CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026

Virginia def. William & Mary 31

(25-23, 15-25, 25-19, 25-21)
Set1234Sets
WM&MRY232519211
UVA251525253

RallyIQ model

Win probability

UVA above 50 · WM&MRY below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100UVAWM&MRYBiggest swing +3.2% WM&MRY · S3 12-11rally 178 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.2% to William & Mary — set 3, WM&MRY 12-11 UVA. Kill by Audrey Brcka (set by Avery Horejsi). UVA win probability 83%79%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

WM&MRY 9.8%90.2% UVA

William & Mary wins

3-0
1.3%
3-1
3.0%
3-2
5.5%

Virginia wins

3-0
44.8%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
13.9%
WM&MRY break %
38.5% vs this opp
UVA break %
48.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Audrey BrckaKill+3.2%

    Kill by Audrey Brcka (set by Avery Horejsi)

    Set 3 · WM&MRY 12-11 UVA · WM&MRY 17%21%

  2. 02
    UVA serverAce+3.1%

    Virginia ace on Katherine Arnason

    Set 3 · WM&MRY 14-15 UVA · UVA 81%84%

  3. 03
    WM&MRY serverAce+3.0%

    William & Mary ace on Reese Wuebker

    Set 3 · WM&MRY 8-5 UVA · WM&MRY 21%25%

  4. 04
    WM&MRY serverService error+2.9%

    William & Mary service error

    Set 1 · WM&MRY 23-25 UVA · UVA 92%95%

  5. 05
    WM&MRY serverAce+2.8%

    William & Mary ace on Teagan Hogan

    Set 3 · WM&MRY 7-5 UVA · WM&MRY 19%21%

  6. 06
    Becca WightAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Becca Wight

    Set 3 · WM&MRY 14-13 UVA · WM&MRY 19%21%

  7. 07
    Olivia WestfortAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Olivia Westfort

    Set 3 · WM&MRY 14-16 UVA · UVA 84%87%

  8. 08
    Becca WightAttack error+2.7%

    Attack error by Becca Wight

    Set 1 · WM&MRY 19-18 UVA · WM&MRY 12%14%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415936.16702160010.517.5
49336.167431142010.512.5
48223.2610001004210
47218.27801110010.58.5
4306.5004100100010.53.5
35521.000121500218
40002031000000
3319.222001510003
2000011100001
2000000410000
1215.200000000002
1000000000000
Team totals5223154.1884899574010588
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412635.17113212200015
410115.60010000111.511.5
410437.1620002302111
49220.35000040031.510.5
44212.16700020031.55.5
400020011500000
47420.15000010111.58.5
41011.00023011000001
4000011600001
40005011000000
4000100210000
3000000010000
2011-1.000000000211
1002.000000020000
1000000000000
Team totals5320143.2315146649212890

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 8 WM&MRY · UVA 7

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 3 WM&MRYUVA 5

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 8 WM&MRYUVA 2

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 WM&MRYUVA 4

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 4 WM&MRYUVA 7

Bars above the line = Virginia leads, below = William & Mary leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

William & Mary

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
18%2/11
2
53%9/17
47%9/19
3
73%8/11
53%10/19
4
62%8/13
38%5/13
5
54%7/13
50%7/14
6
39%7/18
46%6/13
All
55%49/89
44%39/89

Virginia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
53%10/19
2
60%9/15
18%2/11
3
42%8/19
50%8/16
4
47%8/17
38%5/13
5
70%7/10
47%7/15
6
64%7/11
53%8/15
All
56%50/89
45%40/89

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

178 rallies

Rally log

#WM&MRY-UVASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0UVAWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+0.9
21-1WM&MRYUVAKillCaroline Langset Hannah Scott+0.8
32-1UVAWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+0.9
42-2WM&MRYUVAServe errWM&MRY server+0.8
53-2UVAWM&MRYServe errUVA server+1.0
63-3WM&MRYUVAKillReagan Ennistset Olivia Siskin+0.9
74-3UVAWM&MRY×3KillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+1.0
85-3WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillEmily McKeeset Cate Hatfield+1.4
96-3WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errReese Wuebker+1.5
106-4WM&MRYUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+1.0
117-4UVAWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+1.3
128-4WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errReese Wuebkerblk Emily McKee, Teagan Pocius+1.7
138-5WM&MRYUVA×5Bad setCate Hatfield+1.1
148-6UVAUVA×5Attack errOlivia Westfort+1.4
158-7UVAUVA×5KillReese Wuebkerset Katie Barrier+1.4
168-8UVAUVA×5KillEmily Fowlerset Hannah Scott+1.4
178-9UVAUVA×5KillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+1.3
189-9UVAWM&MRYAttack errCaroline Lang+1.1
199-10WM&MRYUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+1.0
2010-10UVAWM&MRYBad setReese Wuebker+1.1
2111-10WM&MRYWM&MRYAceWM&MRY serveraced Reagan Ennist+1.6
2211-11WM&MRYUVAServe errWM&MRY server+1.2
2311-12UVAUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+1.4
2412-12UVAWM&MRYAttack errEmily Fowler+1.2
2513-12WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errReagan Ennistblk Katherine Arnason, Olivia Westfort+1.8
2613-13WM&MRYUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+1.3
2713-14UVAUVAAttack errAudrey Brcka+1.6
2814-14UVAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+1.3
2914-15WM&MRYUVAKillReagan Ennistset Cate Hatfield+1.3
3015-15UVAWM&MRY×3KillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+1.4
3116-15WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+2.1
3217-15WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillEmily McKeeset Cate Hatfield+2.4
3317-16WM&MRYUVA×3KillEmily Fowlerset Olivia Siskin+1.6
3417-17UVAUVA×3Attack errEmily McKee+2.2
3517-18UVAUVA×3KillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+2.1
3618-18UVAWM&MRYKillEmily McKeeset Cate Hatfield+1.7
3719-18WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errBecca Wight+2.7
3819-19WM&MRYUVAKillOlivia Siskinset Katie Barrier+1.9
3919-20UVAUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Katie Barrier+2.5
4020-20UVAWM&MRYAttack errReese Wuebkerblk Teagan Pocius, Cate Hatfield+2.0
4120-21WM&MRYUVA×3KillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+2.1
4220-22UVAUVA×3AceUVA serveraced Maya De Los Reyes+2.4
4320-23UVAUVA×3KillCaroline Langset Hannah Scott+1.7
4421-23UVAWM&MRYServe errUVA server+0.8
4522-23WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errLauryn Bowieblk Teagan Pocius, Audrey Brcka+2.0
4622-24WM&MRYUVAKillCaroline Langset Hannah Scott+2.3
4723-24UVAWM&MRYServe errUVA server+1.4
4823-25WM&MRYUVAServe errWM&MRY server+2.9
Set 2
10-1WM&MRYUVAKillCaroline Langset Hannah Scott+0.5
21-1UVAWM&MRYAttack errReagan Ennist+0.5
32-1WM&MRYWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+0.8
42-2WM&MRYUVAServe errWM&MRY server+0.6
52-3UVAUVAAttack errAudrey Brcka+0.7
63-3UVAWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+0.6
73-4WM&MRYUVAKillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin+0.5
83-5UVAUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+0.6
94-5UVAWM&MRYServe errUVA server+0.5
104-6WM&MRYUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+0.5
114-7UVAUVAKillCaroline Langset Olivia Siskin+0.6
125-7UVAWM&MRYKillEmily McKeeset Cate Hatfield+0.4
135-8WM&MRYUVAServe errWM&MRY server+0.4
146-8UVAWM&MRYAttack errLauryn Bowieblk Teagan Pocius, Emily McKee+0.5
157-8WM&MRYWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+0.7
167-9WM&MRYUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott+0.6
177-10UVAUVAAttack errKatherine Arnasonblk Lauryn Bowie, Skyler Gates+0.6
188-10UVAWM&MRY×3Attack errReagan Ennist+0.5
199-10WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+0.8
2010-10WM&MRYWM&MRY×3AceWM&MRY serveraced Reagan Ennist+1.0
2110-11WM&MRYUVAAttack errAudrey Brckablk Skyler Gates, Lauryn Bowie+0.7
2211-11UVAWM&MRY×5KillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+0.8
2312-11WM&MRYWM&MRY×5KillOlivia Westfort+1.2
2413-11WM&MRYWM&MRY×5KillOlivia Westfort+1.3
2514-11WM&MRYWM&MRY×5KillCate Hatfieldset Emily McKee+1.4
2615-11WM&MRYWM&MRY×5AceWM&MRY serveraced Reese Wuebker+1.4
2715-12WM&MRYUVAServe errWM&MRY server+0.8
2816-12UVAWM&MRY×8KillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+1.2
2917-12WM&MRYWM&MRY×8KillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+1.4
3018-12WM&MRYWM&MRY×8AceWM&MRY serveraced Reagan Ennist+1.1
3119-12WM&MRYWM&MRY×8KillKatherine Arnasonset Avery Horejsi+0.9
3220-12WM&MRYWM&MRY×8AceWM&MRY serveraced Ella Brodner+0.6
3321-12WM&MRYWM&MRY×8KillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+0.3
3422-12WM&MRYWM&MRY×8KillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+0.2
3523-12WM&MRYWM&MRY×8AceWM&MRY serveraced Ella Brodner+0.1
3623-13WM&MRYUVAKillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin+0.0
3723-14UVAUVAAttack errAudrey Brcka+0.0
3824-14UVAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+0.0
3924-15WM&MRYUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+0.0
4025-15UVAWM&MRYKillCate Hatfieldset Katherine Arnason+0.0
Set 3
10-1UVAUVAAceUVA serveraced Ava Crabtree+1.8
20-2UVAUVAAceUVA serveraced Katherine Arnason+1.6
31-2UVAWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+1.3
41-3WM&MRYUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+1.2
52-3UVAWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+1.3
62-4WM&MRYUVAAttack errKatherine Arnasonblk Emily Fowler, Reagan Ennist+1.3
73-4UVAWM&MRY×3Attack errBecca Wight+1.4
84-4WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillAudrey Brckaset Katherine Arnason+2.1
95-4WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+2.4
105-5WM&MRYUVAServe errWM&MRY server+1.7
116-5UVAWM&MRY×3KillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+2.0
127-5WM&MRYWM&MRY×3AceWM&MRY serveraced Teagan Hogan+2.8
138-5WM&MRYWM&MRY×3AceWM&MRY serveraced Reese Wuebker+3.0
148-6WM&MRYUVAKillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin+2.0
158-7UVAUVAAttack errEmily McKeeblk Becca Wight+2.6
169-7UVAWM&MRYKillCate Hatfield+2.4
179-8WM&MRYUVA×3KillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+2.1
189-9UVAUVA×3Attack errEmily McKee+2.6
199-10UVAUVA×3Attack errTeagan Pocius+2.4
2010-10UVAWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+2.0
2110-11WM&MRYUVAKillCaroline Langset Hannah Scott+1.9
2211-11UVAWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+2.1
2312-11WM&MRYWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Avery Horejsi+3.2
2412-12WM&MRYUVAKillCaroline Langset Teagan Hogan+2.2
2513-12UVAWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+2.6
2613-13WM&MRYUVAAttack errAudrey Brcka+2.4
2714-13UVAWM&MRYAttack errBecca Wight+2.8
2814-14WM&MRYUVA×4Attack errAudrey Brckablk Becca Wight, Emily Fowler+2.5
2914-15UVAUVA×4AceUVA serveraced Katherine Arnason+3.1
3014-16UVAUVA×4Attack errOlivia Westfort+2.8
3114-17UVAUVA×4Attack errAudrey Brcka+2.3
3215-17UVAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+1.6
3315-18WM&MRYUVA×3KillEmily Fowlerset Olivia Siskin+1.8
3415-19UVAUVA×3Attack errEmily McKee+1.8
3515-20UVAUVA×3Attack errEmily McKee+1.2
3616-20UVAWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+0.6
3716-21WM&MRYUVAKillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin+0.8
3817-21UVAWM&MRYKillEmily McKeeset Katherine Arnason+0.5
3917-22WM&MRYUVA×3KillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott+0.8
4017-23UVAUVA×3Attack errTeagan Pociusblk Caroline Lang+0.5
4117-24UVAUVA×3KillReagan Ennistset Katie Barrier+0.1
4218-24UVAWM&MRYServe errUVA server+0.0
4319-24WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errReagan Ennist+0.1
4419-25WM&MRYUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+0.1
Set 4
10-1WM&MRYUVAKillReagan Ennistset Caroline Lang+1.0
21-1UVAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+1.1
31-2WM&MRYUVA×7Serve errWM&MRY server+1.0
41-3UVAUVA×7Attack errKatherine Arnasonblk Emily Fowler, Reagan Ennist+1.2
51-4UVAUVA×7Attack errAva Crabtree+1.0
61-5UVAUVA×7KillReagan Ennistset Katie Barrier+0.9
71-6UVAUVA×7KillReagan Ennistset Olivia Siskin+0.7
81-7UVAUVA×7KillBecca Wightset Reese Wuebker+0.6
91-8UVAUVA×7KillReagan Ennistset Olivia Siskin+0.4
102-8UVAWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+0.3
113-8WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errEmily Fowler+0.5
123-9WM&MRYUVAKillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin+0.4
134-9UVAWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+0.4
144-10WM&MRYUVAKillEmily Fowlerset Olivia Siskin+0.4
154-11UVAUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Olivia Siskin+0.4
165-11UVAWM&MRYAttack errBecca Wight+0.3
175-12WM&MRYUVAKillCaroline Langset Olivia Siskin+0.3
186-12UVAWM&MRYAttack errReese Wuebker+0.3
196-13WM&MRYUVA×3KillLauryn Bowieset Hannah Scott+0.3
206-14UVAUVA×3KillCaroline Langset Hannah Scott+0.3
216-15UVAUVA×3Attack errAudrey Brcka+0.2
227-15UVAWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+0.1
237-16WM&MRYUVAKillCaroline Langset Hannah Scott+0.1
247-17UVAUVAKillReagan Ennistset Hannah Scott+0.1
258-17UVAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+0.0
268-18WM&MRYUVAAttack errSophia Van Name+0.1
279-18UVAWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+0.0
2810-18WM&MRYWM&MRYKillAva Crabtreeset Cate Hatfield+0.1
2910-19WM&MRYUVAKillReagan Ennistset Olivia Siskin+0.1
3011-19UVAWM&MRY×4KillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+0.1
3112-19WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errSkyler Gates+0.1
3213-19WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errReese Wuebker+0.2
3314-19WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillAva Crabtreeset Katherine Arnason+0.4
3414-20WM&MRYUVAKillBecca Wightset Olivia Siskin+0.4
3515-20UVAWM&MRYKillAva Crabtreeset Cate Hatfield+0.3
3616-20WM&MRYWM&MRYKillAudrey Brcka+0.6
3716-21WM&MRYUVAServe errWM&MRY server+0.6
3816-22UVAUVAAttack errAudrey Brckablk Lauryn Bowie, Caroline Lang+0.4
3917-22UVAWM&MRY×4Serve errUVA server+0.2
4018-22WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errReese Wuebker+0.4
4119-22WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+0.8
4220-22WM&MRYWM&MRY×4AceWM&MRY serveraced Ruby McDermott+1.5
4320-23WM&MRYUVAKillReese Wuebkerset Hannah Scott+1.7
4420-24UVAUVAKillReagan Ennistset Hannah Scott+1.1
4521-24UVAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+0.3
4621-25WM&MRYUVAKillLauryn Bowieset Teagan Hogan+0.6

Score shown after each rally, William & Mary first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.