FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ACCNX

North Carolina def. Clemson 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: North Carolina 97.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

North Carolina beat visiting Clemson 3-0 (25-15, 25-20, 25-14) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. North Carolina's Hailey Pearce and Addison West led with 10 kills each, and Carly Markham added 6 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
CLEM1520140
UNC2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Hailey Pearce hit .643 with 10 kills as North Carolina rolled past Clemson.

No single rally moved win probability more than 0.5 points. Clemson peaked at 2% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave North Carolina 97% before first serve.

ClemsonNorth Carolina
  • Break %+23.4 pts
    31.454.8

    Points won on own serve: 40 of 73 vs 16 of 51. Clemson sided out 45.2% of the time.

  • Hitting+.333
    .060.393

    45 K / 12 E against 26 K / 21 E.

  • Longest run+3
    47

    7 straight North Carolina points in the third set stretched a 5–4 lead to 12–4. That set ended 25–14.

North Carolina above 50Clemson belowMax swing 0.5%

ClemsonNorth Carolina

Aces
Clemson 2·North Carolina 3
Serve err
Clemson 6·North Carolina 9
Blocks
Clemson 3·North Carolina 103 BS · 0 BA vs 4 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Clemson 27·North Carolina 30

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

North Carolina above 50 · Clemson below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 124 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: North Carolina stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CLEM 1.0%99.0% UNC

Clemson wins

3-0
0.1%
3-1
0.2%
3-2
0.7%

North Carolina wins

3-0
74.2%
3-1
21.1%
3-2
3.8%
CLEM break %
32.7% vs this opp
UNC break %
50.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37520.100000211018
36317.176000101017
33310.000002101014
3319.222000100003
3000–1000200000
22613-.308001400002
34313.077000000004
3102.5001011700002
3000–311500001
3000–201400000
3000–000000000
1000–000010000
Team totals262184.060252627330349
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
3328.12521110435.59.5
36010.60000010031.57.5
3000–012600001
2000–1000300000
13031.000000100003
1217.14300110010.52.5
310114.64310101010.510.5
310419.3160003000010
36214.286000100428
3417.429000100004
3000–600400000
3000–1301400000
2000–812400001
1112.000000000001
1000–000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals451284.39340393024121075

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CLEM · UNC 7

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 2 CLEMUNC 5

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 4 CLEMUNC 4

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 2 CLEMUNC 7

Bars above the line = North Carolina leads, below = Clemson leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Clemson

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%6/12
29%2/7
2
46%6/13
33%3/9
3
55%6/11
25%2/8
4
43%6/14
40%4/10
5
43%6/14
14%1/7
6
33%3/9
40%4/10
All
45%33/73
31%16/51

North Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%6/9
56%5/9
2
60%6/10
54%7/13
3
67%6/9
45%5/11
4
86%6/7
45%5/11
5
60%6/10
65%11/17
6
83%5/6
58%7/12
All
69%35/51
55%40/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

124 rallies

#CLEM-UNCSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1CLEMUNC×5KillChelsea Thorpeset Zoe Behrendt
20-2UNCUNC×5KillChelsea Thorpeset Jackie Taylor
30-3UNCUNC×5AceNorth Carolinaaced Kennedy Wagner
40-4UNCUNC×5Attack errKennedy Wagner
50-5UNCUNC×5KillLauren Schutterset Zoe Behrendt
61-5UNCCLEMKillLauren Schneiderset Katherine Sandt
72-5CLEMCLEMBlockedSafi Hamptonblk Lauren Schneider
82-6CLEMUNC×3KillChelsea Thorpeset Julia Bohlinger
92-7UNCUNC×3BlockedLauren Schneiderblk Lauren Schutter, Safi Hampton
102-8UNCUNC×3KillSafi Hamptonset Julia Bohlinger
113-8UNCCLEMServe errNorth Carolina
123-9CLEMUNCBlockedAnika Groomblk Laynie Smith, Lauren Schutter
133-10UNCUNCBlockedBrianna Washingtonblk Laynie Smith, Lauren Schutter
144-10UNCCLEMServe errNorth Carolina
154-11CLEMUNCKillLauren Schutterset Sienna Cozza
164-12UNCUNCBlockedAnika Groomblk Jackie Taylor
175-12UNCCLEMKillLina Merzset Audrey Armbruster
186-12CLEMCLEMKillBrianna Washingtonset Audrey Armbruster
196-13CLEMUNCServe errClemson
207-13UNCCLEMKillLina Merzset Audrey Armbruster
217-14CLEMUNCServe errClemson
227-15UNCUNCAttack errLina Merz
238-15UNCCLEMKillKennedy Wagnerset Audrey Armbruster
248-16CLEMUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt
259-16UNCCLEMKillKennedy Wagnerset Katherine Sandt
269-17CLEMUNC×3KillSafi Hamptonset Zoe Behrendt
279-18UNCUNC×3KillLaynie Smithset Julia Bohlinger
289-19UNCUNC×3KillLauren Schutterset Sienna Cozza
2910-19UNCCLEMKillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt
3010-20CLEMUNCKillAddison Westset Sienna Cozza
3111-20UNCCLEMKillAnika Groomset Katherine Sandt
3212-20CLEMCLEMAceClemson
3312-21CLEMUNCServe errClemson
3413-21UNCCLEMKillBrianna Washingtonset Audrey Armbruster
3513-22CLEMUNC×3KillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza
3613-23UNCUNC×3Attack errLina Merz
3713-24UNCUNC×3BlockedBrianna Washingtonblk Jackie Taylor
3814-24UNCCLEMKillKennedy Wagnerset Audrey Armbruster
3915-24CLEMCLEMKillLina Merzset Audrey Armbruster
4015-25CLEMUNCKillHailey Pearceset Zoe Behrendt
Set 2
10-1UNCUNCKillAddison Westset Jackie Taylor
21-1UNCCLEMServe errNorth Carolina
32-1CLEMCLEMKillKennedy Wagnerset Addi Rains
42-2CLEMUNC×4KillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt
52-3UNCUNC×4KillLindley Millerset Zoe Behrendt
62-4UNCUNC×4Attack errKennedy Wagner
72-5UNCUNC×4Attack errKennedy Wagner
83-5UNCCLEM×3Serve errNorth Carolina
94-5CLEMCLEM×3BlockedLindley Millerblk Kennedy Wagner
105-5CLEMCLEM×3Attack errAddison West
115-6CLEMUNCKillAddison Westset Zoe Behrendt
125-7UNCUNCKillLaynie Smithset Lina Merz
136-7UNCCLEM×4KillAlyssa Irwinset Audrey Armbruster
147-7CLEMCLEM×4Attack errLaynie Smith
158-7CLEMCLEM×4Attack errAddison West
169-7CLEMCLEM×4Attack errAddison West
179-8CLEMUNCKillLauren Schutterset Sienna Cozza
1810-8UNCCLEMKillAlyssa Irwinset Katherine Sandt
1910-9CLEMUNC×3KillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza
2010-10UNCUNC×3KillHailey Pearceset Sienna Cozza
2110-11UNCUNC×3Attack errAnika Groom
2211-11UNCCLEMKillLauren Schneiderset Katherine Sandt
2311-12CLEMUNCKillHailey Pearceset Sienna Cozza
2412-12UNCCLEMKillLauren Schneiderset Katherine Sandt
2512-13CLEMUNCKillHailey Pearceset Zoe Behrendt
2612-14UNCUNCAttack errLina Merz
2713-14UNCCLEMKillKennedy Wagnerset Claire Luoma
2813-15CLEMUNCKillJackie Taylorset Zoe Behrendt
2914-15UNCCLEMAttack errAddison West
3014-16CLEMUNCServe errClemson
3115-16UNCCLEMKillKennedy Wagnerset Audrey Armbruster
3215-17CLEMUNCKillLauren Schutterset Sienna Cozza
3315-18UNCUNCKillLauren Schutter
3416-18UNCCLEMKillAlyssa Irwinset Katherine Sandt
3516-19CLEMUNC×3Serve errClemson
3616-20UNCUNC×3BlockedAnika Groomblk Laynie Smith, Jackie Taylor
3716-21UNCUNC×3BlockedAnika Groomblk Jackie Taylor, Laynie Smith
3817-21UNCCLEM×4KillLauren Schneiderset Claire Luoma
3918-21CLEMCLEM×4Attack errJackie Taylor
4019-21CLEMCLEM×4BlockedJackie Taylorblk Brianna Washington
4120-21CLEMCLEM×4AceClemsonaced Hailey Pearce
4220-22CLEMUNC×4Serve errClemson
4320-23UNCUNC×4Attack errAnika Groom
4420-24UNCUNC×4BlockedLauren Schneiderblk Jackie Taylor
4520-25UNCUNC×4BlockedLauren Schneiderblk Hailey Pearce, Jackie Taylor
Set 3
11-0CLEMCLEMKillLina Merzset Addi Rains
21-1CLEMUNCKillAddison Westset Sienna Cozza
32-1UNCCLEMKillLauren Schneiderset Addi Rains
42-2CLEMUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza
53-2UNCCLEMKillKennedy Wagnerset Audrey Armbruster
63-3CLEMUNC×3KillHailey Pearceset Kennedy Wagner
73-4UNCUNC×3AceNorth Carolinaaced Lucy Maloney
83-5UNCUNC×3KillHailey Pearceset Emily Bobbitt
94-5UNCCLEMServe errNorth Carolina
104-6CLEMUNC×7KillHailey Pearceset Emily Bobbitt
114-7UNCUNC×7KillAddison Westset Emily Bobbitt
124-8UNCUNC×7Attack errKennedy Wagner
134-9UNCUNC×7KillAddison Westset Julia Bohlinger
144-10UNCUNC×7BlockedKennedy Wagnerblk Jackie Taylor
154-11UNCUNC×7KillLindley Millerset Julia Bohlinger
164-12UNCUNC×7AceNorth Carolina
175-12UNCCLEMServe errNorth Carolina
185-13CLEMUNCKillLindley Millerset Emily Bobbitt
195-14UNCUNCAttack errAlyssa Irwin
206-14UNCCLEMKillLauren Schneiderset Katherine Sandt
216-15CLEMUNCKillAddison Westset Emily Bobbitt
227-15UNCCLEMKillBrianna Washingtonset Katherine Sandt
238-15CLEMCLEMAttack errLaynie Smith
248-16CLEMUNCKillMackenzie Boyerset Sienna Cozza
259-16UNCCLEMAttack errMackenzie Boyer
2610-16CLEMCLEMAttack errHailey Pearce
2710-17CLEMUNCKillHailey Pearceset Sienna Cozza
2811-17UNCCLEMKillAudrey Armbrusterset Audrey Armbruster
2911-18CLEMUNCKillLaynie Smithset Sienna Cozza
3011-19UNCUNCKillHailey Pearceset Julia Bohlinger
3112-19UNCCLEMServe errNorth Carolina
3212-20CLEMUNCKillHailey Pearceset Emily Bobbitt
3313-20UNCCLEMServe errNorth Carolina
3413-21CLEMUNCKillLindley Millerset Emily Bobbitt
3513-22UNCUNCKillAddison Westset Hailey Pearce
3614-22UNCCLEMServe errNorth Carolina
3714-23CLEMUNC×3KillAddison Westset Emily Bobbitt
3814-24UNCUNC×3Attack errBrianna Washington
3914-25UNCUNC×3KillAddison Westset Sienna Cozza

Score shown after each rally, Clemson first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).