FinalFri, Sep 11, 2026

AwayMAC

3:0

HomeCAA

Ball St. def. Campbell 3–0

(25-13, 25-22, 25-20)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
BALLST	25	25	25	3
CAMPBL	13	22	20	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

CAMPBL above 50 · BALLST below

Biggest swing: 2.2% to Ball St. — set 2, BALLST 24-22 CAMPBL. Kill by Tiffany Snook (set by Lindsey Green). CAMPBL win probability 6% → 4%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

BALLST 85.1%14.9% CAMPBL

Ball St. wins

3-0

37.2%

3-1

31.3%

3-2

16.5%

Campbell wins

3-0

2.2%

3-1

4.8%

3-2

7.9%

BALLST break %: 46.8% vs this opp
CAMPBL break %: 38.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Tiffany SnookKill+2.2%
Kill by Tiffany Snook (set by Lindsey Green)
Set 2 · BALLST 24-22 CAMPBL · BALLST 94% → 96%
02
Madison BuckleyKill+2.1%
Kill by Madison Buckley (set by Reese Axness)
Set 2 · BALLST 19-18 CAMPBL · BALLST 90% → 92%
03
Hailey HeytveltAttack error+2.1%
Hailey Heytvelt stuffed by Alana Bailey
Set 2 · BALLST 21-19 CAMPBL · BALLST 92% → 94%
04
Maddie LambersKill+2.0%
Kill by Maddie Lambers (set by Lauren Wheeler)
Set 2 · BALLST 15-16 CAMPBL · CAMPBL 9% → 11%
05
Madison BuckleyKill+1.9%
Kill by Madison Buckley (set by Reese Axness)
Set 2 · BALLST 23-21 CAMPBL · BALLST 93% → 95%
06
Victoria TupyKill+1.9%
Kill by Victoria Tupy (set by Ella Duong)
Set 2 · BALLST 22-21 CAMPBL · CAMPBL 5% → 7%
07
Leah FreesemannKill+1.7%
Kill by Leah Freesemann (set by Hannah Pattie)
Set 2 · BALLST 17-18 CAMPBL · CAMPBL 10% → 11%
08
Gwen CrullKill+1.7%
Kill by Gwen Crull (set by Reese Axness)
Set 2 · BALLST 20-19 CAMPBL · BALLST 91% → 92%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Ball St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Ava SmithOH	3	8	2	22	.273	0	2	0	7	0	0	2	1	11
13Gwen CrullMB	3	6	1	9	.556	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	6
21Madison BuckleyOPP	3	4	1	12	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
1Audrey GeerOH	3	4	2	14	.143	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	0	4
2Reese AxnessS	3	0	0	0	–	17	0	1	8	0	0	0	0	0
17Camryn WiseMB	1	2	0	3	.667	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
11Tiffany SnookMB	3	17	1	23	.696	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	17
16Alana BaileyMB	3	4	1	8	.375	0	0	0	2	0	3	2	4	8
8Lindsey GreenS	3	0	0	1	.000	25	1	0	8	0	0	0	0	1
12Sophie LedbetterDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	15	1	0	0	0	0
3Elizabeth TabelingDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
10Leah PikeMB	1	4	2	12	.167	0	0	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
9Mallory PikeOH	1	1	2	9	-.111	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
6Merritt SliwaOH	1	1	3	8	-.250	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
15Allie WuestenfeldDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
7Lucy McCollumS	1	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		51	15	121	.298	48	4	4	63	2	3	6	6	75

Campbellhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Hailey HeytveltMB	3	9	2	21	.333	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	10
6Victoria TupyOH	3	8	3	31	.161	0	0	0	7	1	0	0	0	8
3Maddie LambersMB	3	3	1	7	.286	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	5
5Leah FreesemannOH	3	3	2	13	.077	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
8Ella DuongOH	3	1	2	15	-.067	1	0	1	7	1	0	0	0	1
9Hannah PattieS	3	0	0	1	.000	12	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
14Breanna McMillanOH	3	7	2	19	.263	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7
10Sadie JohnstonL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	1	0	10	0	0	0	0	1
7Aubree FernandezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
1Lauren WheelerS	3	0	0	0	–	16	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	0
13Marlena LeeOH	2	2	4	9	-.222	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
11Tess DeZurikL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
4Alexis JodieS	1	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		33	17	117	.137	32	2	2	50	4	1	6	4	55

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 BALLST · CAMPBL 5

Set 1

25-13

Longest run 5 BALLSTCAMPBL 2

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 BALLSTCAMPBL 3

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 7 BALLSTCAMPBL 5

Bars above the line = Campbell leads, below = Ball St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Ball St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%7/7	33%3/9
2	88%7/8	56%9/16
3	41%7/17	56%9/16
4	78%7/9	50%7/14
5	55%6/11	50%6/12
6	100%4/4	43%3/7
All	68%38/56	50%37/74

Campbell

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	0%0/5
2	39%7/18	13%1/8
3	41%7/17	42%5/12
4	60%6/10	42%5/12
5	55%6/11	33%3/9
6	57%4/7	40%4/10
All	50%37/74	32%18/56

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

130 rallies

Rally log

#	BALLST-CAMPBL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Victoria Tupy		+1.3
2	2-0	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Maddie Lambers		+1.2
3	2-1	BALLST	CAMPBL	Serve err	BALLST server		+0.9
4	3-1	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Audrey Geer	set Reese Axness	+0.9
5	4-1	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Victoria Tupy		+1.1
6	4-2	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Leah Freesemann	set Hannah Pattie	+0.8
7	5-2	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Reese Axness	+0.8
8	5-3	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.8
9	6-3	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Reese Axness	+0.8
10	6-4	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Hailey Heytvelt	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.9
11	6-5	CAMPBL	CAMPBL	Ace	CAMPBL server	aced Audrey Geer	+1.4
12	7-5	CAMPBL	BALLST×5	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+1.0
13	8-5	BALLST	BALLST×5	Ace	BALLST server	aced Ella Duong	+1.2
14	9-5	BALLST	BALLST×5	Attack err	Ella Duong		+1.0
15	10-5	BALLST	BALLST×5	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+0.8
16	11-5	BALLST	BALLST×5	Ace	BALLST server	aced Victoria Tupy	+0.6
17	11-6	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Breanna McMillan	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.4
18	12-6	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+0.5
19	12-7	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Maddie Lambers	set Hannah Pattie	+0.4
20	13-7	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+0.5
21	14-7	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook		+0.4
22	14-8	BALLST	CAMPBL	Attack err	Audrey Geer		+0.3
23	15-8	CAMPBL	BALLST×3	Attack err	Leah Freesemann		+0.3
24	16-8	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Ava Smith	set Sophie Ledbetter	+0.3
25	17-8	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Ava Smith	set Reese Axness	+0.2
26	17-9	BALLST	CAMPBL	Serve err	BALLST server		+0.1
27	18-9	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Madison Buckley	set Reese Axness	+0.1
28	18-10	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.1
29	19-10	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+0.1
30	20-10	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+0.1
31	20-11	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Hailey Heytvelt	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.0
32	21-11	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+0.0
33	21-12	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Breanna McMillan	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.0
34	21-13	CAMPBL	CAMPBL	Attack err	Tiffany Snook		+0.0
35	22-13	CAMPBL	BALLST×4	Kill	Camryn Wise	set Lindsey Green	+0.0
36	23-13	BALLST	BALLST×4	Kill	Alana Bailey	set Lindsey Green	+0.0
37	24-13	BALLST	BALLST×4	Attack err	Ella Duong		+0.0
38	25-13	BALLST	BALLST×4	Kill	Audrey Geer	set Lindsey Green	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	CAMPBL	BALLST	Serve err	CAMPBL server		+0.7
2	1-1	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Hannah Pattie	+0.8
3	1-2	CAMPBL	CAMPBL	Ace	CAMPBL server	aced Sophie Ledbetter	+1.1
4	2-2	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Reese Axness	+0.8
5	2-3	BALLST	CAMPBL×3	Serve err	BALLST server		+0.9
6	2-4	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×3	Attack err	Ava Smith		+1.3
7	2-5	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×3	Kill	Hailey Heytvelt	set Lauren Wheeler	+1.4
8	3-5	CAMPBL	BALLST×4	Kill	Alana Bailey	set Reese Axness	+0.9
9	4-5	BALLST	BALLST×4	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Ava Smith	+1.2
10	5-5	BALLST	BALLST×4	Ace	BALLST server	aced Team	+1.2
11	6-5	BALLST	BALLST×4	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+1.1
12	6-6	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Breanna McMillan	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.9
13	7-6	CAMPBL	BALLST	Attack err	Hailey Heytvelt	blk Alana Bailey	+0.8
14	7-7	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Breanna McMillan	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.9
15	8-7	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+0.9
16	8-8	BALLST	CAMPBL	Attack err	Gwen Crull	blk Maddie Lambers	+1.0
17	9-8	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Audrey Geer	set Lindsey Green	+0.9
18	9-9	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Marlena Lee	set Hannah Pattie	+1.0
19	10-9	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Madison Buckley	set Reese Axness	+0.9
20	10-10	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Maddie Lambers	set Hannah Pattie	+1.0
21	11-10	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Ava Smith	set Reese Axness	+1.0
22	12-10	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Marlena Lee	blk Ava Smith, Alana Bailey	+1.2
23	12-11	BALLST	CAMPBL×3	Kill	Hailey Heytvelt	set Hannah Pattie	+0.9
24	12-12	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×3	Attack err	Ava Smith		+1.5
25	12-13	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×3	Kill	Breanna McMillan	set Aubree Fernandez	+1.7
26	13-13	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Alana Bailey	set Reese Axness	+1.2
27	14-13	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+1.5
28	14-14	BALLST	CAMPBL	Bad set	Lindsey Green		+1.2
29	15-14	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+1.2
30	15-15	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Hailey Heytvelt	set Lauren Wheeler	+1.3
31	15-16	CAMPBL	CAMPBL	Kill	Maddie Lambers	set Lauren Wheeler	+2.0
32	16-16	CAMPBL	BALLST	Serve err	CAMPBL server		+1.4
33	16-17	BALLST	CAMPBL	Attack err	Audrey Geer		+1.6
34	17-17	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+1.5
35	17-18	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Leah Freesemann	set Hannah Pattie	+1.7
36	18-18	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Audrey Geer	set Reese Axness	+1.6
37	19-18	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Madison Buckley	set Reese Axness	+2.1
38	19-19	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Hannah Pattie	+1.7
39	20-19	CAMPBL	BALLST×3	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Reese Axness	+1.7
40	21-19	BALLST	BALLST×3	Attack err	Hailey Heytvelt	blk Alana Bailey	+2.1
41	22-19	BALLST	BALLST×3	Attack err	Sadie Johnston		+1.5
42	22-20	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Hannah Pattie	+0.8
43	22-21	CAMPBL	CAMPBL	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Ella Duong	+1.9
44	23-21	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Madison Buckley	set Reese Axness	+1.9
45	23-22	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Lauren Wheeler	+1.4
46	24-22	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+2.2
47	25-22	BALLST	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Sophie Ledbetter	+1.5
Set 3
1	0-1	BALLST	CAMPBL	Attack err	Alana Bailey		+0.4
2	1-1	CAMPBL	BALLST×4	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+0.4
3	2-1	BALLST	BALLST×4	Attack err	Marlena Lee	blk Alana Bailey, Ava Smith	+0.5
4	3-1	BALLST	BALLST×4	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+0.4
5	4-1	BALLST	BALLST×4	Attack err	Marlena Lee		+0.4
6	4-2	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Marlena Lee	set Hannah Pattie	+0.3
7	5-2	CAMPBL	BALLST×7	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+0.3
8	6-2	BALLST	BALLST×7	Attack err	Victoria Tupy		+0.3
9	7-2	BALLST	BALLST×7	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+0.3
10	8-2	BALLST	BALLST×7	Kill	Gwen Crull	set Lindsey Green	+0.2
11	9-2	BALLST	BALLST×7	Attack err	Breanna McMillan		+0.2
12	10-2	BALLST	BALLST×7	Attack err	Breanna McMillan		+0.1
13	11-2	BALLST	BALLST×7	Bad set	Alexis Jodie		+0.1
14	11-3	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Hailey Heytvelt	set Alexis Jodie	+0.0
15	11-4	CAMPBL	CAMPBL	Kill	Hailey Heytvelt	set Lindsey Green	+0.1
16	12-4	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+0.1
17	12-5	BALLST	CAMPBL	Attack err	Madison Buckley		+0.1
18	13-5	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Leah Pike	set Reese Axness	+0.1
19	14-5	BALLST	BALLST	Attack err	Leah Freesemann	blk Madison Buckley, Leah Pike	+0.1
20	14-6	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Breanna McMillan	set Alexis Jodie	+0.0
21	15-6	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Leah Pike	set Reese Axness	+0.0
22	15-7	BALLST	CAMPBL	Serve err	BALLST server		+0.0
23	16-7	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Merritt Sliwa	set Reese Axness	+0.0
24	16-8	BALLST	CAMPBL	Attack err	Merritt Sliwa	blk Marlena Lee, Maddie Lambers	+0.0
25	17-8	CAMPBL	BALLST×3	Attack err	Marlena Lee	blk Alana Bailey	+0.0
26	18-8	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Alana Bailey		+0.0
27	19-8	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Ava Smith	set Lindsey Green	+0.0
28	19-9	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Ella Duong	set Hannah Pattie	+0.0
29	20-9	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lindsey Green	+0.0
30	20-10	BALLST	CAMPBL×5	Kill	Hailey Heytvelt	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.0
31	20-11	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×5	Kill	Victoria Tupy	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.0
32	20-12	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×5	Kill	Hailey Heytvelt	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.0
33	20-13	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×5	Attack err	Mallory Pike		+0.0
34	20-14	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×5	Attack err	Mallory Pike		+0.1
35	21-14	CAMPBL	BALLST×3	Kill	Tiffany Snook	set Lucy McCollum	+0.1
36	22-14	BALLST	BALLST×3	Kill	Mallory Pike	set Lucy McCollum	+0.0
37	23-14	BALLST	BALLST×3	Ace	BALLST server	aced Tess DeZurik	+0.0
38	23-15	BALLST	CAMPBL	Kill	Breanna McMillan	set Lauren Wheeler	+0.0
39	23-16	CAMPBL	CAMPBL	Attack err	Leah Pike		+0.0
40	24-16	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Leah Pike	set Lucy McCollum	+0.0
41	24-17	BALLST	CAMPBL×4	Attack err	Merritt Sliwa		+0.0
42	24-18	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×4	Kill	Leah Freesemann	set Hannah Pattie	+0.0
43	24-19	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×4	Attack err	Merritt Sliwa	blk Marlena Lee, Maddie Lambers	+0.0
44	24-20	CAMPBL	CAMPBL×4	Attack err	Leah Pike	blk Marlena Lee, Leah Freesemann	+0.0
45	25-20	CAMPBL	BALLST	Kill	Leah Pike	set Lucy McCollum	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Ball St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.