CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsSun, Sep 13, 2026

William & Mary def. North Florida 31

(22-25, 28-26, 25-20, 25-22)
Set12*34Sets
NO FLA252620221
WM&MRY222825253
  • * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WM&MRY above 50 · NO FLA below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100WM&MRYNO FLABiggest swing +9.6% WM&MRY · S2 26-28rally 193 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.6% to William & Mary — set 2, NO FLA 26-28 WM&MRY. Attack error by Dakota Spurrier. WM&MRY win probability 35%45%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

NO FLA 56.3%43.7% WM&MRY

North Florida wins

3-0
15.3%
3-1
21.4%
3-2
19.6%

William & Mary wins

3-0
10.0%
3-1
16.1%
3-2
17.5%
NO FLA break %
44.1% vs this opp
WM&MRY break %
42.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Dakota SpurrierAttack error+9.6%

    Attack error by Dakota Spurrier

    Set 2 · NO FLA 26-28 WM&MRY · WM&MRY 35%45%

  2. 02
    Audrey BrckaKill+9.3%

    Kill by Audrey Brcka (set by Cate Hatfield)

    Set 2 · NO FLA 26-27 WM&MRY · WM&MRY 26%35%

  3. 03
    Ava CrabtreeAttack error+9.1%

    Attack error by Ava Crabtree

    Set 2 · NO FLA 24-23 WM&MRY · NO FLA 72%81%

  4. 04
    Audrey BrckaKill+8.4%

    Kill by Audrey Brcka (set by Cate Hatfield)

    Set 4 · NO FLA 22-24 WM&MRY · WM&MRY 85%94%

  5. 05
    Audrey BrckaKill+7.4%

    Kill by Audrey Brcka (set by Emily McKee)

    Set 4 · NO FLA 19-21 WM&MRY · WM&MRY 79%87%

  6. 06

    Kill by Olivia Westfort (set by Cate Hatfield)

    Set 2 · NO FLA 24-24 WM&MRY · WM&MRY 19%26%

  7. 07
    Leah McDonaldKill+7.0%

    Kill by Leah McDonald (set by Sofia Dawson)

    Set 2 · NO FLA 25-24 WM&MRY · NO FLA 74%81%

  8. 08
    NO FLA serverService error+7.0%

    North Florida service error

    Set 2 · NO FLA 25-25 WM&MRY · WM&MRY 19%26%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414646.1741228002117
4151046.10900121010.515.5
412229.34500212104214
48211.5450002006311
4005.0004200300000
3126-.167000000001
4000033200003
40000011410000
3000000200000
1004.00000000010.50.5
1002.000000000000
1000100200000
Team totals5022149.1884459475014793
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
424543.4420003000024
414337.29720013002115
47319.21110120334.511.5
46419.10500010212.58.5
4305.6004501170111.54.5
36618.00010152010.56.5
4057-.714024510002
4002.000020300002
40007011100000
3112.000000100001
2000010010001
1001.000000000000
Team totals6127153.22256586156810100

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 NO FLA · WM&MRY 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 5 NO FLAWM&MRY 3

Set 2*

26-28

Longest run 3 NO FLAWM&MRY 3

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 4 NO FLAWM&MRY 4

Set 4

22-25

Longest run 5 NO FLAWM&MRY 4

Bars above the line = William & Mary leads, below = North Florida leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

North Florida

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
14%1/7
2
44%7/16
50%8/16
3
58%7/12
61%11/18
4
67%6/9
14%1/7
5
55%6/11
33%3/9
6
50%5/10
40%4/10
All
54%39/72
42%28/67

William & Mary

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
46%6/13
2
44%7/16
50%7/14
3
55%6/11
46%6/13
4
100%6/6
25%2/8
5
55%6/11
45%5/11
6
67%6/9
54%7/13
All
58%39/67
46%33/72

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

193 rallies

Rally log

#NO FLA-WM&MRYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0WM&MRYNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+1.8
22-0NO FLANO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.3
32-1NO FLAWM&MRYAttack errDakota Spurrier+1.8
42-2WM&MRYWM&MRYAceWM&MRY serveraced Team+2.4
53-2WM&MRYNO FLAServe errWM&MRY server+1.9
63-3NO FLAWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+1.9
74-3WM&MRYNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+2.0
84-4NO FLAWM&MRYBad setEmma Pohlmann+2.0
95-4WM&MRYNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.0
105-5NO FLAWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+2.0
116-5WM&MRYNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.1
127-5NO FLANO FLAKillHaleina Bowersset Cate Hatfield+2.6
137-6NO FLAWM&MRY×3KillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+2.0
147-7WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Bad setSofia Dawson+2.8
157-8WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errHaleina Bowersblk Teagan Pocius+2.9
168-8WM&MRYNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.2
178-9NO FLAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+2.3
188-10WM&MRYWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+3.0
199-10WM&MRYNO FLA×5Serve errWM&MRY server+2.2
2010-10NO FLANO FLA×5KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+3.0
2111-10NO FLANO FLA×5AceNO FLA serveraced Emily McKee+3.1
2212-10NO FLANO FLA×5Attack errTeagan Pocius+3.1
2313-10NO FLANO FLA×5KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.9
2413-11NO FLAWM&MRY×3KillKatherine Arnasonset Avery Horejsi+2.0
2513-12WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errKaili Doctorblk Teagan Pocius+3.0
2613-13WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errKaili Doctor+3.4
2714-13WM&MRYNO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.7
2815-13NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errEmily McKeeblk Leah McDonald, Yarimar Francis Garay+3.4
2916-13NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errEmily McKeeblk Leah McDonald, Yarimar Francis Garay+3.1
3016-14NO FLAWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+2.1
3116-15WM&MRYWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Avery Horejsi+3.3
3217-15WM&MRYNO FLAServe errWM&MRY server+2.9
3317-16NO FLAWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+2.7
3418-16WM&MRYNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+3.1
3518-17NO FLAWM&MRYKillEmily McKeeset Cate Hatfield+2.8
3618-18WM&MRYWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+4.3
3719-18WM&MRYNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+3.6
3820-18NO FLANO FLAAttack errOlivia Westfort+4.6
3920-19NO FLAWM&MRYAttack errHaleina Bowersblk Cate Hatfield+3.1
4021-19WM&MRYNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+3.8
4121-20NO FLAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+3.2
4222-20WM&MRYNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+4.2
4323-20NO FLANO FLAAceNO FLA serveraced Maya De Los Reyes+4.3
4423-21NO FLAWM&MRYServe errNO FLA server+1.9
4524-21WM&MRYNO FLAServe errWM&MRY server+3.4
4624-22NO FLAWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+1.4
4725-22WM&MRYNO FLAAttack errEmily McKee+3.1
Set 2
10-1NO FLAWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+1.8
20-2WM&MRYWM&MRYAceWM&MRY serveraced Leah McDonald+2.3
31-2WM&MRYNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+1.7
41-3NO FLAWM&MRY×3Serve errNO FLA server+1.8
51-4WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillKatherine Arnasonset Olivia Westfort+2.3
61-5WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errYarimar Francis Garayblk Olivia Westfort+2.2
72-5WM&MRYNO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+1.5
82-6NO FLAWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+1.7
93-6WM&MRYNO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+1.5
104-6NO FLANO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.2
114-7NO FLAWM&MRYServe errNO FLA server+1.9
124-8WM&MRYWM&MRYAceWM&MRY serveraced Emma Pohlmann+2.3
135-8WM&MRYNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+1.6
145-9NO FLAWM&MRYKillCate Hatfield+1.8
156-9WM&MRYNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+1.6
167-9NO FLANO FLAAttack errAudrey Brcka+2.4
177-10NO FLAWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+2.1
187-11WM&MRYWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Avery Horejsi+2.5
198-11WM&MRYNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+1.6
208-12NO FLAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+2.0
219-12WM&MRYNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+1.7
229-13NO FLAWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+2.0
239-14WM&MRYWM&MRYAceWM&MRY serveraced Dakota Spurrier+2.2
2410-14WM&MRYNO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+1.4
2511-14NO FLANO FLAAttack errAva Crabtree+2.2
2611-15NO FLAWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+2.1
2712-15WM&MRYNO FLA×3Attack errAva Crabtreeblk Kaili Doctor, Yarimar Francis Garay+1.7
2813-15NO FLANO FLA×3Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+2.7
2914-15NO FLANO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+3.1
3014-16NO FLAWM&MRYAttack errDakota Spurrier+2.7
3114-17WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errKaili Doctorblk Olivia Westfort+3.3
3215-17WM&MRYNO FLA×3Attack errOlivia Westfort+2.2
3316-17NO FLANO FLA×3KillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+3.4
3417-17NO FLANO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+3.9
3517-18NO FLAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+3.2
3618-18WM&MRYNO FLAAttack errTeagan Pocius+3.2
3718-19NO FLAWM&MRYAttack errDakota Spurrier+3.5
3818-20WM&MRYWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+4.5
3919-20WM&MRYNO FLAAttack errTeagan Pocius+3.0
4019-21NO FLAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+3.8
4120-21WM&MRYNO FLABad setAvery Horejsi+3.2
4220-22NO FLAWM&MRYBad setSofia Dawson+4.2
4321-22WM&MRYNO FLAAttack errAva Crabtree+3.3
4422-22NO FLANO FLAAttack errAva Crabtreeblk Leah McDonald, Yarimar Francis Garay+6.0
4522-23NO FLAWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+5.7
4623-23WM&MRYNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+5.4
4724-23NO FLANO FLAAttack errAva Crabtree+9.1
4824-24NO FLAWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+7.0
4925-24WM&MRYNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+7.0
5025-25NO FLAWM&MRYServe errNO FLA server+7.0
5126-25WM&MRYNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+7.0
5226-26NO FLAWM&MRY×3Attack errDakota Spurrier+7.0
5326-27WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+9.3
5426-28WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errDakota Spurrier+9.6
Set 3
10-1WM&MRYWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Avery Horejsi+3.3
20-2WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errKaili Doctorblk Katherine Arnason, Teagan Pocius+3.3
31-2WM&MRYNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+2.4
41-3NO FLAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+2.6
52-3WM&MRYNO FLA×3Serve errWM&MRY server+2.5
63-3NO FLANO FLA×3KillYarimar Francis Garay+3.4
74-3NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errEmily McKeeblk Yarimar Francis Garay, Kaili Doctor+3.4
84-4NO FLAWM&MRYKillTeagan Pociusset Cate Hatfield+2.7
94-5WM&MRYWM&MRYAceWM&MRY serveraced Team+3.6
105-5WM&MRYNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+2.7
115-6NO FLAWM&MRYKillCate Hatfieldset Leah McDonald+2.8
126-6WM&MRYNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Avery Horejsi+2.8
136-7NO FLAWM&MRYKillCate Hatfield+2.9
147-7WM&MRYNO FLAAttack errOlivia Westfortblk Sasha Bespaly, Dakota Spurrier+2.9
157-8NO FLAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+3.0
167-9WM&MRYWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+3.9
178-9WM&MRYNO FLAServe errWM&MRY server+2.9
189-9NO FLANO FLAAttack errTeagan Pocius+3.9
199-10NO FLAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+3.2
2010-10WM&MRYNO FLAAttack errAudrey Brcka+3.1
2110-11NO FLAWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+3.3
2211-11WM&MRYNO FLA×4KillYarimar Francis Garayset Haydin Froehlich+3.2
2312-11NO FLANO FLA×4KillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+4.3
2413-11NO FLANO FLA×4Attack errKatherine Arnason+4.2
2514-11NO FLANO FLA×4Bad setCate Hatfield+3.9
2614-12NO FLAWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+2.7
2714-13WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errLeah McDonaldblk Katherine Arnason, Olivia Westfort+4.2
2815-13WM&MRYNO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+3.5
2916-13NO FLANO FLAAttack errKatherine Arnason+4.2
3016-14NO FLAWM&MRYKillEmily McKeeset Cate Hatfield+2.8
3117-14WM&MRYNO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Sofia Dawson+3.4
3217-15NO FLAWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+2.9
3317-16WM&MRYWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+4.7
3418-16WM&MRYNO FLAServe errWM&MRY server+4.1
3518-17NO FLAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+3.8
3618-18WM&MRYWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+5.8
3719-18WM&MRYNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Kaili Doctor+4.8
3819-19NO FLAWM&MRY×3Serve errNO FLA server+4.8
3919-20WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillAudrey Brckaset Avery Horejsi+7.0
4019-21WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errKaili Doctor+7.0
4120-21WM&MRYNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+4.5
4220-22NO FLAWM&MRY×4KillAudrey Brckaset Avery Horejsi+6.0
4320-23WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillEmily McKeeset Cate Hatfield+6.3
4420-24WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errKaili Doctor+3.7
4520-25WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillEmily McKeeset Avery Horejsi+1.2
Set 4
10-1NO FLAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+2.7
21-1WM&MRYNO FLAServe errWM&MRY server+2.6
32-1NO FLANO FLAAceNO FLA serveraced Ava Crabtree+3.5
42-2NO FLAWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+2.7
53-2WM&MRYNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.7
63-3NO FLAWM&MRY×3Attack errLeah McDonaldblk Olivia Westfort, Emily McKee+2.7
73-4WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errDakota Spurrier+3.7
83-5WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillEmily McKeeset Cate Hatfield+3.7
94-5WM&MRYNO FLAKillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.8
104-6NO FLAWM&MRYServe errNO FLA server+3.0
114-7WM&MRYWM&MRYAttack errDakota Spurrier+3.7
125-7WM&MRYNO FLA×3KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+2.7
136-7NO FLANO FLA×3KillKaili Doctor+3.7
147-7NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errAudrey Brcka+3.9
157-8NO FLAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+3.2
168-8WM&MRYNO FLAKillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+3.1
178-9NO FLAWM&MRYServe errNO FLA server+3.3
189-9WM&MRYNO FLAKillYarimar Francis Garayset Avery Horejsi+3.2
199-10NO FLAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+3.4
209-11WM&MRYWM&MRYKillSophia Van Nameset Cate Hatfield+4.4
2110-11WM&MRYNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+3.2
2211-11NO FLANO FLAAttack errEmily McKee+4.5
2311-12NO FLAWM&MRY×4Serve errNO FLA server+3.6
2411-13WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errDakota Spurrier+4.7
2511-14WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errYarimar Francis Garayblk Olivia Westfort+4.5
2611-15WM&MRYWM&MRY×4Attack errDakota Spurrier+4.1
2712-15WM&MRYNO FLA×5Attack errEmily McKeeblk Yarimar Francis Garay, Leah McDonald+2.6
2813-15NO FLANO FLA×5Attack errSophia Van Name+4.1
2914-15NO FLANO FLA×5KillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+4.7
3015-15NO FLANO FLA×5Attack errKatherine Arnason+5.2
3116-15NO FLANO FLA×5KillDakota Spurrierset Sofia Dawson+5.5
3216-16NO FLAWM&MRYKillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+4.2
3317-16WM&MRYNO FLAKillLeah McDonaldset Sofia Dawson+4.5
3417-17NO FLAWM&MRY×3Serve errNO FLA server+4.5
3517-18WM&MRYWM&MRY×3KillEmily McKeeset Cate Hatfield+6.3
3617-19WM&MRYWM&MRY×3Attack errDakota Spurrierblk Cate Hatfield, Olivia Westfort+6.3
3718-19WM&MRYNO FLAServe errWM&MRY server+4.3
3819-19NO FLANO FLAAttack errAudrey Brcka+6.7
3919-20NO FLAWM&MRY×4KillOlivia Westfortset Cate Hatfield+5.7
4019-21WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillAudrey Brckaset Emily McKee+7.4
4119-22WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillAudrey Brckaset Katherine Arnason+6.3
4219-23WM&MRYWM&MRY×4KillAudrey Brckaset Katherine Arnason+4.4
4320-23WM&MRYNO FLA×3KillKaili Doctorset Sofia Dawson+1.6
4421-23NO FLANO FLA×3Attack errAudrey Brcka+3.8
4522-23NO FLANO FLA×3AceNO FLA serveraced Emily McKee+6.7
4622-24NO FLAWM&MRYKillAudrey Brckaset Cate Hatfield+8.4
4722-25WM&MRYWM&MRYKillKatherine Arnasonset Cate Hatfield+6.4

Score shown after each rally, North Florida first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.