Final · 5 setsThu, Oct 15, 2026Watch on Midco Sports+

Omaha def. Oral Roberts 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Omaha 92.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 15, 6:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Omaha won at Oral Roberts 3-2 (25-20, 21-25, 26-24, 22-25, 15-8) on Thu, Oct 15, 2026. Omaha's Lara Maric led with 20 kills, and Kate Schroetlin added 24 digs.

Data through · final Oct 15

Set12345Sets
OMAHA25212622153
ORU2025242582

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Hayden Hart, and Omaha needed each of them.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Omaha's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Omaha went in as RallyIQ's 93% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Omaha 21–22 Oral Roberts

    Omaha scored 3 straight to turn a 21–22 deficit into a 24–22 lead.

    Omaha 76% → 92%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Omaha 0–0 Oral Roberts

    Omaha scored 3 straight to open the set 3–0.

    Omaha 73% → 90%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Omaha 6–5 Oral Roberts

    4 straight Omaha points stretched a 6–5 lead to 10–5.

    Omaha 80% → 98%

Oral Roberts above 50Omaha belowMax swing 7.9%

OmahaOral Roberts

Sideout %
Omaha 52.0·Oral Roberts 48.6
Break %
Omaha 51.4·Oral Roberts 48.0
Hitting
Omaha .157·Oral Roberts .141
Longest run
Omaha 7·Oral Roberts 5

Dara Obeid
9 kills on .421, 10 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Oral Roberts above 50 · Omaha below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+7.9% ORUrally 211 · set 5

Biggest swing: 7.9% to Oral Roberts — set 3, OMAHA 24-24 ORU. Kill by Ana Stojicic (set by Olivia Burns). ORU win probability 10% → 18%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

OMAHA 92.3%7.7% ORU

Omaha wins

3-0
48.8%
3-1
31.1%
3-2
12.3%

Oral Roberts wins

3-0
1.0%
3-1
2.3%
3-2
4.5%
OMAHA break %
48.1% vs this opp
ORU break %
37.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ana StojicicKill+7.9%

    Kill by Ana Stojicic (set by Olivia Burns)

    Set 3 · OMAHA 24-24 ORU · ORU 10% → 18%

  2. 02

    Madison Corf stuffed by Quincey McCoy & Ciara Cunningham

    Set 3 · OMAHA 21-22 ORU · ORU 18% → 24%

  3. 03
    Lara MaricAttack error+6.7%

    Attack error by Lara Maric

    Set 5 · OMAHA 6-5 ORU · ORU 13% → 20%

  4. 04
    Dara ObeidKill+6.7%

    Kill by Dara Obeid (set by Maddie Stuesser)

    Set 3 · OMAHA 23-22 ORU · OMAHA 80% → 87%

  5. 05
    Lara MaricKill+6.5%

    Kill by Lara Maric (set by Maddie Stuesser)

    Set 3 · OMAHA 26-24 ORU · OMAHA 88% → 94%

  6. 06

    Ace by Maddie Stuesser on Olivia Burns

    Set 5 · OMAHA 1-0 ORU · OMAHA 73% → 80%

  7. 07
    Lara MaricKill+5.9%

    Kill by Lara Maric (set by Maddie Stuesser)

    Set 3 · OMAHA 25-24 ORU · OMAHA 82% → 88%

  8. 08
    Ana StojicicKill+5.9%

    Kill by Ana Stojicic (set by Olivia Burns)

    Set 5 · OMAHA 3-2 ORU · ORU 13% → 19%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Omahaaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5171348.08311118300018
58421.1900001024412
59119.4210001002110
55212.2505312160031.57.5
5000–2121700001
22110.100000101013
520850.24001150031.522.5
55831-.097140400009
5001.0005012400000
5000–101900000
4000–001100000
1205.400000000002
Team totals6837197.15763899753129109
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513346.21700050132.515.5
511345.1780116202113
5319.2222421026512
55112.33300020031.56.5
5004.00022001300000
39330.200000810009
51011.00014021200001
5002.0007012010000
46319.15810251010.56.5
31315-.133000300212
2059-.55600020111.51.5
1000–000100000
Team totals4922192.141465878841813102

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Omaha vs Oral Roberts

Season series · Omaha leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 OMAHA · ORU 5

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 4 OMAHAORU 5

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 7 OMAHAORU 5

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 6 OMAHAORU 4

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 4 OMAHAORU 5

Set 5

15-8

Longest run 4 OMAHAORU 2

Bars above the line = Oral Roberts leads, below = Omaha leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Omaha

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%10/23
44%7/16
2
60%9/15
36%5/14
3
38%9/24
36%5/14
4
56%9/16
73%24/33
5
67%8/12
47%8/17
6
67%8/12
47%7/15
All
52%53/102
51%56/109

Oral Roberts

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
40%6/15
2
60%9/15
57%12/21
3
53%9/17
61%14/23
4
31%9/29
36%5/14
5
60%9/15
40%6/15
6
47%7/15
43%6/14
All
49%53/109
48%49/102

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

211 rallies

#OMAHA-ORUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ORUOMAHABlockedCiara Cunninghamblk Cora Metcalf+0.5
22-0OMAHAOMAHAKillCora Metcalfset Maddie Stuesser+0.7
32-1OMAHAORUServe errOmaha+0.5
43-1ORUOMAHA×3KillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+0.5
54-1OMAHAOMAHA×3Attack errQuincey McCoy+0.6
65-1OMAHAOMAHA×3Serve errOmaha+0.5
75-2OMAHAORU×5Attack errMaddie Stuesser+0.4
85-3ORUORU×5Attack errCora Metcalf+0.6
95-4ORUORU×5BlockedMadison Corfblk Ciara Cunningham, Jaya Tarver+0.8
105-5ORUORU×5AceOral Robertsaced Madison Corf+0.9
115-6ORUORU×5AceOral Roberts+1.1
126-6ORUOMAHAKillHayden Hartset Maddie Stuesser+0.7
137-6OMAHAOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+1.0
147-7OMAHAORUKillLibby Ryanset Ashlyn Aseltine+0.8
158-7ORUOMAHAServe errOral Roberts+0.7
169-7OMAHAOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+0.9
179-8OMAHAORUServe errOmaha+0.7
1810-8ORUOMAHAAttack errJaya Tarver+0.6
1911-8OMAHAOMAHAAceOmaha+0.8
2011-9OMAHAORUKillCortnee Smithset Ava Ewald+0.6
2111-10ORUORUAttack errLara Maric+1.0
2212-10ORUOMAHAKillMaddie Stuesser+0.7
2313-10OMAHAOMAHAAttack errCortnee Smith+0.8
2413-11OMAHAORUKillQuincey McCoyset Ava Ewald+0.6
2513-12ORUORUKillCortnee Smithset Ashlyn Aseltine+1.0
2614-12ORUOMAHABlockedCortnee Smithblk Lara Maric, Alizabeth Jacobsen+0.8
2715-12OMAHAOMAHAAceOmahaaced Cortnee Smith+0.9
2815-13OMAHAORUKillCiara Cunninghamset Ashlyn Aseltine+0.6
2916-13ORUOMAHAKillCora Metcalfset Maddie Stuesser+0.7
3017-13OMAHAOMAHABad setCiara Cunningham+0.7
3117-14OMAHAORU×3KillCiara Cunninghamset Ashlyn Aseltine+0.4
3217-15ORUORU×3KillLibby Ryanset Ashlyn Aseltine+0.9
3317-16ORUORU×3KillLibby Ryanset Ashlyn Aseltine+1.3
3418-16ORUOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+1.0
3519-16OMAHAOMAHAKillMaddie Stuesserset Madison Corf+1.1
3619-17OMAHAORUServe errOmaha+0.7
3719-18ORUORUAttack errHayden Hart+1.4
3820-18ORUOMAHA×4KillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+1.1
3921-18OMAHAOMAHA×4KillLara Maricset Kate Schroetlin+1.2
4022-18OMAHAOMAHA×4KillHayden Hartset Maddie Stuesser+0.8
4123-18OMAHAOMAHA×4KillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+0.4
4223-19OMAHAORUKillJaya Tarverset Ava Ewald+0.1
4324-19ORUOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+0.2
4424-20OMAHAORUKillCortnee Smithset Ava Ewald+0.1
4525-20ORUOMAHAServe errOral Roberts+0.1
Set 2
10-1OMAHAORU×5BlockedHayden Hartblk Quincey McCoy+0.5
20-2ORUORU×5Attack errMadison Corf+0.7
30-3ORUORU×5Attack errMadison Corf+0.8
40-4ORUORU×5KillCiara Cunninghamset Ashlyn Aseltine+0.9
50-5ORUORU×5KillCortnee Smithset Olivia Burns+0.9
61-5ORUOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Kate Schroetlin+0.5
71-6OMAHAORU×3KillCortnee Smithset Ashlyn Aseltine+0.7
81-7ORUORU×3KillLibby Ryanset Ashlyn Aseltine+0.9
91-8ORUORU×3AceOral Robertsaced Madison Corf+0.9
102-8ORUOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Sarah Galligan+0.5
112-9OMAHAORUKillCiara Cunninghamset Ashlyn Aseltine+0.7
123-9ORUOMAHA×6KillAlizabeth Jacobsenset Maddie Stuesser+0.5
134-9OMAHAOMAHA×6KillLara Maricset Kate Schroetlin+0.7
145-9OMAHAOMAHA×6KillMaddie Stuesserset Olivia Burns+0.8
156-9OMAHAOMAHA×6KillLara Maricset Ashlyn Aseltine+0.8
167-9OMAHAOMAHA×6Attack errCiara Cunningham+0.8
178-9OMAHAOMAHA×6Attack errLibby Ryan+0.8
188-10OMAHAORU×5KillLibby Ryanset Ashlyn Aseltine+0.7
198-11ORUORU×5Attack errMadison Corf+1.1
208-12ORUORU×5BlockedLara Maricblk Jaya Tarver, Sienna Wnetrzak+1.1
218-13ORUORU×5KillLibby Ryanset Olivia Burns+1.1
228-14ORUORU×5Attack errMaddie Stuesser+1.0
239-14ORUOMAHAServe errOral Roberts+0.5
249-15OMAHAORUKillJaya Tarverset Ava Ewald+0.8
2510-15ORUOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+0.5
2610-16OMAHAORU×3KillSienna Wnetrzakset Ava Ewald+0.8
2710-17ORUORU×3BlockedLara Maricblk Quincey McCoy, Cortnee Smith+0.8
2810-18ORUORU×3Attack errLara Maric+0.6
2911-18ORUOMAHAKillElla Tiarksset Maddie Stuesser+0.2
3011-19OMAHAORUServe errOmaha+0.4
3111-20ORUORUBlockedHayden Hartblk Quincey McCoy+0.4
3212-20ORUOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+0.1
3312-21OMAHAORUKillCortnee Smithset Olivia Burns+0.2
3413-21ORUOMAHAKillElla Tiarksset Maddie Stuesser+0.1
3513-22OMAHAORUServe errOmaha+0.2
3613-23ORUORUAttack errAlizabeth Jacobsen+0.1
3714-23ORUOMAHA×7Serve errOral Roberts·
3815-23OMAHAOMAHA×7AceMadison Corfaced Ana Stojicic·
3916-23OMAHAOMAHA×7KillAlizabeth Jacobsenset Maddie Stuesser+0.1
4017-23OMAHAOMAHA×7KillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+0.1
4118-23OMAHAOMAHA×7Attack errLibby Ryan+0.2
4219-23OMAHAOMAHA×7KillLara Maricset Kate Schroetlin+0.4
4320-23OMAHAOMAHA×7KillLara Maricset Emma Nash+0.7
4420-24OMAHAORUKillLibby Ryanset Ashlyn Aseltine+1.0
4521-24ORUOMAHAAttack errLibby Ryan+0.3
4621-25OMAHAORUAttack errLara Maric+0.7
Set 3
10-1ORUORUKillCiara Cunninghamset Ashlyn Aseltine+1.9
21-1ORUOMAHAAttack errCortnee Smith+1.3
32-1OMAHAOMAHAKillHayden Hartset Maddie Stuesser+1.6
42-2OMAHAORU×4BlockedAlizabeth Jacobsenblk Quincey McCoy, Ciara Cunningham+1.3
52-3ORUORU×4KillCiara Cunninghamset Quincey McCoy+2.1
62-4ORUORU×4KillLibby Ryanset Quincey McCoy+2.4
72-5ORUORU×4AceOral Roberts+2.6
83-5ORUOMAHA×3KillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+1.6
94-5OMAHAOMAHA×3BlockedLibby Ryanblk Alizabeth Jacobsen+2.2
105-5OMAHAOMAHA×3AceLara Maricaced Cortnee Smith+2.1
115-6OMAHAORU×3Serve errLara Maric+1.7
125-7ORUORU×3KillCortnee Smithset Ava Ewald+2.6
135-8ORUORU×3KillLibby Ryanset Ava Ewald+2.9
146-8ORUOMAHA×6KillAlizabeth Jacobsenset Maddie Stuesser+1.8
157-8OMAHAOMAHA×6KillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+2.5
168-8OMAHAOMAHA×6KillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+2.4
179-8OMAHAOMAHA×6KillMaddie Stuesserset Hayden Hart+2.1
1810-8OMAHAOMAHA×6Attack errSienna Wnetrzak+1.9
1911-8OMAHAOMAHA×6AceHayden Hartaced Libby Ryan+1.5
2011-9OMAHAORUKillCortnee Smithset Ava Ewald+1.1
2112-9ORUOMAHAKillAlizabeth Jacobsenset Maddie Stuesser+1.1
2212-10OMAHAORUKillCortnee Smithset Ava Ewald+1.2
2313-10ORUOMAHAKillDara Obeidset Maddie Stuesser+1.2
2414-10OMAHAOMAHAAttack errSienna Wnetrzak+1.3
2514-11OMAHAORUBlockedMadison Corfblk Sienna Wnetrzak, Quincey McCoy+0.9
2615-11ORUOMAHAKillDara Obeidset Maddie Stuesser+0.9
2715-12OMAHAORUAttack errDara Obeid+0.9
2815-13ORUORUBad setDara Obeid+1.7
2916-13ORUOMAHABlockedAna Stojicicblk Lara Maric, Dara Obeid+1.3
3016-14OMAHAORUKillCiara Cunninghamset Ashlyn Aseltine+1.3
3117-14ORUOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+1.4
3217-15OMAHAORU×4KillCiara Cunninghamset Ashlyn Aseltine+1.3
3317-16ORUORU×4Attack errHayden Hart+2.6
3417-17ORUORU×4KillAva Ewaldset Olivia Burns+3.5
3517-18ORUORU×4KillAna Stojicicset Ava Ewald+4.3
3618-18ORUOMAHAKillAlizabeth Jacobsenset Maddie Stuesser+2.9
3719-18OMAHAOMAHABlockedSienna Wnetrzakblk Alizabeth Jacobsen+3.9
3819-19OMAHAORUKillJaya Tarverset Ava Ewald+3.0
3920-19ORUOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+3.0
4020-20OMAHAORUServe errOmaha+3.3
4121-20ORUOMAHAKillMadison Corfset Sarah Galligan+3.4
4221-21OMAHAORUServe errOmaha+3.7
4321-22ORUORUBlockedMadison Corfblk Quincey McCoy, Ciara Cunningham+6.7
4422-22ORUOMAHA×3KillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+4.5
4523-22OMAHAOMAHA×3KillDara Obeidset Maddie Stuesser+6.7
4624-22OMAHAOMAHA×3Attack errCiara Cunningham+5.3
4724-23OMAHAORUAttack errHayden Hart+2.2
4824-24ORUORUKillAna Stojicicset Olivia Burns+7.9
4925-24ORUOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+5.9
5026-24OMAHAOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+6.5
Set 4
10-1OMAHAORUAttack errHayden Hart+1.0
20-2ORUORUBlockedLara Maricblk Cortnee Smith, Quincey McCoy+1.6
31-2ORUOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+1.0
41-3OMAHAORUKillCiara Cunninghamset Olivia Burns+1.2
52-3ORUOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+1.1
62-4OMAHAORUBlockedAlizabeth Jacobsenblk Ana Stojicic, Quincey McCoy+1.3
72-5ORUORUAceOral Robertsaced Madison Corf+1.9
83-5ORUOMAHAServe errOral Roberts+1.2
94-5OMAHAOMAHAAceHayden Hart+1.6
104-6OMAHAORU×3KillCiara Cunninghamset Ashlyn Aseltine+1.4
114-7ORUORU×3Attack errMadison Corf+2.0
124-8ORUORU×3Attack errAlizabeth Jacobsen+2.2
135-8ORUOMAHAKillMaddie Stuesser+1.3
145-9OMAHAORUKillJaya Tarverset Ava Ewald+1.7
156-9ORUOMAHA×3Serve errOral Roberts+1.3
167-9OMAHAOMAHA×3KillLara Maricset Kate Schroetlin+1.9
178-9OMAHAOMAHA×3Attack errElyse Dube+1.9
188-10OMAHAORUAttack errLara Maric+1.6
199-10ORUOMAHAServe errOral Roberts+1.4
2010-10OMAHAOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+1.8
2110-11OMAHAORU×3KillQuincey McCoyset Ava Ewald+1.5
2210-12ORUORU×3KillCortnee Smithset Ashlyn Aseltine+2.3
2310-13ORUORU×3BlockedHayden Hartblk Ciara Cunningham+2.6
2411-13ORUOMAHAKillHayden Hartset Maddie Stuesser+1.5
2511-14OMAHAORUKillCiara Cunninghamset Ashlyn Aseltine+2.0
2611-15ORUORUKillAna Stojicicset Ashlyn Aseltine+2.7
2712-15ORUOMAHAKillLara Maricset Maddie Stuesser+1.5
2812-16OMAHAORUKillAna Stojicicset Ashlyn Aseltine+2.1
2912-17ORUORUKillCiara Cunninghamset Ana Stojicic+2.6
3013-17ORUOMAHAKillAlizabeth Jacobsenset Maddie Stuesser+1.3
3114-17OMAHAOMAHABlockedAna Stojicicblk Alizabeth Jacobsen, Maddie Stuesser+2.2
3214-18OMAHAORUKillAna Stojicicset Ashlyn Aseltine+2.3
3315-18ORUOMAHA×3KillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+1.5
3416-18OMAHAOMAHA×3KillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+2.6
3517-18OMAHAOMAHA×3KillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+2.9
3617-19OMAHAORU×5Attack errMadison Corf+2.7
3717-20ORUORU×5KillJaya Tarver+3.7
3817-21ORUORU×5BlockedMadison Corfblk Jaya Tarver, Elyse Dube+3.3
3917-22ORUORU×5BlockedMadison Corfblk Elyse Dube+2.5
4017-23ORUORU×5Attack errMadison Corf+1.4
4118-23ORUOMAHA×4KillDara Obeidset Maddie Stuesser+0.3
4219-23OMAHAOMAHA×4KillDara Obeid+0.8
4320-23OMAHAOMAHA×4KillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+1.5
4421-23OMAHAOMAHA×4KillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+2.5
4521-24OMAHAORUKillCortnee Smithset Ava Ewald+3.6
4622-24ORUOMAHAKillDara Obeidset Maddie Stuesser+1.3
4722-25OMAHAORUAttack errMadison Corf+4.4
Set 5
11-0OMAHAOMAHA×3AceMaddie Stuesseraced Olivia Burns+6.5
22-0OMAHAOMAHA×3KillDara Obeidset Maddie Stuesser+5.6
33-0OMAHAOMAHA×3KillDara Obeidset Maddie Stuesser+4.6
43-1OMAHAORUServe errMaddie Stuesser+3.3
53-2ORUORUKillAna Stojicicset Olivia Burns+5.9
64-2ORUOMAHAServe errOral Roberts+4.3
75-2OMAHAOMAHABlockedAna Stojicicblk Dara Obeid, Lara Maric+5.1
85-3OMAHAORUKillCiara Cunninghamset Ashlyn Aseltine+3.5
96-3ORUOMAHAKillHayden Hartset Maddie Stuesser+3.7
106-4OMAHAORUBad setMaddie Stuesser+3.6
116-5ORUORUAttack errLara Maric+6.7
127-5ORUOMAHA×4KillAlizabeth Jacobsenset Maddie Stuesser+5.2
138-5OMAHAOMAHA×4Attack errElyse Dube+5.8
149-5OMAHAOMAHA×4Attack errElyse Dube+4.2
1510-5OMAHAOMAHA×4BlockedElyse Dubeblk Maddie Stuesser, Alizabeth Jacobsen+2.6
1610-6OMAHAORUAttack errHayden Hart+1.3
1711-6ORUOMAHA×3BlockedElyse Dubeblk Maddie Stuesser, Alizabeth Jacobsen+1.8
1812-6OMAHAOMAHA×3AceHayden Hart+1.2
1913-6OMAHAOMAHA×3KillMadison Corfset Maddie Stuesser+0.5
2013-7OMAHAORUAttack errMadison Corf+0.1
2114-7ORUOMAHAKillAlizabeth Jacobsenset Maddie Stuesser+0.2
2214-8OMAHAORUKillQuincey McCoyset Elyse Dube·
2315-8ORUOMAHAKillDara Obeidset Maddie Stuesser+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Omaha first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).