UC San Diego def. Cal State Fullerton 3-0 (Sep 25)

FinalFri, Sep 25, 2026ESPN+

0:3

UC San Diego beat visiting Cal St. Fullerton 3-0 (25-13, 25-23, 25-18) on Fri, Sep 25, 2026. UC San Diego's Ireland McNees led with 11 kills, and Paulina Baillie added 14 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:50 PM CT · final Sep 25

Set	1	2	3	Sets
CSFULL	13	23	18	0
UCSD	25	25	25	3

Win probability

UC San Diego above 50 · Cal St. Fullerton below

Biggest swing: 2.5% to UC San Diego — set 2, CSFULL 23-24 UCSD. Marisa Nakata stuffed by Molly McCluskey. UCSD win probability 95% → 97%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CSFULL 6.3%93.7% UCSD

Cal St. Fullerton wins

3-0

0.8%

3-1

1.8%

3-2

3.8%

UC San Diego wins

3-0

51.9%

3-1

30.6%

3-2

11.2%

CSFULL break %: 36.4% vs this opp
UCSD break %: 48.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Molly McCluskeyBlock+2.5%
Marisa Nakata stuffed by Molly McCluskey
Set 2 · CSFULL 23-24 UCSD · UCSD 95% → 97%
02
Ireland McNeesBlock+1.9%
Bella Risling stuffed by Ireland McNees
Set 2 · CSFULL 23-25 UCSD · UCSD 97% → 99%
03
Bella RislingKill+1.8%
Kill by Bella Risling (set by Paulina Baillie)
Set 2 · CSFULL 23-22 UCSD · CSFULL 5% → 7%
04
Italia BernalKill+1.6%
Kill by Italia Bernal (set by Mia Feldhaus)
Set 2 · CSFULL 21-18 UCSD · CSFULL 7% → 9%
05
Italia BernalAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Italia Bernal
Set 2 · CSFULL 21-21 UCSD · UCSD 93% → 95%
06
Marisa NakataAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Marisa Nakata
Set 2 · CSFULL 23-23 UCSD · UCSD 93% → 95%
07
Parys TaylorKill+1.5%
Kill by Parys Taylor (set by Italia Bernal)
Set 2 · CSFULL 22-21 UCSD · CSFULL 5% → 7%
08
Zariah CrosbyBlock+1.5%
Madison Johnson stuffed by Zariah Crosby
Set 2 · CSFULL 19-17 UCSD · CSFULL 5% → 7%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Cal St. Fullertonaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Bella RislingOH	3	6	6	24	.000	0	0	0	4	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
12Italia BernalS	3	3	2	8	.125	26	0	1	11	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
17Marisa NakataL/DS	3	2	3	14	-.071	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	3
9Hannah HassMB	3	1	1	4	.000	0	0	2	0	2	0	3	1.5	2.5
3Sofia ShineOH	2	5	5	25	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	5
13Emilia GrahamMB	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Zariah CrosbyMB	3	5	0	8	.625	1	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	7
8Kaia HerwegL/DS	3	4	3	11	.091	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	4
15Kaieva ChristensenL/DS	3	0	0	2	.000	2	0	2	11	1	0	0	0	0
11Mia FeldhausL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
2Parys TaylorOH	2	8	0	16	.500	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
7Jaiden MojicaS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	20	112	.125	31	1	7	41	6	1	10	6	54

UC San Diegohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
2Ireland McNeesS	3	11	4	35	.200	1	1	2	5	0	1	0	1	13
6Molly McCluskeyOH	3	10	2	25	.320	2	0	1	8	0	1	2	2	12
7Madison JohnsonMB	3	10	3	17	.412	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	11
5Dillyn GriffinL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	1	10	1	0	0	0	2
3Kaliya NdiayeMB	3	1	0	3	.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
13Marleena CatalanS	3	0	0	0	–	15	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
21Gia Rivera	3	5	4	14	.071	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	5
1Maija NepszyS	3	3	0	6	.500	11	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	3
9Paulina BaillieDS	3	0	0	0	–	5	3	1	14	0	0	0	0	3
18Jaedyn HoustonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
23Lucia BarrosoMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	13	100	.270	37	6	6	51	1	2	4	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Cal St. Fullerton vs UC San Diego

Season series · UC San Diego leads 1-0

Fri, Sep 25, 2026Cal St. Fullerton at UC San Diego · UC San Diego won 3-0This match
Sat, Nov 21, 2026UC San Diego at Cal St. FullertonPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 CSFULL · UCSD 6

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 2 CSFULLUCSD 6

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 5 CSFULLUCSD 5

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 2 CSFULLUCSD 5

Bars above the line = UC San Diego leads, below = Cal St. Fullerton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Cal St. Fullerton

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	37%7/19	0%0/7
2	43%6/14	22%2/9
3	55%6/11	25%2/8
4	86%6/7	63%10/16
5	63%5/8	25%2/8
6	36%5/14	38%3/8
All	48%35/73	34%19/56

UC San Diego

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%7/7	69%11/16
2	78%7/9	63%12/19
3	38%6/16	40%4/10
4	67%6/9	50%6/12
5	67%6/9	25%2/8
6	83%5/6	38%3/8
All	66%37/56	52%38/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#	CSFULL-UCSD	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Paulina Baillie	+0.5
2	1-1	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal	+0.6
3	1-2	CSFULL	UCSD	Serve err	Cal St. Fullerton		+0.5
4	2-2	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Italia Bernal	+0.6
5	3-2	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Italia Bernal	+0.9
6	3-3	CSFULL	UCSD×5	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Maija Nepszy	+0.6
7	3-4	UCSD	UCSD×5	Attack err	Marisa Nakata		+0.8
8	3-5	UCSD	UCSD×5	Attack err	Sofia Shine		+0.7
9	3-6	UCSD	UCSD×5	Bad set	Italia Bernal		+0.6
10	3-7	UCSD	UCSD×5	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Maija Nepszy	+0.5
11	4-7	UCSD	CSFULL	Serve err	UC San Diego		+0.3
12	4-8	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Maija Nepszy	+0.3
13	5-8	UCSD	CSFULL	Attack err	Molly McCluskey		+0.3
14	5-9	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Maija Nepszy	+0.3
15	6-9	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Hannah Hass	set Molly McCluskey	+0.4
16	6-10	CSFULL	UCSD×6	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Kaliya Ndiaye	+0.4
17	6-11	UCSD	UCSD×6	Attack err	Kaia Herweg		+0.4
18	6-12	UCSD	UCSD×6	Ace	UC San Diego	aced Kaia Herweg	+0.3
19	6-13	UCSD	UCSD×6	Bad set	Italia Bernal		+0.2
20	6-14	UCSD	UCSD×6	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Marleena Catalan	+0.1
21	6-15	UCSD	UCSD×6	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Paulina Baillie	+0.1
22	7-15	UCSD	CSFULL	Attack err	Ireland McNees		·
23	7-16	CSFULL	UCSD×4	Attack err	Sofia Shine		·
24	7-17	UCSD	UCSD×4	Ace	UC San Diego	aced Kaieva Christensen	·
25	7-18	UCSD	UCSD×4	Attack err	Bella Risling		·
26	7-19	UCSD	UCSD×4	Blocked	Sofia Shine	blk Molly McCluskey, Madison Johnson	·
27	8-19	UCSD	CSFULL	Serve err	UC San Diego		·
28	9-19	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Zariah Crosby	set Kaieva Christensen	·
29	9-20	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Marleena Catalan	·
30	10-20	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Italia Bernal	·
31	10-21	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Molly McCluskey	·
32	10-22	UCSD	UCSD	Attack err	Sofia Shine		·
33	11-22	UCSD	CSFULL	Serve err	UC San Diego		·
34	11-23	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Maija Nepszy	·
35	12-23	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Marisa Nakata	set Italia Bernal	·
36	13-23	CSFULL	CSFULL	Blocked	Gia Rivera	blk Hannah Hass, Italia Bernal	·
37	13-24	CSFULL	UCSD	Serve err	Cal St. Fullerton		·
38	13-25	UCSD	UCSD	Ace	UC San Diego	aced Kaia Herweg	·
Set 2
1	1-0	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal	+0.4
2	1-1	CSFULL	UCSD	Serve err	Cal St. Fullerton		+0.4
3	2-1	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Zariah Crosby	set Italia Bernal	+0.4
4	2-2	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Marleena Catalan	+0.4
5	3-2	UCSD	CSFULL×5	Kill	Italia Bernal	set Mia Feldhaus	+0.5
6	4-2	CSFULL	CSFULL×5	Kill	Zariah Crosby	set Italia Bernal	+0.7
7	5-2	CSFULL	CSFULL×5	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Kaieva Christensen	+0.8
8	6-2	CSFULL	CSFULL×5	Ace	Marisa Nakata	aced Dillyn Griffin	+0.8
9	7-2	CSFULL	CSFULL×5	Kill	Sofia Shine	set Italia Bernal	+0.9
10	7-3	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Maija Nepszy	+0.5
11	7-4	UCSD	UCSD	Kill	Maija Nepszy	set Paulina Baillie	+0.7
12	8-4	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Italia Bernal	set Zariah Crosby	+0.7
13	8-5	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Maija Nepszy	+0.5
14	9-5	UCSD	CSFULL×3	Attack err	Molly McCluskey		+0.7
15	10-5	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Attack err	Gia Rivera		+0.9
16	11-5	CSFULL	CSFULL×3	Blocked	Gia Rivera	blk Hannah Hass, Bella Risling	+0.9
17	11-6	CSFULL	UCSD×3	Attack err	Bella Risling		+0.5
18	11-7	UCSD	UCSD×3	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Marleena Catalan	+0.8
19	11-8	UCSD	UCSD×3	Attack err	Sofia Shine		+0.8
20	12-8	UCSD	CSFULL	Serve err	UC San Diego		+0.8
21	12-9	CSFULL	UCSD×3	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Marleena Catalan	+0.6
22	12-10	UCSD	UCSD×3	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Marleena Catalan	+0.9
23	12-11	UCSD	UCSD×3	Attack err	Bella Risling		+0.9
24	13-11	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal	+0.8
25	13-12	CSFULL	UCSD×5	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Marleena Catalan	+0.6
26	13-13	UCSD	UCSD×5	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Marleena Catalan	+0.9
27	13-14	UCSD	UCSD×5	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Marleena Catalan	+0.8
28	13-15	UCSD	UCSD×5	Attack err	Bella Risling		+0.7
29	13-16	UCSD	UCSD×5	Ace	UC San Diego	aced Parys Taylor	+0.6
30	14-16	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Kaieva Christensen	+0.4
31	14-17	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Marleena Catalan	+0.4
32	15-17	UCSD	CSFULL×5	Serve err	UC San Diego		+0.4
33	16-17	CSFULL	CSFULL×5	Attack err	Ireland McNees		+0.8
34	17-17	CSFULL	CSFULL×5	Kill	Marisa Nakata	set Italia Bernal	+1.0
35	18-17	CSFULL	CSFULL×5	Attack err	Madison Johnson		+1.3
36	19-17	CSFULL	CSFULL×5	Blocked	Madison Johnson	blk Zariah Crosby	+1.5
37	19-18	CSFULL	UCSD	Serve err	Cal St. Fullerton		+0.9
38	20-18	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Italia Bernal	+1.2
39	21-18	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Italia Bernal	set Mia Feldhaus	+1.6
40	21-19	CSFULL	UCSD×3	Kill	Maija Nepszy	set Ireland McNees	+0.8
41	21-20	UCSD	UCSD×3	Attack err	Hannah Hass		+1.4
42	21-21	UCSD	UCSD×3	Attack err	Italia Bernal		+1.6
43	22-21	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Italia Bernal	+1.5
44	22-22	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Maija Nepszy	set Molly McCluskey	+1.3
45	23-22	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Paulina Baillie	+1.8
46	23-23	CSFULL	UCSD×3	Attack err	Marisa Nakata		+1.6
47	23-24	UCSD	UCSD×3	Blocked	Marisa Nakata	blk Molly McCluskey	+2.5
48	23-25	UCSD	UCSD×3	Blocked	Bella Risling	blk Ireland McNees	+1.9
Set 3
1	0-1	CSFULL	UCSD×5	Attack err	Kaia Herweg		+0.2
2	0-2	UCSD	UCSD×5	Ace	UC San Diego	aced Hannah Hass	+0.2
3	0-3	UCSD	UCSD×5	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Dillyn Griffin	+0.2
4	0-4	UCSD	UCSD×5	Attack err	Bella Risling		+0.1
5	0-5	UCSD	UCSD×5	Blocked	Kaia Herweg	blk Madison Johnson, Molly McCluskey	+0.1
6	1-5	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Italia Bernal	+0.1
7	1-6	CSFULL	UCSD	Serve err	Cal St. Fullerton		+0.1
8	2-6	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Kaia Herweg	set Italia Bernal	+0.1
9	2-7	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Paulina Baillie	+0.1
10	3-7	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Kaia Herweg	set Italia Bernal	+0.1
11	4-7	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Italia Bernal	+0.1
12	4-8	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Maija Nepszy	+0.1
13	5-8	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Zariah Crosby	set Italia Bernal	+0.1
14	5-9	CSFULL	UCSD	Serve err	Cal St. Fullerton		+0.1
15	6-9	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Italia Bernal	+0.1
16	7-9	CSFULL	CSFULL	Blocked	Gia Rivera	blk Bella Risling, Hannah Hass	+0.2
17	7-10	CSFULL	UCSD	Serve err	Cal St. Fullerton		+0.1
18	7-11	UCSD	UCSD	Ace	UC San Diego	aced Hannah Hass	+0.2
19	8-11	UCSD	CSFULL	Serve err	UC San Diego		+0.1
20	8-12	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Kaliya Ndiaye	set Marleena Catalan	+0.1
21	8-13	UCSD	UCSD	Attack err	Italia Bernal		+0.1
22	9-13	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Bella Risling	set Italia Bernal	+0.1
23	10-13	CSFULL	CSFULL	Kill	Zariah Crosby	set Italia Bernal	+0.2
24	10-14	CSFULL	UCSD×5	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Marleena Catalan	+0.1
25	10-15	UCSD	UCSD×5	Kill	Madison Johnson		+0.1
26	10-16	UCSD	UCSD×5	Kill	Madison Johnson		+0.1
27	10-17	UCSD	UCSD×5	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Dillyn Griffin	+0.1
28	10-18	UCSD	UCSD×5	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Maija Nepszy	·
29	11-18	UCSD	CSFULL	Blocked	Ireland McNees	blk Bella Risling, Zariah Crosby	·
30	12-18	CSFULL	CSFULL	Attack err	Ireland McNees		·
31	12-19	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Maija Nepszy	·
32	13-19	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Kaia Herweg	set Italia Bernal	·
33	14-19	CSFULL	CSFULL	Blocked	Madison Johnson	blk Parys Taylor, Zariah Crosby	+0.1
34	14-20	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Maija Nepszy	+0.1
35	15-20	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Italia Bernal	·
36	15-21	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Maija Nepszy	·
37	16-21	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Italia Bernal	·
38	16-22	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Gia Rivera	set Paulina Baillie	·
39	16-23	UCSD	UCSD	Kill	Molly McCluskey	set Marleena Catalan	·
40	17-23	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Parys Taylor	set Italia Bernal	·
41	17-24	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Ireland McNees	set Marleena Catalan	·
42	18-24	UCSD	CSFULL	Kill	Kaia Herweg	set Italia Bernal	·
43	18-25	CSFULL	UCSD	Kill	Madison Johnson	set Marleena Catalan	·

Score shown after each rally, Cal St. Fullerton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

UC San Diego def. Cal St. Fullerton 3–0