Winthrop def. Virginia Tech 3–0
(25-18, 25-23, 25-20)| Set | 1* | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VT | 18 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| WINTHR | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
- * Set 1: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 3.5% to Winthrop — set 2, VT 23-25 WINTHR. Kill by Paige Bennett (set by Lexi Thatcher). WINTHR win probability 92% → 96%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Virginia Tech wins
Winthrop wins
- VT break %
- 38.1% vs this opp
- WINTHR break %
- 43.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01Paige BennettKill+3.5%
Kill by Paige Bennett (set by Lexi Thatcher)
Set 2 · VT 23-25 WINTHR · WINTHR 92% → 96%
- 02
- 03Laila GloverKill+2.9%
Kill by Laila Glover (set by Lexi Thatcher)
Set 2 · VT 19-21 WINTHR · WINTHR 89% → 92%
- 04Reese HazeltonAttack error+2.7%
Attack error by Reese Hazelton
Set 2 · VT 17-18 WINTHR · WINTHR 86% → 89%
- 05
- 06Adeline HundlAttack error+2.5%
Adeline Hundl stuffed by Reece Rhoads
Set 1 · VT 12-14 WINTHR · WINTHR 79% → 81%
- 07WINTHR serverAce+2.5%
Winthrop ace on Ivy Cooper
Set 2 · VT 17-19 WINTHR · WINTHR 89% → 91%
- 08Paige BennettKill+2.4%
Kill by Paige Bennett (set by Destiny Walker)
Set 2 · VT 15-15 WINTHR · WINTHR 84% → 86%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 34 | .206 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 32 | .125 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 3 | 8 | 1 | 13 | .538 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | .143 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | .400 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | .125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 40 | 18 | 109 | .202 | 37 | 4 | 10 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 61 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 15 | 5 | 33 | .303 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | |
| 3 | 8 | 2 | 25 | .240 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |
| 3 | 6 | 0 | 10 | .600 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | .200 | 35 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 8 | 1 | 21 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2.5 | 10.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 43 | 10 | 108 | .306 | 42 | 4 | 7 | 47 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1*
18-25
Set 2
23-25
Set 3
20-25
Bars above the line = Winthrop leads, below = Virginia Tech leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Virginia Tech
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 55%6/11 | 38%3/8 |
| 2 | 57%4/7 | 50%6/12 |
| 3 | 44%4/9 | 43%3/7 |
| 4 | 57%4/7 | 43%3/7 |
| 5 | 57%4/7 | 0%0/4 |
| 6 | 50%4/8 | 33%2/6 |
| All | 53%26/49 | 39%17/44 |
Winthrop
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50%6/12 | 29%2/7 |
| 2 | 71%5/7 | 55%6/11 |
| 3 | 57%4/7 | 50%4/8 |
| 4 | 67%4/6 | 33%2/6 |
| 5 | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 |
| 6 | 57%4/7 | 43%3/7 |
| All | 61%27/44 | 47%23/49 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
136 rallies
Rally log
| # | VT-WINTHR | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | VT | VT | Kill | Destiny Walker | set Camilla Brandalise | +2.0 |
| 2 | 1-1 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Laila Glover | set Lexi Thatcher | +1.3 |
| 3 | 1-2 | WINTHR | WINTHR | Kill | Paige Bennett | set Lexi Thatcher | +1.9 |
| 4 | 2-2 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Adeline Hundl | set Camilla Brandalise | +1.4 |
| 5 | 2-3 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Laila Glover | set Lexi Thatcher | +1.3 |
| 6 | 3-3 | WINTHR | VT×3 | Kill | Adeline Hundl | set Layla Moore | +1.4 |
| 7 | 4-3 | VT | VT×3 | Kill | Isabella Mishler | set Camilla Brandalise | +2.2 |
| 8 | 5-3 | VT | VT×3 | Attack err | Paige Bennett | +2.3 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | VT | WINTHR | Serve err | VT server | +1.5 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | WINTHR | VT | Serve err | WINTHR server | +1.7 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Maggie Czajka | set Lexi Thatcher | +1.5 |
| 12 | 7-5 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Frances Torres | set Camdynn Gonzalez | +1.8 |
| 13 | 7-6 | VT | WINTHR×4 | Kill | Teagan Sychterz | set Lexi Thatcher | +1.6 |
| 14 | 7-7 | WINTHR | WINTHR×4 | Attack err | Frances Torres | blk Teagan Sychterz, Reece Rhoads | +2.3 |
| 15 | 7-8 | WINTHR | WINTHR×4 | Kill | Laila Glover | set Lexi Thatcher | +2.2 |
| 16 | 7-9 | WINTHR | WINTHR×4 | Attack err | Destiny Walker | +2.1 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Frances Torres | set Camdynn Gonzalez | +1.4 |
| 18 | 8-10 | VT | WINTHR | Serve err | VT server | +1.4 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Layla Moore | set Camilla Brandalise | +1.5 |
| 20 | 9-11 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Paige Bennett | +1.5 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | WINTHR | VT | Feed gap | Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known. | +1.5 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | VT | VT | Kill | Reese Hazelton | +2.5 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | VT | WINTHR | Serve err | VT server | +1.7 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Reese Hazelton | set Camilla Brandalise | +1.9 |
| 25 | 12-13 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Paige Bennett | set Addison Torain | +1.8 |
| 26 | 12-14 | WINTHR | WINTHR | Attack err | Adeline Hundl | blk Reece Rhoads | +2.5 |
| 27 | 13-14 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Isabella Mishler | set Camilla Brandalise | +1.7 |
| 28 | 13-15 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Lexi Thatcher | set Lindsay Langner | +1.7 |
| 29 | 13-16 | WINTHR | WINTHR | Attack err | Destiny Walker | +2.2 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Reese Hazelton | set Camdynn Gonzalez | +1.4 |
| 31 | 14-17 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Teagan Sychterz | set Lexi Thatcher | +1.6 |
| 32 | 14-18 | WINTHR | WINTHR | Attack err | Frances Torres | blk Reece Rhoads | +1.8 |
| 33 | 15-18 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Reese Hazelton | set Camdynn Gonzalez | +1.0 |
| 34 | 15-19 | VT | WINTHR×5 | Serve err | VT server | +1.2 | |
| 35 | 15-20 | WINTHR | WINTHR×5 | Attack err | Destiny Walker | blk Laila Glover, Teagan Sychterz | +1.2 |
| 36 | 15-21 | WINTHR | WINTHR×5 | Attack err | Frances Torres | +0.7 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | WINTHR | WINTHR×5 | Kill | Teagan Sychterz | set Lexi Thatcher | +0.3 |
| 38 | 15-23 | WINTHR | WINTHR×5 | Ace | WINTHR server | aced Reese Hazelton | +0.1 |
| 39 | 16-23 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Reese Hazelton | set Camdynn Gonzalez | +0.0 |
| 40 | 17-23 | VT | VT | Kill | Destiny Walker | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.1 |
| 41 | 17-24 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Paige Bennett | set Lexi Thatcher | +0.1 |
| 42 | 18-24 | WINTHR | VT | Serve err | WINTHR server | +0.0 | |
| 43 | 18-25 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Laila Glover | set Lexi Thatcher | +0.0 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | WINTHR | VT×3 | Kill | Adeline Hundl | set Camilla Brandalise | +1.1 |
| 2 | 2-0 | VT | VT×3 | Kill | Destiny Walker | set Camilla Brandalise | +1.7 |
| 3 | 3-0 | VT | VT×3 | Kill | Destiny Walker | set Camilla Brandalise | +1.7 |
| 4 | 3-1 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Paige Bennett | set Lexi Thatcher | +1.1 |
| 5 | 3-2 | WINTHR | WINTHR | Kill | Paige Bennett | set Lexi Thatcher | +1.6 |
| 6 | 4-2 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Destiny Walker | set Camilla Brandalise | +1.2 |
| 7 | 5-2 | VT | VT | Attack err | Laila Glover | +1.8 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | VT | WINTHR×3 | Serve err | VT server | +1.1 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | WINTHR | WINTHR×3 | Attack err | Camilla Brandalise | +1.7 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | WINTHR | WINTHR×3 | Ace | WINTHR server | aced Ivy Cooper | +1.7 |
| 11 | 6-5 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Isabella Mishler | set Camilla Brandalise | +1.2 |
| 12 | 7-5 | VT | VT | Ace | VT server | aced Addison Torain | +1.9 |
| 13 | 7-6 | VT | WINTHR | Serve err | VT server | +1.2 | |
| 14 | 8-6 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Isabella Mishler | set Camilla Brandalise | +1.4 |
| 15 | 8-7 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Paige Bennett | set Lexi Thatcher | +1.2 |
| 16 | 8-8 | WINTHR | WINTHR | Attack err | Reese Hazelton | blk Teagan Sychterz, Lexi Thatcher | +1.8 |
| 17 | 9-8 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Reese Hazelton | set Camilla Brandalise | +1.4 |
| 18 | 9-9 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Teagan Sychterz | set Lexi Thatcher | +1.3 |
| 19 | 10-9 | WINTHR | VT×3 | Serve err | WINTHR server | +1.4 | |
| 20 | 11-9 | VT | VT×3 | Kill | Adeline Hundl | set Camilla Brandalise | +2.1 |
| 21 | 12-9 | VT | VT×3 | Kill | Destiny Walker | set Camilla Brandalise | +2.2 |
| 22 | 12-10 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Reece Rhoads | set Addison Torain | +1.3 |
| 23 | 12-11 | WINTHR | WINTHR | Kill | Laila Glover | set Lexi Thatcher | +2.0 |
| 24 | 13-11 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Reese Hazelton | set Camilla Brandalise | +1.6 |
| 25 | 14-11 | VT | VT | Kill | Destiny Walker | set Camilla Brandalise | +2.3 |
| 26 | 14-12 | VT | WINTHR | Attack err | Destiny Walker | blk Laila Glover, Teagan Sychterz | +1.4 |
| 27 | 14-13 | WINTHR | WINTHR | Attack err | Destiny Walker | +2.2 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Destiny Walker | set Camilla Brandalise | +1.8 |
| 29 | 15-14 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Maggie Czajka | set Lexi Thatcher | +1.5 |
| 30 | 15-15 | WINTHR | WINTHR | Kill | Paige Bennett | set Destiny Walker | +2.4 |
| 31 | 16-15 | WINTHR | VT | Serve err | WINTHR server | +1.9 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Maggie Czajka | set Lexi Thatcher | +1.7 |
| 33 | 17-16 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Destiny Walker | set Camilla Brandalise | +2.0 |
| 34 | 17-17 | VT | WINTHR×3 | Attack err | Destiny Walker | +1.8 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | WINTHR | WINTHR×3 | Attack err | Reese Hazelton | +2.7 | |
| 36 | 17-19 | WINTHR | WINTHR×3 | Ace | WINTHR server | aced Ivy Cooper | +2.5 |
| 37 | 18-19 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Isabella Mishler | set Camilla Brandalise | +1.6 |
| 38 | 19-19 | VT | VT | Kill | Layla Moore | +2.9 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | VT | WINTHR×4 | Kill | Reece Rhoads | set Lexi Thatcher | +2.2 |
| 40 | 19-21 | WINTHR | WINTHR×4 | Kill | Laila Glover | set Lexi Thatcher | +2.9 |
| 41 | 19-22 | WINTHR | WINTHR×4 | Kill | Teagan Sychterz | set Lexi Thatcher | +2.2 |
| 42 | 19-23 | WINTHR | WINTHR×4 | Kill | Reece Rhoads | set Addison Torain | +1.3 |
| 43 | 20-23 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Destiny Walker | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.4 |
| 44 | 20-24 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Laila Glover | set Lexi Thatcher | +0.8 |
| 45 | 21-24 | WINTHR | VT×3 | Attack err | Teagan Sychterz | +0.2 | |
| 46 | 22-24 | VT | VT×3 | Attack err | Paige Bennett | blk Layla Moore, Adeline Hundl | +0.8 |
| 47 | 23-24 | VT | VT×3 | Ace | VT server | aced Alyah Cadavid | +2.2 |
| 48 | 23-25 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Paige Bennett | set Lexi Thatcher | +3.5 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | VT | WINTHR | Attack err | Adeline Hundl | +0.5 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Adeline Hundl | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Paige Bennett | set Lexi Thatcher | +0.5 |
| 4 | 1-3 | WINTHR | WINTHR | Kill | Maggie Czajka | set Lexi Thatcher | +0.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | WINTHR | VT | Attack err | Paige Bennett | blk Layla Moore, Adeline Hundl | +0.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | VT | WINTHR×3 | Kill | Maggie Czajka | set Lexi Thatcher | +0.5 |
| 7 | 2-5 | WINTHR | WINTHR×3 | Kill | Reece Rhoads | set Lexi Thatcher | +0.7 |
| 8 | 2-6 | WINTHR | WINTHR×3 | Ace | WINTHR server | aced Ivy Cooper | +0.6 |
| 9 | 3-6 | WINTHR | VT×3 | Serve err | WINTHR server | +0.4 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | VT | VT×3 | Attack err | Paige Bennett | +0.6 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | VT | VT×3 | Ace | VT server | aced Lindsay Langner | +0.8 |
| 12 | 5-7 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Reece Rhoads | set Lexi Thatcher | +0.5 |
| 13 | 6-7 | WINTHR | VT | Serve err | WINTHR server | +0.6 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | VT | WINTHR | Serve err | VT server | +0.6 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | WINTHR | VT | Attack err | Reece Rhoads | blk Frances Torres, Isabella Mishler | +0.6 |
| 16 | 7-9 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Paige Bennett | set Lexi Thatcher | +0.6 |
| 17 | 8-9 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Frances Torres | set Camdynn Gonzalez | +0.6 |
| 18 | 8-10 | VT | WINTHR×5 | Kill | Paige Bennett | set Addison Torain | +0.6 |
| 19 | 8-11 | WINTHR | WINTHR×5 | Kill | Laila Glover | set Lexi Thatcher | +0.8 |
| 20 | 8-12 | WINTHR | WINTHR×5 | Attack err | Adeline Hundl | +0.6 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | WINTHR | WINTHR×5 | Attack err | Reese Hazelton | +0.5 | |
| 22 | 8-14 | WINTHR | WINTHR×5 | Kill | Paige Bennett | set Addison Torain | +0.4 |
| 23 | 9-14 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Reese Hazelton | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.2 |
| 24 | 9-15 | VT | WINTHR | Serve err | VT server | +0.3 | |
| 25 | 10-15 | WINTHR | VT×3 | Serve err | WINTHR server | +0.2 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | VT | VT×3 | Kill | Isabella Mishler | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.4 |
| 27 | 12-15 | VT | VT×3 | Ace | VT server | aced Alyah Cadavid | +0.6 |
| 28 | 12-16 | VT | WINTHR | Serve err | VT server | +0.5 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Isabella Mishler | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.4 |
| 30 | 13-17 | VT | WINTHR×4 | Kill | Paige Bennett | set Lexi Thatcher | +0.5 |
| 31 | 13-18 | WINTHR | WINTHR×4 | Attack err | Destiny Walker | +0.5 | |
| 32 | 13-19 | WINTHR | WINTHR×4 | Kill | Reece Rhoads | set Lexi Thatcher | +0.3 |
| 33 | 13-20 | WINTHR | WINTHR×4 | Attack err | Isabella Mishler | blk Teagan Sychterz | +0.2 |
| 34 | 14-20 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Isabella Mishler | set Camdynn Gonzalez | +0.1 |
| 35 | 14-21 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Reece Rhoads | set Lexi Thatcher | +0.1 |
| 36 | 15-21 | WINTHR | VT | Attack err | Teagan Sychterz | +0.1 | |
| 37 | 16-21 | VT | VT | Attack err | Laila Glover | blk Frances Torres, Layla Moore | +0.1 |
| 38 | 16-22 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Reece Rhoads | set Lexi Thatcher | +0.2 |
| 39 | 16-23 | WINTHR | WINTHR | Kill | Paige Bennett | set Addison Torain | +0.1 |
| 40 | 17-23 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Frances Torres | set Camdynn Gonzalez | +0.0 |
| 41 | 18-23 | VT | VT | Kill | Reese Hazelton | set Ivy Cooper | +0.1 |
| 42 | 18-24 | VT | WINTHR | Serve err | VT server | +0.1 | |
| 43 | 19-24 | WINTHR | VT | Kill | Reese Hazelton | set Camilla Brandalise | +0.0 |
| 44 | 20-24 | VT | VT | Attack err | Paige Bennett | +0.1 | |
| 45 | 20-25 | VT | WINTHR | Kill | Maggie Czajka | set Lexi Thatcher | +0.1 |
Score shown after each rally, Virginia Tech first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.