida St.+0.4
165-11JVILLEFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Emma Lilo+0.4
175-12FSUFSUServe errFlorida St.+0.4
186-12FSUJVILLEServe errFlorida St.+0.3
197-12JVILLEJVILLEBlockedDelaney Ewingblk Haley Yount+0.5
207-13JVILLEFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.4
218-13FSUJVILLE×3Serve errFlorida St.+0.4
229-13JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errKyleene Filimaua+0.7
2310-13JVILLEJVILLE×3Attack errKyleene Filimaua+1.0
2410-14JVILLEFSUKillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+0.8
2511-14FSUJVILLE×3KillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Claire Mrukowski+0.8
2612-14JVILLEJVILLE×3KillClaire Mrukowskiset Haley Yount+1.4
2713-14JVILLEJVILLE×3AceJacksonvilleaced Sofia Moss+1.9
2813-15JVILLEFSUKillBailey Higginsset Emma Lilo+1.4
2914-15FSUJVILLEKillJaylyn Tuiasosoposet Emersen Strain+1.5
3014-16JVILLEFSUAttack errBailey Higgins+1.5
3114-17FSUFSUAttack errAddison Krieger+1.7
3215-17FSUJVILLEKillClaire Mrukowskiset Emersen Strain+1.2
3316-17JVILLEJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+2.2
3416-18JVILLEFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+1.7
3516-19FSUFSUAttack errClaire Mrukowski+1.9
3617-19FSUJVILLEBad setSofia Moss+1.2
3717-20JVILLEFSUKillNenu Kpeaset Callie Kieffer+1.4
3818-20FSUJVILLE×5Bad setCallie Kieffer+1.2
3919-20JVILLEJVILLE×5Attack errJohanna Sova+2.5
4020-20JVILLEJVILLE×5BlockedKyleene Filimauablk Haley Yount, Claire Mrukowski+3.6
4121-20JVILLEJVILLE×5AceJacksonvilleaced Sofia Moss+4.7
4222-20JVILLEJVILLE×5KillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+5.2
4322-21JVILLEFSU×3KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+2.9
4422-22FSUFSU×3KillKyleene Filimauaset Emma Lilo+5.1
4522-23FSUFSU×3Attack errKyleene Filimaua+5.4
4623-23FSUJVILLEKillAbbie Tuyoset Emersen Strain+4.0
4723-24JVILLEFSUServe errJacksonville+5.0
4823-25FSUFSUBlockedHaley Yountblk Delaney Ewing, Sofia Moss+5.5

Score shown after each rally, Jacksonville first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).