Omaha def. UC Riverside 3–0
(25-13, 25-20, 25-18)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OMAHA | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
| UC RIV | 13 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.7% to UC Riverside — set 1, OMAHA 2-4 UC RIV. UC Riverside ace on Sarah Galligan. UC RIV win probability 15% → 17%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Omaha wins
UC Riverside wins
- OMAHA break %
- 46.7% vs this opp
- UC RIV break %
- 38.4% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01UC RIV serverAce+1.7%
UC Riverside ace on Sarah Galligan
Set 1 · OMAHA 2-4 UC RIV · UC RIV 15% → 17%
- 02Alizabeth JacobsenAttack error+1.7%
Attack error by Alizabeth Jacobsen
Set 2 · OMAHA 21-20 UC RIV · UC RIV 5% → 6%
- 03Alizabeth JacobsenKill+1.5%
Kill by Alizabeth Jacobsen (set by Maddie Stuesser)
Set 2 · OMAHA 22-20 UC RIV · OMAHA 94% → 95%
- 04Alizabeth JacobsenAttack error+1.5%
Alizabeth Jacobsen stuffed by Zeynep Belgutay
Set 1 · OMAHA 2-3 UC RIV · UC RIV 14% → 15%
- 05Dara ObeidKill+1.5%
Kill by Dara Obeid (set by Maddie Stuesser)
Set 1 · OMAHA 4-4 UC RIV · OMAHA 84% → 86%
- 06Sariah JohnsonAttack error+1.5%
Attack error by Sariah Johnson
Set 2 · OMAHA 23-20 UC RIV · OMAHA 95% → 97%
- 07Malia TanksleyAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Malia Tanksley
Set 1 · OMAHA 5-4 UC RIV · OMAHA 86% → 87%
- 08OMAHA serverAce+1.3%
Omaha ace on Misu Nguyen
Set 1 · OMAHA 2-1 UC RIV · OMAHA 86% → 87%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 12 | 2 | 26 | .385 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 3 | 12 | 3 | 21 | .429 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 27 | .259 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | |
| 3 | 8 | 3 | 16 | .313 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 13 | .231 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 38 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 49 | 14 | 105 | .333 | 46 | 5 | 6 | 51 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 75 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 23 | .217 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | |
| 3 | 4 | 0 | 11 | .364 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 6.5 | |
| 3 | 4 | 1 | 16 | .188 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 1.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -.200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 25 | .040 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| Team totals | 25 | 16 | 100 | .090 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 51 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
25-13
Set 2
25-20
Set 3
25-18
Bars above the line = UC Riverside leads, below = Omaha leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Omaha
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%7/14 | 60%9/15 |
| 2 | 55%6/11 | 57%8/14 |
| 3 | 56%5/9 | 69%11/16 |
| 4 | 63%5/8 | 50%5/10 |
| 5 | 100%5/5 | 50%5/10 |
| 6 | 100%5/5 | 44%4/9 |
| All | 63%33/52 | 57%42/74 |
UC Riverside
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32%6/19 | 50%6/12 |
| 2 | 50%6/12 | 14%1/7 |
| 3 | 29%5/17 | 45%5/11 |
| 4 | 63%5/8 | 55%6/11 |
| 5 | 45%5/11 | 17%1/6 |
| 6 | 71%5/7 | 0%0/5 |
| All | 43%32/74 | 37%19/52 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
126 rallies
Rally log
| # | OMAHA-UC RIV | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Kill | Sariah Johnson | set Elena Kasavica | +1.1 |
| 2 | 1-1 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Kill | Alizabeth Jacobsen | set Maddie Stuesser | +1.0 |
| 3 | 2-1 | OMAHA | OMAHA | Ace | OMAHA server | aced Misu Nguyen | +1.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | OMAHA | UC RIV×3 | Kill | Sariah Johnson | set Elena Kasavica | +1.0 |
| 5 | 2-3 | UC RIV | UC RIV×3 | Attack err | Alizabeth Jacobsen | blk Zeynep Belgutay | +1.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | UC RIV | UC RIV×3 | Ace | UC RIV server | aced Sarah Galligan | +1.7 |
| 7 | 3-4 | UC RIV | OMAHA×6 | Kill | Lara Maric | set Maddie Stuesser | +1.1 |
| 8 | 4-4 | OMAHA | OMAHA×6 | Kill | Dara Obeid | set Maddie Stuesser | +1.5 |
| 9 | 5-4 | OMAHA | OMAHA×6 | Attack err | Malia Tanksley | +1.4 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | OMAHA | OMAHA×6 | Attack err | Malia Tanksley | +1.3 | |
| 11 | 7-4 | OMAHA | OMAHA×6 | Kill | Dara Obeid | set Maddie Stuesser | +1.1 |
| 12 | 8-4 | OMAHA | OMAHA×6 | Attack err | Madison Pulsipher | blk Lara Maric, Dara Obeid | +0.9 |
| 13 | 8-5 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Kill | Zeynep Belgutay | set Maya Barron | +0.7 |
| 14 | 9-5 | UC RIV | OMAHA×3 | Kill | Dara Obeid | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.7 |
| 15 | 10-5 | OMAHA | OMAHA×3 | Kill | Madison Corf | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.8 |
| 16 | 11-5 | OMAHA | OMAHA×3 | Kill | Madison Corf | set Dara Obeid | +0.6 |
| 17 | 11-6 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Serve err | OMAHA server | +0.4 | |
| 18 | 12-6 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Kill | Madison Corf | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.4 |
| 19 | 13-6 | OMAHA | OMAHA | Bad set | Juliette D'Eliseo | +0.4 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Attack err | Faith Venable | blk Malia Tanksley | +0.2 |
| 21 | 14-7 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Kill | Faith Venable | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.3 |
| 22 | 14-8 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Kill | Sariah Johnson | set Elena Kasavica | +0.2 |
| 23 | 15-8 | UC RIV | OMAHA×5 | Kill | Alizabeth Jacobsen | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.3 |
| 24 | 16-8 | OMAHA | OMAHA×5 | Attack err | Kylie Proctor | +0.3 | |
| 25 | 17-8 | OMAHA | OMAHA×5 | Kill | Faith Venable | set Madison Corf | +0.1 |
| 26 | 18-8 | OMAHA | OMAHA×5 | Attack err | Sariah Johnson | +0.1 | |
| 27 | 19-8 | OMAHA | OMAHA×5 | Kill | Faith Venable | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.0 |
| 28 | 19-9 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Kill | Sariah Johnson | set Elena Kasavica | +0.0 |
| 29 | 19-10 | UC RIV | UC RIV | Kill | Sariah Johnson | set Elena Kasavica | +0.0 |
| 30 | 20-10 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Attack err | Sariah Johnson | blk Alizabeth Jacobsen | +0.0 |
| 31 | 21-10 | OMAHA | OMAHA | Bad set | Andrea Brewer | +0.0 | |
| 32 | 21-11 | OMAHA | UC RIV×3 | Serve err | OMAHA server | +0.0 | |
| 33 | 21-12 | UC RIV | UC RIV×3 | Ace | UC RIV server | aced Hayden Hart | +0.0 |
| 34 | 21-13 | UC RIV | UC RIV×3 | Kill | Zeynep Belgutay | set Maya Barron | +0.0 |
| 35 | 22-13 | UC RIV | OMAHA×4 | Kill | Lara Maric | set Sarah Galligan | +0.0 |
| 36 | 23-13 | OMAHA | OMAHA×4 | Kill | Hayden Hart | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.0 |
| 37 | 24-13 | OMAHA | OMAHA×4 | Ace | OMAHA server | aced Misu Nguyen | +0.0 |
| 38 | 25-13 | OMAHA | OMAHA×4 | Attack err | Andrea Brewer | blk Dara Obeid, Lara Maric | +0.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UC RIV | UC RIV×3 | Kill | Sariah Johnson | set Elena Kasavica | +1.0 |
| 2 | 0-2 | UC RIV | UC RIV×3 | Kill | Juliette D'Eliseo | set Elena Kasavica | +1.2 |
| 3 | 0-3 | UC RIV | UC RIV×3 | Bad set | Faith Venable | +1.2 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Serve err | UC RIV server | +0.8 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | OMAHA | OMAHA | Kill | Alizabeth Jacobsen | set Maddie Stuesser | +1.1 |
| 6 | 2-4 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Kill | Sariah Johnson | set Elena Kasavica | +0.9 |
| 7 | 3-4 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Kill | Madison Corf | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.8 |
| 8 | 3-5 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Kill | Andrea Brewer | set Maddie Stuesser | +1.0 |
| 9 | 4-5 | UC RIV | OMAHA×4 | Kill | Lara Maric | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | OMAHA | OMAHA×4 | Kill | Dara Obeid | set Maddie Stuesser | +1.1 |
| 11 | 6-5 | OMAHA | OMAHA×4 | Attack err | Andrea Brewer | blk Dara Obeid, Maddie Stuesser | +1.1 |
| 12 | 7-5 | OMAHA | OMAHA×4 | Kill | Madison Corf | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.9 |
| 13 | 7-6 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Serve err | OMAHA server | +0.7 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | UC RIV | UC RIV | Attack err | Dara Obeid | blk Andrea Brewer, Kylie Proctor | +1.1 |
| 15 | 8-7 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Kill | Madison Corf | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.8 |
| 16 | 9-7 | OMAHA | OMAHA | Ace | OMAHA server | aced Andrea Brewer | +1.0 |
| 17 | 9-8 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Kill | Andrea Brewer | set Maya Barron | +0.8 |
| 18 | 10-8 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Kill | Dara Obeid | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.8 |
| 19 | 10-9 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Attack err | Faith Venable | blk Kylie Proctor, Nicole Hughes | +0.8 |
| 20 | 11-9 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Serve err | UC RIV server | +0.8 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Kill | Nicole Hughes | set Maya Barron | +0.8 |
| 22 | 12-10 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Serve err | UC RIV server | +0.8 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Kill | Sariah Johnson | set Elena Kasavica | +0.9 |
| 24 | 13-11 | UC RIV | OMAHA×3 | Kill | Lara Maric | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.9 |
| 25 | 14-11 | OMAHA | OMAHA×3 | Kill | Lara Maric | set Maddie Stuesser | +1.0 |
| 26 | 15-11 | OMAHA | OMAHA×3 | Kill | Lara Maric | set Kate Schroetlin | +0.8 |
| 27 | 15-12 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Kill | Zeynep Belgutay | set Elena Kasavica | +0.5 |
| 28 | 16-12 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Kill | Lara Maric | set Madison Corf | +0.6 |
| 29 | 16-13 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Kill | Sariah Johnson | set Elena Kasavica | +0.5 |
| 30 | 16-14 | UC RIV | UC RIV | Attack err | Dara Obeid | blk Andrea Brewer, Kylie Proctor | +1.0 |
| 31 | 17-14 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Kill | Dara Obeid | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.8 |
| 32 | 17-15 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Kill | Andrea Brewer | set Maya Barron | +0.8 |
| 33 | 18-15 | UC RIV | OMAHA×3 | Kill | Faith Venable | set Emma Nash | +0.9 |
| 34 | 19-15 | OMAHA | OMAHA×3 | Attack err | Nicole Hughes | +0.9 | |
| 35 | 20-15 | OMAHA | OMAHA×3 | Kill | Faith Venable | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.6 |
| 36 | 20-16 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Kill | Juliette D'Eliseo | set Maya Barron | +0.3 |
| 37 | 21-16 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Kill | Faith Venable | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.4 |
| 38 | 21-17 | OMAHA | UC RIV×4 | Kill | Juliette D'Eliseo | set Maya Barron | +0.3 |
| 39 | 21-18 | UC RIV | UC RIV×4 | Ace | UC RIV server | aced Faith Venable | +0.6 |
| 40 | 21-19 | UC RIV | UC RIV×4 | Ace | UC RIV server | aced Faith Venable | +1.0 |
| 41 | 21-20 | UC RIV | UC RIV×4 | Attack err | Alizabeth Jacobsen | +1.7 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | UC RIV | OMAHA×4 | Kill | Alizabeth Jacobsen | set Maddie Stuesser | +1.5 |
| 43 | 23-20 | OMAHA | OMAHA×4 | Attack err | Sariah Johnson | +1.5 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | OMAHA | OMAHA×4 | Kill | Madison Corf | +0.8 | |
| 45 | 25-20 | OMAHA | OMAHA×4 | Kill | Madison Corf | set Elena Kasavica | +0.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Serve err | OMAHA server | +0.4 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Kill | Faith Venable | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.3 |
| 3 | 2-1 | OMAHA | OMAHA | Kill | Lara Maric | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Kill | Zeynep Belgutay | set Elena Kasavica | +0.4 |
| 5 | 2-3 | UC RIV | UC RIV | Attack err | Alizabeth Jacobsen | +0.5 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Attack err | Andrea Brewer | +0.4 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | OMAHA | OMAHA | Attack err | Malia Tanksley | +0.5 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | OMAHA | UC RIV×4 | Kill | Andrea Brewer | set Maya Barron | +0.4 |
| 9 | 4-5 | UC RIV | UC RIV×4 | Attack err | Lara Maric | blk Juliette D'Eliseo | +0.6 |
| 10 | 4-6 | UC RIV | UC RIV×4 | Attack err | Madison Corf | blk Malia Tanksley, Zeynep Belgutay | +0.6 |
| 11 | 4-7 | UC RIV | UC RIV×4 | Attack err | Lara Maric | blk Zeynep Belgutay, Juliette D'Eliseo | +0.7 |
| 12 | 5-7 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Kill | Madison Corf | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.4 |
| 13 | 5-8 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Attack err | Dara Obeid | +0.5 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Kill | Madison Corf | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.4 |
| 15 | 6-9 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Kill | Juliette D'Eliseo | set Maya Barron | +0.5 |
| 16 | 7-9 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Kill | Faith Venable | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.4 |
| 17 | 7-10 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Serve err | OMAHA server | +0.6 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | UC RIV | OMAHA×6 | Kill | Faith Venable | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.5 |
| 19 | 9-10 | OMAHA | OMAHA×6 | Ace | OMAHA server | aced Andrea Brewer | +0.6 |
| 20 | 10-10 | OMAHA | OMAHA×6 | Attack err | Andrea Brewer | +0.6 | |
| 21 | 11-10 | OMAHA | OMAHA×6 | Attack err | Sariah Johnson | blk Alizabeth Jacobsen, Faith Venable | +0.6 |
| 22 | 12-10 | OMAHA | OMAHA×6 | Kill | Lara Maric | set Kate Schroetlin | +0.5 |
| 23 | 13-10 | OMAHA | OMAHA×6 | Ace | OMAHA server | aced Team | +0.5 |
| 24 | 13-11 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Kill | Sariah Johnson | set Elena Kasavica | +0.3 |
| 25 | 14-11 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Kill | Faith Venable | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.3 |
| 26 | 15-11 | OMAHA | OMAHA | Kill | Lara Maric | set Kate Schroetlin | +0.4 |
| 27 | 15-12 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Kill | Andrea Brewer | set Elena Kasavica | +0.2 |
| 28 | 16-12 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Kill | Alizabeth Jacobsen | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.3 |
| 29 | 16-13 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Attack err | Madison Corf | blk Zeynep Belgutay, Juliette D'Eliseo | +0.3 |
| 30 | 16-14 | UC RIV | UC RIV | Attack err | Lara Maric | +0.5 | |
| 31 | 17-14 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Kill | Madison Corf | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.4 |
| 32 | 17-15 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Serve err | OMAHA server | +0.4 | |
| 33 | 17-16 | UC RIV | UC RIV | Attack err | Madison Corf | blk Malia Tanksley, Evelyn Hendrix | +0.7 |
| 34 | 18-16 | UC RIV | OMAHA×4 | Kill | Madison Corf | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.5 |
| 35 | 19-16 | OMAHA | OMAHA×4 | Kill | Faith Venable | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.6 |
| 36 | 20-16 | OMAHA | OMAHA×4 | Kill | Dara Obeid | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.4 |
| 37 | 21-16 | OMAHA | OMAHA×4 | Kill | Dara Obeid | set Juliette D'Eliseo | +0.3 |
| 38 | 21-17 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Kill | Maya Barron | set Andrea Brewer | +0.1 |
| 39 | 22-17 | UC RIV | OMAHA×3 | Kill | Faith Venable | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.2 |
| 40 | 23-17 | OMAHA | OMAHA×3 | Attack err | Juliette D'Eliseo | +0.1 | |
| 41 | 24-17 | OMAHA | OMAHA×3 | Attack err | Sariah Johnson | +0.0 | |
| 42 | 24-18 | OMAHA | UC RIV | Bad set | Dara Obeid | +0.0 | |
| 43 | 25-18 | UC RIV | OMAHA | Kill | Alizabeth Jacobsen | set Maddie Stuesser | +0.0 |
Score shown after each rally, Omaha first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.